Gooseberry Crumble

Richard Beymer who played Benjamin Horne in Twin Peaks (of Westside Story fame) is 78 ish I believe so is probably worth at least considering.

IF a stay of execution is granted and causes a big delay that throws this race "right open" I take it?

Here are my 50 entrants into the race Buzz Aldrin Ginger Baker Robert Blake Bernadette Chirac (JOKER) Sean Connery Joni Mitchell Willie Nelson Leslie Philips (JOKER) Liz Dawn Bernard Ingham (JOKER) Princess Christina Magnuson Nichelle Nichols Brunhilde Pomsel (JOKER) Della Reese James Randi Burt Reynolds Donald Trump Mary Wilson Connie Sawyer David Rockefeller Roman Polanski Johnny Mathis Henry Kissinger Elizabeth Kelly Billy Graham Stephen Hawking Colin Dexter Bob Dole Glen Campbell Bob Barker Pope Benedict Eileen Derbyshire Jimmy Greaves Gene Hackman Rolf Harris Thomas Kenneally Helmut Kohl Robert Mugabe Nobby Stiles Bill Wyman (JOKER) Emma Morano Val Kilmer Bruce Forsyth Nanette Fabray Robert Duvall Richard Cole Gay Byrne Ian Brady Leo Baxendale Ursula Andress My subs are Tom Baker Peter Sallis Brian Blessed Billy Connolly Macaulay Culkin Many Thanks 👍 ☺

Made no real difference to the running order at the top but Snowdon brought two more teams into play I'm a simple soul at this moment in time and I'm just pleased to have my first hit! I just need to figure out how to change names of correct guesses into red or whatever colour in the list in my signature. Not brilliant with technology savvy sadly! There is a Text Color button when you make a post, the one that's an A with a few blocks of color in the corner. Highlight the text you want to change the color of, click the aforementioned button and choose the color you want. Thanks again -finally got around to doing it last night on my PC. Decided to be a bit different and instead of my signature turning red and redder with each success it will turn bright orange my favourite colour with each "success"

I will be taking part in this later. ☺

Goodness my apricot Crumble Team has 5 unique picks!

Thank you The Man in Black very much! Pleased and surprised that my Gooseberry Crumble Team has four unique picks! Will now check out the rest of the site! Looks fantastic

She sounds like somebody I could have a very enjoyable natter over a cup of tea or a pint with!

Thanks Death Impends.

Turned 101 yesterday. Still lives in her flat near Westminster according to various reports.

Made no real difference to the running order at the top but Snowdon brought two more teams into play I'm a simple soul at this moment in time and I'm just pleased to have my first hit! I just need to figure out how to change names of correct guesses into red or whatever colour in the list in my signature. Not brilliant with technology savvy sadly!

Of my three Crumble teams it's Gooseberry Crumble that has "scored" first in the form of Lord Snowden.

My first "hit" in the form of the Queens Former Brother in law Lord Snowden

That was me! Thanks

Graham Taylor, former England manager, dies at the age of 72 https://www.theguardian.com/football/2017/jan/12/graham-taylor-dies-72-england-aston-villa-watford?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Copy_to_clipboard Former England manager Graham Taylor dies aged 72

Mark Eden who played notorious Alan Bradley in Coronation Street please.

One of the things I really like about the Deathlist is there's always a few names I've never heard of or know very little about. It prompts me to Google them and find out more which is always interesting to me. Bob Barker was somebody I knew nothing about and boy was he an interesting read! Lots of gossip stuff and salacious allegations and titbits about this guy! I always enjoy learning more about all fifty people on the list that it's publication nudges me into doing but I found Bob Barker especially interesting!

But in recent months there's been press reports of legal wrangling over her will and guardianship hence a strong sign that all is not well and making her a strong contender for list consideration.

I think we could do with having a number of ageing goddesses/flamboyant Screen Queens types . Their very welcome and Gina Lollobrigida would have been an excellent addition to the list.

