Sly Ronnie

Like backing Red Rum to win the 1977 Grand National. In 1980.

Oh yeah, my mistake! Ok I'll go with George Galloway

If Biden was to stand down, how will the Democratic Convention elect a new candidate? All the caucuses and primaries have been done.

1. Liz Truss 2. Rishi Sunak 3. Jacob Rees-Mogg 4. Iain Duncan Smith 5. Andrew Bridgen 6. Jeremy Hunt 7. Jeremy Corbyn 8. Thagnam Debbonaire 9. Johnny Mercer 10. Penny Mordaunt 11. Claudia Webbe 12. Steve Baker 13. Mel Stride 14. Grant Shapps 15. Robert Jenrick 16. Priti Patel 17. Jonathan Gullis 18. Lee Anderson 19. James Cleverly 20. Edward Argar 21. Bernard Jenkin 22. Richard Holden 23. Jonathan Gullis 24. Gillian Keegan 25. Gavin Williamson

Terrific match between Turkey and Austria. Bit of a culture clash: The Austrian fans were slinging plastic beer glasses at the Turks, while the Turkish fans were throwing coke cups at the Austrians!

Right, let's put our heads on the block. Let's guess the final seat numbers. There are 650 but we'll block off Norn Iron as 18 and exclude The Speaker. So 631 to play for. I'll kick things off with a rather cautious prediction: Labour 390 Conservative 157 Liberal Democrat 55 Scottish National Party 21 Plaid Cymru 3 Reform 3 Green 2 Labour Majority 130

Earlier in the campaign I was thinking of quoting each of Crem's posts with "and that means Labour will lose the election!" But that running gag would have run very thin indeed.

I have been looking at the polls in the run-up to the election and they make interesting reading. These were the poll averages in the run up to the announcement of the election on May 22nd: Lab 45.1 Con 23.3 Ref 11.3 LD 9.3 Grn 6.1 These are the averages since 27th June: Lab 39.9 (-5.2) Con 21.5 (-1.8) Ref 15.7 (+4.4) LD 11.3 (+2) Grn 5.5 (-0.6) So Labour's share has trickled down over the course of the campaign, Reform shot up but is starting to fall, the Lib Dems have added a couple of points and the Greens have fallen slightly. I wonder if there will be a further narrowing of Labour's lead before we reach polling day?

In it's own way one of the best matches of the tournament.

Here is a different method to guess the election result: The PM and the Pendulum

Fuck The Sun, let them sink with the ship.

One comma strategically placed would give that sentence an entirely different meaning!

Lineker pun incoming: Like taking Akanji from a baby.

He's bloody senile then!

Why did they have this debate so early anyway? It's months from Polling Day.

I can't remember the Torygraph being all apocalyptic when Blair won 1997 or 2001. Maybe they were and most people just ignored it. Now some of us on here have our reservations about Starmer for sure but clearly there is something about him which really boils the piss of the right-wing press. Which is interesting to say the least.

If Wilson's law proves to be true, then Sunak will be praying that England get through that second round match, four days from Polling Day.

