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Who Do You Think Will Win The Democrat And Republican Nominations?

Who Do You Think Will Win The Democrat And Republican Nominations?  

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It is interesting how Goldwater was the archetypal example of the GOP candidate who was too conservative to win, yet there were still a few regards (ie his loathing of the religious right and its chokehold on the party) in which he looks pretty sane in comparison to some of the folks in the running today!

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Fiorina endorsed Cruz (a few days ago but don't think it was mentioned).

 

Now Carson is expected to endorse Trump.

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Trump for president.

 

Then we'll have fun with World War III and if we're still alive, can go into serious overdrive on this forum.

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My predictions:

 

REPUBLICANS

Florida: Trump 40%, Rubio 23%

Illinois: Trump 32%, Cruz 25%

Missouri: Trump 37%, Cruz 34%

North Carolina: Trump 50%, Cruz 27%

Ohio: Kasich 35%, Trump 34%

 

DEMOCRATS

Florida: Clinton 73%, Sanders 26%

Illinois: Sanders 52%, Clinton 48%

Missouri: Sanders 51%, Clinton 49%

North Carolina: Clinton 69%, Sanders 30%

Ohio: Sanders 51%, Clinton 49%

 

In a few hours we'll see if I'm right.

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My predictions:

REPUBLICANS

Florida: Trump 40%, Rubio 23%

Illinois: Trump 32%, Cruz 25%

Missouri: Trump 37%, Cruz 34%

North Carolina: Trump 50%, Cruz 27%

Ohio: Kasich 35%, Trump 34%

DEMOCRATS

Florida: Clinton 73%, Sanders 26%

Illinois: Sanders 52%, Clinton 48%

Missouri: Sanders 51%, Clinton 49%

North Carolina: Clinton 69%, Sanders 30%

Ohio: Sanders 51%, Clinton 49%

In a few hours we'll see if I'm right.

according to this he might drop out http://radaronline.com/celebrity-news/ted-cruz-hookers-threats-hints-anonymous-claims-fraud-rumors-released/

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In Florida, about a third are reporting, while in North Carolina and Ohio, only a small percentage are reporting. Nothing yet from Missouri nor Illinois.

 

FLORIDA DEMOCRATIC

Clinton: 65%

Sanders: 33%

 

FLORIDA REPUBLICAN

Trump: 46%

Rubio: 27%

Cruz: 17%

Kasich 7%

 

NORTH CAROLINA DEMOCRATIC

Clinton: 60%

Sanders: 37%

 

NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN

Trump: 42%

Cruz: 34%

Kasich: 12%

Rubio: 10%

 

OHIO DEMOCRATIC

Clinton: 69%

Sanders: 30%

 

OHIO REPUBLICAN

Kasich: 45%

Trump: 32%

Cruz: 14%

Rubio: 7%

 

I will try to update again fairly soon.

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Florida called for Clinton and Trump. That's it for Rubio then

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I wonder how many Hispanics and Cubans will regret their vote when they are deported?

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Florida called for Clinton and Trump. That's it for Rubio then

 

Aaand the robot has officially called it quits.

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Rubio dropped out. Kasich, on the other hand, succeeded in winning his home state.

 

Meanwhile, it seems like Hillary might win ALL FIVE states. Missouri and Illinois still a bit too close to call. She has officially won in Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio.

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It's always slightly pointless to be musing too deep about the numbers as they come in, better to wait until there are some definitive winners and losers of the night. With that in mind, and nearly all the results in here is the lay of the land on Super Tuesday Take 2:

 

REPUBLICANS

Florida - Trump 45.8%

Rubio 27%

Cruz 17.1%

Kasich 6.8%

State is winner-take-all so Trump receives all 99 delegates that Florida has to offer.

 

Illinois - Trump 38.9%

Cruz 30.5%

Kasich 19.6%

Rubio 8.5%

Again, winner-take-all so Trump receives all 69 delegates.

