The Nobel Prize Dead Pool 2025/26

[WEP 894]

Welcome to the first Deathlist-competition dedicated to Nobel laureates: The Nobel Prize Dead Pool.

 

As always, the nomination period opens on December 1^st, 2024 (00:00 EST) and ends on January 31^st, 2025 (23:59) EST.

 

The rules are still easy: Pick one living Nobel laureate by each category (Physics, Chemistry, Medicine/Physiology/Peace/Literature and Economic Sciences), who you think will die during the following next twelve months. This will make six nominated people.
Send your list between December 1^st and January 31^st!

 

My remaining rule:
No laureate can be chosen twice, so check who was picked by other deadpoolers!
The list of teams published below will help you!

 

Further rules:
1. In case, one of your laureates dies, replace him/her by a person from the same category. This will give you the chance to score twice in a category.
2. I will be the last to choose my picks – to avoid discrepancies for the other contestants!

Every laureate who dies in December or January will be excluded automatically and should be replaced in case of being chosen.

People, who accepted the award on behalf of someone or represent an organization are excluded from the contest, the 2025 laureates cannot be chosen since they are unknown until October!

The Nobel Prize Dead Pool will start from February 1^st, 2025, the day the nomination period for new laureates ends. The last day to score a hit will be January 31^st, 2026!

All main sources will be accepted as well as the official Nobel Prize website www.nobelprize.org. (The deaths will be mentioned there, so no lost hits to expect!)

Since not so many Nobel laureates die during a year - 2017, 2019 and 2020 it had been 9 dead laureates per year, 2018 there were 18, in 2022 seven (So do not expect a rushing contest!) – the scoring will honor every hit separately.

So good luck and enjoy the contest.

[WEP 894]

As last year, the scoring will appear on a four digit base.

 

The first digit will represent the category, sorted from least living laureates to most:
Literature (20): 6.000 points
Peace (30): 5.000 points
Economic Scienes (48): 4.000 points
Chemistry (62): 3.000 points
Medicine/Physiology (70): 2.000 points
Physics (75): 1.000 points

 

The second digit will honor the decade, the laureate was awarded:
2020s – 900 points
2010s – 800 points
2000s – 700 points
1990s – 600 points
1980s – 500 points
1970s – 400 points
1960s – 300 points
1950s – 200 points
There were no laureates left from the decades before, so a sore of 100 points is not possible!

 

The third digit will show the age of your laureate:
 <   30 – 90 points.
30-39 – 80 points
40-49 – 70 points
50-59 – 60 points
60-69 – 50 points
70-79 – 40 points
80-89 – 30 points
90-99 – 20 points
100-??? – 10 points

 

The last digit gives a bonus score:
Last survivor of his awarding year: 9 points bonus.
Youngest death of the contest: 8 points (awarded in February 2026!)
Represents an African country: 7 points
Represents an Asian country: 6 points
A female laureate: 5 points.
Awarded alone (organizations excluded): 4 points
Represents a South or Middle American country: 3 points
Comes from Germany (born there or naturalized): 2 points
Oldest death of the contest: 1 point (awarded in February 2026!)

 

NEW:
Ther will be a 500 points bonus for the last surviving laureate of the decade!

 

So for example:
Leon N Cooper, currently the last laureate to die, was worth 1.429 points.

1.000 as a Physics Prize laureate, 400 for the decade (he was awarded in 1972), 20 for his age (94), and 9 bonus points as he was the last living laureate of that year.

