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Everything posted by Dying Probably
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Christ, it's time for 2025 submissions already??
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IMHO, one thing that I think is a big question mark over the election (and something we can concretely say afterwards exists/does not) is any "reverse coattail" effect. Gallego in Arizona, Rosen in Nevada, and Stein in North Carolina are all polling double digits clear of their R opponents, and in a swing state, that can be enough to drag top of the ticket across the line. Hence why it's much less obvious in states where it's less one-sided (i.e. Maine 2020 w/ Collins, Vermont 2020 w/ Scott, and Montana/Ohio this year). AZ/NV/NC could get some good numbers for KH just off the virtue of stronger downballot candidates. Even (to an extent) Casey in PA, Baldwin in WI, Slotkin in MI, Kaine in VA... At least we don't have to think about Florida this time.
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ITV carrying it. Jesus.
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Well, previously it was an informed guess. Now I'm just bullshitting.
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At this point I'm just guessing: Marcos.
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January 1st. Just to spite this list...
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Surprised that Mary didn't have her own thread. She's very well, but Mary is quite the famous baker and is 85 years old. Unlikely to die soon if you ask me, but she deserves it.
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The Fucking 2024 Olympics
Dying Probably replied to harrymcnallysblueandwhitearmy's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
The Fucking 2024 Olympics? Have they added a new sport since I last watched? -
Got bored. Made another Deadpool. Here are the rules: 1. You choose one person over 70. 2. They will be put in a tournament system, with brackets of 2. 3. If your pick dies before your opponent’s, you win and advance to the next round. 4. They must have an obituary from any site used by the Derby Dead Pool. 5. No FFBI picks, and no terminally ill picks. (a. la. Leah Bracknell) 6. We must know the year of birth and their Wikipedia page must have over 500 words. 7. Game starts on March 1st. 8. You will need a new pick for every round. I will be taking Chuck Schumer.
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1 dead reportedly
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Political Discussions And Ranting Thread
Dying Probably replied to Deathray's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Both Andrew George and Ben Maguire (LibDems) chose to also get sworn in in Cornish. George used to do it, I remember, but is this the first time 2 have? Can't remember any others. Lovely to hear it, mind. -
My final result with the team I sent to Sean in PM's Anthony Browne Alun Cairns Ben Everitt Caroline Ansell Conor Burns Douglas Ross Fiona Bruce George Galloway Grant Shapps Guy Opperman Jason McCartney Jeremy Hunt Jeremy Quin Justin Tomlinson Leo Docherty Lia Nici Liz Truss Matt Vickers Oliver Dowden Paul Girvan Priti Patel Rishi Sunak Robert Courts Robin Millar Suella Braverman 19 of them toppled. Hopefully a decent score?
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General Election 2024?
Dying Probably replied to maryportfuncity's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
McDonald in '35? -
I voted Liberal Democrat today. When your supposedly left-wing party is being outflanked by Joe Biden in twenty-fucking-twelve on trans issues, you don't deserve my vote.
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Has reportedly told allies he's weighing whether to continue. We're in the end stretch, methinks...
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Isn't Wiley Nickel (Rep who would've been dead in '24 if he even bothered to run) running? Another strong candidate - outperformed top of the ticket by a few points in '22.
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Minus points to Shapiro, however, for only being Governor for two years. In my eyes, I agree with your moderate white man theory, but think they might look for someone a bit older (though not quite Biden old): Roy Cooper, Tim Walz, and even Tom Vilsack could do it for her, carrying Southern (Cooper) or Midwestern (Walz/Vilsack) appeal.
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For what it's worth, the conversation has VERY much changed from "if, and that's a big if, Biden drops out, who's the candidate" to "who is Kamala's VP". (answer: name a politician who isn't Biden or Harris themselves, sure)
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Simple: just vote for one. Delegates being "pledged" is about as certain as electors. DNC rules say that any delegate can vote for a different candidate. Back in Iowa 2020, 6 delegates were pledged to Biden, but as he became the clear nominee, that changed to (at least) 14.
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*snip* Team replaced and sent to Sean via PM.
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No worse sight.
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Here are my 25, thanks for running:
Liz Truss (South West Norfolk)
Jane Stevenson (Wolverhampton North East)
Rishi Sunak (Richmond and Northallerton)
Anne-Marie Trevelyan (North Northumberland)
Julian Smith (Skipton and Ripon)
Virginia Crosbie (Ynys Môn)
Craig Williams (Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr)
Robert Jenrick (Newark)
Sarah Dines (Derbyshire Dales)
Duncan Baker (North Norfolk)
Bernard Jenkin (Harwich and North Essex)
Steve Baker (Wycombe)
Mark Garnier (Wyre Forest)
Victoria Prentis (Banbury)
Damian Collins (Folkestone and Hythe)
Bob Seely (Isle of Wight West)
Chris Loder (West Dorset)
Mel Stride (Central Devon)
Laura Farris (Newbury)
Alan Mak (Havant)
Jeremy Quin (Horsham)
Julie Marson (Hertford and Stortford)
Luke Hall (Thornbury and Yate)
Mark Pritchard (The Wrekin)
Edward Argar (Melton and Syston) -
Sorry for annoyance but is this voting amongst MPs (e.g. Mordaunt counts if it weren't for her other roles) or simply among members (so Hunt, Long-Bailey, Nandy, Moran, Abbott) -- and does Shadow Cabinet include ex-Shadow ministers?
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Ron Paul speaking (6:44:12) at the Libertarian National Convention. He sounds really quite well, honestly - and for Ron Paul, looks it. Very ambulatory and articulate, and shouldn't be bothering us for a while.
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I can safely say that was one of my favourite episodes to air in a long time. Definitely better than most of the stuff they lumbered Jodie with (mind, Jodie was brill at what they gave her) and better than everything else thus far in RTD2.