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Everything posted by gcreptile
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I'm not commenting on my own game, but here are the teams I see advancing: Cpt. Chorizo Grim Up North Heef Garn 2 RadGuy The Dead Cow Pedro vs Jiroemon - a tie?? Switch MPFC
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Incredible how close Sims came towards not obiting anywhere. Those who relied on the ITV obit can consider themselves lucky.
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Wikipedia actually has her as dying on the first. Though I wonder if it's one of us (or someone watching us) writing it. Her daughter announced her death on Social media - shortly after it happened, I assume. If she had been a couple of kilometers to the East, she still would have died on the 31st.
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I forgot my team name... I guess I won't have one in this round.
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As I am going to sleep right now... this is my team 1. Catherine Nevin 2. Sara Coward 3. Angelo Bissessarsingh (Caribian historian) 4. Aharon Yehuda Leib Shteinman (prominent rabbi) 5. Bernie Portenski (New Zealand running legend) 6. Ken Ryan ("King of Kensington") 7. Errol Christie 8. Kevin Murray (domestic terrorist) 9. M. Karunanindhi (Indian politician) 10. Chase Simmons (soldier in coma after accident) 11. Pope Benedict XVI Sub: 1. Jagraj SIngh 2. Lisa Magill 3. Jay Clark
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Foreign Personalities, From Stage, Screen, Politics And Life
gcreptile replied to Davey Jones' Locker's topic in DeathList Forum
Update on my pick Mao Kobayashi: https://www.japantoday.com/category/entertainment/view/tv-presenter-mao-kobayashi-battling-cancer-discharged-from-hospital It's a bit difficult to know how she's doing. I relied on Google Translate to tell me that her cancer has spread to the bones. Anyway, this article says she's discharged from hospital. But the comments explain that it's only because she finished a course of radiation treatment. Japanese media are still reporting that she's fighting cancer, and that the cancer is also in her lungs. It's even unclear whether she went home because either she gained quite a bit of time, or because they cannot do anything for her anymore. -
Possibly the "Paul Van Zandfliet of 2018", socceroo David Cervisnki has aggressive melanoma (but is currently too healthy for the Cup): http://www.news.com.au/sport/football/david-cervinski-drawing-deep-on-his-fighting-spirit-in-cancer-battle/news-story/2666613218f7ad8aff68c7c6401de12c
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The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Yeah, I was in the same boat as you in thinking "well, he's a solid pick but I can't see him making the Drop 40, and I'm having trouble finding room for him..." Early days, though, so I still think I got a fighting chance. It's a lesson for me to always remember the "Christodoulos rule" I spotted when compiling the retrospective Drop 40s - ie, if a name is championed nonstop on the forums, as Wetton was by Weebl, assume they have a chance of making the cut. Or Morbidkid with Stefansson, I was unaware that he had meme status on the internet. -
The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Oh, correct! And he didn't drop a place either. Hmm, I thought he was ranked higher before. (Edit: Ah, he dropped because he didn't have Sims.) -
The Rolling Probabilistic Ddp Scoreboard
gcreptile replied to gcreptile's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Update: John Wetton has died, and as I said in another thread, I already recognized that it was a mistake that I didn't pick him, but he was simply not on my mind - basically, a case of "He won't make the Drop 40" anyway, so disregard him.." Obviously a huge mistake, and a reason why the average score at the end of the year may surpass my initial calculation by quite a bit. (I'd say by about 5 pts for those who picked him). While those who didn't pick Wetton still have a chance to win (of course), it has just become a little more unlikely. And as I already mentioned, the other reason why the average score may be higher than my initial calculation is the increased skill of the players and the skillful picking that created this Drop 40. This latter point is a first result for me to keep in mind for the next year. But not picking Wetton was a singular mistake, I couldn't even give him an especially high chance of dying, because he "only" had a sepsis and looked bad, but as far as I know, nothing terminal was known - though one might have guessed! (ANd quite a few people did...) Mary Tyler Moore and John Hurt have also died, but as far as I am aware, they did not impact the top 