Yes, mid-January is usually when the updated DDP site is up. The ones I'm guessing could be UPs are Poul Schlüter, Arthur Irving, Hubert de Givenchy and Frederick Dent. Your joker Thomas Keneally, and Hans Rausing also stand a chance. But the thing is that many theme teams simply choose certain names to fill the empty spots. Thus, it's tricky to predict beforehand. So, for instance, team A might be doing an author-themed team and looks for authors that are simply old if there aren't enough ill authors to go around. Team B has inside knowledge that one of the old authors picked by A also is ill (and not just old). In this case, B would not be rewarded with a unique bonus because A needed a full team. Dean Stockwell may seem like a bit too early selection, but I know some more updated information that makes me fairly sure that he's a goner this year. Time will tell. Regarding people from different fields, while that shouldn't be a goal in itself, I do have to stop myself from picking too many people of the same occupation if it's a main team I'm doing. Right now, I have everything from a murderer, a nazi, and a porn star to a drug mule and a Micronesian ruler! Having looked at all three crumbles, I believe that your apricot team will do best. I'm not super familiar with all of the names, but do believe you will score some hits with names like Hefner, Cardin, etc. Blueberry will come in close second, I think, while the team that shares your username unfortunately will do worst. I'm basing this on the fact that I regard people like Gina Lollobrigida, Gene Hackman, Pat Boone, Wilbur Smith, Prince Henrik, etc. as healthy enough to survive the year. Also, Mary Carlisle is someone who doesn't get media attention so there's an obit issue there. I do like the very active Facebook-page her family/friends have setup though. Thank you! Interesting -I too had apricot as my selection for being the team that is likely to perform best BUT I had Gooseberry Crumble running as second behind it, perhaps even a close second with blueberry Crumble third. Partially because there's a couple in my Gooseberry Crumble Team that are over 100- Goebbels press Secretary and the last Nuremberg Prosecutor which I also anticipate to be likely unique picks. Also 97 year old Dowager Duchess of Grafton. But of course the role of the dice could surprise us all!What would you say then was my most likely hit in team Gooseberry Crumble and my weakest name in team apricot Crumble please? In terms of Mary Carlisle I'm kind of banking on Mail Online to save my bacon there!It's interesting how the internet has helped reinvigorate old movie stars making some of them into cult figures even silent movie stars! Many Thanks again! To clarify regarding Mary Carlisle, the most accurate description would be "Great Depression-era b-movie actress" rather than a silent movie star. As for your question, the most likely hit for Gooseberry Crumble would be Brunhilde Pomsel (really old), Lord Snowdon (appears frail in pics) and Lee Radziwill (supposedly has Alzheimer's). Not to sound too pessimistic, but I am sure that there are several centenarian theme teams that will deprive you of a UP for Görings secretary. Ferencz was actually picked by me last year, and he could possibly be a UP for you in this year. The weakest Apricot slice is Shirley Bassey, who looks quite healthy for her age. Also, I can imagine Petula Clark becoming a DeathList mainstay in 10 years or so, kinda like the role Vera Lynn has. Many Thanks for your feedback it's appreciated and interesting. I read a rumour on a gay Internet forum that Shirley Bassey was allegedly privately and discreetly battling serious health issues. Obviously just unconfirmed gossip That combined with me recalling Shirley Bassey saying in a magazine or newspaper interview years ago that her own mother died at 80 made me feel she was worth taking a chance on. I adore Shirley and want to be wrong! Love all these colourful metaphorically language where using like apricot slice -I bet Shirley Bassey has never been called that before!!!!