 

Ohio - Kasich 47.1%

Trump 35.9%

Cruz 13.9%

Rubio 2.3%

Winner-takes-all means Kasich receives all 66 delegates from his home state.

 

North Carolina - Trump 40.3%

Cruz 36.8%

Kasich 12.7%

Rubio 7.7%

Delegates awarded proportionally so Trump gained 29 to Cruz's 26, Kasich 9 and Rubio 5.

 

Missouri - Trump 40.8%

Cruz 40.7%

Kasich 10.1%

Rubio 6.1%

Delegates awarded by congressional district winner, plus 12 delegates awarded to the overall state winner. This means that despite winning by less than 2000 votes, Donald Trump is likely to pick up the vast majority of Missouri's 52 delegates.

 

Total delegates awarded tonight: TRUMP 197 (+Missouri), KASICH 75, CRUZ 26, Rubio 5.

 

DEMOCRATS

All delegates awarded proportionally on the Democratic side.

 

Florida - Clinton 64.5%

Sanders 33.3%

Hillary wins 124 delegates to Bernie's 60.

 

Illinois - Clinton 50.3%

Sanders 48.9%

Hillary wins 68 to Bernie's 64.

 

Ohio - Clinton 56.5%

Sanders 42.8%

Hillary wins 75 to Bernie's 54.

 

North Carolina - Clinton 54.6%

Sanders 40.8%

Hillary wins 59 to Bernie's 42.

 

Missouri - Clinton 49.6%

Sanders 49.4%

Delegate breakdowns not in yet, but based on the closeness of the result (Hillary winning by about 1500 votes) the delegates will almost certainly be virtually dead level.

 

Total delegates awarded tonight: HILLARY 326, SANDERS 220 (both with Missouri to be added but margin will remain around 100 in Hillary's favour)

 

So, what are the headlines from tonight?

 

Marco Rubio is OUT of the race, having failed to win his home state of Florida. John Kasich passed his test to stay in the race by winning Ohio, his home state and the state where he is the current Governor. This means the Republican race is down to a three horse race between Trump, Cruz and Kasich. Trump has extended his lead in the delegate race, but by losing Ohio is now unlikely to make the 1237 delegates needed to win the nomination before the convention. He must win 60% of the remaining delegates to get there. Kasich will hope to receive Rubio's money and Rubio's votes, but whether those things are guaranteed and whether they mean he will be able to win states ahead of Cruz and Trump remains to be seen. He declared tonight he is going 'all the way to Cleveland', which is where the Republican convention is to be held, so it looks like he won't be dropping out. Cruz keeps talking about it being a two-man race but looks set not to win a single state tonight.

 

On the Democratic side, Hillary seems like she's going to win all 5 contests tonight, and steady the slight shock last week of losing Michigan. Wins in Ohio and Illinois have reassured her camp that she can win in areas with more white, so-called 'blue collar' voters. A big win in Florida has further boosted her campaign. As of tonight, she has around a 300 delegate lead in terms of the 'pledged' delegates (those awarded by the states, not the so-called 'superdelegates' who can vote for whomever they like on the day) and it is seen that this is an insurmountable advantage, particularly as no contest on the Democratic side is 'winner-takes-all', making gaining big margins difficult. Realistically, tonight is the night that Hillary secured the nomination, although mathematically it could take a few more months yet.

 

PLEASE NOTE: As of 5.30am UK Time, neither the Democratic or Republican races in Missouri have been called. With 99% of the votes in in both contests, Donald Trump leads Ted Cruz by 1726 votes and Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders by 1531. There are literally a handful of votes to be counted but both contests seem to be virtual ties.

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So, Trump stated that he won't go to the Fox Republican debate next week.

Then Kasich said he won't go if Trump won't go.

So Fox cancelled it.

 

People are prolly gonna say that it's cause Trump is scared, but that's not true.

Trump does fairly well in the debates.

