msc 18,436 Posted September 1, 2022 7 minutes ago, Deathtreat23 said: Well Betty White did pass away in the dying hours of 2021 on New Years Eve so that last comment is entirely possible! Absolutely. It's an old DL staple, going back a decade or so ago for one random example, everyone expected Bernie Nolan to die any day, when suddenly "centenarian nailed on" DL regular Anna Wing died in her sleep. Mind you, there's also Zsa Zsa, who got the last rites, and then proceeded to outlive about 70 DL hits... 5 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bibliogryphon 9,569 Posted September 9, 2022 Updated the graphic for the seventh hit this year Every year shown has at least two deaths from this point of the year onward We might just scrape double figures if we have a busy final third 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,436 Posted September 13, 2022 On 01/09/2022 at 10:25, msc said: Oh very well, the annual September watch list. 1. Henry Kissinger - looked very frail on Newsnight the other night. 2. Angela Lansbury - according to the fan mail community, who are as good at stalking as TMZ, now in declined health 3. Bob Barker - Was in and out of hospital due to age related illnesses before pandemic. How is he still alive? 4. Alan Greenspan - Dull pick, but Reptile is convinced he's dying. 5. Nigel Starmer-Smith - Looked a corpse in December. Still breathing, somehow. 6. Jimmy Carter - Long surpassed the usual expiry date for Presidents, and beaten up the Reaper several times now. Borrowed time, or sign of immortality? 7. Leslie Philips - Frail old man though possible not as frail as some on the list, given his longevity! 8. Desmond Morris - Oldest newcomer on the list, a fatal condition in the last decade! 9. Ted Kaczyinski - Surely destined to live and give me nightmares on TCD23, but also allegedly has terminal cancer 10. James Whale - Seems far too healthy for terminal cancer, but so did Bill Turnbull a few months ago. 11. Jacques Delors - Missed his big bash last year, meant to be very frail. 12. Denis Law - An outlier given age and recency of diagnosis, but he looked like shit in his last TV appearance so a quick downturn would not surprise. 13. Burt Bacharach - Another incredible frail old person. 14. Bill Treacher - Already wheelchair bound/retired/frail, lost a number of friends this year and didn't seem to make any public comments, which is odd. 15. Norman Tebbit - Ulitzer said he looked like shit and probably wouldn't see 2023. 16. Pele - Is selling near death like he sold SPAM. 17. Douglas Hurd - Has spent the last decade being so frail and unwell, its a surprise he's still going 18. Marianne Faithful - COPD, fucked lungs, post-covid, needs oxygen and in nursing home. Not long left. 19. Linda Ronstadt - I picked Robbie Rensenbrink in the DDP because 7 years was the limit for PSP. Ronstadt is now in Year 9. 20. Shane MacGowan - It's Shane MacGowan If we get more hits in the last 4 months of the year, I suspect they''ll come from this shortlist. Potential, yes, but a large number of 50/50s at best too. Now watch this lot all celebrate Hogmanay, while Harry Belafonte dies in his sleep over the weekend! 12 days later, 2 hits later, neither on this shortlist! I'm good at this! Either one massive jinx, or @Gooseberry Crumble bowel movements in action. 3 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bibliogryphon 9,569 Posted September 13, 2022 Here is the Graph updated for Goddard I said we might scrape double figures if we had a busy final third. Looking like we might! 7 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,436 Posted September 13, 2022 8 minutes ago, Bibliogryphon said: Here is the Graph updated for Goddard I said we might scrape double figures if we had a busy final third. Looking like we might! Nothing for 5 months, then 4 hits in a fortnight. The DL moves in mysterious ways. 7 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gooseberry Crumble 5,337 Posted September 13, 2022 59 minutes ago, msc said: Nothing for 5 months, then 4 hits in a fortnight. The DL moves in mysterious ways. It pays to keep the faith! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gooseberry Crumble 5,337 Posted September 13, 2022 2 hours ago, msc said: 12 days later, 2 hits later, neither on this shortlist! I'm good at this! Either one massive jinx, or @Gooseberry Crumble bowel movements in action. I actually have started back on the bran flakes in the past fortnight strangely enough after being more of a Weetaflakes guy for many months!! 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
