Guest Guest Posted May 5, 2015 I just placed a £100 bet on a labour-lib dem coalition on Friday. I'm looking forward to my winnings ! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
themaninblack 2,112 Posted May 5, 2015 I just placed a £100 bet on a labour-lib dem coalition on Friday. I'm looking forward to my winnings ! What are the odds? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DevonDeathTrip 2,358 Posted May 5, 2015 I've placed an eye-wateringly large wager on Ben Bradshaw winning for Labour in Exeter at odds of 1/33. He won't lose and you can't get that rate of interest in the bank. I've also checked the small print and I get my money back if he dies before Thursday. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
charon 4,943 Posted May 5, 2015 £30k for a grand ? Nah. Far better bets out there for decent wedges. And Dr z , I hate that film, but is it any worse, than those who feel accursed ? It is great watching en@land go down the shitter because they fucked up the Indy referendum by turning into an election (totally different things, a fact that bypassed most of the electorate ). Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DevonDeathTrip 2,358 Posted May 5, 2015 £30k for a grand ? Nah. Far better bets out there for decent wedges. You're probably right, but I'm more certain of this than anything else and it has to feel safe, otherwise I wouldn't do it. Mind, I'm a dead man walking on Friday if he loses. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
themaninblack 2,112 Posted May 5, 2015 I've placed an eye-wateringly large wager on Ben Bradshaw winning for Labour in Exeter at odds of 1/33. He won't lose and you can't get that rate of interest in the bank. I've also checked the small print and I get my money back if he dies before Thursday. In my constituency, the Tories are 1/100, so not worth putting a fiver on... I'm still tempted by betting that the Lib Dems will get more votes than UKIP overall though. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean 6,314 Posted May 5, 2015 I just placed a £100 bet on a labour-lib dem coalition on Friday. I'm looking forward to my winnings ! I would be skeptical on that bet as the SNP losses to Labour surely make a Conservative majority a strong possibility.Or certainly a conservative minority propped up by the Liberals UKIP and possibly the DUP. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Windsor 2,233 Posted May 5, 2015 It is great watching en@land go down the shitter because they fucked up the Indy referendum by turning into an election (totally different things, a fact that bypassed most of the electorate ). You lost the referendum - and not because of the English. Get over it. You'll probably gain a few seats, but you'll still be as significant as my fart from last Monday: a bit annoying at the time, but now everybody's forgotten about it. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,033 Posted May 6, 2015 Entries for guesses I'm closing at 6pm on May 7th. Any last guesses/entries are most welcome. I'll put up a list of results in due course. Prize of smug self-satisfaction to the winner. Just to be clear, I'm going for Jim Murphy. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Paul Bearer 6,101 Posted May 6, 2015 I'll go for practically all labour MPs in Scotland. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,033 Posted May 6, 2015 I'll go for practically all labour MPs in Scotland. Spread betting, like your style! I may have to take your first answer of Nick Clegg though so I don't have a monster post of every election result! Best to stick with profile politicians, though admittedly the spotlight is on most Labour candidates up here. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,033 Posted May 6, 2015 Current Runners and Riders for convenience: Danny Alexander (Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey) Douglas Alexander (Paisley and Renfrewshire South) Ed Balls (Morley and Outwood) Ben Bradshaw (Exeter) Vince Cable (Twickenham) David Cameron (Witney) Douglas Carswell (Clacton) Nick Clegg (Sheffield Hallam) Jon Cruddas (Dagenham and Rainham) Margaret Curran (Glasgow East) Nigel Farage (South Thanet) Simon Hughes (Bermondsey and Old Southwark) Jeremy Hunt (South West Surrey) Charles Kennedy (Ross, Skye and Lochaber) Caroline Lucas (Brighton Pavilion) Esther McVey (Wirral West) Ed Miliband (Doncaster North) Nicky Morgan (Loughborough) Jim Murphy (East Renfrewshire) Mark Reckless (Rochester and Strood) Alex Salmond (Gordon) Anna Soubry (Broxtowe) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
maryportfuncity 10,645 Posted May 6, 2015 A minor, but interesting possibility concerns which - if any - of the 20 Monstor Raving Loony candidates might cream a legitimate political party and do a Fort William by avoiding bottom spot. Hairy Gnorm (aka Norman Davidson) in Faversham and Mid Kent is rated as having a passable chance of taking sixth place, one spot above a beleagured English Democrat who might lose any potential support to UKIP. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Dr. Zorders 1,271 Posted May 6, 2015 I heard a Norfolk town near the border with Suffolk is close to electing a UKIP MP. But some members of the immigrant community have arrived and started a dissuadement campaign called "Don't Diss". 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
themaninblack 2,112 Posted May 6, 2015 Clegg going would be brilliant but it's not going to happen... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,438 Posted May 6, 2015 A minor, but interesting possibility concerns which - if any - of the 20 Monstor Raving Loony candidates might cream a legitimate political party and do a Fort William by avoiding bottom spot. Hairy Gnorm (aka Norman Davidson) in Faversham and Mid Kent is rated as having a passable chance of taking sixth place, one spot above a beleagured English Democrat who might lose any potential support to UKIP. A long time since their greatest hour - finishing above the SDP in the Bootle by-election. Current Runners and Riders for convenience: (long list cut for size) At this late stage then: Soubry, Reckless, Morgan, McVey, Simon Hughes, Curran, Kennedy (sadly), and Danny. That ICM poll for Sheffield Hallam was so annoying. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,033 Posted May 7, 2015 A minor, but interesting possibility concerns which - if any - of the 20 Monstor Raving Loony candidates might cream a legitimate political party and do a Fort William by avoiding bottom spot. Hairy Gnorm (aka Norman Davidson) in Faversham and Mid Kent is rated as having a passable chance of taking sixth place, one spot above a beleagured English Democrat who might lose any potential support to UKIP. A long time since their greatest hour - finishing above the SDP in the Bootle by-election. Current Runners and Riders for convenience: (long list cut for size) At this late stage then: Soubry, Reckless, Morgan, McVey, Simon Hughes, Curran, Kennedy (sadly), and Danny. That ICM poll for Sheffield Hallam was so annoying. Which one will lose by the biggest margin do you think? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,438 Posted May 7, 2015 Danny. Between the Lib Dem collapse, his own unpopularity, and the extent of bedroom tax issues up north, we could be talking Tatton 1997 levels of vote collapse. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
maryportfuncity 10,645 Posted May 7, 2015 Current Runners and Riders for convenience: Danny Alexander (Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey) Douglas Alexander (Paisley and Renfrewshire South) Ed Balls (Morley and Outwood) Ben Bradshaw (Exeter) Vince Cable (Twickenham) David Cameron (Witney) Douglas Carswell (Clacton) Nick Clegg (Sheffield Hallam) Jon Cruddas (Dagenham and Rainham) Margaret Curran (Glasgow East) Nigel Farage (South Thanet) Simon Hughes (Bermondsey and Old Southwark) Jeremy Hunt (South West Surrey) Charles Kennedy (Ross, Skye and Lochaber) Caroline Lucas (Brighton Pavilion) Esther McVey (Wirral West) Ed Miliband (Doncaster North) Nicky Morgan (Loughborough) Jim Murphy (East Renfrewshire) Mark Reckless (Rochester and Strood) Alex Salmond (Gordon) Anna Soubry (Broxtowe) Kind of ironic that one of them (Salmond) isn't an MP, yet his losing would count as equally memorable to the loss of a high profile MP. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,033 Posted May 7, 2015 Entries closed. Results later. Enjoy the show and if any come across some footage of their favourite Portillo Moment of this year's election, here's the place to put it. I've a nagging feeling there might be more surprises in store than we bargained for. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
maryportfuncity 10,645 Posted May 7, 2015 Exit polls suggest Clegg is nailed on Portillo moment gold. Gonna get some kip and wake up to the highlights of the carnage. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bibliogryphon 9,571 Posted May 7, 2015 Exit polls suggest Clegg is nailed on Portillo moment gold. Gonna get some kip and wake up to the highlights of the carnage. Yes You Kip now and not later. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,033 Posted May 8, 2015 Douglas Alexander first casualty. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
time 8,596 Posted May 8, 2015 Jim Murphy second casualty. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,033 Posted May 8, 2015 Rolling Results Page: Danny Alexander (Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey) Lost by 10,809 Douglas Alexander (Paisley and Renfrewshire South) Lost by 5,684. Ed Balls (Morley and Outwood) Lost by 422 Ben Bradshaw (Exeter) Hold 7,183 Vince Cable (Twickenham) Lost by 2,017 David Cameron (Witney) Hold 25,155 Douglas Carswell (Clacton) Hold 3,437 Nick Clegg (Sheffield Hallam) Hold 2,353 Jon Cruddas (Dagenham and Rainham) Hold 4,980 Margaret Curran (Glasgow East) Lost by 10,387 Nigel Farage (Thanet South) Lost by 2,812 Simon Hughes (Bermondsey and Old Southwark) Lost by 4,489 Jeremy Hunt (Surrey South West) Hold 28,556 Charles Kennedy (Ross, Skye and Lochaber) Lost by 5,124 Caroline Lucas (Brighton Pavilion) Hold 7,967 Esther McVey (Wirral West) Lost by 417 Ed Miliband (Doncaster North) Hold 11780 Nicky Morgan (Loughborough) Hold 9,183 Jim Murphy (East Renfrewshire) Lost by 3,718. Mark Reckless (Rochester and Strood) Lost by 7,133 Alex Salmond (Gordon) Wins Seat by 8,687 Anna Soubry (Broxtowe) Hold 4,287 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
