gcreptile

I'm usually a bit behind with the crossing out, the scores are up-to-date though. Holly Clegg got no QO, Jimmy G. Gestapo isn't dead yet?

Have a small and tired update: Two people score with the late Julie Gibson obit. DDT gets two unique hits with al-Baghdadi and Edwin Bramall. Two more people had Gay Byrne. And I had previously missed to give drol points for Leah Bracknell, and Cpt. Chorizo for José José. I had updated the score in the meantime without posting here... so I am not 100% sure, but 99% sure that Ivan Milat is also a new hit, pushing Banana onto the podium, plus another hit for drol (and a couple others). Rank Team name Points 1 Death Impends 1439 2 Clorox Bleachman 1425 3 Banana 1277 3 Joey Russ 1277 5 Phantom of the Midway 1249 6 GCReptile 1229 7 Cpt Chorizo 1216 8 Grim Up North 1191 9 Skinny Kiltrunner 1088 10 Devon Death Trip 1084 11 drol 1067 12 msc 969 13 Sir Creep 911 14 Book 815 15 John Key 712 16 The Unknown Man 640 17 The Quim Reaper 601 18 Prophet 566 19 YoungWillz 542 20 Grave Danger 532 21 Yorkshire Banker 450 22 theoldlady 430 23 The mad hatter 405 24 Fixed Business 401 25 The old crem 334 26 Deathray 314 27 Pedro 67 295 28 markb4 293 29 Gooseberry Crumble 279 30 Bibliogryphon 260

Patrick Stewart demands free cannabis to treat his arthritis: https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1202371/patrick-stewart-medical-cannabis-health-update-arthritis-latest

The testicular cancer of Jake Burton, inventor of the modern snowboard, has returned: https://www.shop-eat-surf.com/2019/11/an-update-on-jake-burtons-health/ Not the first health crisis he had to face.

In hospital again? https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2019-11-11-ex-president-moi-admitted-to-nairobi-hospital-again/

Big B is STILL in hospital, but tweeting: https://www.freepressjournal.in/entertainment/fans-get-emotional-after-seeing-amitabh-bachchan-in-hospital-pray-for-a-speedy-recovery

As I already told, I tried to approach picking my DDP team via statistics and I've calculated my expected scores for several teams - as it can be seen on page 14 of the DDP 2017 thread. My current prediction of the Top Ten (well, Top 13) is like this: 1. The Love Boat 142,13 (This is most likely my own bias for my own picks - hard to avoid and possibly self-explanatory: I picked those who I thought would do best.) 2. David Quantick's Showbiz Pals 134,04 3. Pan Breed 133,338 4. Day in the Death 131,54 5. Bert Trautmann 129,93 6. To Kill A Gabor Sister 128,35 7. Thomas Jefferson Survives 125,3 8. Garn2: 124,26 9. Still Life 123,35 10. The Living End - 121,635 11. Drol - 120,00 12. I'm sorry for your trouble 115,876 13. Heading Nowhere 115,46 In this thread, I will continually post updates to this calculation and see how close my initial prediction was. A big update will come once the new DDP site update comes, by which we will know the Drop 40 and the unique candidates. There will also be updates as often as possible whenever one of the "big names" dies. The scoreboard above is after setting the uniqueness chance of certain people to zero, and before any name has died. The first update is happening after the deaths of "big names" Mario Soares and Peter Sarstedt. For now, I assume that Mario Soares will not make the Drop 40 although I gave him a bit of a chance of doing that in 2016. My initial calculation had him at 5,04 expected points, but those who score with him now only have 5 pts "in the bank", so these teams actually lose points in my calculation. But IF Soares makes the Drop 40 after all, all teams who picked him will increase their expected score by 3. The death of Peter Sarstedt is a bigger boost to those who picked him. His expected score in my list was only 3,14. But his death means that the teams who picked him already have 7 pts in the bank, so their expected score increases by (7-3,14)=3,86. So this is what the Top...13... looks like now: 1. The Love Boat 142,13 2. David Quantick's Showbiz Pals 134,04 3. Pan Breed 133,338 4. Day in the Death 131,54 5. Bert Trautmann 129,883 6. To Kill A Gabor Sister 128,35 7. Thomas Jefferson Survives 125,3 8. Garn2: 124,26 9. Still Life 123,304 10. The Living End - 121,635 11. Drol - 119,953 12. I'm sorry for your trouble 119,716 13. Heading Nowhere 115,418 The winner of this first update was Toast with the pick of Peter Sarstedt. Some small additional points: I will most likely add more teams as I have the time, so maybe there will be new entries in the Top Ten. (MPFC already has 2 hits?) This process can only finish once the big 2017 update of the DDP pages has come. As the year proceeds, I will occasionally reduce the probability of dying of the people who we don't know anything new about. So if, say, Errol Christie isn't dead by April, his probability of dying decreases from currently 70% (in my list) to 3/4th of that. I think quarterly updates would be best. On the one hand, I intend to "moneyball" deadpooling, if you know what I mean. I want my initial prediction to be as close as possible to the final result. On the other hand, I like to play with numbers and will probably also use a few Excel graphs in the course of the year. I created my own thread to avoid spamming the DDP thread, I hope it's ok.

