I've worked up some data about the trends this year, if you'd like to look at another cut or have any questions please let me know.
Today is Friday Sept 11 2020, this is day number 252 this (leap) year. The record deaths per year is 17, to beat this in 2020 DL must reach 18. As of today, there are 12 successes. It has been 48 days since the last death on July 26 (this is the longest span between deaths this year). On July 26, DL had a success on average every 17.25 days. If a death occurs today, the average span will be 19.4 days. At this same rate, DL will reach 17.23 successes.
In other words, we're facing a crisis here and every day we do not have a success we are less and less likely to reach our goal.
Below, orange represents the count, gray the trend, and yellow the record to beat.