Kasich, on the other hand, probably was scared of going 1-on-1 with Cruz.

 

However, we got a bigger problem.

If Trump ain't scared, that means he's LAZY.

Add "he's lazy" to the list of reasons Trump would make a terrible president.

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So, Trump stated that he won't go to the Fox Republican debate next week.

Then Kasich said he won't go if Trump won't go.

So Fox cancelled it.

 

People are prolly gonna say that it's cause Trump is scared, but that's not true.

Trump does fairly well in the debates.

Kasich, on the other hand, probably was scared of going 1-on-1 with Cruz.

 

However, we got a bigger problem.

If Trump ain't scared, that means he's LAZY.

Add "he's lazy" to the list of reasons Trump would make a terrible president.

but he'll protect muh gunnnnnnnns.

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So, Trump stated that he won't go to the Fox Republican debate next week.

Then Kasich said he won't go if Trump won't go.

So Fox cancelled it.

 

People are prolly gonna say that it's cause Trump is scared, but that's not true.

Trump does fairly well in the debates.

Kasich, on the other hand, probably was scared of going 1-on-1 with Cruz.

 

However, we got a bigger problem.

If Trump ain't scared, that means he's LAZY.

Add "he's lazy" to the list of reasons Trump would make a terrible president.

Trump has no need to participate in the Fox debate.

 

He's the front runner and can now safely ignore the Fox network which has been nothing but hostile to him.

 

Trump is giving the finger to Rupert Murdoch's Fox network.

 

Hail Trump.

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Things are going to get a WHOLE lot more interesting!
Anonymous just declared war on Trump, promises to expose embarrassing information on The Donald!
I can't wait.... American politics at it's finest lol
SirC

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Things are going to get a WHOLE lot more interesting!

Anonymous just declared war on Trump, promises to expose embarrassing information on The Donald!

I can't wait.... American politics at it's finest lol

SirC

Old news, Anonymous are a bunch of neckbeard faggots.

 

Can't stump the Trump.

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So, Trump stated that he won't go to the Fox Republican debate next week.

Then Kasich said he won't go if Trump won't go.

So Fox cancelled it.

 

People are prolly gonna say that it's cause Trump is scared, but that's not true.

Trump does fairly well in the debates.

Kasich, on the other hand, probably was scared of going 1-on-1 with Cruz.

 

However, we got a bigger problem.

If Trump ain't scared, that means he's LAZY.

Add "he's lazy" to the list of reasons Trump would make a terrible president.

Trump has no need to participate in the Fox debate.

 

He's the front runner and can now safely ignore the Fox network which has been nothing but hostile to him.

 

Trump is giving the finger to Rupert Murdoch's Fox network.

 

Hail Trump.

The network has been hostile to him because he's the biggest fucking liar politics has ever seen!

 

He spreads lies and lies and idiots like you don't notice.

 

He contradicts himself and idiots like you don't notice.

 

He's been a political flip-flopper all his life and idiots like you don't notice. He sure is a true conservative... from 1987-2001 and as of 2012-ish.

 

He has no plan for anything. He's nothing but talk. "We're gonna destroy ISIS!" "We're gonna build a wall!" "We'll bring jobs back to America!" Tell us, Donald, HOW THE FUCK WILL YOU DO IT?

And idiots like you don't notice it.

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So, Trump stated that he won't go to the Fox Republican debate next week.

Then Kasich said he won't go if Trump won't go.

So Fox cancelled it.

 

People are prolly gonna say that it's cause Trump is scared, but that's not true.

Trump does fairly well in the debates.

Kasich, on the other hand, probably was scared of going 1-on-1 with Cruz.

 

However, we got a bigger problem.

If Trump ain't scared, that means he's LAZY.

Add "he's lazy" to the list of reasons Trump would make a terrible president.

Trump has no need to participate in the Fox debate.

 

He's the front runner and can now safely ignore the Fox network which has been nothing but hostile to him.

