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Everything posted by gcreptile
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Seriously, Spanky Manikan got through? I just picked him in the Hare's. I was MUCH too cautious. Next time I'll be much more shameless. Edit: My personal opinion: Steffan Lewis not getting through may be a blessing in disguise.
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The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Bill Crider reminds me a little of conspiracy theory author Jim Marrs. He eventually got a QO after several months. -
The B-Team is now in the game. That will be an internal battle between quality and quantity for my teams. Bobby Zarin's 7pts felt not enough for my main team. Too risky?
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I think I've already settled on next year's Theme Team: classical music. Gives me a chance to pick Montserrat Caballe. Maybe even a second Theme Team, if enough people qualify, and if B-Teams will be banned.
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Betty Driver Memorial Soapstar Superstar Thread
gcreptile replied to M Busby Airlines's topic in DeathList Forum
This weekend in deadpooling has a bit of a Waiting for Godot feel to it. -
"relatives hoping for a speedy recovery" - that sounds like she'll pull through - BUT: It's The Sun. It could just be some fantasy.
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Greg Gilbert update from the wife: http://www.dailyecho.co.uk/News/15822671.Stacey_Heale_column___Everything_about_this_year_is_an_unknown_/ New chemo regimen soon, outcome unclear. Not sure there's much new in there.
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T Boone Pickens, who announced last year that he feels the end of his life coming, now closes his energy fund: https://www.ft.com/content/d98a338a-f7b6-11e7-8715-e94187b3017e
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Betty Driver Memorial Soapstar Superstar Thread
gcreptile replied to M Busby Airlines's topic in DeathList Forum
Hmm, I can't give a yes/no answer right now. But if she's still alive by the time I wake up tomorrow, then she'll survive. Though I'm not sure she "should" survive, because who knows what her quality of life is going to be. -
"How death got cool": https://www.theguardian.com/news/2018/jan/12/how-death-got-cool-swedish-death-cleaning
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Betty Driver Memorial Soapstar Superstar Thread
gcreptile replied to M Busby Airlines's topic in DeathList Forum
Russian fake news trolls invading my deadpooling??? -
I am also up for bio duties. Give me what needs to be done.
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Stupid/funny/cool/outrageous/scary/weird/crazy Stuff You Read/saw In The News/on The Internet
gcreptile replied to Dr. Zorders's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
A picture just seen on the front page of the Mirror...has a bit of a "before / after meth" feel to it. -
Betty Driver Memorial Soapstar Superstar Thread
gcreptile replied to M Busby Airlines's topic in DeathList Forum
Oh wow.... but then, these things seem to happen more and more often... death sensationalism in the press... Now wikipedia has to remove her from the "Deaths of 2018" list a second time.... -
The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Still more life Name Expected score base points 1 Stefan Karl Stefansson 6,35 13,00 1 Stefan Karl Stefansson 6,35 13,00 2 Stuart Fraser 1,73 8,00 3 Tessa Jowell 6,37 10,00 4 Justin Raimondo 1,82 11,00 5 Dave Fisher 1,30 13,00 6 Charlotte Rae 5,85 5,00 7 Olivia Newton-John 5,50 11,00 8 Valerie Harper 3,88 10,00 9 Bill Heine 3,04 7,00 10 Ami Brown 3,78 9,00 11 Steffan Lewis 4,20 10,00 12 Paul Alcock 4,00 8,00 13 Sara Chivers 5,60 10,00 14 Simon Ricketts 6,30 9,00 15 Kathleen Blanco 4,20 7,00 16 Vanessa LaFaye 5,21 7,00 17 Oliver Dragojevic 0,76 7,00 18 Brian O'Connor 2,65 13,00 19 Nyssa Burrells 2,10 10,00 20 Abi Flynn 1,51 15,00 All 82,493 206 -
Betty Driver Memorial Soapstar Superstar Thread
gcreptile replied to M Busby Airlines's topic in DeathList Forum
I think it takes a day or two for the body to shut down. (Plot twist: she's off life support because she is recovering.) -
The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
It's certainly one of the gambles that need to go to The Dead Cow's favor. Ian Toothill is a bit of a risk as well, because of obitability, in my opinion. And Mike Willesee is a so-so pick. But for the moment, I think he's ahead, as long as we don't know the non-forum teams. -
Well, they knew how to party.... Dead from pneunomia at 67...these lungs must have been damaged...
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Shameless led after the first update in 2016 with the Love Boat at 4th. Shameless' lead lasted a couple of weeks.
