US Congressional 2020 Change Predictions

[Joey Russ 7,255]

I wanted to try a game out for the rest of 2020. Basically inspired by the By Election thing, though there some differences. 
So, it’s a game of basically guessing who will get removed from congress before the end of the 116th Congress by any means. Whether it’s by dying, retirement, or being voted out of office, it is the job of this game to guess who will no longer be a congressperson by January 3rd 2021. 
 

Here is how the scoring will work:

If a congressperson announces their retirement from Congress = 1 point. HOWEVER, I will not be allowing any congressperson who already announced their retirement to score, so if you pick someone who’s already known to be retiring, you might want to pick again. Only points they’ll be eligible for is if they die in office. 
If someone gets defeated in the general election = 2 points.

If someone gets defeated in the primary = 3 points. Again, I am not counting those who already got primaried, so anyone picking Steve King or Dan Lipinski will have to pick someone else. 
If a congressperson resigns for whatever reason before the election comes through = 4 points. Although if they were already defeated and then resigns from office, that doesn’t count as double points in this case. 
If someone dies in office = 5 points. 
 

The game will start now since there are primaries along the way this month, but you have to submit by June 30th by midnight GMT time. You can either post here or DM me to enter. 

[Joey Russ 7,255]

And to prove I’m not stealing any names from anyone else, here is my team for this pool right now, so take any of the names you like: 

1. Justin Amash 

2. Don Bacon 

3. Anthony Brindisi 

4. Lacy Clay 

5. Jim Clyburn 

6. Susan Collins 

7. Joe Cunningham 

8. Steve Daines 

9. Rodney Davis 

10. Eliot Engel 

11. Joni Ernst 

12. Dianne Feinstein 

13. Abby Finkenauer 

14. Brian Fitzpatrick 

15. Mike Garcia 

16. Cory Gardner 

17. Chuck Grassley 

18. Alcee Hastings 

19. Kendra Horne 

20. Steny Hoyer 

21. Jim Inhofe 

22. Eddie Bernice Johnson 

23. Doug Jones

24. John Katko 

25. Patrick Leahy

26. John Lewis  

27. Kelly Loeffler 

28. Ed Markey 

29. Ben McAdams

30. Lucy McBath 

31. Michael McCaul  

32. Mitch McConnell 

33. Martha McSally 

34. Grace Napolitano 

35. Richard Neal 

36. Bill Pascrell 

37. Scott Perry 

38. Colin Peterson 

39. Nancy Pelosi 

40. David Price 

41. Denver Riggleman 

42. Hal Rogers

43. Max Rose 

44. Richard Shelby 

45. Abigail Spanberger 

46. Thom Tillis 

47. Xochitl Torres Small 

48. Jeff Van Drew 

49. Maxine Waters 

50. Don Young 

[msc 18,512]

I have a team in, although I haven't a clue who nearly any of the names are. Just in case Lindsey Graham gets ousted in his primary in a few days.

 

[Joey Russ 7,255]

Btw, if anyone wants to know a list of people running for reelection, you can always look here and here. Although if you want some super old senators just look at my list above, hehe

[Joey Russ 7,255]

So the Virginia GOP apparently had a convention today to see who goes on the ballot for the Republicans. Particularly keep an eye out for Denver Riggleman to see if he ends up winning or losing, as it isn’t entirely clear yet...

[Joey Russ 7,255]

As it turns out, Riggleman was ousted. Now it was a convention that was why Riggleman lost rather than a primary, but I think a convention basically is the same as a primary for scoring purposes. And I’m the only one who scores from the two teams who entered. 
If you want to enter this game before another primary, the next date to look out for is June 23rd. The official date that closes for any entries is June 30th. And yeah, next time entries will open up much earlier than this time... 

 

Scores: 

Joey Russ - 3 

Everyone else - 0 

[Joey Russ 7,255]

Ah, how fun is it that somebody wants to divert attention to something else rather than this game. 

[mr.whit 10]

Hi,

Here is my entry. (I included Jose Serrano even though he is retiring, in case he resigns early)

1.       Justin Amash 

2.       Cindy Axne

3.       Andy Barr

            4.      Gil Cisneros

5.       Yvette Clark

6.       Jim Clyburn 

7.       Susan Collins 

8.       Joe Cunningham

9.       Sharice Davids

10.   Peter DeFazio

11.   Val Demings

12.   Eliot Engel 

13.   Joni Ernst 

14.   Dianne Feinstein 

15.   Abby Finkenauer 

16.   Brian Fitzpatrick 

17.   Mike Garcia 

18.   Cory Gardner 

19.   Chuck Grassley 

20.   Alcee Hastings 

21.   Kendra Horne 

22.   Jim Inhofe 

23.   Sheila Jackson Lee

24.   Eddie Bernice Johnson 

25.   Doug Jones

26.   Ann Kirkpatrick

27.   Patrick Leahy

28.   John Lewis  

29.   Kelly Loeffler 

30.   Ed Markey 

31.   Thomas Massie

32.   Lucy McBath 

33.   Martha McSally 

34.   Stephanie Murphy

35.   Grace Napolitano 

36.   Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

37.   Ilhan Omar

38.   Hal Rogers

39.   Kurt Schrader

40.   David Schweikert

41.   José Serrano              42.  Donna Shalala

43.   Richard Shelby 

44.   Abigail Spanberger 

45.   Thom Tillis 

46.   Rashida Tlaib

47.   Jeff Van Drew 

48.   Maxine Waters 

49.   Don Young 

50.   Lee Zeldin

[DeathClock 379]

If AOC loses tonight I’m going to throw a rager at my house tomorrow 

[Joey Russ 7,255]

1 hour ago, DeathClock said:

If AOC loses tonight I’m going to throw a rager at my house tomorrow 

Doesn’t look like that’ll happen. She’s beating her opponent by a really wide margin. 

[Joey Russ 7,255]

So far things are looking good for Jamaal Bowman defeating Eliot Engel. 2 of the 3 teams who entered so far picked Engel so if things stay the way they are that’s three points each. One race that might’ve gone completely under the radar is Carolyn Maloney’s race. So far she’s actually losing to Suraj Patel, and if things hold that’d be two incumbents being defeated. 
You still have about a week to send in entries for this but at this point I won’t be accepting any teams with Maloney or Engel unless they resign from the house...

[Joey Russ 7,255]

This is good enough for me to count Eliot Engel points. 

And good riddance to him. He’s absolutely terrible in foreign policy (he was even against Obama’s Iran deal to give you a sense of how awful he is). So that’s 3 points for me and mr whit then. There’s still about a week to enter in this pool if you want to: 

 

Scores: 

Joey Russ - 6

mr whit - 3

Everyone else - 0