[WEP 894]

To make it easier, here is a list of all living Nobel laurates (sorry for the German spellings):
 

Chemistry:

1992      Rudolph Arthur Marcus b. 1923

1990      Elias James Corey            b. 1928

1986      John Charles Polanyi      b. 1929

2010      Akira Suzuki       b. 1930

2013      Martin Karplus  b. 1930

1980      Walter Gilbert   b. 1932

1986      Dudely Robert Hershbach            b. 1932

1986      Yuan Tseh Lee   b. 1936

2000      Alan Jay Heeger               b. 1936

2000      Hideki Shirakawa             b. 1936

2007      Gerhard Ertl       b. 1936

1981      Roald Hoffman b. 1937

1988      Robert Huber    b. 1937

2004      Avram Hershko b. 1937

2001      Ryoji Noyori       b. 1938

2002      Kurt Wüthrich   b. 1938

2015      Tomas Robert Lindahl    b. 1938

1987      Jean-Marie Pierre Lehn b. 1939

2009      Ada E. Yonath    b. 1939

2013      Arieh Warshel   b. 1940

2017      Joachim Frank   b. 1940

1997      John Ernest Walker         b. 1941

2001/2022           Karl Berry Sharpless       b. 1941 (Only living individual with two Nobel Prizes)

2011      Daniel Shechtman           b. 1941

2018      George Pearson Smith  b. 1941

2019      Michael Stanley Whittingham    b. 1941

2005      Robert Howard Grubbs b. 1942

2016      James Fraser Stoddart   b. 1942

2017      Jacques Dubochet           b. 1942

1988      Johann Deisenhofer       b. 1943

2012      Robert Joseph Lefkowitz              b. 1943

2023      Louis Eugene Brus           b. 1941

2016      Jean-Pierre Sauvage      b. 1944

2005      Richard Royce Schrock  b. 1945

2017      Richard Henderson         b. 1945

2023      Alexei Iwanowitsch Jekimow     b. 1945

2015      Aziz Sancar         b. 1946

2015      Paul Lawrence Modrich b. 1946

1989      Thomas Robert Cech      b. 1947

2004      Aaron Ciechanover         b. 1947

2006      Roger David Kornberg   b. 1947

2008      Martin Chalfie   b. 1947

2013      Michael Levitt   b. 1947

1988      Hartmut Michel                b. 1948

2019      Akira Yoshino    b. 1948

2003      Peter Courtland Agre     b. 1949

2016      Bernard Lucas "Ben" Feringa      b. 1951

2018      Gregory Paul Winter      b. 1951

2009      Venkatraman Ramakrishnan      b. 1952

2014      William Esco Moerner   b. 1953

2022      Morten Peter Meldal     b. 1954

2012      Brian Kent Kobilka           b. 1955

2003      Roderick MacKinnon      b. 1956

2018      Frances Hamilton Arnold             b. 1956

2002      Koichi Tanaka    b. 1959

2014      Robert Eric Betzig            b. 1960

2023      Moungi Gabriel Bawendi              b. 1961

2024      David Baker        b. 1962

2014      Stefan Walter Hell           b. 1962

2020      Jennifer Anne Doudna Cate        b. 1964

2022      Carolyn Ruth Bertozzi    b. 1966

2020      Emmanuelle Marie Charpentier b. 1968
2021      Benjamin List     b. 1968
2021      David William Cross MacMillan  b. 1968

2024      Demosthenes “Demis” Hassabis               b. 1976

2024      John Michael Jumpe      b. 1985

 

Peace:

2002      James Earl Carter jr.        b. 1924

1980      Adolfo Pérez Esquivel    b. 1931

1989      HRH, 14. Dalai Lama       b. 1935

2011      Ellen Johnson Sirleaf      b. 1938

2006      Muhammad Yunus         b. 1940

1987      Oscar Arias Sánchez       b. 1941

2005      Mohammed ElBaradei   b. 1942

1983      Lech Wałęsa      b. 1943 Last living laureate

1976      Mairead Corrigan             b. 1944

1991      Aung San Suu Kyi             b. 1945

2003      Schirin Ebadi      b. 1947

1996      Carlos Felipe Belo            b. 1948

2007      Albert Arnold Gore jr.    b. 1948

1996      José Ramos-Horta           b. 1949

1997      Jody Williams     b. 1950

2016      Juan Manuel Santos Calderón    b. 1951

2014      Kailash Satyarthi              b. 1954

2018      Denis Mukengere Mukwege      b. 1955

1992      Rigoberta Menchú Tum b. 1959

2021      Dmitri Andrejewitsch Muratow b. 1961

2009      Barack Hussein Obama jr.            b. 1961

2022      Ales Bjaljatzki    b. 1962

2021      Maria Angelita Ressa     b. 1963

2023      Narges Mohammadi      b. 1972

2011      Leymah Roberta Gbowee            b. 1972

2019      Abiy Ahmed Ali b. 1976

2011      Tawakkul Karman            b. 1979

2018      Nadia Murad Basee Taha             b. 1993

2014      Malala Yousafzai              b. 1997

 

