Dying Probably

Christ, it's time for 2025 submissions already??

IMHO, one thing that I think is a big question mark over the election (and something we can concretely say afterwards exists/does not) is any "reverse coattail" effect. Gallego in Arizona, Rosen in Nevada, and Stein in North Carolina are all polling double digits clear of their R opponents, and in a swing state, that can be enough to drag top of the ticket across the line. Hence why it's much less obvious in states where it's less one-sided (i.e. Maine 2020 w/ Collins, Vermont 2020 w/ Scott, and Montana/Ohio this year). AZ/NV/NC could get some good numbers for KH just off the virtue of stronger downballot candidates. Even (to an extent) Casey in PA, Baldwin in WI, Slotkin in MI, Kaine in VA... At least we don't have to think about Florida this time.

ITV carrying it. Jesus.

Well, previously it was an informed guess. Now I'm just bullshitting.

At this point I'm just guessing: Marcos.

January 1st. Just to spite this list...

The Fucking 2024 Olympics? Have they added a new sport since I last watched?

1 dead reportedly

Both Andrew George and Ben Maguire (LibDems) chose to also get sworn in in Cornish. George used to do it, I remember, but is this the first time 2 have? Can't remember any others. Lovely to hear it, mind.

My final result with the team I sent to Sean in PM's Anthony Browne Alun Cairns Ben Everitt Caroline Ansell Conor Burns Douglas Ross Fiona Bruce George Galloway Grant Shapps Guy Opperman Jason McCartney Jeremy Hunt Jeremy Quin Justin Tomlinson Leo Docherty Lia Nici Liz Truss Matt Vickers Oliver Dowden Paul Girvan Priti Patel Rishi Sunak Robert Courts Robin Millar Suella Braverman 19 of them toppled. Hopefully a decent score?

McDonald in '35?

I voted Liberal Democrat today. When your supposedly left-wing party is being outflanked by Joe Biden in twenty-fucking-twelve on trans issues, you don't deserve my vote.

Has reportedly told allies he's weighing whether to continue. We're in the end stretch, methinks...

Isn't Wiley Nickel (Rep who would've been dead in '24 if he even bothered to run) running? Another strong candidate - outperformed top of the ticket by a few points in '22.

Minus points to Shapiro, however, for only being Governor for two years. In my eyes, I agree with your moderate white man theory, but think they might look for someone a bit older (though not quite Biden old): Roy Cooper, Tim Walz, and even Tom Vilsack could do it for her, carrying Southern (Cooper) or Midwestern (Walz/Vilsack) appeal.