Zsa Zsa's leg

Very odd. You'd imagine the White House would know if one of its top cabinet members was in intensive care for nearly a week.

US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin has been hospitalized since New Year's Day, including spending four days in ICU after complications from a "minor, elective surgery" It's been a minor scandal that Austin and the Pentagon did not disclose his condition. IIRC, Attorney General Garland had a minor surgery recently and notified the public. The whole line of succession goes into effect when Biden has a routine colonoscopy, why aren't we told when the top national security official in the country is in the ICU for nearly a week?

The article doesn't say whether it's cancerous or not.

She was still walking and voting on the Senate floor until the day before her death. It was far from a foregone conclusion that she was about to die. Not a Jimmy Carter situation at all, though she had some health issues earlier in the year.

He's aged a lot, but looks pretty healthy for a nearly 80-year-old man

Thanks for the info, learned something new today. He's also benefiting from quality government healthcare that he would never dream about extending to other Americans. You don't have to look far to find a double standard with today's GOP.

U.S. House Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R) undergoing a stem-cell transplant to treat multiple myeloma. Interesting considering his party has long opposed stem-cell research.

March 11th

Pete Murray

Sticking with Chomsky

January 9th

RIP. Iconic actress. Took her off my shadow list for Eva Marie Saint this year.

Just noticed Rupert Murdoch was left off of the list. I feel like he's a pretty deathlisty name. Maybe not the most likely hit, but probably in worse shape than a few of the names this year

https://x.com/journalistjg/status/1742611187391660438?s=46&t=w_Magtzeyi-eKwoDhS1W3Q Tarot reader hired by Fox News to predict Trump's year pulls the "death card" on live television.

No Pope should be a miss, but Benedict was hardly as visible or as willing to challenge Vatican tradition as Francis.

On Their Last Leg My scrambled entry based off of general vibes, not based off of serious research or anything 1. Jimmy Carter 2. Noam Chomsky 3. Juanita Broaddrick 4. Pete Davidson 5. Joanne Woodward 6. Yoko Ono 7. Russell M. Nelson 8. Toby Keith 9. Mahmoud Abbas 10. George Mitchell 11. Yahya Sinwar 12. Frank Caprio 13. Vanessa Redgrave 14. Joseph James DeAngelo 15. Violeta Chamorro 16. Mohammed Deif 17. Shannen Doherty 18, Jean-Marie Le Pen 19. Roberta Flack 20. Dennis Hastert

Here's my US politics-themed predictions shadow list: 1. Jimmy Carter (Former President of the United States) 100 2. Alan Greenspan (Former Chair of the Federal Reserve) 98 3. Mitch McConnell (Senate Minority Leader) 82 4. George Mitchell (Former U.S. Senator for Maine/Diplomat) 91 5. Joe Arpaio (Infamous former Maricopa County Sheriff) 92 6. Dennis Hastert (Disgraced former Speaker of the House) 82 7. Chuck Grassley (U.S. Senator for Iowa) 91 8. Doug Wilder (Former Governor of Virginia) 93 9. Alan Simpson (Former U.S. Senator for Wyoming) 93 10. W. Michael Blumenthal (Former Secretary of the Treasury) 98 11. Roscoe Bartlett (Former U.S. Representative for Maryland) 98 12. David Pryor (Former U.S. Senator for Arkansas) 90 13. Edwin Meese (Former Attorney General) 93 14. James Baker (Former Secretary of State) 94 15. Charlie Rangel (Former U.S. Representative for New York) 93 16. Jesse Jackson (Former Presidential candidate) 84 17. Larry Pressler (Former U.S. Senator for South Dakota) 82 18. Dick Cheney (Former Vice President of the United States) 83 19. J. Bennett Johnston (Former U.S. Senator for Louisiana) 92 20. Patrick Leahy (Former U.S. Senator for Vermont) 83 21. Fred Harris (Former U.S. Senator for Oklahoma) 94 22. Elizabeth Dole (Former U.S. Senator for North Carolina) 88 23. Ron Paul (Former U.S. Representative for Texas) 89 24. Jerry Nadler (U.S. Representative for New York’s 12th District) 77 25. Jim Inhofe (Former U.S. Senator for Oklahoma) 90 26. Michael Dukakis (Former Governor of Massachusetts) 91 27. Ralph Nader (Former Presidential candidate) 90 28. Ben Nighthorse Campbell (Former U.S. Senator for Colorado) 91 29. William Perry (Former Secretary of Defense) 97 30. Lee Hamilton (Former U.S. Representative for Indiana) 93 31. Nancy Kassebaum (Former U.S. Senator for Kansas) 92 32. Roy Romer (Former Governor of Colorado) 96 33. Gary Hart (Former U.S. Senator for Colorado) 88 34. Pat Saiki (Former Administrator of the Small Business Administration) 94 35. Rudy Boschwitz (Former U.S. Senator for Minnesota) 94 36. Dan Evans (Former U.S. Senator for Washington) 99 37. Andrew Young (Former Mayor of Atlanta/Diplomat) 92 38. Pat Buchanan (Former Presidential candidate) 86 39. Leon Panetta (Former Secretary of Defense) 86 40. Wilbur Ross (Former Secretary of Commerce) 87 41. Richard Shelby (Former U.S. Senator for Alabama) 90 42. Tom Ridge (Former Secretary of Homeland Security) 79 43. Hal Rogers (Dean of the U.S. House of Representatives) 87 44. Bill Clay (Former U.S. Representative for Missouri) 93 45. Jean Carnahan (Former U.S. Senator for Missouri) 91 46. Winfield Dunn (Former Governor of Tennessee) 97 47. Barbara Mikulski (Former U.S. Senator for Maryland) 88 48. Al D’Amato (Former U.S. Senator for New York,) 87 49. Donald Trump (Former President of the United States) 78 50. Joe Biden (President of the United States) 82