 

Trump is giving the finger to Rupert Murdoch's Fox network.

 

Hail Trump.

The network has been hostile to him because he's the biggest fucking liar politics has ever seen!

He spreads lies and lies and idiots like you don't notice.

He contradicts himself and idiots like you don't notice.

He's been a political flip-flopper all his life and idiots like you don't notice. He sure is a true conservative... from 1987-2001 and as of 2012-ish.

He has no plan for anything. He's nothing but talk. "We're gonna destroy ISIS!" "We're gonna build a wall!" "We'll bring jobs back to America!" Tell us, Donald, HOW THE FUCK WILL YOU DO IT?

And idiots like you don't notice it.

but but but muh gunnnnnnnns.

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So, Trump stated that he won't go to the Fox Republican debate next week.

Then Kasich said he won't go if Trump won't go.

So Fox cancelled it.

 

People are prolly gonna say that it's cause Trump is scared, but that's not true.

Trump does fairly well in the debates.

Kasich, on the other hand, probably was scared of going 1-on-1 with Cruz.

 

However, we got a bigger problem.

If Trump ain't scared, that means he's LAZY.

Add "he's lazy" to the list of reasons Trump would make a terrible president.

Trump has no need to participate in the Fox debate.

 

He's the front runner and can now safely ignore the Fox network which has been nothing but hostile to him.

 

Trump is giving the finger to Rupert Murdoch's Fox network.

 

Hail Trump.

The network has been hostile to him because he's the biggest fucking liar politics has ever seen!

 

He spreads lies and lies and idiots like you don't notice.

 

He contradicts himself and idiots like you don't notice.

 

He's been a political flip-flopper all his life and idiots like you don't notice. He sure is a true conservative... from 1987-2001 and as of 2012-ish.

 

He has no plan for anything. He's nothing but talk. "We're gonna destroy ISIS!" "We're gonna build a wall!" "We'll bring jobs back to America!" Tell us, Donald, HOW THE FUCK WILL YOU DO IT?

And idiots like you don't notice it.

 

Oh I notice, I just don't care.

 

If Trump royally fucks up the cosy US establishment politics that has prevailed for the last 50+ years, then I'm a supporter.

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Just a reminder of what's coming up next week:

 

Tuesday, March 22

Arizona

Idaho

Utah

American Samoa

Arizona

Utah

 

Saturday, March 26

Alaska

Hawaii

Washington

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Just a reminder of what's coming up next week:

 

Tuesday, March 22

Arizona

Idaho

Utah

American Samoa

Arizona

Utah

 

Saturday, March 26

Alaska

Hawaii

Washington

Hmm, can't see Trump being big American Samoa.

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My predictions for tomorrow:

 

American Samoa: Trump 60%, Kasich 24%, Cruz 15% (may or may not be wild guess cause who gives a shit about AS?)

Arizona: Trump 58%, Cruz 35%, Kasich 5%

Utah: Cruz 46%, Trump 30%, Kasich 21%

 

Arizona: Clinton 58%, Sanders 40%

Idaho: Sanders 53%, Clinton 45%

Utah: Clinton 51%, Sanders 48%

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The results are in, y'all!

 

ARIZONA

Trump 47%, Cruz 25%, Kasich 10%

UTAH

Cruz 69%, Kasich 17%, Trump 14%

 

ARIZONA

Clinton 58%, Sanders 40%

IDAHO

Sanders 78%, Clinton 21%

UTAH

Sanders 80%, Clinton 20%

 

So what have we learned?

- Trump is hugely unpopular with those friendly little Mormons.

- This means Kasich will probably get a boner from actually doing better than Trump again.

- Sanders unexpectedly killed Clinton in Utah and Idaho, too bad for him those states are tiny.

- Clinton won Arizona by a large margin, as expected.

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I'm fucking digging a hole and crawling in it. I have lost all faith with my countrypeoples.

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