Who Do You Think Will Win The 2024 UK Election?

[Sod's Law 445]

Labour- 435

Tories- 100

Lib Dems- 81

SNP- 29

Reform- 2

Greens- 2

Speaker- 1

 

I wouldn't bet on Corbyn or Galloway surviving this, I think the results in Scotland will be closer than we think between Lab/SNP and I can see Nige picking up Clacton but not much more luck for Reform than that. Anecdotally, I know people from all across the political spectrum and even the hardest right ones have nothing but contempt for Putin. Farage's Putin apologist interview was the last straw for them. Many of these people will either jump back to the Tories once they get to the ballot box or not vote at all. 

[The Old Crem 3,606]

Using electoral calculus using the share of vote I predict I have got

 Labour - 431

Tory - 103

Lib Dem - 70

Reform - 5

Green - 3

SNP - 15

Plaid - 3

Other - 2 

 

[Grim Up North 3,726]

Labour - 397

Tory - 139

Lib Dem - 60

Reform - 3

Green - 3

SNP - 24

Plaid - 3

Other - 2 

 

Lab Majority 163

[MortalCaso 1,629]

Not gonna predict, just wish you all luck. Hopefully your country makes the right choice and y'all can sleep easier at night. 

 

Good luck!

[Clorox Bleachman 2,432]

Labour - 404

Tory - 116

Lib Dem - 75

SNP - 23

Reform - 6

Green - 4

Ind/Other - 2

Plaid - 1

[BuffaloPhil 926]

If the exit poll is spot on, this is how we compare (scores are total difference between numbers across all parties)

 

@Grim Up North 48

@Clorox Bleachman 60

@The Old Crem 73

@Sly Ronnie 74

@Surprise Demise 77

@Philheybrookbay1 96

@Commtech Sio Bibble 96

@BuffaloPhil 98

@Sod's Law 110

@Insane 132

@diego 138

@Sleepiestpeep 142

@Great Uncle Bulgaria 152

 

Well done Grim!

[Grim Up North 3,726]

11 hours ago, BuffaloPhil said:

If the exit poll is spot on, this is how we compare (scores are total difference between numbers across all parties)

 

@Grim Up North 48

@Clorox Bleachman 60

@The Old Crem 73

@Sly Ronnie 74

@Surprise Demise 77

@Philheybrookbay1 96

@Commtech Sio Bibble 96

@BuffaloPhil 98

@Sod's Law 110

@Insane 132

@diego 138

@Sleepiestpeep 142

@Great Uncle Bulgaria 152

 

Well done Grim!

I think Clorox is closer on actuals.

[BuffaloPhil 926]

3 minutes ago, Grim Up North said:

I think Clorox is closer on actuals.

I'll update once we have the final 3 seats confirmed.

[BuffaloPhil 926]

Final results now that all seats are confirmed :

 

@Clorox Bleachman 34

@The Old Crem 47

@Grim Up North 64

@Philheybrookbay1 66

@Commtech Sio Bibble 68

@BuffaloPhil 68

@Surprise Demise 71

@Sod's Law 82

@Sly Ronnie 92

@Insane 104

@diego 106

@Sleepiestpeep 118

@Great Uncle Bulgaria 170

 

Very impressive indeed from Clorox, congratulations. Only Grim Up North, Sly Ronnie and Great Uncle Bulgaria were closer to the exit poll than the actual results.

[diego 1,985]

Congrats @Clorox Bleachman