Here's the list of declaration times for the seats to watch for: 23:30 Blyth and Ashington 23:45 Houghton and Sunderland South 12am 00:15 Basildon and Billericay and Broxbourne 00:30 Sunderland Central and Swindon South 00:45 Sunderland Central and Washington and Gateshead South Friday, 1am 01:00 Makerfield, Rutherglen, Tynemouth and Wigan 01:15 Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West, Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend and Newcastle upon Tyne North 01:30 Barnsley North and Barnsley South 01:30 East Kilbride and Strathaven, Leigh and Atherton, Putney and Tooting 01:45 Hamilton and Clyde Valley, Harrogate and Knaresborough, Leicester South and North Swindon 2am 02:00 North West Cambridgeshire, Cannock Chase, Castle Point, Darlington, Dunbartonshire West, Dundee Central, North West Essex, Gateshead Central and Whickham, Glenrothes and Mid Fife, Havant, Hexham, Leicester East, Lewisham East, Lewisham West and East Dulwich, Middlesbrough and Thornaby East, Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland, North Down, Peterborough, Redcar, South Shields, Strangford, Swansea West, Torbay, Tyrone West, Vale of Glamorgan, North Warwickshire and Bedworth 02:15 Gower, Knowsley, Leicester West, Paisley and Renfrewshire South, Rayleigh and Wickford 02:30 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry, Battersea, Blackburn, Caerphilly, Chorley, Clwyd North, Colchester, North Durham, Easington, Heywood and Middleton North, Jarrow and Gateshead East, Kilmarnock and Loudoun, Lewisham North. Newport West and Islwyn, Norwich South, Nottingham East, Nottingham South, Pendle & Clitheroe, Perth & Kinross-shire, Rochdale, Stratford-on-Avon 02:45: Aldershot, Bolsover, Burnley, Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard, Folkestone and Hythe, North East Hampshire, Hertsmere, Mid Bedfordshire, Paisley and Renfrewshire North, Sussex Weald 3am 03:00: Aberdeen North, Aberdeen South, Airdrie and Shotts, Alloa and Grangemouth, Alyn and Deeside, Amber Valley, Antrim East, Bangor Aberconwy, Belfast East, Belfast North, Belfast West, Bexhill and Battle, Blackpool South, Bolton North East, Bolton South and Walkden, Bolton West, Bootle, Bracknell, Brent East, Brent West, Canterbury, Carlisle, Chelsea and Fulham, Cheltenham, Chester North and Neston, Chingford and Woodford Green Corby and East Northamptonshire, Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy, Crawley, Droitwich and Evesham, Dudley, Dwyfor Meirionnydd, Eastleigh, Edmonton and Winchmore Hill, Ellesmere Port and Bromborough, Enfield North, Epping Forest, Epsom and Ewell, Erewash, Fareham and Waterlooville, Fife North East, Forest of Dean, Fylde, Glasgow North, Gloucester, Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes, Great Yarmouth, Halesowen, Hamble Valley Hammersmith and Chiswick, Harlow, Hinckley and Bosworth, Hull East, Huntingdon, Ipswich, Isle of Wight East Isle of Wight West, Islington North, Islington South and Finsbury, Leyton & Wanstead, Lichfield, Londonderry East, Luton South and South Bedfordshire, Mansfield, Meriden and Solihull East, Mid Cheshire, Mid Ulster, Midlothian, Mitcham and Morden, Na h-Eileanan an Iar, Newark, Newport East, Nuneaton, Oxford East, Pontypridd, Reading, Central, Rhondda and Ogmore, Romford, Romsey and Southampton North, Runcorn and Helsby, Rushcliffe, Sefton Central, Shrewsbury, Smethwick, Solihull West and Shirley, South Ribble, Southend East and Rochford, Southend West and Leigh, Southgate and Wood Green, St Helens North, St Helens South and Whiston, Stevenage, Stockton West, Stourbridge, Telford, Thanet East, The Wrekin, Tipton and Wednesbury, Torfaen,Walthamstow Watford, West Bromwich, Whitehaven and Workington, Widnes and Halewood, Worcester, Wrexham, Ynys Mon 03:15: Bristol Central, Caerfyrddin, Eltham and Chislehurst, Erith and Thamesmead, Gosport, Hayes and Harlington Kingston and Surbiton, Llanelli, Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare, Northumberland North, Renfrewshire East, Scunthorpe, Stroud, Witney 03:30: Aldridge-Brownhills, South Antrim, Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock, North Ayrshire and Arran, Bedford, Belfast, South and Mid Down, Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk, Bethnal Green and Stepney, Bexleyheath and Crayford, Birmingham Edgbaston, Birmingham Erdington, Bristol East, Bristol South, Burton and Uttoxeter, Bury North, Bury, St Edmunds and Stowmarket, Chesterfield, Chichester, Cities of London and Westminster, City of Durham, Coatbridge and Bellshill, Coventry East, Coventry North