paddyfool

Monday 20

A further note on the statistical comparisons: the Louisiana death rate as a percentage of total confirmed COVID cases is running at about 1%, same as the US national average. I'd be leary of too many comparisons between places on this statistic, because a lot depends on how many people are getting tested, case definitions, age of cases etc. But there's nothing especially successful shown by those stats from Lafayette Parish, certainly EDIT: wait, no, the average case mortality in both USA and Louisiana is about 4%. Ignore me.

Sunday 30

Saturday 50

Friday 100

Thursday 125

Wednesday 140

Tuesday 120

Monday 25

Sunday 35

Saturday 120

Friday 120

Thursday 160

markB4 meets the Reaper one dark night. The Quim Reaper. It goes well for one of them. All hail King Quim!

Congrats GUN! Wednesday 130

I suppose I'll stick to July 10th

Tuesday 250

Monday 30

Covid cases worldwide have passed 10 million, and deaths have passed 500 thousand: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ (Obviously, as always, reported < actual for both stats.) Probably Covid deaths will pass 1m before the end of the year, meaning exactly one punter will have got their prediction right, despite all the advances made with Remdesivir, dexamethasone, convalescent plasma, increased ITU capacity etc., since the daily worldwide death rate has been pretty constant around 5k per day for the last two months, and there are 187 days till the end of the year.

Sunday 30

Saturday 165

Biden currently 14% ahead in the polls (50% of the vote vs 36%): https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/24/us/politics/trump-biden-poll-nyt-upshot-siena-college.html Trump's approval rating is slowly sliding downwards meanwhile, although not quite so bad as it was in Feb this year: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/ Still a long time to the election, mind you, but I'd still be betting on Biden right now.

Friday 150

Bermudez please

Thursday 130