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themaninblack

Derby Dead Pool 2017

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Round Up #23 (In Mexico They're Singing Shake Shake Shake Senora Special)

 

Ata Kando: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/8049-photographers/?do=findComment&comment=323514

Awaiting Obit. (Carried Over)

 

Nabeel Qureshi: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/857-authors-last-a-long-time-but/?do=findComment&comment=323637

Awaiting Obit. (Carried Over)

 

Jake Lamotta: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/953-20-jake-lamotta/?do=findComment&comment=323971

BBC Obit: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-41339153

 

William G Stewart: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/1566-william-gladstone-stewart/?do=findComment&comment=324183

Daily Mirror Obit: http://www.mirror.co.uk/tv/tv-news/william-g-stewart-dead-former-11215421

 

Liliane Bettencourt: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/9123-lilianne-bettencourt/?do=findComment&comment=324203 (FT Obit In Link)

 

Charles Bradley: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/2389-dead-pop-stars/?do=findComment&comment=324438

BBC Obit: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-41376105

 

Bernard Campbell: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/6254-the-fringes-of-famefamily-of-the-famous/?do=findComment&comment=324552 (BBC Obit In Link)

 

Gisele Casadesus: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/8294-the-100-club/?do=findComment&comment=324572

Awaiting Obit.

 

Eman Ahmed Abd El Aty: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/2386-fat-and-fearless/?do=findComment&comment=324582 (BBC Obit In Link)

 

Liz Dawn: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/8190-44-liz-dawn/?do=findComment&comment=324662

BBC Obit: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-41397413

 

Tony Booth: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/8922-12-tony-booth/?do=findComment&comment=324680 (BBC Obit In Link)

 

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The entire goddamn country of Dominica is under water and somehow that former PM Patrick John swam his one-legged ass to safety?  I call bullshit.  Awaiting obit.

SC

  • Haha 1

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On 1/1/2017 at 05:07, gcreptile said:

The person I had inside knowledge of, about his cancer fight going well but who I expected to be picked by quite a few deadpoolers was.... Charles Bradley. But stomach cancer is tricky, we'll see...

Life lesson: never underestimate a DQSBP pick. If they pick him, then they're probably a goner, as this cased turned out to be...

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Meh, it happens. Live and learn.

 

Well, Bradley wont but you know what I mean!

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It might give more power on TJS than anyone else imo. If Booth and Michael both die, that'll put him at 2 points above DQSBP if both Greg Gilbert and Simon Ricketts live. I think we're close to the climax, and we'll go to see what will turn out to be an amazing competition...

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Well, I can't complain for not picking him. I got some correct inside information. But the cancer returned with a vengeance. It happens I guess...

 

Edit: DQSP and GS are level now. Cryne and Elias are on a timer... but what about King Michael... survival mystery of the year..

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Well that was quick... I still don't see myself having a likely victory route even with this boost, as even if Booth/Michael go I think I still need Karl (who I think is an 18-er) to get past Bert assuming Cryne dies? Probs assures a podium place for me though, which is nice.

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5 minutes ago, Death Impends said:

Well that was quick... I still don't see myself having a likely victory route even with this boost, as even if Booth/Michael go I think I still need Karl (who I think is an 18-er) to get past Bert assuming Cryne dies? Probs assures a podium place for me though, which is nice.

Ah, but you're forgetting about Rayya Elias. Let me do some math:  You're currently at 133 points, Bert and Spade are at 148. If Elias dies, you'll be at 142 and Spade will be at 157 (a new point record even if Bracknell, Downie, and Nevin survives the year, which is useless for the three of you). If Booth goes, you'll be at 151, which is three points ahead of Bert, but Cryne would bring him to 156. So you'll be 5 points behind him if Michael goes, which means you're right that you need Stefansson for a likely victory. But that means if both Elias and Cryne goes, that means that Bert must have King Michael die for him to beat Spade. An all round tenseful climax for sure...