Well, it seems Marlene Brewer is actually dead, since January 14th, because thats what her niece said in a blog or reader comment I cannot open. Maybe you can: https://www.stcatherines.co.uk/news/brother-and-sister-save-up-pocket-money-and-pound-the-pavements-for-st-catherines-hospice/ I can only see it through the normal google search.

Matthew Glaetzer, Aussie track cyclist has thyroid cancer at only 27: https://www.cyclingweekly.com/news/racing/track-cyclist-matthew-glaetzer-recovering-cancer-surgery-442217

Broadway actress Laurel Griggs, who played with Scarlett Johannson and was on SNL, dies at 13: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-7669349/Broadway-actress-Laurel-Griggs-dies-young-age-13.html No reason given.

Australian Boxer Dwight Ritchie dies after a training session at 27, possibly caused by a punch in the stomach: https://www.bbc.com/sport/boxing/50364991

Independent wrestler Matt Travis dies in a car accident at 25: https://www.thesun.co.uk/sport/wwe/10315220/matt-travis-wrestler-dead/ Didn't have a wikipedia page.

It turns out that Will Smith, in the course of his colonoscopy promotion, also had a pre-cancerous polyp removed - usually found in colon cancer: https://thegrio.com/2019/11/08/will-smith-removes-pre-cancerous-polyp/

Tazeen Ahmad, award-winning BBC journalist dead at 48 from cancer: https://www.bbc.com/news/entertainment-arts-50348504 Sounds like it could have been known to some of us, I was not aware.

Lol... what's a knife awarement course?

FKA Twigs' new album Magdalene: Not easy, somewhere in the Kate Bush / Björk sphere, sometimes as ugly as it is beautiful.

Whittlesford United is overwhelmed by the success of Toby Dawson' s gofundme, you did it! https://www.cambridge-news.co.uk/sport/football/whittlesford-united-blown-away-support-17225760

Jacob Zuma had been hospitalized for a week for an unknown reason, but then, there's also a corruption trial right now. https://www.iol.co.za/news/politics/jacob-zuma-hospitalised-for-unknown-ailment-36886348

I've only had three people on my longlist die this month (Gay Byrne, Rudy Boesch, Timi Hansen). It's remarkably quiet, once again.

There's a movie about him (not) dying out now, and his supposedly poor health does not keep him from using meth: https://www.theguardian.com/film/2019/nov/07/stabbed-tongues-and-swallowed-eyeballs-was-the-amazing-johnathans-terminal-diagnosis-his-greatest-trick

107 years old and still on the lookout for younger men.

Jono will do whatever it takes to survive: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-7653899/Jono-Coleman-staying-positive-battles-prostate-cancer-again.html

His older sister Sandy Morgan has died at 85: https://eu.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2019/11/06/sandy-morgan-late-sen-john-mccain-older-sister-has-died/2508610001/

German "legendary" body-builder Pit Trenz dead at 53: https://www.thesun.co.uk/sport/10291665/pit-trenz-dead-53-bodybuilder-wife/ The Sun is really on top of all things bro.

Anyone able to have access to this article about Frank Worthington's advancing Alzheimer's? https://theathletic.com/1295098/2019/10/18/frank-worthington/