Joey Russ

Is this the first year where only two people broke the thousand point boundaries with a winner? That’s true domination right there imo...

On the other hand, joint 3rd...

Ah, so he definitely deathlisty then...

You know, I would have probably said yes that he could make the deathlist, but they didn't put Steve Hewlett on the list last year. But maybe he's bigger than Hewlett was, so I could be wrong...

That was a bit early, but now she has died. I'll replace her with Vanessa Goodwin and keep the rest please.

Very sad indeed. It's quite sad that she has to die so young, though, if I'm honest, I'm not sure if she would've had a good quality of life if she had live. Anyways, well done to Dead Cow, drol, Sir Creep, and anyone else who punted on her.

Chorizo is on fire right now with Jessica Falkholt gone. The DDT for Death by Numbers of 2018?

Jessica Falkholt has died. Congratulations msc on your win.

Looks like Jessica Falkholt is dead for real this time. EDIT: BBC obit

Maybe gut feeling has a factor into it? I'll admit I was a bit confused when I saw his name as well...

Waiting Cat O’Falk right now. He’s currently at 1999 posts...

Is the winner and runner up of last year'd deathlist cup going to receive by's and everyone else is random, or are all the by's random?

Well, it partially has to do with some personal issues that I would rather not mention cause I think it could lead to more bullying by certain members (not you Grim, but others)...

Which person are you potentially referencing to, as I'm assuming that's referencing someone on my analysis? FYI, no. Never even had a date...

If you want some deeper analysis on the placing (I mean a lot of this has already been covered in the original analysis, but I think some of it has changed slightly), then here it is: Bracknell, McCain, and Jowell all have terminal cancer. Bracknell's life expectancy for lung cancer is between March - May of this year, while glioblastoma is the cancer of both McCain and Jowell. Gord Downie lasted 20 months, but since the two of them are older than him, even with better health care, I don't think either of them will make it to 2019. Herman Wouk was last seen in a cannula back in July, which is always a sign of poor health. There was also news yesterday of his home in Palm Springs going up for sale, which I don't think usually happens at that age unless they expect him to go soon. Stirling Moss was hospitalized a lot last year, and I think he's still hospitalized now. His website has also been shut down. I also have a feeling that he'll go very soon as well. I'm sure we all know of George Bush's hospitalizations last year. My feeling is that his hospitalizations will continue this year, and while he may not be an early death, I think he will be dead by the end of the year. Speaking of Bush Sr, I also think that Barbara Bush is quite frail, and her and Bush would very likely be an example of spouses dying within a few months of each other. Jill Gascoine is in the end of year Alzheimer's stage. She is not as likely to go as the questionable drop Nobby (though I do have a theory on that which I'll talk about later), but I think there's a decent chance she won't see 2019. If she does see 2019, she'll be a cert for that year imo. Neil Simon also has Alzheimer's. There were already reports of him being uncommunicative, which suggest it's already near the end stage. Kind of similar to how Glen Campbell was unable to play guitar at that point for me at least. Clive James has been missing in action since July of last year, and it doesn't look like he'll return to the Guardian. Sounds alright at his last podcast, but I think he's in decline and won't see 2019. Stan Lee I think some people will disagree with me, but he did lose his wife last year. He's currently in that danger zone for when people lose their spouse, and people who seemed to be in fine health do follow their spouse very often (Pete Seeger is the example that immediately came to mind, but I know there are many others). I also get the feeling that he won't see 2019 as well. Bob Dole was first hospitalized last year. I think his hospitalization's will continue this year, so he could very well be a hit. Prunella Scales is also at end stage Alzheimer's, though I don't think she's as advanced as Stiles, Gascoine, and Simon. Phillips and Norden are the old folk who aren't in good health that have the feeling of "surely this has to be their year?" Douglas was seen in a wheelchair when we saw him at the Emmy's, which suggests his health has deteriorated, though since I assume it's recent since he was still walking at his 101st birthday, doesn't necessarily mean he's going to die this year. Prince Philip won't see the decade out, that I'm certain of, especially cause his health has deteriorated since he retired. However, pinpointing whether he'll be a 2018 or 2019 death is more of a question mark. Graham will probably die in the next few years, but his god doesn't want him apparently. Pope Benedict has some reports in 2016 and 2017 to be in frail health. I believe the reports are true, but he could last a few years. Jimmy Greaves cancer is bad, but I'm not really sure if it's bad enough to kill him this year. Same with Harper, though her original medicine did start to wear off. I actually think that Joni Mitchell is quite frail now, and I think of Bruce Forsyth and how it deteriorated his health when he was quite active and healthy, so I think Joni Mitchell is more likely of a hit than a lot of people assume. Mark E Smith has been cancelling a lot of his concerts due to health concerns. There were some people that cancelled their concerts last year and they died (Wetton although he did look very terrible, Allman, and O'Riordan comes to mind, and I think there are other's I'm missing as well). I have a feeling that he'll go the same way as them. He may not go this year, but I'm also certain he won't see 2025. Watch me be wrong on him now. Carrington is quite old, but is still doing alright last time I heard. Perez de Cuellar will probably have no news till he dies. I think Mugabe is the same now that he's in exile. Vera Lynn is still active, but I have seen some reports of her frailty. Connery is in a similar situation as Lynn, though I think he's more on the list so the committee doesn't potentially miss the next Bond death. Baxter and Giscard d'Estaing are the deathlist cult picks this year imo. There hasn't been a lot of new on either of them, so seeing 2019 or dying this year wouldn't surprise me either way. Ian St John looked very good in his most recent update. It is still assumed that he has stage 4 cancer, though he might have recovered without us knowing it. I also have a theory that they thought St John was the footballer with end stage Alzheimer's and Stiles is the one that looked well, though that doesn't mean his drop isn't disappointing. de Havilland, Cardin, and Blackman are still active, though none of there deaths would surprise me, especially Blackman since the committee has been good about sniffing out aging actresses in recent years. Nolan and Newton-John have incurable cancer, and unless a surprise remission happens, they will probably die in the next five years. Probably aren't goners this year, though their cancer spreading later this year wouldn't surprise me. Doris Day has little news on her, but I don't know if that's enough to have her death as a guarantee Carter was battling cancer, but he's currently in remission. It is with the potential of relapse that I will never put Carter in the almost no chance category. Mubarak is a lying sod. Old, but probably won't go this year. Hawking's ALS will kill him eventually, but I can easily see him make 90 considering how long he had ALS for. White, Aznavour, van Dyke, and Brooks are in the way too active with no health problems category. Some people might try to remind me of Jerry Lewis, but I do remind you that he had plenty of health issues before 2010 even while he was very active. None of the four had major health struggles as far as I know. Barker had Tabloid bullshit on him. Plus he's still active, so I think he could last a few years. Kissinger doesn't have a lot of new on him, but I get the feeling he'll live a few more years. I don't really know a lot on June Brown, but people are saying she's very healthy, so I'll agree with them. Farrakhan is someone I think got back on way too early. Wood's cancer is in remission, so that what makes him a poor pick right now. But, I actually have a feeling that his cancer will return and kill him before the end of this decade. So I don't think he's impossible, but for now, he's a bad pick. What do I need to say about Gazza other than he's a wasted pick who could last decades. I'm sure there's some disagreement, but I think the general consensus is that it won't be a record breaking year...

