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By Election Bingo 2024-2029

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Rosie Duffield has resigned from the Labour Party and will be an independent MP. Fair chance she quits entirely before fhe election in my view. 

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We will see a pick on here.I am now on annual leave so will finalise the much awaited updates on here.Apologies and thanks for your patience.

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The Times say a by election in a Tory held seat near Welwyn Hatfield will probably occur during this parliamentary term. 

Oliver Dowden in Hertsmere? Richard Fuller in North Bedfordshire? 

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On 28/09/2024 at 17:22, The Old Crem said:

Rosie Duffield has resigned from the Labour Party and will be an independent MP. Fair chance she quits entirely before fhe election in my view. 

 

 

Count Binface is already calling on her to force a by-election and clearly fancies his own chances in Canterbury

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Iain Dale thinks Sunak, Dowden and one other he didn’t name might soon be quitting and triggering by elections,

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34 minutes ago, The Old Crem said:

Iain Dale thinks Sunak, Dowden and one other he didn’t name might soon be quitting and triggering by elections,


Dowden I've heard. Not sure about any others but wouldn't be surprised.

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21 hours ago, Ulitzer95 said:


Dowden I've heard. Not sure about any others but wouldn't be surprised.

 

 

Aye, I'm thinking Sunak is back to big bucks in international finance, likely off to America and probably in ten years heading up some global investment operation and/or managing finance on a global scale. 

 

I'm sticking with what I said a while back, he's the first PM who took the job thinking it wouldn't be the biggest job of his career. 

 

 

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Cooed be a by election in Runcorn and Helsby if Mike Amesbury resigns. Fairly good chance of a Reform gain if it happens - even a strong Reform second place would have a major political effect and be a big story. 

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I'm expecting Amesbury will have lost the whip by tomorrow. This does look like an inevitable by-election, but how quickly depends on how long he brazens it out (as in will he resign or hold out until a potential jail sentence is passed down).

 

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44 minutes ago, Brad252 said:

I'm expecting Amesbury will have lost the whip by tomorrow. This does look like an inevitable by-election, but how quickly depends on how long he brazens it out (as in will he resign or hold out until a potential jail sentence is passed down).

 

Whip Suspended. https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/breaking-labour-mp-mike-amesbury-33981582

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14 hours ago, The Old Crem said:

Cooed be a by election in Runcorn and Helsby if Mike Amesbury resigns. Fairly good chance of a Reform gain if it happens - even a strong Reform second place would have a major political effect and be a big story. 

 

 

Labour had just over 52% in July, Reform second on just over 18% - totally agree, if it gets anywhere close to a Reform gain that'd be a story. 

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Runcorn_and_Helsby_(UK_Parliament_constituency)

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Reform would be helped if turnout is extremely low even by by-election standards, which wouldn't surprise me. It's only months after a general election, a potentially painful budget will still be fresh in everyone's minds and no party is drumming up much enthusiasm for its cause at the moment. 

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7 minutes ago, Sod's Law said:

Reform would be helped if turnout is extremely low even by by-election standards, which wouldn't surprise me. It's only months after a general election, a potentially painful budget will still be fresh in everyone's minds and no party is drumming up much enthusiasm for its cause at the moment. 

Stuff like putting the bus cap up from £2 to £3 as confirmed this morning will be massively unpopular in a seat like that. 

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