CarolAnn 926 Posted January 28, 2011 **snip** Then you get into a rule of thumb situation. Would a team with a greater perceived disadvantage of more than 10% be able to win this competition? I guess not, and that puts any of the top nine teams (more than 43,170pts) odds on to win even at this stage. Another rule of thumb could be the winner will definatly come from a team in the top 3 quarters or most likely from a team in the top 25%. I ask again - do you have a life? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Estuarian Float 97 Posted January 28, 2011 **snip** Then you get into a rule of thumb situation. Would a team with a greater perceived disadvantage of more than 10% be able to win this competition? I guess not, and that puts any of the top nine teams (more than 43,170pts) odds on to win even at this stage. Another rule of thumb could be the winner will definatly come from a team in the top 3 quarters or most likely from a team in the top 25%. I ask again - do you have a life? Yeah that may have been a bit much. But a short evaluation of my DDP team would be.. awesome... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Rotten Ali 600 Posted January 28, 2011 I ask again - do you have a life? No - almost a silly question - of course I don't have a life! That's why I was still looking at those figures and asking why a few of them did not add up. So I looked at it all again and found some silly errors. That perceived risk leader board should read thus: 61,966 Spade Cooley 61,298 Bert Trautman 58,799 Time 58,535 LG 58,122 Captain Chorizo 57,797 msc 57,216 Maryport 57,033 DDT 55,577 Garn2 54,658 CarolAnn 54,458 HCW 52,769 Toast 51,371 Madame Defarge 50,727 EST.1993 49,804 Six 49,673 RA 49,628 Mr3374 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Rotten Ali 600 Posted January 28, 2011 Yeah that may have been a bit much. But a short evaluation of my DDP team would be.. awesome... 80% Vasily Aleksanyan - good pick, but he has been on the edge for too long. 50% Dick Cheney - looking like this year or next. 25% Michael Douglas - lots of us have put a lot of faith in MD, but he looks to be on the mend. 60% Douglas Engelbart - old and Altzhiemers takes it's toll over a few years. 60% Michele Ferrero - never heard of him as a usual pick - is he ill? 75% Aretha Franklin - see MD but without so much of the positive spin. 80% Dennis Frederiksen - you on that band wagon too. 99% Zsa Zsa Gabor - no leg to stand on. 50% Helen Gurley Brown - old, but is she ill? 25% Kristin Hallenga - I think she is doing well - but you never can tell, she may die next month or live to 100. 50% Derryn Hinch - doing better but not out of the woods. 90% Christopher Hitchens - curtains this year. 45% Whitney Houston - still going for it, risking it all. 50% Arte Johnson - Very interesting, but... not very funny. 40% Kim Jong-il - is ill but...still hanging on. Charlie Louvin - WELL DONE 65% Hosni Mubarak - good choice - not well, and now he looks to have to put down an uprising. 85% Eunice Sanborn - too old for me. 95% Marcia Strassman - pick of your bunch so far - looks well called. 66% Laura Ziskin - fair call but that BC was some time ago. That line of subs can be edited off. With luck I think you could be looking at about 7/8/9 hits up there - upto 15 if they all swing your way - the main issue being you have a few too many old ones - they just don't bring in enough bacon. Good list. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Spade_Cooley 9,525 Posted January 31, 2011 Well, the first of the 51 has gone, and it's one of the four nobody picked. Peace out Eunice Sanborn, you were "the first person to build a concrete swimming pool in Cherokee County". Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
sympathyforthedevil 11 Posted February 5, 2011 **snip** Then you get into a rule of thumb situation. Would a team with a greater perceived disadvantage of more than 10% be able to win this competition? I guess not, and that puts any of the top nine teams (more than 43,170pts) odds on to win even at this stage. Another rule of thumb could be the winner will definatly come from a team in the top 3 quarters or most likely from a team in the top 25%. I ask again - do you have a life? He clearly doesn't. He takes the death list and its related stats to their most obsessive degree. Sad really... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