Literature:

1986      Wole Soyinka    b. 1934

2010      Jorge Mario Pedro Vargas Llosa b. 1936

2000      Gao Xingjian       b. 1940

2008      Jean-Marie Gustave Le Clézio    b. 1940

2003      John Maxwell Coetzee  b. 1940

2022      Annie Thérèse Blanche Ernaux  b. 1940

2016      Bob Dylan           b. 1941

2019      Peter Handke    b. 1943

2014      Jean Patrick Modiano    b. 1945

2004      Elfriede Jelinek b. 1946

2021      Abdulrazak Gurnah         b. 1948

2015      Swetlana Alexandrowna Alexijewitsch  b. 1948

2006      Orhan Pamuk    b. 1952

2009      Herta Müller      b. 1953

2017      Kazuo Ishiguro  b. 1954

2012      Mò Yán b. 1955 

2023      Jon Olav Fosse  b. 1959

2018      Olga Nawoja Tokarczuk b. 1962

2024      Han Kang             b. 1970

 

Medicine/Pysiology:

1981      Torsten Nils Wiesel         b. 1924

1962      James Dewey Watson   b. 1928 Last living laureate of the decade

1978      Werner Arber    b. 1929

2000      Eric Richard Kandel         b. 1929

2015      Tu Youyou          b. 1930

2015      William Cecil Campbell  b. 1930

1978      Hamilton Othanel Smith               b. 1931

2012      John Bertrand Gurdon  b. 1933

2015      Satoshi Ōmura  b. 1935

2020      Harvey James Alter         b. 1935

1989      Michael John Bishop      b. 1936

2007      Mario Renato Capecchi b. 1937

1975      David Baltimore              b. 1938 Last living laureate

1987      Susumu Tonegawa         b. 1939

1989      Harold Eliot Varmus       b. 1939

2001      Leland Harrison Hartwell              b. 1939

2014      John Michael O'Keefe   b. 1939

1985      Joseph Leonard Goldstein           b. 1940

1996      Peter Charles Doherty   b. 1940

1985      Michael Stuart Brown    b. 1941

1998      Louis Joseph Ignarro      b. 1941

2007      Martin John Evans           b. 1941

2011      Jules Alphonse Hoffmann            b. 1941

1991      Bert Sakmann   b. 1942

1995      Christiane Nüsslein-Volhard       b. 1942

1997      Stanley Ben Prusiner      b. 1942

2018      Tasuku Honjo    b. 1942

1993      Richard John Roberts     b. 1943

2001      Richard Timothy Hunt    b. 1943

1991      Erwin Neher      b. 1944

1993      Phillip Allen Sharp           b. 1944

1996      Rolf Martin Zinkernagel b. 1944

2017      Michael Morris Rosbash               b. 1944

2016      Yoshinori Ōsumi               b. 1945

2017      Jeffrey Connor Hall         b. 1945

2004      Richard Axel       b. 1946

1995      Eric Frank Wieschaus     b. 1947

2002      Howard Robert Horvitz b. 1947

2004      Linda B. Buck     b. 1947

2008      Françoise Barré-Sinoussi              b. 1947

2009      Elizabeth Helen Blackburn           b. 1948

2013      Randy Wayne Schekman             b. 1948

2018      James "Jim" Patrick Allison          b. 1948

2001      Paul Maxime Nurse        b. 1949

2017      Michael Warren Young b. 1949

2020      Michael A. Houghton     b. 1949

2013      James Edward Rothman               b. 1950

2005      Barry James Marshall     b. 1951

2009      Jack William Szostak      b. 1952

2024      Gary Bruce Ruvkun         b. 1952

2020      Charles Moen Rice III.    b. 1952

2024      Victor Robert Ambros                   b. 1953

2019      Peter John Ratcliffe        b. 1954

2022      Svante Erik Pääbo            b. 1955

2013      Thomas Christian Südhof             b. 1955

2021      David Jay Julius b. 1955

2023      Katalin Karikó    b. 1955

2019      Gregg Leonard Semenza              b. 1956

2011      Bruce Alan Beutler          b. 1957

2019      William George Kaelin jr.             b. 1957

2023      Drew Weissman               b. 1959

2006      Andrew Zachary Fire      b. 1959

2006      Craig Cameron Mello     b. 1960

2009      Carol Widney Greider    b. 1961

2012      Shin'ya Yamanaka           b. 1962

2014      Edvard Ingjald Moser     b. 1962

2014      May-Britt Moser              b. 1963

2021      Ardem Patapoutian        b. 1967

 

Physics:

1957      Chen Ning Yang               b. 1922 Last living laureate of the decade

1973      Leo Esaki             b. 1925

1973      Ivar Giaever       b. 1929

1990      Jerome Isaac Friedman b. 1930

2009      George Elwood Smith    b. 1930

1996      David Morries Lee           b. 1931

2020      Roger Penrose  b. 1931

2021      Klaus Ferdinand Hasselmann     b. 1931

2021      Syukurō Manabe             b. 1931

1979      Sheldon Lee Glashow    b. 1932 Last living laureate

2013      François Englert, Baron Englert b. 1932

2017      Rainer Weiss      b. 1932

1997      Claude Cohen-Tannoudji             b. 1933

2024      John Joseph Hopfield     b. 1933

1984      Carlo Rubbia      b. 1934 Last living laureate

2005      John Lewis Hall  b. 1934

2019      Philip James "Jim" Edwin Peebles            b. 1935

1976      Samuel Chao Chung Ting              b. 1936

1978      Robert Woodrow Wilson              b. 1936

2017      Barry Clark Barish            b. 1936

2003      Anthony James Leggett b. 1938

2007      Albert Louis François Fert            b. 1938

1998      Daniel Chee Tsui              b. 1939

1973      Brian David Josephson  b. 1940

2017      Kip Stephen Thorne       b. 1940

1993      Joseph Hooton Taylor    b. 1941

2004      David Jonathan Gross    b. 1941

2005      Theodor Wolfgang Hänsch          b. 1941

2023      Pierre Agostino                 b. 1941

2016      John Michael Kosterlitz b. 1942

2019      Michel Gustave Mayor  b. 1942

2022      John Francis Clauser       b. 1942

1985      Klaus von Klitzing             b. 1943

2015      Arthur Bruce McDonald b. 1943

2008      Makoto Kobayashi          b. 1944

2012      David Jeffrey Wineland b. 1944

2012      Serge Haroche  b. 1944

2018      Gérard Albert Mourou  b. 1944

1996      Douglas Dean Osheroff b. 1945

2022      Anton Zeilinger b. 1945

2006      George Fitzgerald Smoot III         b. 1945

1999      Gerardus 't Hooft            b. 1946 Last living laureate

2006      John Cromwell Mather b. 1946

1986      Gerd Karl Binnig               b. 1947

2024      Geoffrey Everest Hinton               b. 1947

2022      Alain Aspect       b. 1947

1997      Steven Chu         b. 1948

1997      William Daniel Philips    b. 1948

2021      Giorgio Parisi     b. 1948

1998      Horst Ludwig Störmer   b. 1949

2004      Hugh David Politzer        b. 1949

1987      Johannes Georg Bednorz             b. 1950

1993      Russel Alan Hulse            b. 1950

1998      Robert Betts Laughlin     b. 1950

2001      Carl Edwin Wieman        b. 1951

2004      Frank Anthony Wilczek b. 1951

2016      Frederick Duncan Michael Haldane         b. 1951

2020      Reinhard Genzel              b. 1952

2014      Shūji Nakamura b. 1954

2001      Wolfgang Ketterle          b. 1957

2010      Andre Konstantinowitsch Geim b. 1958

2023      Anne L’Huillier   b. 1958

2011      Saul Perlmutter b. 1959

2015      Takaaki Kajita    b. 1959

2018      Donna Theo Strickland  b. 1959

2014      Hiroshi Amano  b. 1960