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Betty Driver Memorial Soapstar Superstar Thread
gcreptile replied to M Busby Airlines's topic in DeathList Forum
Two questions, one you've already asked: How could a Florida newspaper be the first to report a UK soap actor's death? But the second question: If Hebden is still alive, why would an American paper post the death of that actor they know nothing about? -
The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Hey, I had her at 80%! Neither had I Rayya Elias, nor Errol Christie nor Gord Downie, nor King Michael at 100%. (King Michael was 90-95, Gord Downie at 80% or so). I said before that I rarely give out the 100%. You always have the occasional surprise. And I am on record saying that one of the "locks" of 2017 will survive the year. Well, two did, but Elias just barely. Out of about 1300 living people on my longlist, only 11 currently have the 100% (for 2018): John McCain, Lindy Remigino, Ron Villemaire (Star Wars fan), Kevin McAllister (DWTS something of a something), Nicki Flood (cancer mum), Spanky Manikan (who doesn't know him?), Vanessa Goodwin, Bobby Zarin, Morrie Boogaart (hat-knitting guy), Bill Crider and Franco Zeffirelli. -
The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Thanks. I was so sure of Patrick Cryne being 70 or 71 even though my longlist said differently. I might have switched him if I had looked at my list.... Edit: I have Patrick Cryne at 90% chance of dying in 2018, and a 10% chance of being on the Drop 40 (that's how the 7,47 are created). That was before I saw that almost everyone who posted their team here had picked him. The chance must now be at least at 50%. -
The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Not today, but next weekend! I also have The Heeflich Maneouvre on my list, but I don't know his joker... -
The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Oh thanks. I do the base score from memory. It's correct in the expected score (I go by year of birth there). -
The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
I wasn't quite correct. I have Mary Wilson basically just as an age-based pick. So something like 30% chance of dying of a 5-pointer. Mike Pintek most likely won't obit, BUT IF... he's gold. Just like Kevin McAllister. David Cervinski could also turn out to be a golden pick. I think my score doesn't reflect his Guardian coverage yet. So your B-Team may well catch up a little. But for the moment it looks like this: Pan Breed Here's who you could have won Name Expected score base points Name Expected score base points 1 Leah Bracknell 10,80 12,00 1 Marieke Vervoort 12,49 13,00 1 Leah Bracknell 10,8 12,00 1 Marieke Vervoort 12,4925 13,00 2 John McCain 9,00 9,00 2 Jessica Falkholt 6,15 10,00 3 Kathleen Blanco 4,20 7,00 3 Fernando Ricksen 6,75 13,00 4 Patrick Cryne 7,47 7,00 4 Dean Francis 8,05 10,00 5 Rayya Elias 9,00 9,00 5 Kevin Carr 4,58 10,00 6 Greg Gilbert 7,44 13,00 6 Pete Stokes 4,34 10,00 7 Philomena Lynott 4,54 5,00 7 Hugh Masekela 5,53 7,00 8 Ian Toothill 5,77 10,00 8 David Cervinski 3,71 10,00 9 Vanessa Goodwin 7,42 9,00 9 Peter Overton 3,35 8,00 10 Catherine Nevin 5,04 8,00 10 Kevin McAllister 2,00 12,00 11 Carl Piddington 7,34 9,00 11 Ami Brown 3,78 9,00 12 Tessa Jowell 6,37 10,00 12 Paul Alcock 4,00 8,00 13 Matt Cappotelli 4,64 10,00 13 Mike Pintek 1,87 11,00 14 Stefan Karl Stefansson 6,35 13,00 14 Angus Sinclair 5,11 7,00 15 Liam Miller 10,80 13,00 15 Bernie DeKoven 4,37 10,00 16 Pete Stokes 4,34 13,00 16 Lindy Remigino 3,60 6,00 17 Satoru Anzaki 3,84 6,00 17 Charlotte Rae 5,85 5,00 18 Pete Frates 5,40 10,00 18 Mary Wilson 1,20 5,00 19 Steffan Lewis 4,20 10,00 19 Chris Mortensen 3,32 8,00 20 Devin Lima 7,00 10,00 20 Johnny Hubbard 5,40 6,00 All 141,744 205 All 107,938 191 Edit: I have Mary Wilson's chance of dying at 30% actually (0,3*4), because I always find it ominous if old people are silent. But I think she just recnelty gave an interview? That's not in the score. I would get mad if updated daily.