Richmond and Northallerton

Conservative 39% (-24)
Labour 28% (+12)
Reform 18% (new)

Not a huge fan of the write up. It's not he'll hang on despite Savanta's MRP.

Best look of the constituency suggests Sunak is favourite, but it's not a certainty, Constituency polling is hard.

— Andy Lawton (@ABLPoli) June 23, 2024