So I've calculated 141,7 pts for The Love Boat this year, out of 214 possible.92,62 for Shameless, plus some points for Jay Clark, let's say, around 100pts. 86,27 pts for The B-Team (scores for Shameless and The B-Team are not up-to-date, as I have to adjust Drop 40/unique/obit chances). The best possible team I could have fielded, according to my longlist would go on to score 146,52pts, but I've decided against picking Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi and against picking Lucas Kinney (and I slightly attributed some more risk to The Love Boat). The highest scoring person I didn't pick (bar the terrorists) was Jacques Chirac, followed by Joseph Kony and Marieke Vervoort. Watch this space, if you're interested in my calculations for other teams (not entirely unselfish, as it is a research exercise). DQSP: 108,47+7,75 (Mark Sims joker bonus)+ 8,1 (Paul Briggs) + 5,34 (Laurie Brokenshire) + 5,1 (Michael Perham) = 134,76 (Paul Briggs and Jagraj Singh would now be in my main team) TLE: 102,46 + 7,80 (al-Baghdadi joker bonus) + Steve Pollard (1,31) + Susanne Cameron-Blackie (???) + Vincent Lambert (1,96) + Les Mutrie (5,61) = 119,14 plus Anna Raccoon (which I can't figure out) TJS: 115,06 + joker bonus + 3,83 (Wayne Barrett) = 118,89 + joker bonus = Heading Nowhere: 113,25pts + joker bonus = Pan Breed: 120,39+8,99 (Gord Downie joker bonus)+ 5,28 (Anna Holmlund)=134,66 Bert Trautmann: 114,22 + 7,75 (Mark Sims joker bonus) + 4,36 (Jerome Golmard) + 4,14 (Patrick Cryne) = 130,47 Going Underground: 81,39 + 7,53 (Tracy McGiffin joker bonus) + Sonny West + Leon White + Paul Madeley + Rena Salmon + Jessi Zazu = Cancel My Appointments: JoeyRuss: 124,18 + 8,38 (Ben Suisala joker bonus) = 132,56 RadGuy: Dead as a Doornail: Still Life: (I will add teams as I encounter them and find them interesting - the single names are those I had to add to my long list, and while I didn't do the same exercise for other teams last year, it should not be terribly surprising if my team scores best - because, after all, that's why I picked the people I picked. But the new-to-me picks can shake things up.) Love to know what you make of my crumbles!! I'll do it tomorrow, I promise! You have lots of different and new (to me) names, and I'm afraid I might not judge them right today.Please do mine, I have my team in my signature and my own personal analysis on this page. Done, and done. Gooseberry Crumble, while your teams may not score highest, I think they are very classy teams, full of interesting stories. None of those "cancer-celebrities". And it looks as if two of your teams will score higher than me in my first year. Also, I couldn't check all the new people very thoroughly. Sometimes you don't read any news about new people, are they just content to be left alone, or is health the reason? It's often hard to tell. So if you know these people better than me (surely true for UK authors and scandinavian politicians), and you know their half-secret health issues, your score will be higher than what I have calculated. If age is the reason someone was picked, I give a probability according to the fatality risk of a US social security recipient (statistics are available online). There is some adjustment if a person has heart troubles, is retired, looks bad, or gives interviews and the like... An 85 year old person basically has about a 15% of dying in the next 12 months, statistically. So it's 6 base points (for octogenarians) * 0,15 = 0,9. This is then multiplied with the chance of obiting. The base points get multiplied by the chance of being a unique hit, a Drop 40 pick, or the likelihood of an unnatural death. So, a unique 85-year old with 90% chance of obiting (say, some classical musician) but no chance of Drop 40 or unnatural death and no extraordinary health problems gets (6+1*3)*0,15*0,9= 1,215 Some stage IV lung cancer patient (say, 80% of dying this year), say 56 years old, 50% obit chance, no chance of being unique or Drop 40 gets 9*0,8*0,5= 3,6 So, the scoring system favours cancer celebrities, but then what can you do... Edit: Ok, enough deadpooling for now, I hardly got anything done at home in the past days... Thank you! I've always liked to think I do most things with a touch of class!! But seriously thank you -I'm trying to balance the need for a decent varied and interesting team (IE a good mix of people with no loading of people famous just for being ill as a means to win) and being able to score quite well. If I where to perform superwell unexpectedly that would be very good too but I'm not so competitive that I'd submit a list that wasn't "classy" if that makes sense.