2001      Eric Allin Cornell               b. 1961

2023      Ferenc Krausz    b. 1962

2020      Andrea Mia Ghez            b. 1965

2019      Didier Patrick Queloz     b. 1966

2011      Brian P. Schmidt               b. 1967

2011      Adam Guy Riess               b. 1969

2010      Konstantin Sergejewitsch Nowoselow   b. 1974

 

Economic Sciences:

2002      Vernon Lomax Smith      b. 1927

2005      Israel Robert John Aumann         b. 1930

1998      Amartya Kumar Sen       b. 1933

2006      Edmund Strother Phelps              b. 1933

1990      William Forsyth Sharpe b. 1934

2000      Daniel Leigh McFadden b. 1937

2020      Robert Butler Wilson      b. 1937

2013      Eugene Francis Fama     b. 1939

2001      George Arthur Akerlof  b. 1940

2010      Peter Arthur Diamond   b. 1940

1997      Myron Samuel Scholes  b. 1941

2018      William Dawbney Nordhaus       b. 1941

2003      Robert Fry Engle III.        b. 1942

2011      Christopher Albert Sims                b. 1942

2001      Joseph Eugene Stiglitz   b. 1943

2001      Michael Andrew Spence              b. 1943

2004      Finn Erling Kydland         b. 1943

2011      Thomas John Sargent    b. 1943

1997      Robert Cox Merton         b. 1944

2000      James Joseph Hackman b. 1944

2015      Angus Stewart Deaton  b. 1945

2017      Richard H. Thaler             b. 1945

2013      Robert James Shiller       b. 1946

2023      Claudia Dale Goldin        b. 1946

2010      Christopher Antoniou Pissarides              b. 1948

2016      Oliver Simon D'Arcy Hart              b. 1948

2020      Paul Robert Milgrom      b. 1948

2016      Bengt Robert Holmström             b. 1949

2007      Eric Stark Maskin             b. 1950

2007      Roger Bruce Myerson    b. 1951

2012      Alwin Eliot Roth               b. 1951

2013      Lars Peter Hansen           b. 1952

2008      Paul Robin Krugman       b. 1953

2022      Ben Shalom Bernanke   b. 1953

2022      Douglas Warren Diamond           b. 1953

2014      Jean Marcel Tirole           b. 1953

2018      Paul Michael Romer       b. 1955

2022      Philip Hallen Dybvig        b. 1955

2021      David Edward Card         b. 1956

2024      James Alan Robinson     b. 1960

2021      Joshua David Angrist      b. 1960

2019      Abhijit Vinayak Banerjee             b. 1961

2024      Simon H. Johnson           b. 1963

2021      Guido Wilhelmus Imbens            b. 1963

2019      Michael Robert Kremer b. 1964

2024      Kamer Daron Acemoğlu                               b. 1967

2019      Esther Caroline Duflo     b. 1972

[WEP 894]

Teams for 2025/2026:

 

It is planned to update this list weekly or bi-weekly - please be patient

 

 

Hits 2025/2026:

[ladyfiona 2,595]

Ignore this post.

[Toast 16,155]

It's a long wait.

[WEP 894]

3 hours ago, ladyfiona said:

This is where my list will be when revealed.

 

Literature:
Peace:
Economic Scienes:
Chemistry:
Medicine/Physiology:
Physics:

I cannot accept the list, since I will be unable to verify, when the names were posted.