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The Nobel Prize Dead Pool

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On 19/03/2021 at 18:16, Salmon Mousse said:

Chemistry: Ei-ichi Negishi

Peace: Aung San Suu Kyi

Literature: Svetlana Alexievich

Medicine: Andrew Schally

Physics: Benjamin Mottelson

Economics: Paul Krugman (bad pick, just wishful thinking on my part)

Hit for Salmon 

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On 19/03/2021 at 13:44, WEP said:

Your team starts from the moment, you sent it in and ends on January 31st, 2022

@MariNisia

You are welcome to join.

 

Next year there will be a deadline, but this year I messed up the start. That's why you're welcome to participate.

 

And thanks for your words.

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6 minutes ago, WEP said:

@MariNisia

You are welcome to join.

 

Thank you, @WEP.

 

My candidates:

Chemistry: Martin Karplus.
Peace: Adolfo Pérez Esquivel.
Literature: Elfriede Jelinek.
Medicine/Psychology: Edmond Henri Fischer.
Physics: Karl Alexander Müller.
Economic Sciences: Israel Robert John Aumann.

 

And Thanks @WEP for hosting this game. ;)

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@Salmon Mousse now leads the scoreboard with 3.836 point, followed by @Bibliogryphon with 3.634 points. Third place is @TomTomTelekom, who has scored 1.826 point.

(Sorry, @Salmon Mousse, but it was late yesterday, so I falsely scored Mr. Negishi for Africa, not for Asia. One point had to be removed, I apologize.)

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1979 physics laureate Steven Weinberg has died aged 88: https://apnews.com/article/science-nobel-prizes-physics-fa5df3e3f8027f545d6d41c19151caeb

 

He was not chosen in the NPDP but would have been worth 1.430 points.

It seems that US-American scientists who share their prizes are very unlikely to score bonus points.

 

Unless you are Weinberg's Co-laureate Sheldon Lee Glashow, who is now the last surviving laureate from 1979!
One to put an eye on in 2022 - when he will turn 90 as well!

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Edmond Henri Fischer, oldest Nobel laureate seems to be dead:

 

https://www.lindau-nobel.org/news-nobel-laureate-edmond-h-fischer

 

Laureate in Medicine 1992, who was 101!

 

This brings @MariNisia 2.610 points (+ 1 bonus point as oldest possible nominee).

 

Oldest laureate is now John B. Goodenough (99).

 

Congrats!

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1974 physics laureate Anthony Hewish has died aged 97.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/obituaries/2021/09/16/professor-antony-hewish-astronomer-jointly-won-nobel-prize-discovery/

He was the last living laureate of 1974, so his point value is 1.429 - unfortunately, he has not been chosen by any player.

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Frederik Willem de Klerk, last president of South Africa during Apartheid and 1993 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, has died aged 85:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-59247115

 

He was the first Peace Prize laureate to die in 2021 - I expected Desmond Tutu or Mikhail Gorbatshov - and was worth 5.637 points (as African octogenarian Peace laureate from the 1990s).

 

During my calculations, in was unsure whether he was even nominated, only to find out that he was my own candidate.:facepalm:

 

This now puts my own competition in a damned bad light, since I'm now leading the field:

1. @WEP - 5.637 points
2. @Salmon Mousse - 3.836 points
3. @Bibliogryphon - 3.634 points
4. @MariNisia - 2.161 points
5. @TomTomTelekom - 1.826 points
6. @arghton / @Book / @chilean way / @frleon - 0 points

 

But only one hit can change the situation.

 

The contest still goes on until January 31st, the last day, that new laureates can be nominated - for the 2022 Nobel Prizes and the new Nobel Prize Contest 2022/2023

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Desmond Tutu has died.

 

African Peace laureate from the 1980s in his 90s awarded alone makes 5.531 points for @chilean way

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A change at the scoreboard:

 

1. @WEP - 5.645 points

2. @chilean way - 5.531 points
3. @Salmon Mousse - 3.836 points
4. @Bibliogryphon - 3.634 points
5. @MariNisia - 2.161 points
6. @TomTomTelekom - 1.826 points
7. @arghton / @Book / @frleon - 0 points

 

One bonus point for @MariNisia (oldest laureate) and 8 bonus points for @WEP for the youngest.

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The first Nobel Prize Dead Pool is over now, thanks for all participants for joining.

 

Ther following Nobel laureates scored in this contest:

Isamu Akasaki, physics 2014 (92), 1.826 points for TomTomTelekom
Frederik William de Klerk, peace 1993 (85), 5.637 points for WEP
Richard Robert Ernst, chemistry 1991 (87), 3.634 points for Bibliogryphon
Edmond Henri Fischer, medicine 1992 (101), 2.610 points for MariNisia
Ei-ichi Negishi, chemistry 2010 (85), 3.836 points for Salmon Mousse
Desmond Mpilo Tutu, peace 1984 (90), 5.531 points for chilean way

 

The following laureates did not score since they were not chosen:
Robert Howard Grubbs, chemistry 2005 (78)
Anthony Hewish, physics 1974 (97)  - Last laureate of tat year
Toshihide Masukawa, physics 2008 (81)
Robert Alexander Mundell, economic sciences 1999 (88)
Steven Weinberg, physics 1979 (88)

 

This makes a total of six deceased candidates - in the scoring period - and twelve in general:
Most of them as expected in physics (4), followed by chemistry (3) and peace (2), and the tie for medicine and economic scienes (1 each). The writers are all still alive and well.

 

Since every participant scored maximum once, there was not so many mathematics to do, just the awarded bonus points have to be added:
The oldest laureate was Edmond Henry Fischer (101) and gives @MariNisia one point extra.
The youngest – scoring – laureate was a close one, but F.W. de Klerk (85) brings 8 bonus points to @WEP.

 

So the final scoreboard is:

1. @WEP - 5.645 points

2. @chilean way - 5.531 points

3. @Salmon Mousse - 3.836 points

4. @Bibliogryphon- 3.634 points

5. @MariNisia - 2.161 points

6. @TomTomTelekom - 1.826 points

7. @arghton / @Book/ @frleon - 0 points

 

Congrats to all scorers and good luck for all, who have joined the Nobel Prize Dead Pool 2022/23!

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