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I have Rayya in the same column as Cryne, ie treating their points as a near certainty even though they still breathe for the time being.

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Elias and Cryne are a matter of when, Bradley was pretty unexpected. Nevin is probably gonna die too, so a fifth consecutive victory for DQSP looks quite likely now. If Greg Gilbert/Stefan Karl dies it's over. For GS and TJS I see picking Ricketts has drastically reduced their chances as he's nowhere near to death. At least one between King Michael and Tony Booth will probably survive, making TJS chances even dimmer. Yes, being all quiet it seems Michael is not the best pick for 2017.

 

And I desperately need Leah Bracknell to stick in the top ten! 

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With Elias on the clock, its Spade's to lose now, imo.

 

 

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Been a slow burner this competition and it's heading for the boil...

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Out of interest, who actually leads if there's a tie between Spade and Bert?

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I'd assume, without calculating it properly, me because my average age of hits is lower?

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Bert has two hits (Brucie, Soares) older than Spade's oldest (Meads) so presumably so.

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Most hits, then average age...

Edit: That said it's likely that any switching I'd have to do is manual as the page generator will pick one or the other, likely DQSP as it's earlier in the alphabet...

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A thought came into my head: Could it be possible for both Rayya Elias and Patrick Cryne to survive the year? I mean, Errol Christie survived 2016 even though everyone thought he was a cert for 2016...

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11 minutes ago, Joey Russ said:

 Errol Christie survived 2016 even though everyone thought he was a cert for 2016...

 

Not everyone. B)

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Gilbert, Ricketts, Nevin, Elias, Cryne, Downie, Michael, Bracknell all survive the year. Now that would be hilarious.

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25 minutes ago, drol said:

Gilbert, Ricketts, Nevin, Elias, Cryne, Downie, Michael, Bracknell all survive the year. Now that would be hilarious.

 

End result: 200 teams on 100+ points in 2018...

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4 hours ago, drol said:

Gilbert, Ricketts, Nevin, Elias, Cryne, Downie, Michael, Bracknell all survive the year. Now that would be hilarious.

Reiterating my prediction that 2018 will see the first team with 20 hits.

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25 minutes ago, gcreptile said:

Reiterating my prediction that 2018 will see the first team with 20 hits.

 

With me absent? Not likely.

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Hm. David Quantick Showbiz Pals may have a lot of achievements under his belt, including potentially a 5th win, but I gonna take a guess that Spade will not be the first team to get 20 hits on their team...

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I actually think it's a somewhat easy feat to achieve - easier than it might seem. I think Spade could have done it, for example, if he hadn't gone for the relatively young Greg Gilbert, but, say Violet Brown, or someone like that. But we all take risks for the lower age brackets. It hurt my main team too much this year and I might take a different approach the next time.

But take the eight names above (though some of them will still die), plus a couple of low-hanging fruit, Dilip Kumar, for example. Plus possible new must-haves like John McCain or José José (if he survives) and I think you get a floor of 12-13 hits. Then pick Richard Overton or the new oldest person of the world. And you get a relatively low score, but 15 hits without a lot of risk.

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Well, it's certainly going to be interesting for 2018. But I think if you ignore current survivors, you could have gotten 18 hits so far with decent research with a decent team like this:

  1. Mark Sims (joker)
  2. Glen Campbell
  3. Errol Christie
  4. Sara Coward
  5. Smith Hart
  6. Steve Hewlett
  7. Connie Johnson
  8. Bruce Langhorne
  9. Lisa Magill
  10. Tracy McGiffin
  11. Colin Meads
  12. Peter Skellern
  13. Jimmy Snuka 
  14. Mario Soares
  15. Steve Sumner
  16. Joost van der Westhuizen 
  17. Paul van Zandvliet
  18. John Wetton

Of course, this is all within hindsight, and there's certainly more hits to come, but it may not be as hard as some people suspect, they just have to put the right names down for their team...

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