Paul Gascoigne. I have Jill as very likely...

The batch I chose for the 90 year old's are the ones that are still quite active, so that's why they are there. I was tempted to put de Havilland there as well, but it doesn't feel right to put a centenarian on there...

Well, if I had to make a tier list for likelihood of being a hit, it would look like this*: Almost a certainty: Bracknell, Wouk, McCain, Moss, Jowell, George Bush Very likely: Gascoine, Barbara Bush, Simon, James Likely: Lee, Dole, Scales, Phillips, Norden 50/50: Douglas, Philip, Graham, Benedict, Greaves, Harper, Mitchell, Smith Unlikely: Carrington, Perez de Cuellar, Lynn, Mugabe, Baxter, Giscard d'Estaing, Connery, St John Very Unlikely: de Havilland, Nolan, Cardin, Day, Carter, Blackman, Mubarak, Hawking, Newton-John Almost no chance: White, Barker, Aznavour, Kissinger, van Dyke, Brooks, Brown, Farrakhan, Wood, Gascoigne It must be said that there are more picks that appear to be poor picks than those that are good, which is why I don't expect to break the record this year. But I still think it could surprise us... *this is subject to change as the year goes on as a sudden health downturn is always possible, like if Wood's cancer goes into relapse or if Nolan's and Newton-John's cancer turns out to be worse than expected

Aye, I think we can officially congratulate @JiroemonKimura for ending the five year streak of Gerard Tierney. Bit of a shame he’s not competing this year though...

Well, if she does die, that’ll be a miss for my counterculture theme team, which might once again get the big bagel this year just like my drummers theme last year...

Well, I think Moss is almost certainly a goner. Can’t be doing too well after multiple hospitalizations. I think everyone else does has a chance to survive the year, but that almost most certainly won’t be the case...

His Palm Springs compound is now up for sale. Guessing he’s probably going in the next two months...

If a proper obit shows up, that'll be another Raymond Hewlitt award, this time going to maryport...