gcreptile 10,963 Posted September 13, 2022 Dick Van Dyke - no, still far too early Henry Kissinger - getting weaker, but will be fighting death for each single day, I think he's going for the 100th birthday, already drooling for those "a century with Henry" interviews, but dies shortly after Angela Lansbury - are the rumours true? Still feels a little vague, and well, many 96 year old people are not in good health. Bob Barker - kind of think he's overdue Alan Greenspan - since he's not been on camera lately, I think he's going down. Kissinger is a similar case by the way - wanting to die after they're unable to play their public role Nigel Starmer-Smith - reasonably good bet, still Loretta Lynn - apparently stable, and probably too high on the list as the stroke didn't turn out to be perpetually limiting her The Carters - I agree, they'll go together, but if neither of them goes, they just keep on living? Tony Bennett - is he declining physically as fast as mentally? I haven't seen the proof yet. Dick Cheney - no particular reason for him to be on the list Harry Belafonte - still seems like a bad pick Mel Brooks - still seems like a bad pick Sir Bobby Charlton - like Nigel Starmer-Smith, a reasonable pick. I think one of those two will die this year, still. David Attenborough - yes, you don't want to miss him, but he's not a good pick, on paper Akihito - I think the committee just likes monarchs, or we have a "sunk cost fallacy" going on here Leslie Philiips - well... Sandy Gall - had a book out recently, away from TV apparently doesn't mean in ill health Desmond Morris - no idea Ted Kaczinski - good pick on the outset, we only knew in spring that he's a better pick for 2023 Jean-Marie Le Pen - doing too well James Whale - seems to have a very manageable cancer Cleo Laine - no idea Jerry Lee Lewis - annoyingly stable Jacques Delors - would usually be one of these random age-based hits for the list, could still happen Denis Law - too early Prunella Scales - her dementia doesn't seem to affect her physically, so she's basically also "only" an age based pick Burt Bacharach - apparently frail? But as long as there's no "real" illness... Stanley Baxter - no idea, but you seem to think it may be time for him to bow out Noam Chomsky - looking ghastly, but then, not much different from Kissinger. One has to wait until he's gone from public media Bill Treacher - no idea, seems a wasted pick? ..... Well that's it for now... I think we're good for about 3-4 more hits. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
arghton 6,695 Posted September 13, 2022 1 hour ago, gcreptile said: Henry Kissinger - getting weaker, but will be fighting death for each single day, I think he's going for the 100th birthday, already drooling for those "a century with Henry" interviews, but dies shortly after Bob Barker - kind of think he's overdue Loretta Lynn - apparently stable, and probably too high on the list as the stroke didn't turn out to be perpetually limiting her Dick Cheney - no particular reason for him to be on the list Harry Belafonte - still seems like a bad pick Akihito - I think the committee just likes monarchs, or we have a "sunk cost fallacy" going on here Ted Kaczinski - good pick on the outset, we only knew in spring that he's a better pick for 2023 Jerry Lee Lewis - annoyingly stable Burt Bacharach - apparently frail? But as long as there's no "real" illness... Bill Treacher - no idea, seems a wasted pick? Some opinions Kissinger and Barker are, in my opinion, some of the most overdue notable people currently living. Kissinger is an obese nonagenarian with a history of heart problems (and to be fair he's looked like shit in interviews for the last half a decade) and Barker has had cancers, strokes, falls. Loretta Lynn is only 90 and seems to have been doing fine for the last four years. In a way similar to Bacharach who was reported "frail" years ago but seems to be doing fine. Belafonte looked really frail two years ago, the video was posted in his thread, but I don't know if he's ill. Cheney has a long health history, no way he gets to 90 but seems pretty stable currently. Akihito, well, there are better picks. I would be suprised if he reached 95. Kaczynski - Do we know how ill he is? He has said in a letter that he suffers from a form of cancer that isn't very deadly, and he's at a prison hospital. I wonder if there's a chance the whole thing could turn out to have been BS. Jerry Lee Lewis probably suffered some unknown ailment around December/January, now more active. Still, he's a very frail hellraiser who survived a severe stroke a few years ago, my bet is that he'll die at 87. Bill Treacher has been wheelchairbound with ataxia for atleast 7 years. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RadGuy 1,614 Posted September 13, 2022 So, uh... safe to say we're not in a drought anymore, right? 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WEP 888 Posted September 13, 2022 15 minutes ago, RadGuy said: So, uh... safe to say we're not in a drought anymore, right? Well, it normally rains in autumn, or? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gooseberry Crumble 5,337 Posted September 13, 2022 17 minutes ago, RadGuy said: So, uh... safe to say we're not in a drought anymore, right? More like flood territory 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deathtreat23 189 Posted September 13, 2022 So after the drought from April to the end of August, that's half of this year's hits in the space of a fortnight, things are picking up after all Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bibliogryphon 9,569 Posted October 4, 2022 Updated graph for Loretta Lynn In 2003 there were no hits later than this date 4 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,436 Posted October 4, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bibliogryphon said: In 2003 there were no hits later than this date Aye, and in every year since 2003, there has been! 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gooseberry Crumble 5,337 Posted October 4, 2022 9 minutes ago, Bibliogryphon said: Updated graph for Loretta Lynn In 2003 there were no hits later than this date I am confident there will be numerous more 'hits'this year .. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bibliogryphon 9,569 Posted October 4, 2022 5 minutes ago, Gooseberry Crumble said: I am confident there will be numerous more 'hits'this year .. I am going to say 12 Hits total Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gooseberry Crumble 5,337 Posted October 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bibliogryphon said: I am going to say 12 Hits total As the play your cards right audience often chanted. .Higher Higher! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bibliogryphon 9,569 Posted October 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, Gooseberry Crumble said: As the play your cards right audience often chanted. .Higher Higher! The most we have had post this point in the year is 6. Do you think it will be above that? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gooseberry Crumble 5,337 Posted October 4, 2022 1 minute ago, Bibliogryphon said: The most we have had post this point in the year is 6. Do you think it will be above that? Yes Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bibliogryphon 9,569 Posted October 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, Gooseberry Crumble said: Yes Looking at the remaining names on the list there are about 8 I think would not be unreasonable But 17 is a very good year and we had a long drought in the middle of it. There are only 88 days left for you to get them in 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gooseberry Crumble 5,337 Posted October 4, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bibliogryphon said: Looking at the remaining names on the list there are about 8 I think would not be unreasonable But 17 is a very good year and we had a long drought in the middle of it. There are only 88 days left for you to get them in Alan Greenspan, Leslie Phillips, Angela Lansbury, Bob Barker, Cleo Laine, Marianne Faithfull, Harry Belafonte, Jacques Delors, Stanley Baxter and Jerry Lee Lewis all seem like good and reasonable shouts this year.. I just have a vibe and intuition I have that the rest of the year will be busy. It might just be that this gut feelings a result of switching to ASDA own brand Bran Flakes and they to my surprise haven't skimped on the fibre and ruffage.... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bibliogryphon 9,569 Posted October 4, 2022 6 minutes ago, Gooseberry Crumble said: Alan Greenspan, Leslie Phillips, Angela Lansbury, Bob Barker, Cleo Laine, Marianne Faithfull, Harry Belafonte, Jacques Delors, Stanley Baxter and Jerry Lee Lewis all seem like good and reasonable shouts this year.. I just have a vibe and intuition I have that the rest of the year will be busy. It might just be that this gut feelings a result of switching to ASDA own brand Bran Flakes and they to my surprise haven't skimped on the fibre and ruffage.... My eight have an overlap with yours but not completely Lansbury, Barker, Starmer-Smith, Baxter, Phillps, Pele, Hurd and one of the Carters but not both 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MortalCaso 1,624 Posted October 4, 2022 I think we have a range of 3 to 5 left. There has been a few obvious selections that have made it quite far, they won't all make years end. 3 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Summer in Transylvania 2,172 Posted October 4, 2022 If we're going to start speculating, I would say perhaps Jimmy Carter, Milan Kundera, Pelé, Douglas Hurd, one "surprise" death (one that could die any time between now and the next five years without us really getting any major clues as to when until it happens), Nigel Starmer-Smith, and Jacques Delors. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites