gcreptile

The rule is that you have to be 18 as of start of January 1st 2017. Hence why Zach Sobiech, who died aged 18 but entered 2013 17, wasn't that year's most popular joker pick. Ok, I thought so. No Amber Snailham for Shameless.

1. ZsaZsa Gabor 2. Billy Graham 3. Piers Sellers 4. Kirk Douglas 5. Henry Kissinger 6. Sumner Redstone 7. Jacques Chirac 8. Peter Sallis 9. Leah Bracknell 10. Prince Phillip 11. Queen Elizabeth II 12. George Bush Sr. 13. Diana Athill 14. Ursula K LeGuin 15. Ennio Morricone 16. Jiang Zemin 17. Barbara Walters 18. Helmut Kohl 19. Liz Smith (gossip queen) 20. Robert Mugabe 21. Mel Brooks 22. Pele 23. Gina Lollobrigida 24. Betty White 25. Benedict XVI 26. Silvio Berlusconi 27. Olivia de Havilland 28. Sonia Gandhi 29. Hugh Hefner 30. Joost van der Westhuizen 31. James Randi 32. Lewis Gilbert 33. Clint Eastwood 34. Desmond Tutu 35. Glen Campbell 36. Willie Nelson 37. Bruce Forsyth 38. Bob Barker 39. Vera Lynn 40. Jake Lamotta 41. Little Richard 42. David Rockefeller 43. John Dingell 44. Emperor Akihito 45-50. Peter Skellern, Manuel Noriega, Debbie Rowe, Terry Jones, and, oh, I don't know, Alejandro Jodorowsky.

Peaches, the electroclash singer?Peaches Geldof? Edit: Goddamnit, I forgot Peaches Geldof is dead. As for my own shortlist, I find it terribly conventional right now. But I want to avoid last year's mistake and take out Mark Farren and Pearl Washington in the last week for terminally ill but hardly notable people. I will channel these instincts into my B team. I think my team can hardly be improved anymore though I have to edu-cate myself some more. Just yesterday I started going through my longlist and found out that a DDP regular and very early entry into my list, is going South. As is his/her obitability though.

What's the rule on that? Is their year of birth decisive or their age at Jan. 1st?

Real IRA member Aidan O'Donnell shot dead in the street: https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/dec/08/real-ira-figure-aidan-the-beast-odriscoll-shot-dead-in-cork-street

Ingvar Kamprad recently broke his hip, some spare info on his health was released: http://www.thelocal.se/20161204/ikea-founder-kamprad-suffers-broken-hip

I'm almost too embarassed to start with this because my picks of Scott Thorson and Alexis Tsipras are going to haunt me for decades, but here it goes: 2015: The Love Boat (initial success: 4/20), now 9/20 1. Charlie Sheen 6. Jack Nicholson 8. Alexis Tsipras 9. Scott Thorson 10. John Dingell 11. Liliane Bettencourt 12. Helmut Kohl 13. Paul Gascoigne 14. Ryuichi Sakamoto 15. Rev. Billy Graham 16. Phil Spector 17. Malcolm Young 19. Valerie Harper Economics - The Fatal Science (Initial success 2/20), now 9/20 1. Zhou Youguang 3. Alan Greenspan 4. Paul Volcker 6. Robert Aumann 7. Kenneth Arrow 8. William Baumol 9. Harry Markowitz 10. Allan H. Meltzer 11. Robert Mundell 13. Edmund Phelps 15. Amartya Sen 17. William F. Sharpe 18. Vernon L. Smith 19. Oliver E. Williamson 20. Robert Solow 2016: The Love Boat - initial success 15/20 (obitability doesn't matter), now 17/20 Left alive: 1. Errol Christie 2. Yoshiro Nakamatsu 3. Geoffrey Robinson 4. Gary Haggarty 5. Andrew Yeaman (though he may be dead) The B-Team - initial success 9/20, now 12/20 1. Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi (???) 2. Sumner Redstone 3. Terri Richards 4. Fast Eddie Fryer 5. Betty Cuthbert 6. Ed Drummond 7. Jim McLean 8. Stan Mikita 9. Roh Tae-Woo 10. Brian Shivers Shameless: Initial success (13/20, one death in 2015 already), now 17/20 11. Jake Bailey (probably alive for the next 70 years) 12. Debbie Blackhurst (still tweeting) 13. Lisa Brown (almost dead) 14. Kris Hallenga (cancer is slowly progressing) 15. Connie Johnson (terminally ill but stable) 16. Margaret Lowbrdige (very likely dead without notice) Updated after the death of Allan Meltzer Updated Sept. 17 after many deaths

