YoungWillz 21,524 Posted April 21, 2017 Rather than open a new thread, perhaps the thread could be renamed That Portillo Moment and then we can use this one, given interest is already high? 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Mad Hatter 1,093 Posted April 21, 2017 5 minutes ago, Toast said: How about Clare Grogan? Everybody likes her. No Raymond Burr,everybody love Raymond. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,524 Posted April 21, 2017 Thanks DI, thread renamed, let's just open entries (although I expect to see folks waiting to see how things are going round about mid-May anyway). Pick the name of the politician who is most likely to lose by the largest margin on June 8th! I'll collate a bunch of names and have a scoreboard on the morning of the 9th. Doesn't have to be unique, I'm all in favour of joint winners. Wooden spoon goes to the person whose pick loses by the smallest margin or indeed retains their seat by the largest margin from the list collated. In memory of Danny Alexander from 2015. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,676 Posted April 21, 2017 Largest margin? Feck... Our man Danczuk. Especially if he's now running as an Indy MP. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,524 Posted April 21, 2017 Wonder if anyone will plump for Vince Cable again as he is standing? Thumped, and one of the best Portillo faces of 2015, would he have an even more bitter face if he lost again? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Spade_Cooley 9,700 Posted April 21, 2017 I'll take Gloria De Piero. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
themaninblack 2,112 Posted April 21, 2017 45 minutes ago, Spade_Cooley said: I'll take Gloria De Piero. Straight down the division lobby, no doubt! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
maryportfuncity 10,768 Posted April 23, 2017 A long shot might be Philip Davies who's been targetted by the Women's Equality Party. Given that he's a sitting Tory and a few of the other parties might soft-peddle to see him unseated it's a possibility that is gaining some press attention. Davies has voted against female-friendly legislation in the past and been somewhat outspoken in a way that doesn't impress the likes of the WEP. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/womens-equality-party-sophie-walker-mp-philip-davies-conservatives-shipley-yorkshire-a7697341.html Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Spade_Cooley 9,700 Posted April 24, 2017 Looking more and more at the data that's out there (day job, sadly I can't scour google for terminal cancer for a living), I think Jon Cruddas is going to be one of the big casualties this time out. Shame, he looked like the future at one point. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,676 Posted April 24, 2017 Thing about Cruddas - he was meant to be in danger last time and 2010 too. He has a habit of surviving. Mind you, so did Michael Forsyth once. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,524 Posted May 16, 2017 So, plenty of contenders now the candidates' lists have been verified? Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn Angus Robertson Tim Farron Paul Nuttall Caroline Lucas Mhairi Black David Mundell Zak Goldsmith David Davies Mary Creagh Vince Cable Gloria De Piero Ed Miliband Nick Clegg Anna Soubry Clive Lewis Ian Murray Alistair Carmichael Any more? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,676 Posted May 16, 2017 Suspect Alex Salmond, Cat Smith (who will appear on Newsnight soon after to call it an "incredible result for Labour"...), Liz Kendall, and Dame Margaret Beckett might be in trouble too. Just as options. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
maryportfuncity 10,768 Posted May 16, 2017 53 minutes ago, YoungWillz said: So, plenty of contenders now the candidates' lists have been verified? Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn Angus Robertson Tim Farron Paul Nuttall Caroline Lucas Mhairi Black David Mundell Zak Goldsmith David Davies Mary Creagh Vince Cable Gloria De Piero Ed Miliband Nick Clegg Anna Soubry Clive Lewis Ian Murray Alistair Carmichael Any more? Jezza polled damn near 30,000 of an almost 50,000 cast in Islington North last time out - even a coalition hell-bent on stopping him by uniting behind the nearest (Conservative) challenger would be struggling. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean 6,566 Posted May 16, 2017 Yvette Cooper or Chuka Umunna would be a true Portillo moment as they are seen as future leaders. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,676 Posted May 16, 2017 So would Tom Watson in that case. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,524 Posted May 16, 2017 17 minutes ago, maryportfuncity said: Jezza polled damn near 30,000 of an almost 50,000 cast in Islington North last time out - even a coalition hell-bent on stopping him by uniting behind the nearest (Conservative) challenger would be struggling. Yeah, but the Westminster leaders are always fair game for this game. I thought about including Chuka then didn't. But possibly.... The Tory up against Alex Salmond is known already as "four jobs", two of which are already political and all of which take second place to his international refereeing. He ain't gonna beat Alex on that record...but if he does, independence will soon follow... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,524 Posted May 30, 2017 Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn Angus Robertson Tim Farron Paul Nuttall Caroline Lucas Mhairi Black David Mundell Zak Goldsmith David Davies Mary Creagh Vince Cable Gloria De Piero Ed Miliband Nick Clegg Anna Soubry Clive Lewis Ian Murray Alistair Carmichael Philip Davies Jon Cruddas Yvette Cooper Simon Danczuk Chuka Umunna Tom Watson Margaret Beckett Alex Salmond Liz Kendall Cat Smith Dennis Skinner Ben Gummer Amber Rudd Ian Duncan Smith Stephen Crabb List Updated. Any more nominees? Given the polls, those reliable indicators (pah!), do we need more Tories? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Spade_Cooley 9,700 Posted May 30, 2017 Tezza has made two trips to Bolsover now, suggesting that the blues seemingly have some data that Dennis Skinner is vulnerable. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,524 Posted May 30, 2017 5 minutes ago, Spade_Cooley said: Tezza has made two trips to Bolsover now, suggesting that the blues seemingly have some data that Dennis Skinner is vulnerable. I'll add him in. If Skinner goes that could be a contender, not necessarily by largest margin but for shock value. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean 6,566 Posted May 30, 2017 Skinner losing his seat would be utterly shocking.For a man who has along with very few others embodied the left of the Labour party for nearly 50 years losing his seat under a leader on the left of the party would be shocking.Would be similar to Tony Benn losing his Bristol seat in 1983. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean 6,566 Posted May 30, 2017 If Dennis loses his seat I reckon it might finish him off.He seems the sort that if he ever retired would just drop dead a few months later. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,676 Posted May 30, 2017 Tories might think they have a chance because of the rumblings that there's never been any canvassing done in Bolsover. Thing is, Skinner's done the exact same campaign each election since 1970, and it hasn't harmed him yet. Plus, he has widespread respect (if not support) across the community (as told to me by a staunch Tory) and I doubt there's really the will to vote him out, when there's likely to be a by-election before far too long anyhow. If Bolsover goes Tory, the Labour party are going down to below 20 seats, imo. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean 6,566 Posted May 30, 2017 34 minutes ago, YoungWillz said: Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn Angus Robertson Tim Farron Paul Nuttall Caroline Lucas Mhairi Black David Mundell Zak Goldsmith David Davies Mary Creagh Vince Cable Gloria De Piero Ed Miliband Nick Clegg Anna Soubry Clive Lewis Ian Murray Alistair Carmichael Philip Davies Jon Cruddas Yvette Cooper Simon Danczuk Chuka Umunna Tom Watson Margaret Beckett Alex Salmond Liz Kendall Cat Smith Dennis Skinner List Updated. Any more nominees? Given the polls, those reliable indicators (pah!), do we need more Tories? Nick Clegg Ben Gummer Amber Rudd 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,524 Posted May 30, 2017 1 minute ago, Shaun of the Dead said: Nick Clegg Ben Gummer Amber Rudd Can't put Clegg in twice, unfortunately. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,676 Posted May 30, 2017 Someone in London (ie, where there might be a Labour swing against national trend?). Hmm.. Iain Duncan Smith? That'd be funny. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