maryportfuncity 10,646 Posted February 5, 2011 I've shifted beer with Ali and perused his statistical research. I can vouch for the fact he has a sense of humour, and a life. It happens that the skills of probablility and forecasting that make for good deadpooling have also been part of RA's money-earning life. But then a few others have gravitated herabouts because their work involves dealing with death, professional writing, comedy and the like, and we tend not to have a load off at them. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Lard Bazaar 3,799 Posted February 5, 2011 **snip** Then you get into a rule of thumb situation. Would a team with a greater perceived disadvantage of more than 10% be able to win this competition? I guess not, and that puts any of the top nine teams (more than 43,170pts) odds on to win even at this stage. Another rule of thumb could be the winner will definatly come from a team in the top 3 quarters or most likely from a team in the top 25%. I ask again - do you have a life? He clearly doesn't. He takes the death list and its related stats to their most obsessive degree. Sad really... Sad is the last thing RA is. He's a charming, funny and most likeable chap. There is something most appealing about someone showing a real passion and enthusiasm for their chosen subject - just because it's statistics and number crunching rather than arm wrestling or shark fishing matters not. Keep up the good work RA! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Rotten Ali 600 Posted February 5, 2011 Sad is the last thing RA is. He's a charming, funny and most likeable chap. There is something most appealing about someone showing a real passion and enthusiasm for their chosen subject - just because it's statistics and number crunching rather than arm wrestling or shark fishing matters not. Keep up the good work RA! Thanks. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Spade_Cooley 9,525 Posted March 23, 2011 WE HAVE POINTS ON THE BOARD 9 teams avoided Ms Taylor, so they stay on 0. EST.1993 will presumably be urinating over the "International Velvet" section at his local Blockbuster as we speak. 1= Life, Oh Life [via Des'Ree] (Spade_Cooley) 0 points 1= Might Come to Maryport in 2012 (maryportfuncity) 0 points 1= heaven can wait 0 points 1= BertTrautman 0 points 1= Mr. 3374 0 points 1= STAB_in-the_DARK (Rotten Ali) 0 points 1= Garn2 0 points 1= 25 To Stay Alive (Toast) 0 points 1= time 0 points 10. CarolAnn -6 points 11. Captain Chorizo -8 points 12. Lady Grendel -11 points 13. DevonDeathTrip -13 points 14. msc -16 points 15. No Rest for the Wicked (Madame Defarge) -20 points 16. Six -23 points 17. EST.1993 -24 points Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,441 Posted March 23, 2011 This is extremely typical. Not only is she not on any of my deadpools, but she ranked high in this. Sods law. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Rotten Ali 600 Posted March 23, 2011 I still have nothing. NOTHING, I TELL YOU. NOTHING! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Paul Bearer 6,101 Posted March 23, 2011 I still have nothing. NOTHING, I TELL YOU. NOTHING! Me neither. Are we winning? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
time 8,599 Posted March 23, 2011 I still have nothing. NOTHING, I TELL YOU. NOTHING! Me neither. Are we winning? Yes we are! 1= time 0 points Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Spade_Cooley 9,525 Posted May 6, 2011 Digger Choules' death has no impact on the scores, but what with Ballesteros being on death watch we could have a big shake up in the standings by the end of today. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
maryportfuncity 10,646 Posted May 6, 2011 Aye, Seve is sitting in sixth on my team. Not looking good! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
