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Everything posted by The Old Crem
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Sorry just my nature. I will try my very best to be positive from now om.
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Craig Mackinlay is now standing down as the election has come too soon in his recovery. Maybe he will get peerage post election?
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It’s not impossible through the Labour candiate standing against IDS is suspended by Labour as she is one of the last corbynite’s standing and has a history of anti Israel comments.
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If IDS holds his seat it probably means a Tory Goverment will be formed.
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Bits of Glasgow have gone into non Glasgow named seats. Cardonald Ward has gone from Glasgow South West to Paisley and Renfrewshire North. A bit of Garscadden / Scotstounhill is now in West Dunbartonshire.
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IDS confirmed in the Commons chamber he is re - standing in Chingford and Woodford Green.
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Richard Tice standing in Boston and Skegness - one to add to the list of possible notable defeats as while he could win it doesn’t feel that likely.
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Through as he won’t lose to the new governing party ir won’t be quite as symbolic as Portilo. Mordaunt losing to Labour would through.
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Considering his appearance as posted in the Royal Family thread maybe Julian Fellows should be considered- famous enough for the main list in my view.
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For completeness he is standing down at the general. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c877lek1gm7o
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He looks doomed - only possible reason he could surprise is major Tory recovery or labour losing lots of voters from the Muslim community in the seat over Gaza. Former Wolves MP Emma Reynolds is standing there for Labour and she is close to the leadership so will gets lots of resources. She could be straight into a ministerial role post election.
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Guess the date of the next UK General Election Sweepstake!
The Old Crem replied to Sly Ronnie's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
The only one of interest are the Sun. What will they do. And also how strongly will the Times back the Tories - will they write it as a reluctant vote.for them. -
Julian Fellows looks awful. Maybe that explans why the Downton cast seem fairly convinced the next film is the final one.
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Sadly he is probably the safest of the lot.
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Hunt has confirmed on X/Twitter he is standing again and has stated his seat is highly marginal.
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Guess the date of the next UK General Election Sweepstake!
The Old Crem replied to Sly Ronnie's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
I wonder what the Tory rule book says about that. -
Summer Olympic Deaths/Dead Medallists
The Old Crem replied to Stayin Alive's topic in DeathList Forum
Very sad news. -
Be interesting to see how many of these (or their successor seats) go Labour at the election. I tehre is a couple there I think the Tories will keep even on 150 seats.
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Jeremy Hunt will be the big one if he is chancellor at the Election. Alex Chalk looks rather doomed in his current seat. Grant Shapps, Penny Mourdant, Mel Stride, Johnny Mercer Michael Tomlinson and Mark Harper could also be ferrying levels of danger if things get really bad for the Tories. Iain Duncan Smith and Jacob Rees Mogg outside the cabinet. Plus some controversial figures like Andrea Jenkyns and Phillip Davies. Could be the odd labour loss as well in areas where Gaza causes votes lose - Tower Hamlets and Newham in London and Batley and Drewsbury (No Labour incumbent there - Kim Leadbeater is taking Spen Valley’ Lib Dems are targeting Michael Gove as well.
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Only list he should be on is possible Tory losses at the election. East Thanet is a Labour target which on current polls is winnable for Labour.
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Guess the date of the next UK General Election Sweepstake!
The Old Crem replied to Sly Ronnie's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Since then election campaigns now have to be legally a bit longer. -
Political Discussions And Ranting Thread
The Old Crem replied to Deathray's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Rumour is Jeremy Hunt is going to announce he is resigning as Chancellor and Claire Coutinho is taking over. And that he will also stand down at the election. -
Political Discussions And Ranting Thread
The Old Crem replied to Deathray's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Postal voting does have ID rules coming in. -
Returns to parliament tomorrow.
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Tony Mowbray now steps down. One to watch maybe.