West, Coventry South, Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch, South Derbyshire, South Devon, Dover and Deal, Dumfries and Galloway, Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale, Ealing Central and Acton, Ealing North, Ealing Southall, East Surrey, Esher and Walton, Exeter, Frome and East Somerset, Gainsborough, Gedling, Glasgow East, Godalming and Ash, Harrow East, Harrow West, Hartlepool, High Peak, Hull North and Cottingham, Hull West and Haltemprice, Hyndburn, Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West, Lancaster and Wyre, Leeds Central and Headingley, Leeds East, Leeds North East, Leeds North West, Leeds South, Leeds South West and Morley, Leeds West and Pudsey, Leicestershire North West, Liverpool Garston, Liverpool Riverside, Liverpool Walton, Liverpool Wavertree, Liverpool West Derby, Louth and Horncastle, Lowestoft, Luton North, Mid Dunbartonshire, New Forest East, Newton Abbot, Norfolk Mid, Nottingham North and Kimberley, Old Bexley and Sidcup, Oldham East and Saddleworth, Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton, Penrith and Solway, Portsmouth North, Portsmouth South, Preston, Queen’s Park and Maida Vale, Rawmarsh and Conisbrough, Reigate, Rother Valley, Rotherham, Scarborough and Whitby, Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough, Sheffield South East, Sleaford and North Hykeham, Slough, South Down, South Holland and The Deepings, Stafford, Staffordshire, Moorlands, Stirling and Strathallan, Suffolk Coastal, Sutton Coldfield, Tatton, Walsall and Bloxwich, Wells and, Mendip Hills, Welwyn Hatfield, Wolverhampton North East, Wolverhampton South East, Wolverhampton West, Worcestershire West, Wyre Forest 03:45: Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley, Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North, Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven, Bristol North East, Bristol North West, Bromsgrove, Carshalton and Wallington, Glasgow South West, Glasgow West, Grantham and Bourne, Redditch, Ribble Valley, Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner, Sutton and Cheam, Tamworth, Wimbledon 4am 04:00: Aberafan Maesteg, Altrincham and Sale West, Aylesbury, Ayrshire Central, Barking, Barrow and Furness, South Basildon and East Thurrock, Basingstoke, Bassetlaw, Bath, Bathgate and Linlithgow, Beckenham and Penge, North Bedfordshire, Bermondsey and Old Southwark, Beverley and Holderness, Birkenhead, Birmingham Ladywood, Birmingham Northfield, Bishop Auckland, Blackpool North and Fleetwood, Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney, Blaydon and Consett, Bognor Regis and Littlehampton, Boston and Skegness, Braintree, Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe, Bridgend, Bridlington and the Wolds, Brigg and Immingham, Broadland and Fakenham, Buckinghamshire Mid, Bury South, Cambridge, South Cambridgeshire, Cardiff East, Cardiff South and Penarth, Central Devon, Ceredigion Preseli Chelmsford, Chester South and Eddisbury, Chippenham, Clacton, Clwyd East, North Cotswolds, South Cotswolds, Dagenham and Rainham, Dartford, Devon North, Dunfermline and Dollar, East Grinstead and Uckfield, Eastbourne, Falkirk, Fermanagh and South Tyrone, Foyle, Glasgow North East, Glasgow South, Glastonbury and Somerton, Goole and Pocklington, Greenwich and Woolwich, Guildford, Hampshire East, Hampshire North West, Harborough, Oadby and Wigston, Harpenden and Berkhamsted, Harwich and North Essex, Hertford and Stortford, Hornchurch and Upminster, Hornsey and Friern Barnet, Kenilworth and Southam, Kettering, Lancashire West, Lothian East, Macclesfield, Melksham and Devizes, Mid Sussex, Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey, Morecambe and Lunesdale, Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke, New Forest West, Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor, North Norfolk, South Norfolk, Norwich North, Peckham, Mid and South Pembrokeshire, Penistone and Stocksbridge, Richmond and Northallerton, Richmond Park, Rossendale and Darwen, Rugby, Salisbury, Sevenoaks, Sheffield Central, Sheffield Heeley, Sherwood Forest, Sittingbourne and Sheppey, St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire, Stockport, Stockton North Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge, Stretford and Urmston, Suffolk Central and North Ipswich, Suffolk South, Suffolk West, Thurrock, Tottenham, Twickenham, Upper Bann, Wakefield and Rothwell, Wallasey, Warwick and Leamington, Waveney Valley, Wellingborough and Rushden, Westmorland and Lonsdale, East WiltshireSouth West Wiltshire, Wirral