Jonah

His cognitive decline must have begun 96 years ago. There's actually a very recent video of him and his wife meeting with Renaud Mannheim and his neo-Nazi friends. The rugby match playing in the back shows that it was maybe taken yesterday. https://x.com/i/status/1840363977915629859 There are new pictures as well: https://x.com/JCoupable/status/1840429541518360739

This is purely speculative, but... in his last interview, when asked about his memorial, he said "I don't have a date yet, but I'm not feeling too well," so he might have already known that something was wrong.

Winters can be particularly difficult for some of the picks on the list as they become increasingly frailer and sicker. I still expect a double-digit final score, with many deaths occurring in November and December (and continuing through January, February and March).

Not sure how much of that is true, unfortunately. I did some research on X and found this apparently new picture from yesterday, debunking those rumors: https://x.com/ThomasJoly732/status/1808570926989988252. I think he's likely to see 2025, but anything can happen at that age.

Here's a video of him reacting to the results of the recent 2024 European Parliament election, with a cane by his side: https://www.tiktok.com/@tenqofficiel/video/7379340011071622432. Seeing Jordan Bardella's score being more than twice as high as Macron's representative, he says "Dans l'cul, Lulu" (basically "up your ass" in response to Macron's heavy defeat). Here's also a tweet with a picture apparently taken on his birthday: https://x.com/Baudouin_wissel/status/1803754264767984073. And here's another recent picture I was able to find: https://x.com/55Bellechasse/status/1803776122720493772.

Here's a Twitter thread mentioning a couple of apparently reliable Brazilian journalistic sources that claim that he's alive: https://x.com/ggreenwald/status/1803155821695525152

Can she really be trusted if she claims that he's well?

Two Wikipedians have been going at it... is... was... is... was...

The New Stateman has it now.. how reliable is it? Edit: Looks like we all saw the same thing, my bad!

His whole life, he was numb to the right and only raised his arm for the left. His body's just following suit. Joke in poor taste apart, I do wish him a speedy "recovery" (whatever that may mean at his age). It sounds like he could have died on the way to Brazil. However, if his condition still hasn't significantly improved a year later, it likely won't until his death. I also vaguely recall Piers Morgan interviewing him in June 2023... Coincidence?

His daughter, Anouchka, posted a new picture of him (apparently taken last Friday) on Instagram.

First public appearance since hospitalization.

He met with Dr. Jane Goodall last month, and there are some new pictures.

Absolutely. With all the great picks this year, I was beginning to convince myself that the committee knew something we didn't know about Robert Wagner, but he'll probably just be picked until he dies... which I don't see happening this year.

Noam Chomsky's long-time MIT assistant, Bev Stohl, recently posted an update on Reddit. The main takeaway is that he suffered a medical event last June and has been recovering since. We'll apparently know more about his prognosis soon. The wording (e.g., "He's still with us") isn't great, but it doesn't sound like his death is imminent, either.