Yoko is a very bad drop, especially considering that they didn't need to drop her. Attenborough is another name that would be too big of a name to miss. I was surprised to see names like Barenboim, Fritzl, Bugner, and Stone. I actually disagree with the consensus that the Pope was a bad pick. He's slowed down considerably in recent years and was hospitalized multiple times this year. I wouldn't be surprised if he abdicates in the next year or so. Pleasantly surprised at Glynis, Brokaw, and Ted Turner making the list.

Chomsky

I'm originally from the district next to hers, she's a big deal in Dallas. Lots of stuff named after her. It seems like a lot of longtime members of Congress drop dead right after retirement (Orrin Hatch, John Conyers, etc.). Maybe the job is what keeps them going for so long.

I doubt we get many updates until the day he actually dies. Maybe some isolated reports of his family or the president visiting him in his last days, but I don't think we'll see him publicly like we did at Rosalynn's funeral again. Jimmy's a tough man who has overcame odds his whole life. Badass navy sailor who single handedly prevented a nuclear reactor meltdown, went from being a nobody to becoming President, built houses well into his 90s, and beat brain cancer at age 91. I could see him last a few more months. Now that I've said this, he'll be gone by the end of the week.

Some names I thought about including for 2024 but weren't seriously ill/old enough to make the top 50. I wonder how many will make it to 2025: Woody Allen, 90 in 2025 Julie Andrews, 90 Giorgio Armani, 91 Jim Bakker, 85 Paul Biya, 92 Pat Buchanan, 88 Carol Burnett, 92 Dick Cavett, 89 Joan Collins, 92 Kenneth Copeland, 89 Bill Cosby, 88 The Dalai Lama, 90 Joseph DeAngelo (the Golden State killer), 80 Judi Dench, 91 Sam Donaldson, 91 Michael Dukakis, 92 Jane Fonda, 88 Morgan Freeman, 88 Jane Goodall, 91 Seymour Hersh, 88 Juan Carlos I, 87 Rita Moreno, 94 Jack Nicklaus, 85 Teodoro Obiang, 83 Roman Polanski, 92 Bob Schieffer, 88 Klaus Schwab, 87 Gloria Steinem, 91 Valentino, 93

I think 2024 will be slower than 2023. Hard to ballpark a number without the official list being out, but with more celebrities hiding terminal diagnoses, it doesn't seem like there's very many high profile "certs" this year - or at least that's how I felt when drafting my shadow list.

Looks pretty good. Is there any evidence that Kilmer is ill again? I know cancer recurrences are common but I thought he was in remission for a while. Otherwise a solid list, I can count 15 or so picks that are pretty certain to be hits.

Submitted my team a couple days ago, my first entry since 2018 I think.