InquilineKea

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/gorbachev-says-u-s-became-arrogant-after-soviet-union-collapsed/

https://www.ajc.com/news/rosalynn-and-jimmy-carter-mark-quiet-new-years-eve-in-georgia/OWB4PVCOONCKTEETB5HMDLH2HY/

more pics from his 75th anniversary party: https://www.wsbtv.com/news/local/former-president-jimmy-carter-marks-97th-birthday/N3L4UA5QQRADBOCRZYCYIRICDI/ (he doesn't look terrible from some of the other pics)

He's not terrible, but he's much reduced from just 2 years ago

Man they call it a "rare interview" already. Those weren't rare 2.5 years ago...

Some of them were unusually active (and healthy) up to their last few years. Others seemed to be unusually active (and healthy) all the way up to a seemingly sudden death. These are the types of people who I probably wouldn't have put on my DDP lists, based on what I heard of them shortly before their deaths. Maybe a list of them might produce some insights. W.E.B. Dubois, for example, was quite active until 1.5 years before his death. Here's some very useful info about Bertrand Russell in his 90s: http://www.springerlink.com/content/v378kx4373g63n74/ - ugh - protected. But he was active even in 1969: http://news.google.com/archivesearch?q=ber...&lnav=hist9 And then there's Frank Fenner, who made news this year (and even hosted a conference) at 95: http://australianetworknews.com/stories/20...030.htm?desktop Then there were some people I know who were unusually healthy/active all the way to their seemingly sudden deaths. There were former Luftwaffe pilots Gunther Rall (although he had a heart attack so it's not really a case of advanced age and more of a case of people who die suddenly from heart attacks at any age) and Hajo Herrmann.

Ford wasn't that unwell 8 months before his death - when Bush visited him. He became unwell that summer.

Well I guess it's the end of the "every democratic presidential candidate since 1976 [or in the last 44 years] is still alive" pattern of the cycle also damnit, he seemed healthy for his age and it was a sudden drop. kind of like george mcgovern

https://www.facebook.com/MBCPlains/videos/253915839513685 video

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/05/200505121717.htm is an example https://neurosciencenews.com/walking-alzheimers-aging-17784/ [this thrad important for quantifying mortality in ppl we track]

Source? the actuarial tables get murky after 100

Man, Phillip walked in unaided. Tbf, despite all his cardiovascular issues, he has been more robust than you'd expect - most people can't walk at 99

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/jul/18/james-lovelock-the-biosphere-and-i-are-both-in-the-last-1-per-cent-of-our-lives

holy shit it's so hard to hear him.. he's definitely much worse than Kissinger now... he seemed so immortal up to 95..

He's 93 this year, and got in a car accident (and put in a nursing home) back in 2019... Plus, his greatest discovery came in Britain (and he is one of the most famous biologists alive). I'm so surprised so few have mentioned him. Also, he's been SUPER-ULTRA-cancelled.. Latest documentary on him (when he was 90) doesn't show him to be super-well for his age... (I mean, he always kind of looked old for his age, and he speaks really slowly there). I've seen videos of other people at 90 who showed little decline at 90 (eg Jimmy Carter or Helmut Schmidt). Steve Hsu mentioned on his blog last year that he was still doing research and doing well [and this was after the accident]

see the recent bio of him written this year, he was left half blind after his last fall

Last pic shows him in wheelchair, 3 years ago he wasn't in one

this might contain some pointers: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3376099/The-names-responsible-helping-Nazis-round-kill-French-Jews-revealed-today-secret-archives-finally-opened.html

http://www.kcentv.com/story/30142547/president-jimmy-carter-will-join-1500-volunteers-in-nepal-for-habitat-for-humanitys-32nd-annual-carter-work-project

http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/former-president-jimmy-carter-teachers-sunday-school-hometown-following-cancer-n414501 He's still so incredibly amazing for a 90-year old. Like, out of all (famous) 90-year olds, he was among the most active/robust. I hope he can pull off being an outlier again, but there's only so much biology can do.. I wish he just could have worn sunscreen more.

This makes me INCREDIBLY sad. I was REALLY HOPING Jimmy Carter would live forever.

...that's competing this year? ...what about your all-time favorite DDP team? Are there DDP teams you routinely use to choose your picks next year?

Charles Townes at 97: says that his only health problem is that his memory is slipping. But I guess that's why he isn't publishing any more papers. Definitely healthier than Hans Bethe at this age, though maybe not as intellectually active.

gorbachev also Dole and H.W. Bush. I doubt either will go this year but definitely worth keeping an eye on, esp. since George McGovern suddenly declined last year.

Calyampudi Radhakrishna Rao Kenneth Arrow Mikhail Gorbachev (diabetes is a nasty, nasty disease, but I don't think he'll go next year). Lee Kuan Yew Piet de Jong Reinhard Hardegan Robert Mugabe Lee Teng Hui Yasuhiro Nakasone (95, but we must remember that Japanese tend to have the longest lifespans). Michael Schumacher Richard von Weizsäcker Walter Scheel Walter Munk Joachim Rønneberg I've had the nasty experience of having many of my picks in a previous year who ended up dying the next year though. Sometimes I feel that my selection process is really too haphazard given how often this happens. I was seriously considering putting George Leader and William Scranton on last year, but I couldn't find any UK obits on them. One uncertainty is people in their late 90s/early 100s who are in good health. At that age, healthy people can go suddenly at any time. I also admit that the Nobel Prize theme team often discourages me from going after a lot of the older Nobel Laureates.