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paddyfool

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paddyfool last won the day on April 17

paddyfool had the most liked content!

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About paddyfool

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    Assassin

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  1. paddyfool

    How many hits this year?

    King The Red Death's long reign is over. Having seen off many assassins, he mysteriously drops dead after upsetting some South American gentlemen. King philheybrookbay steps up ... And hey, he keels over almost as soon as the crown touches his head. A poison arrow frog hops out of the crown's velvet lining as it rolls across the floor, startling the courtiers still further. King adrian0719 ensures the crown is cleaned and inspected thoroughly before his own coronation.
  2. paddyfool

    Statistics

    Update to Bucket Kicker's stats: with 104 more days this year, and being 4 deaths short of a record 18, the required rate for a new record would now be a pretty average one death every 26 days. (The rate so far this year having been one death every 19 days). Imho, once you factor in winter mortality and the COVID effect, the odds on a new record have shifted to better than even.
  3. paddyfool

    Statistics

    Indeed. And given the historical average from recent previous years, we'd only expect one death every 25 or 30 days. Otoh, there are plenty of low-hanging fruit yet, none of them are getting any younger, and roughly 34 / 38 of them live in a country that's soon to begin its annual winter mortality rate increase. Never mind the effects of COVID, both direct and indirect (through health service disruption etc). For instance, the overall weekly mortality rate in the USA is currently about 15-20% higher than previous years (based on eyeballing the graph here, although it would help if they had a long term weekly average line as well as the "is this week in excess of what we'd normally expect" line: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm). Could go either way.
  4. paddyfool

    Coronavirus death toll 2020

    Currently we're 130k off the official million. If we average 6000 deaths per day we'll get there in 22 days, if 5000 per day we'll get there in 26. I'd reckon sometime between September 23rd and 30th. EDIT: Maybe a bit earlier if we see a second wave in Europe.
  5. paddyfool

    Sickest game in the world

    Thank you for running this PB. As one of those calling a halt, it's not that I'm fed up, so much as I think the game has run its time. And congrats indeed to GUN!
  6. paddyfool

    Six people, six months

    That was a rapid first hit. Congrats. 1. Tom Smith 2. Alex Trebek 3. David Gulpilil 4. Nobby Stiles 5. Susan Bayh 6. Ruth Bader Ginsberg Took 5 of the least popular names from the inverse dead pool list and tacked on the notorious RBG. Not exactly in depth research, but we'll see how they do.
  7. paddyfool

    Sickest game in the world

    11 for Saturday 3 for Sunday 0 for Monday And then I'm also done. Thank you for running this!
  8. paddyfool

    Sickest game in the world

    Friday 15
  9. paddyfool

    Sickest game in the world

    Thursday 10 I'm getting worse at postijg guesses regularly. Oh well.
  10. paddyfool

    Quiz Time

    I probably should be able to name more than this... but I've searched my mind, and there can be only one.
  11. paddyfool

    Sickest game in the world

    Tuesday 15
  12. paddyfool

    Sickest game in the world

    Monday 5
  13. paddyfool

    Sickest game in the world

    Sunday 4
  14. paddyfool

    Sickest game in the world

    Saturday 4
  15. paddyfool

    Coronavirus death toll 2020

    ... That prediction suggested a similar toll around the 20th of February to the total toll so far. It's out by 6 months.
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