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Dying Probably

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Everything posted by Dying Probably

  1. Dying Probably

    Deathrace 2025

    Christ, it's time for 2025 submissions already??
  2. Dying Probably

    U.S Election

    IMHO, one thing that I think is a big question mark over the election (and something we can concretely say afterwards exists/does not) is any "reverse coattail" effect. Gallego in Arizona, Rosen in Nevada, and Stein in North Carolina are all polling double digits clear of their R opponents, and in a swing state, that can be enough to drag top of the ticket across the line. Hence why it's much less obvious in states where it's less one-sided (i.e. Maine 2020 w/ Collins, Vermont 2020 w/ Scott, and Montana/Ohio this year). AZ/NV/NC could get some good numbers for KH just off the virtue of stronger downballot candidates. Even (to an extent) Casey in PA, Baldwin in WI, Slotkin in MI, Kaine in VA... At least we don't have to think about Florida this time.
  3. Dying Probably

    Dead Pop Stars

    ITV carrying it. Jesus.
  4. Dying Probably

    The 6th Death of 2024

    Well, previously it was an informed guess. Now I'm just bullshitting.
  5. Dying Probably

    The 6th Death of 2024

    At this point I'm just guessing: Marcos.
  6. Dying Probably

    how long till' the next hit ?

    January 1st. Just to spite this list...
  7. Dying Probably

    Mary Berry

    Surprised that Mary didn't have her own thread. She's very well, but Mary is quite the famous baker and is 85 years old. Unlikely to die soon if you ask me, but she deserves it.
  8. Dying Probably

    The Fucking 2024 Olympics

    The Fucking 2024 Olympics? Have they added a new sport since I last watched?
  9. Dying Probably

    Oldies Generation Deadpool

    Got bored. Made another Deadpool. Here are the rules: 1. You choose one person over 70. 2. They will be put in a tournament system, with brackets of 2. 3. If your pick dies before your opponent’s, you win and advance to the next round. 4. They must have an obituary from any site used by the Derby Dead Pool. 5. No FFBI picks, and no terminally ill picks. (a. la. Leah Bracknell) 6. We must know the year of birth and their Wikipedia page must have over 500 words. 7. Game starts on March 1st. 8. You will need a new pick for every round. I will be taking Chuck Schumer.
  10. Dying Probably

    Donald J Trump

    1 dead reportedly
  11. Dying Probably

    Political Discussions And Ranting Thread

    Both Andrew George and Ben Maguire (LibDems) chose to also get sworn in in Cornish. George used to do it, I remember, but is this the first time 2 have? Can't remember any others. Lovely to hear it, mind.
  12. Dying Probably

    By Election Bingo 2024-2029

    My final result with the team I sent to Sean in PM's Anthony Browne Alun Cairns Ben Everitt Caroline Ansell Conor Burns Douglas Ross Fiona Bruce George Galloway Grant Shapps Guy Opperman Jason McCartney Jeremy Hunt Jeremy Quin Justin Tomlinson Leo Docherty Lia Nici Liz Truss Matt Vickers Oliver Dowden Paul Girvan Priti Patel Rishi Sunak Robert Courts Robin Millar Suella Braverman 19 of them toppled. Hopefully a decent score?
  13. Dying Probably

    General Election 2024?

    McDonald in '35?
  14. Dying Probably

    The DL GE2024 Ballot Box

    I voted Liberal Democrat today. When your supposedly left-wing party is being outflanked by Joe Biden in twenty-fucking-twelve on trans issues, you don't deserve my vote.
  15. Dying Probably

    Joe Biden

    Has reportedly told allies he's weighing whether to continue. We're in the end stretch, methinks...
  16. Dying Probably

    Joe Biden

    Isn't Wiley Nickel (Rep who would've been dead in '24 if he even bothered to run) running? Another strong candidate - outperformed top of the ticket by a few points in '22.
  17. Dying Probably

    Joe Biden

    Minus points to Shapiro, however, for only being Governor for two years. In my eyes, I agree with your moderate white man theory, but think they might look for someone a bit older (though not quite Biden old): Roy Cooper, Tim Walz, and even Tom Vilsack could do it for her, carrying Southern (Cooper) or Midwestern (Walz/Vilsack) appeal.
  18. Dying Probably

    Joe Biden

    For what it's worth, the conversation has VERY much changed from "if, and that's a big if, Biden drops out, who's the candidate" to "who is Kamala's VP". (answer: name a politician who isn't Biden or Harris themselves, sure)
  19. Dying Probably

    Joe Biden

    Simple: just vote for one. Delegates being "pledged" is about as certain as electors. DNC rules say that any delegate can vote for a different candidate. Back in Iowa 2020, 6 delegates were pledged to Biden, but as he became the clear nominee, that changed to (at least) 14.
  20. Dying Probably

    By Election Bingo 2024-2029

    *snip* Team replaced and sent to Sean via PM.
  21. Dying Probably

    1. Jimmy Carter

    No worse sight.
  22. Here are my 25, thanks for running:

     

    Liz Truss (South West Norfolk)
    Jane Stevenson (Wolverhampton North East)
    Rishi Sunak (Richmond and Northallerton)
    Anne-Marie Trevelyan (North Northumberland)
    Julian Smith (Skipton and Ripon)
    Virginia Crosbie (Ynys Môn)
    Craig Williams (Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr)
    Robert Jenrick (Newark)
    Sarah Dines (Derbyshire Dales)
    Duncan Baker (North Norfolk)
    Bernard Jenkin (Harwich and North Essex)
    Steve Baker (Wycombe)
    Mark Garnier (Wyre Forest)
    Victoria Prentis (Banbury)
    Damian Collins (Folkestone and Hythe)
    Bob Seely (Isle of Wight West)
    Chris Loder (West Dorset)
    Mel Stride (Central Devon)
    Laura Farris (Newbury)
    Alan Mak (Havant)
    Jeremy Quin (Horsham)
    Julie Marson (Hertford and Stortford)
    Luke Hall (Thornbury and Yate)
    Mark Pritchard (The Wrekin)
    Edward Argar (Melton and Syston)

  23. Dying Probably

    By Election Bingo 2024-2029

    Sorry for annoyance but is this voting amongst MPs (e.g. Mordaunt counts if it weren't for her other roles) or simply among members (so Hunt, Long-Bailey, Nandy, Moran, Abbott) -- and does Shadow Cabinet include ex-Shadow ministers?
  24. Dying Probably

    U.S. Political Figures over 85

    Ron Paul speaking (6:44:12) at the Libertarian National Convention. He sounds really quite well, honestly - and for Ron Paul, looks it. Very ambulatory and articulate, and shouldn't be bothering us for a while.
  25. Dying Probably

    Doctor Who

    I can safely say that was one of my favourite episodes to air in a long time. Definitely better than most of the stuff they lumbered Jodie with (mind, Jodie was brill at what they gave her) and better than everything else thus far in RTD2.
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