IKYWN 6 Posted May 6, 2011 I get the feeling Seve will departing before too long http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/golf/13311206.stm Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Six 23 Posted May 7, 2011 And again, from the top... Oh shoot. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Spade_Cooley 9,525 Posted May 7, 2011 Well that put the cat among the pigeons (birdies?). Seve's tumor pulled a mulligan on him last night and that means that only two IDPers are still 100% clean, Rotten Ali and Garn2 proving that DeathList maxim that if you put your faith in Clive Dunn not dying, you should be OK. DDT and Madame Defarge are the only other two players on minus 20 or more. Congratulations to Time, Bert Tratumann and Mr. 3374 for picking Seve as the man most likely to make it through the year, as well. EST 1993 is still bottom of the table, but, hey, there's all to play for. 1= STAB_in-the_DARK (Rotten Ali) 0 points 1= Garn2 0 points 3. DevonDeathTrip -19 points 4. No Rest for the Wicked (Madame Defarge) -20 points 5. Might Come to Maryport in 2012 (maryportfuncity) -21 points 6. Life, Oh Life [via Des'Ree] (Spade_Cooley) -22 points 7= heaven can wait -23 points 7= 25 To Stay Alive (Toast) -23 points 9. Six -24 points 10= BertTrautman -25 points 10= Mr. 3374 -25 points 10= time -25 points 13. CarolAnn -27 points 14. Captain Chorizo -29 points 15. Lady Grendel -33 points 16. msc -39 points 17. EST.1993 -40 points Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
time 8,599 Posted May 7, 2011 Well that put the cat among the pigeons (birdies?). Seve's tumor pulled a mulligan on him last night and that means that only two IDPers are still 100% clean, Rotten Ali and Garn2 proving that DeathList maxim that if you put your faith in Clive Dunn not dying, you should be OK. DDT and Madame Defarge are the only other two players under minus 20. Congratulations to Time, Bert Tratumann and Mr. 3374 for pick Seve as the man most likely to make it through the year, as well. EST 1993 is still bottom of the table, but, hey, there's all to play for. 1= STAB_in-the_DARK (Rotten Ali) 0 points 1= Garn2 0 points 3. DevonDeathTrip -19 points 4. No Rest for the Wicked (Madame Defarge) -20 points 5. Might Come to Maryport in 2012 (maryportfuncity) -21 points 6. Life, Oh Life [via Des'Ree] (Spade_Cooley) -22 points 7= heaven can wait -23 points 7= 25 To Stay Alive (Toast) -23 points 9. Six -24 points 10= BertTrautman -25 points 10= Mr. 3374 -25 points 10= time -25 points 13. CarolAnn -27 points 14. Captain Chorizo -29 points 15. Lady Grendel -33 points 16. msc -39 points 17. EST.1993 -40 points That'll teach me for starting it off in alphabetical order! Still, 25 under, thats a pretty good score for Seve... BTW, I think you mean DDT and Madame Defarge are the only other two players OVER minus 20 (Even though Madame Defarge isn't). Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Spade_Cooley 9,525 Posted May 7, 2011 BTW, I think you mean DDT and Madame Defarge are the only other two players OVER minus 20 (Even though Madame Defarge isn't). Yeah, in fairness that post of mine is a grammatical bomb site. I'll rewrite it when I'm less hungover. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,441 Posted May 7, 2011 Bloody hell, I'm not very good at this. Apologies to fans of Danny Baker and Gazza at the current going jinx rate. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Spade_Cooley 9,525 Posted June 24, 2011 You know what's a good film? "Murder by Death". Feel free to construct your own pun based on that for today's passing of Mr Peter Falk. And before I go, just one more thing: this now means there is a definitive leader in the inverse dead pool as Ali's spreadsheet has come a cropper meaning that Garn2 is now the only player with no deaths to his name so far this year. DDT and Madame DeFarge both gave Falk a top 5 berth, meaning they both fall down the table impressively. Defarge and 3374 battle it out for the wooden spoon at the moment, although just one point separates the bottom 5. 1. Garn2 0 points 2. STAB_in-the_DARK (Rotten Ali) -2 points 3. Might Come to Maryport in 2012 (maryportfuncity) -21 points 4. 25 To Stay Alive (Toast) -23 points 5. BertTrautman -25 points 5= time -25 points 7. Life, Oh Life [via Des'Ree] (Spade_Cooley) -26 points 8. CarolAnn -27 points 9. Captain Chorizo -29 points 10. Lady Grendel -33 points 11. heaven can wait -37 points 12= DevonDeathTrip -40 points 12= Six -40 points 12= msc -40 points 12= EST.1993 -40 points 16= No Rest for the Wicked (Madame Defarge) -41 points 10= Mr. 3374 -41 points Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