Even everyday heavy drinkers have only around a 1 in 3 chance of developing chronic liver failure. Yeah but Gazza is at the extreme level of alcoholism. This is why I don't trust drug addicts on deathlist. They are unpredictable. Hard to call of course but I'd lay money his age on death will be younger than that of George Best. So he's gone well within 12 years. That's my problem with picking him in a deadpool (or with the Committet picking him). Yes, I believe he will die because of his addicition and he won't reach the age of 60, but that's still a long way to go. Basically a chance of 1/12th or so, though a death in the late 50s is much more likely than a death at 50. So what's the probability of his dath in 2017? Maybe 5%.

Time for someone to make a John Glenn vs. Buzz Aldrin poll. Edit: I'd vote for John Glenn. The article sounds to me as if he won't even see 2017.

Unbelievably (?), the DailyMail seem to have some kind of serial coverage on her: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3865596/Woman-Britain-s-fattest-teenager-dumped-boyfriend.html Update: She's still obese.

This one was it. So August 24th? I'll update the leaderboard above. Thanks, it doesn't even change that much, as the death of either Glen Campbell, Sumner Redstone or Geoffrey Bayldon (all good choices!) still give the victory to either MPFC, DI, or Toast.

This one was it. Apparently died on August, 24th, 237pts. Edit: This was the article that led me to him: http://www.ledger-enquirer.com/news/local/article46530485.html

I know, he's included in your score gcreptile. I'm pretty goddarn efficient you know.... Wow! But then I'm 12/25.

Prominent LGBT activist Jay Kallio died back on September 30th, and was a Hare's Deadpool pick for me: http://gaycitynews.nyc/jay-kallio-model-activist-end-dead-61/

I just found out Jay Kallio died back on September 30th: http://gaycitynews.nyc/jay-kallio-model-activist-end-dead-61/

He'll attend Trump's inauguration. I think he and the Clintons were secret enemies: http://www.ajc.com/news/jimmy-carter-says-attend-donald-trump-inauguration/dc6QKJ4wK8jfPs4nUtZLxO/

She recently issued a statement on the death of her husband Grant Tinker: http://www.ew.com/article/2016/11/30/mary-tyler-moore-grant-tinker-death Finally a sign of life from her.

Rinse and repeat: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3998214/Gazza-pleads-help-new-two-day-gin-cocaine-bender-hospital.html

Dilip Kumar hospitalised again, this time for a swollen leg and a cold: http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/entertainment/hindi/bollywood/news/Dilip-Kumar-hospitalised/articleshow/55835881.cms I have him in a couple of deadpools, I thought he'd be dead by now.

Jimmy Snuka may not have terminal cancer, but something else that's terminal: http://411mania.com/wrestling/update-on-jimmy-snukas-terminal-condition-possibly-not-cancer-related/

For some reason, I also have a lot of antipathy for/against (?) PewDiePie. Mid-last year I was trying to build an Internet Fame Theme Team with him as my joker. But I didn't get enough names. By the way, my plan to field a plastic surgery theme team ended with the death of its planned joker, Pete Burns. Otherwise, I wish death on Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi.

Adam Sagan, Drummer for Circle II Circle and Into Eternity dead from cancer at 36: http://www.blabbermouth.net/news/former-circle-ii-circle-and-into-eternity-drummer-adam-sagan-dies-after-battle-with-cancer/

Tupac collaborator Big Syke dead at 48: http://www.tmz.com/2016/12/06/tupac-rapper-big-syke-dead/ Natural causes, he had heart troubles and was obese. (Yes, I'm officially back on the internet.)

The Love Boat is currently at 8,5. 4 in 2015, 13 so far in 2016.

Of course, I nominate myself and my prediction that Prince would be the next music shock death of the year in the "crystal ball of the year" category. I nominate YoungWillz in the "sage of the year" category.