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Everything posted by gcreptile
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Charon gets a decisive hit and Rover leads Spade once again...
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I thought she was not a fake, but that she had a slow-moving, possibly benign tumour. In the end, I didn't pick her out of spite, so to say.
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The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Excel mistake :). Corrected, but the result is unremarkable. -
The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
I think it makes more difference below the Top Ten. It looks as if in the last two years, the "top top" teams had a bit of margin over the rest, like the ten points between Golden Slumbers and The Love Boat in 2016, or the 14 points between DQSP and Bucket of Blood in 2017. 2015 was a close and unusually low-scoring affair, but still 13 points between TJS and Star Dust. 2014 had 29 pts (!) between Drunkasaskunk and The Misers... 2013 was close, except for the 1st place... similarly 2012. -
The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Test: Here's a table for 2017: Uniques Drop 40 Final Score Base Score Score 4/2 Score 3/2 Score 3/1 Score 3/0 2017 1 Golden Slumbers 0 7 168 147 161 161 154 147 2 Still Life 0 8 164 140 156 156 148 140 3 Thomas Jefferson Survives 1 7 162 138 156 155 148 141 4 DQSP 0 5 160 145 155 155 150 145 5 Bucket of Blood 0 8 146 122 138 138 130 122 6 Droller Coaster 0 9 138 111 129 129 120 111 7 The B-Team 3 4 136 115 135 132 128 124 8 Crossing The Styx 0 9 134 107 125 125 116 107 9 Heading Nowhere 0 6 131 113 125 125 119 113 10 Guild of Master Reapers 0 9 129 102 120 120 111 102 11 Day in the Death 0 9 125 98 116 116 107 98 12 Dead Ends 0 6 125 107 119 119 113 107 13 Deceased Hose 0 8 125 101 117 117 109 101 14 To Kill a Gabor Sister 1 5 125 107 121 120 115 110 15 The Love Boat 0 4 124 112 120 120 116 112 16 Drunkasaskunk 1 5 119 101 115 114 109 104 17 I will not die, it's the world… 0 6 118 100 112 112 106 100 18 Shaun of the Dead 69 0 4 118 106 114 114 110 106 19 Poochie Died on the Way… 0 7 117 96 110 110 103 96 20 I'm sorry for your trouble! 0 9 114 87 105 105 96 87 I hope it's understandable. Final Score: The actual result Base Score: Score without unique and Drop 40 bonusses Score 4/2: Uniques 4-point-bonus, Drop 40 2-point-bonus Score 3/2, Score 3/1 likewise Score 3/0: the old scoring system, before the Drop 40 bonus. Luckily, Golden Slumbers wins in all scenarios. Under 4/2 TJS is shared 2nd. The old scoring system would have had DQSP at 2nd place. My B-Team would sometimes have gained a slot and The Love Boat sometimes makes the Top Ten :). Indeed, under the old scoring system I would have had places 5 and 8. Apparently, I was slow to adjust... -
The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
I can do it next weekend, unless anyone else wants to do it first? -
The Fringes Of Fame/family Of The Famous
gcreptile replied to maryportfuncity's topic in DeathList Forum
Scissor Sisters mum Kathleen Mulhall has severe lung damage and thinks it will kill her: https://www.thesun.ie/news/2148846/scissor-sisters-mother-kathleen-mulhall-tells-how-she-is-dying-and-wants-to-see-killer-daughter-charlotte-in-prison-before-she-passes-away/ -
The Fringes Of Fame/family Of The Famous
gcreptile replied to maryportfuncity's topic in DeathList Forum
The mother of internet "sensation"/social media "celebrity" Joanne The Scammer has cancer, leading him/her to pause the act: http://metro.co.uk/2018/02/20/social-media-star-joanne-the-scammer-tells-fans-mum-is-dying-of-cancer-7326523/ -
The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
I agree. I think a unique bonus should still count more than a Drop 40 bonus, maybe 2-3, or even better 2-4? -
Punk fashionista Judy Blame, dead at 58: http://www.vogue.co.uk/article/judy-blame-has-died
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The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Small update for Liam Miller, Morgan Tsvangirai and some minor hits (WPC Davies), also José José now down to 7 base points. Bill Crider down to 5% obitability. 1. Dead Ends (177,265) --- 2. Bucket of Blood (176,455) --- 3. Day in the Death (171,925) +3 4. Deceased Hose (171,9) -1 5. Dead Wait (171,255) -1 6. The Love Boat (170,675) -1 7. Still Life (170,195) +1 8. Wormer, he's a dead man!... (169,0725) +1 9. Drollercoaster (167,5125) -2 10. Ethnic Cleansing (165,46) --- 11. To Kill a Gabor Sister (164,8225) --- 12. Shaun of the Dead 69 (164,153) +1 13. Poochie Died on the Way Back to his Home Planet (162,4025) -1 14. Thomas Jefferson Survives (160,195) +4 15. GUN (Ami Brown) (160,2425) -1 16. GUN (Gabriele Grunewald) (160,1025) -1 17. The Living End (158,955) -1 18. People who I think might die in 2019 United (158,243) -1 19. DDP Tofoa (157,09) +1 20. The Blight House (157,4425) new (21. Pan Breed (156,43)) I calculated scores for the Blight House and it enters the Top 20. I didn't calculate scores for A Good Innings yet, but I'll do it if one of their more unusual picks score. If I had to guess, Emma Hannigan and José José will be the next hits. This will put Bucket of Blood at the top (above The Love Boat). Dead Ends is a slower team and will drop a little in the next months unless one of the possible second-half-of-the-year hits suddenly dies. -
Another health crisis in 3...2...1...
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The rumours were there before though. I assume they spawned this thread.
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Now I actually checked... Her birthday is the 1st of September: http://www.scottyandtony.com/2017/09/beccatoldmeto-update-rebeccas-birthday.html
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Good genes, bad lifestyle...I wonder which one is going to win.
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Ha, I remember Spade's post...so random, or so I thought... I assume that this guy's lifestyle didn't exactly move the odds on his favour.
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Woman's hair gets caught in go-kart wheels, she somehow dies: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-43068245
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Pat Robertson had a stroke - but is back on TV only 10 days later: https://www1.cbn.com/cbnnews/health/2018/february/pat-robertson-returns-to-the-700-club-just-10-days-after-stroke I think his biggest health risk is staying off TV.
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My next round team (should I advance) is getting seriously thinned right now. Don Briel (religious studies founder) and Greg Smyth (hockey player) dead. Tessa Jowell is apparently doing well enough. Emma Hannigan probably won't survive long enough. I'm really unhappy with what I have right now.
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Barry Du Bois cancer update: https://startsat60.com/health/big-issues/cancer/loads-of-diarrhoea-and-nausea-barry-du-bois-latest-cancer-update Lots of info, a medical expert could probably tell where this is going, I can't.
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I included M because it "barely" is a talkie. Still very raw sounds in some places. It's the earliest german film, I could imagine, that there might be survivors of (the child actors).
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Hmm.. anyone from Metropolis still alive? I doubt it. Maybe someone from "M"? Honestly, most of potential survivors - child actors or bit actors - probably died in WW 2.
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Hmm, so Baby Peggy survives Lassie Lou Ahern. I thought it would have been the other way round.
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The clock is ticking for my pick Emma Hannigan: https://www.irishtimes.com/news/social-affairs/author-emma-hannigan-says-her-cancer-treatment-options-are-exhausted-1.3395378?mode=amp March will decide if my team is a contender... By the way, Emma's story is very sad. She has been almost painfully optimistic - until now.
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My 2017 pick Leo Cahill has died. I wonder how M Karunanidhi is doing...