I'm really quite shocked at the lack of obits. He was a huge name in 20th/21st century moral philosophy and I would have thought he was guaranteed an obit from either The Guardian or the Financial Times. At least he's got 362 days of the year left to get a QO, so it's not another Huston Smith situation. However I'm now starting to doubt the rest of my theme team. IF your on twitter maybe take the liberty of politely querying the lack of obituary for him by tweeting the Telegraph Obituaries, Guardian Obituaries etc twitter accounts.You never know you may just nudge them into it! That's not my style, but I'll sign up and do it anyway. Edit: Ah, never mind. Huzzah! Always an idea for future consideration.... I suspect however on this occasion the delay was due to the bank holiday rather than total oversight.

I'm really quite shocked at the lack of obits. He was a huge name in 20th/21st century moral philosophy and I would have thought he was guaranteed an obit from either The Guardian or the Financial Times. At least he's got 362 days of the year left to get a QO, so it's not another Huston Smith situation. However I'm now starting to doubt the rest of my theme team. IF your on twitter maybe take the liberty of politely querying the lack of obituary for him by tweeting the Telegraph Obituaries, Guardian Obituaries etc twitter accounts.You never know you may just nudge them into it! Or you could just accept this Times obit. Yes indeed that is welcome for those who picked him (I didn't) I was just going on the information provided by other posters that there was no qualifying obituary never mind a more formal one.

I'm really quite shocked at the lack of obits. He was a huge name in 20th/21st century moral philosophy and I would have thought he was guaranteed an obit from either The Guardian or the Financial Times. At least he's got 362 days of the year left to get a QO, so it's not another Huston Smith situation. However I'm now starting to doubt the rest of my theme team. IF your on twitter maybe take the liberty of politely querying the lack of obituary for him by tweeting the Telegraph Obituaries, Guardian Obituaries etc twitter accounts. You never know you may just nudge them into it!

Yes, mid-January is usually when the updated DDP site is up. The ones I'm guessing could be UPs are Poul Schlüter, Arthur Irving, Hubert de Givenchy and Frederick Dent. Your joker Thomas Keneally, and Hans Rausing also stand a chance. But the thing is that many theme teams simply choose certain names to fill the empty spots. Thus, it's tricky to predict beforehand. So, for instance, team A might be doing an author-themed team and looks for authors that are simply old if there aren't enough ill authors to go around. Team B has inside knowledge that one of the old authors picked by A also is ill (and not just old). In this case, B would not be rewarded with a unique bonus because A needed a full team. Dean Stockwell may seem like a bit too early selection, but I know some more updated information that makes me fairly sure that he's a goner this year. Time will tell. Regarding people from different fields, while that shouldn't be a goal in itself, I do have to stop myself from picking too many people of the same occupation if it's a main team I'm doing. Right now, I have everything from a murderer, a nazi, and a porn star to a drug mule and a Micronesian ruler! Having looked at all three crumbles, I believe that your apricot team will do best. I'm not super familiar with all of the names, but do believe you will score some hits with names like Hefner, Cardin, etc. Blueberry will come in close second, I think, while the team that shares your username unfortunately will do worst. I'm basing this on the fact that I regard people like Gina Lollobrigida, Gene Hackman, Pat Boone, Wilbur Smith, Prince Henrik, etc. as healthy enough to survive the year. Also, Mary Carlisle is someone who doesn't get media attention so there's an obit issue there. I do like the very active Facebook-page her family/friends have setup though. Thank you! Interesting -I too had apricot as my selection for being the team that is likely to perform best BUT I had Gooseberry Crumble running as second behind it, perhaps even a close second with blueberry Crumble third. Partially because there's a couple in my Gooseberry Crumble Team that are over 100- Goebbels press Secretary and the last Nuremberg Prosecutor which I also anticipate to be likely unique picks. Also 97 year old Dowager Duchess of Grafton. But of course the role of the dice could surprise us all! What would you say then was my most likely hit in team Gooseberry Crumble and my weakest name in team apricot Crumble please? In terms of Mary Carlisle I'm kind of banking on Mail Online to save my bacon there!It's interesting how the internet has helped reinvigorate old movie stars making some of them into cult figures even silent movie stars! Many Thanks again!