15 scoreboard. I'm currently not sure if Paul McGill's death changes the score, but his obitability has dropped by half. I will never reduce the chance of obiting to zero, but eventually, it will drop to 5%, if an obit doesn't show up. In that case Paul McGill is worth only 0,40 expected pts (8*0,05). Another update: As I previously announced, I decreased the obit chances of a couple of cancer celebrities by a bit (10-20%). From my experience with Shameless, it gets increasingly harder for a terminally ill person to obit, if they don't die too soon. They need to keep in the public eye, by blogging or by "raising awareness"/fundraising for others (not just on their own JustGiving page). As such, there are small score decreases for those who picked Alan Aspin (more a criminal terminally ill-fame person, than a terminally ill famous criminal - e.g. Rena Salmon or Catherine Nevin), Ben Suisala, Jay Clark, Sara Hankins, Vincent Lambert and tons of Shameless picks. Not impacted for now are Lisa Magill (with her blog) and Pete Frates (ALS challenge guy). The scoreboard: 1. David Quantick's Showbiz Pals (154,72) 2. The Love Boat (150,92) 3. Golden Slumbers (150,12) 4. A Day in the Death (148,51) 5. Thomas Jefferson Survives (147,91) 6. To Kill A Gabor Sister (146,74) 7. Still Life (141,81) 8. Droller Coaster (141,78) 9. I will not die, it's the world that will end (140,43) 10. Pan Breed (139,59) 11. The Living End (139,33) 12. Garn2 (139,21) 13. New Years and Drinks all Night (138,75) 14. Dead Ends (138,8375) 15. I'm sorry for your trouble (134,55) A new entry "I will not die, it's the world that will end" at place 9. TJS didn't have Wetton (surprising to me). DQSP pulls ahead in spite of a small point reduction for Jay Clark, because he picked Wetton while I didn't. -
Got a flu shot, followed by a fever, ritual cancelled: http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2017/01/30/national/emperor-akihito-cancels-ritual-ceremony-due-mild-fever/#.WI-ybvnhCUk
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I submitted my team. I still expect all of them to die tomorrow.
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Shameless pick Kath Osmond only has 2-3 weeks left to live: http://www.itv.com/news/westcountry/2017-01-30/kath/
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I actually thought that every DDP-qualifying obit would count here. My mistake! At least, Hannah Lyson got a Daily Mail obit: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4169608/Hannah-s-Bowel-Cancer-Journey-blogger-20-died.html
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This year's Charlotte Eades.
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I'll send one tomorrow, I hope.
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DL Status Updates: Statements, Obsevations & Verbal Tennis
gcreptile replied to Lord Fellatio Nelson's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Ok, Im thick and fucking old.That's gone over my head. But where's your head at? -
I assume she's incontinent by now?
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The Alan Rickman paradox - the best performer in most of the things he starred in but somehow never got on board the Hollywood luvvie train enough to secure the big gong. Sad to see him go. I guess the committee actually ignores british actors, or they'd have to give them the Oscar every year... Peter O'Toole, Gary Oldman, Ian McKellen, Bendict Cumberbatch...
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Seen Any Good Films Lately?
gcreptile replied to Cowboy Ronnie's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
Well... The one thing always bothering me about the first part is the scene, when you see that cock from that blonde, goofy guy passing out and shitting on the bed... the girl looks at the cock and says "didn't miss much..." or something like that. But I thought it was quite a handful. -
DL Status Updates: Statements, Obsevations & Verbal Tennis
gcreptile replied to Lord Fellatio Nelson's topic in DeathList extra-curricular
I would advise more chocolate then. Chocolate never says no. -
Very, very sad. A truly great actor with a great taste in choosing his "commercial" roles. He always delivered, even in the small and "funny" parts, like Spaceballs. My favourite scene of his is the original chestburster scene.
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I didn't pick him because his daily gaming/tweeting routine didn't seem to be affected at all by his cancer.
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You people are obviously taking it as seriously as I am... good!
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The next Armenian genocide survivor dies: http://asbarez.com/159452/armenian-genocide-survivor-passes-away-at-110-years-old/