The Old Crem 3,533 Posted September 28 Rosie Duffield has resigned from the Labour Party and will be an independent MP. Fair chance she quits entirely before fhe election in my view. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean 6,267 Posted September 29 We will see a pick on here.I am now on annual leave so will finalise the much awaited updates on here.Apologies and thanks for your patience. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Old Crem 3,533 Posted September 30 The Times say a by election in a Tory held seat near Welwyn Hatfield will probably occur during this parliamentary term. Oliver Dowden in Hertsmere? Richard Fuller in North Bedfordshire? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
maryportfuncity 10,584 Posted September 30 On 28/09/2024 at 17:22, The Old Crem said: Rosie Duffield has resigned from the Labour Party and will be an independent MP. Fair chance she quits entirely before fhe election in my view. Count Binface is already calling on her to force a by-election and clearly fancies his own chances in Canterbury Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Old Crem 3,533 Posted October 22 Iain Dale thinks Sunak, Dowden and one other he didn’t name might soon be quitting and triggering by elections, , 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ulitzer95 12,382 Posted October 22 34 minutes ago, The Old Crem said: Iain Dale thinks Sunak, Dowden and one other he didn’t name might soon be quitting and triggering by elections, , Dowden I've heard. Not sure about any others but wouldn't be surprised. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
maryportfuncity 10,584 Posted October 23 21 hours ago, Ulitzer95 said: Dowden I've heard. Not sure about any others but wouldn't be surprised. Aye, I'm thinking Sunak is back to big bucks in international finance, likely off to America and probably in ten years heading up some global investment operation and/or managing finance on a global scale. I'm sticking with what I said a while back, he's the first PM who took the job thinking it wouldn't be the biggest job of his career. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Old Crem 3,533 Posted Sunday at 17:27 Cooed be a by election in Runcorn and Helsby if Mike Amesbury resigns. Fairly good chance of a Reform gain if it happens - even a strong Reform second place would have a major political effect and be a big story. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Brad252 799 Posted Sunday at 17:40 I'm expecting Amesbury will have lost the whip by tomorrow. This does look like an inevitable by-election, but how quickly depends on how long he brazens it out (as in will he resign or hold out until a potential jail sentence is passed down). Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Old Crem 3,533 Posted Sunday at 18:26 44 minutes ago, Brad252 said: I'm expecting Amesbury will have lost the whip by tomorrow. This does look like an inevitable by-election, but how quickly depends on how long he brazens it out (as in will he resign or hold out until a potential jail sentence is passed down). Whip Suspended. https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/breaking-labour-mp-mike-amesbury-33981582 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
maryportfuncity 10,584 Posted Monday at 08:24 14 hours ago, The Old Crem said: Cooed be a by election in Runcorn and Helsby if Mike Amesbury resigns. Fairly good chance of a Reform gain if it happens - even a strong Reform second place would have a major political effect and be a big story. Labour had just over 52% in July, Reform second on just over 18% - totally agree, if it gets anywhere close to a Reform gain that'd be a story. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Runcorn_and_Helsby_(UK_Parliament_constituency) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sod's Law 424 Posted Monday at 11:48 Reform would be helped if turnout is extremely low even by by-election standards, which wouldn't surprise me. It's only months after a general election, a potentially painful budget will still be fresh in everyone's minds and no party is drumming up much enthusiasm for its cause at the moment. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Old Crem 3,533 Posted Monday at 11:55 7 minutes ago, Sod's Law said: Reform would be helped if turnout is extremely low even by by-election standards, which wouldn't surprise me. It's only months after a general election, a potentially painful budget will still be fresh in everyone's minds and no party is drumming up much enthusiasm for its cause at the moment. Stuff like putting the bus cap up from £2 to £3 as confirmed this morning will be massively unpopular in a seat like that. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