West, Witham, Woking, Yeovil, York Central, York Outer 04:15: Birmingham Perry Barr, Birmingham Selly Oak, Clapham and Brixton Hill, Dorking and Horley, Dulwich and West Norwood, Feltham and Heston, Holborn and St Pancras, Kingswinford and South Staffordshire, South Shropshire, Streatham and Croydon North, Uxbridge and South Ruislip, Vauxhall and Camberwell Green 04:30: Antrim North, Ashfield, Ashford, Birmingham Yardley, Blackley and Middleton South, Bournemouth East, Bournemouth West, Bradford West, Brentford and Isleworth, Brentwood and Ongar, Bridgwater, Brighton Pavilion, Cambridgeshire North East, Cardiff North, Christchurch, Crewe and Nantwich, Derby North, Derby South, Derbyshire Dales, Derbyshire North East, Dorset South, Edinburgh East and Musselburgh, Edinburgh North and Leith, Edinburgh South, Edinburgh South West, Edinburgh West, Faversham and Mid Kent, Gorton and Denton, Gravesham, Hampstead and Highgate, Kensington and Bayswater, Lagan Valley, South Leicestershire, Lincoln, Livingston, Maidstone and Malling, Manchester Central, Manchester Rusholme, Manchester Withington, Milton Keynes Central, Milton Keynes North, Monmouthshire, Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr, Neath and Swansea East, Newry and Armagh, North West Norfolk, Normanton and Hemsworth, Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley, Poole, Poplar and Limehouse, Reading West and Mid Berkshire, Runnymede and Weybridge, North Shropshire, Skipton and Ripon, North East Somerset and Hanham, Southport, Surrey Heath, Taunton and Wellington, Tunbridge Wells, Weald of Kent, Worthing East and Shoreham, Worthing West, Wythenshawe and Sale East 04:45: Aberdeenshire North and Moray East, Cardiff West, Hove and Portslade, Rutland and Stamford, Tiverton and Minehead 5am 05:00: Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine, Banbury, Bicester and Woodstock, Bradford East, Bromley and Biggin Hill, Broxtowe, Buckingham and Bletchley, Calder Valley, Camborne and Redruth, Cheadle, Congleton, North, Cornwall, South East Cornwall, Daventry, Doncaster Central, Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme, Doncaster North, North Dorset, Earley and Woodley, Ely and East Cambridgeshire, Exmouth and Exeter East, Filton and Bradley Stoke, Gillingham and Rainham, Hackney North and Stoke Newington, Hackney South and Shoreditch, Halifax, Hastings and Rye, Hemel Hempstead, Hereford and South Herefordshire, North Herefordshire, North East Hertfordshire, South West Hertfordshire, Hitchin, Honiton and Sidmouth, Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire, Keighley and Ilkley, Lewes, Maidenhead, Maldon, Melton and Syston, Mid Dorset and North Poole, Newbury, Newcastle-under-Lyme, Northampton North, Northampton South, Orpington, Ossett and Denby Dale, Rochester and Strood, Salford, Sheffield Hallam, Shipley, North Somerset, Southampton Itchen, Southampton Test, Spelthorne, St Albans, St Austell and Newquay, St Ives, Stoke-on-Trent Central, Stoke-on-Trent North, Stoke-on-Trent South, Tewkesbury, Thornbury and Yate, Truro and Falmouth, Warrington North, Warrington South, Weston-super-Mare, Winchester, Windsor, Worsley and Eccles 05:15: Gordon and Buchan, Plymouth Moor View 05:30: Angus and Perthshire Glens, Arundel and South Downs, Ashton-under-Lyne, Bradford South, Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross, Chipping Barnet, Derbyshire Mid, Dewsbury and Batley, Didcot and Wantage, Dorset West, East Ham, Finchley and Golders Green, Hazel Grove, Hendon, Herne Bay and Sandwich, Horsham, Mid Leicestershire, Loughborough, South West Norfolk, Orkney and Shetland, Plymouth Sutton and Devonport, Stalybridge and Hyde, Stratford and Bow, Tonbridge, West Ham and Beckton 05:45: Selby, Spen Valley, Wetherby and Easingwold 6am 06:00: Beaconsfield, Chatham and Aylesford, Chesham and Amersham, Colne Valley, Croydon East, Croydon South, Croydon West, South West Devon, Henley and Thame, South Northamptonshire, Oxford West and Abingdon, Thirsk and Malton, Torridge and Tavistock, Wokingham, Wycombe 06:15: Huddersfield 06:30: Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber, Farnham and Bordon, Ilford North, Ilford South

I think Channel 4 were under pressure to provide some "balance".

Was there any tribute made for William Russell?

It was Gavin Williamson part which got me pausing. I thought do they want be reduced to single figures?

Daily Mail columnist says they're not going to vote Labour, colour me surprised.

Give this the usual 2 days then before she is discharged.

Not just on the field of play, mate!

Yes, good (ball) point.