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paddyfool

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About paddyfool

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  1. paddyfool

    The EU Referendum Hokey Cokey

    I don't really see how this deal can please anyone, be they pro-Brexit or pro-Remain. It transforms us into rule-takers rather than rule-makers; neither at the top table of Europe nor in splendid isolation.
  2. paddyfool

    The 12th Death of 2018

    Going for No more hits. It's highly unlikely, but so is a correct individual prediction of who will be next.
  3. paddyfool

    Inverse Dead Pool 2018

    My highly unjust climb up the leaderboard continues... all I need is for Queenie, Gazza and maybe Trumplestiltskin to drop dead, and I might have a shot at this
  4. paddyfool

    The EU Referendum Hokey Cokey

    Aye, I'm sure we'll mostly survive it, though I expect it'll be particularly rough on those already just-about managing with the help of food banks etc. And good for you on the local food supplies, although there is a risk that availability will be impacted by other consumers who can't buy their usual, especially if panic buying gets going
  5. paddyfool

    The EU Referendum Hokey Cokey

    That's been my dilemma. I'm planning to stock up on a few dozen assorted tins in the loft plus some useful bottles EDIT and jars (but avoiding any foods in a softer container for loft storage, as the neighbour's reported problems with rats). Also to fill up the freezer in Feb or so, fill up the cupboard with a few staples etc. But I'm not planning to go the full prepping route visavis worrying about electricity / gas / water / security too much, as my concerns on those fronts are relatively mild. (We do import electricity and gas from Europe, but not in a format that'll be affected by customs delays etc). Plus I'm planning to stock up on plenty of spare stuff in the way of standard household cleaning supplies, toiletries and laundry supplies, and basic medical supplies. Stocking up, in all cases, only on things that will last and which I'd anticipate using in the next year anyway. And hopefully benefitting from a few savings by buying in bulk. Plus I think it makes sense not to plan any non-essential travel out of the country, especially to EU / EEA countries, for April/May next year. It's not just products from EU / EEA countries that are of concern here as our WTO status is also up in the air at present. Also, quite a few products from non-EU countries arrive via an EU country first before then shipping onto us. I'm anticipating shipping delays etc potentially on all imports, and since our supermarkets and state have very little in the way of warehousing, that could be problematic.
  6. paddyfool

    The EU Referendum Hokey Cokey

    Preparing by storing some extra supplies now is the exact opposite of panic buying, and should in fact spare people from being caught up in or overly impacted by panic buying come the time. Failure to plan, on the other hand, is effectively planning to fail.
  7. paddyfool

    The EU Referendum Hokey Cokey

    We'll see. But whatever you hope for, it's generally sensible to prepare for delays if a whole new customs regime is about to be put in place at all of our ports.
  8. paddyfool

    The EU Referendum Hokey Cokey

    We're obviously not going to starve to death, it's mostly the sections full of just-in-time imported stuff (eg fresh fruit and veg) that could well be empty for a while. It's worth having a bit of tinned / frozen / jarred / dried alternative in stock (but obviously that's a good idea anyway).
  9. paddyfool

    Donald J Trump

    Not really. He's lost the house, and went from being 2% behind in the popular vote in 2016 to 9% behind this year. Obviously the popular vote is not what decides US elections (or Hillary would be President now), but even the quirks of the US electoral college can't really make up a gap of this magnitude. Also, the Republicans particularly lost support in the Midwest and Rust Belt states which were key to the 2016 victory. And the Dems flipping 7 out of 28 state governors up for grabs, some in key swing states, vs the Republicans flipping just 1 safe republican state (Alaska) gives them a welcome advantage in those areas too.
  10. paddyfool

    The EU Referendum Hokey Cokey

    Even as the Brexit secretary illustrates how little he had understood of the workings of the UK economy, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46142188, one of his colleagues rapidly gets off the bridge of the Brexitanic as the iceberg comes closer https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46155403 EDIT: Meanwhile, food companies are investing in stockpiles ahead of anticipated border issues https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-wales-46127592 In my opinion, we would be wise to do the same.
  11. paddyfool

    The World of the Snowflake

    Mash Report on Millennials
  12. paddyfool

    WTF is happening in London?

    OK, to compare with a range of other big or capital cities in high income countries, in homicide rates per 100,000 people in latest year where 2016 or later data is available: Chicago, USA 23.8 Washington DC, USA 18.5 New York, USA 3.4 Ottawa, Canada 2.4 Greater Manchester, UK 2.4 Glasgow, UK 2.0 London, UK 1.8 (based on the 12 months to March 2018 https://www.statista.com/chart/13767/london-homicide-rate-in-perspective/, which were uncharacteristically high compared to previous) Toronto, Canada 1.6 Birmingham and West Midlands 1.4 I've been unsuccessful in finding up to date city level data for Paris, Berlin, Rome, Dublin and Sydney, but older data suggests something along the lines of 1 for Paris, Rome and Sydney, 1.5 for Berlin and 3 for Dublin.
  13. paddyfool

    WTF is happening in London?

    Not only did London not make the list, it's not remotely close. The top 50 cities have intentional homicide rates between 34 and 111 per 100,000 people. Worldwide, the rate is 7 per 100,000 people. London's rate in 2017 was 2 per 100,000 people. Increased compared to previous years and a bit high for the UK or Europe today, but not exceptional even there. (Chicago's rate is 24, incidentally).
  14. paddyfool

    Inverse Survivor Dead Pool I

    Whoever dies, it would appear that we're all perfectly safe as long as at least one team is MIA.
  15. paddyfool

    The World of the Snowflake

    Well, that's a load off my mind
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