The Old Crem

Keith Burkinshaw looks quite well here for 89.

The NYT final polls are not particularly good for Harris but if they did some out all turn out to be accurate she would narrowly win.

It’s just hard for me to see anything but Trump winning every state he did in 2016 plus Nevada.

He hasn’t sais what sort of terminal illness but probably one for 2025.

Pretty unlikely becasue of how FPTP works.

I don’t see her joining Reform. She has some core differences with them. And the Tories now require 40 MP’s to want a Vote of No Confidence, Plus polls will likely remain close all the way to the election I suspect.

Should Kemi Badenoch have a thread as she is now the UK’s leader of the opposition and most of her predecessors have had threads despite like her normally being youngish and healthy.

Kemi Badenoch is the new Tory party leader. Will she become PM in 2029. I estimate she has about 30% chance.

The Sun called her a much loved comedian. Is that the case? Particularly with their readers in Scotland?

The linked article about his diagnosis is from the BBC which greatly increases the chances of an Obit I would say. The BBC does quite a lot of GAA coverage on its website particularly when there is a direct Northern Ireland link.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/royals/31441625/king-charles-cuts-off-prince-andrew-finances/ Been financially cut off.

https://www.independent.co.uk/business/ryanair-to-cut-uk-flights-by-10-as-boss-calls-budget-air-tax-rise-idiotic-b2639720.html Ryanair do this everytime they don’t like something.

Jeremy Hunt and James Cleverly have both announced their will not serve on the Tory front bench under the new leader.

But most of their voters didn’t see it as them doing so: It is not what is objectively true that counts but what 35% or so of voters think.

Election in 2029 so Labour will need to be seen by enough voters as having improved the country to win a majority again I suspect. .

Last days then it seems.

Doesn’t seem anything in the budget to cause a significant unexpected anger as they was nothing negative that was a surprise. . Tories and Lib Dem’s seem to think Inheritance Tas changes relating to family farms could be the main U turn at some point particularly as their saying the Environmental secretary tried to stop its inclusion. https://www.farmersguide.co.uk/business/politics/chancellor-announces-hammer-blow-reforms-to-agricultural-property-relief/

I can confirm that.

I don’t see the rally having any effect on voters. Everyone has already long decided who they voting for .

This could be a resignation issue for Starmer. https://order-order.com/2024/10/29/southport-killer-downloaded-al-quaeda-manual/

Legal age back in the 1990’s was 21 until 1994 and then 18 until 2001. These offences are said to have been in the 1990’s. If he did commit suicide it would post it in the Bill thread - he is more remembered for that than his relatively short stint in Corrie.

I whoever it is (I can’t work it out even through I really should be able to) the main reaction is mainly that their name shouldn’t be released until conviction,

Some papers have suggested he is a current soap star but there is nobody that fits so it’s a former one. However guessing game cases like this are only going to push closer the introduction of no naming until conviction.

Stuff like putting the bus cap up from £2 to £3 as confirmed this morning will be massively unpopular in a seat like that.

Ten Hag sacked.