Numpty 3 Posted January 19, 2016 The odds of falling off your perch once you reach 100 is about 50% a year (this little nugget of info given to me by an actuary) Approx 13,350 (Source http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-26681306) are aged 100 therefore 6,675 will make it to 101 and 3,338 to 102 etc etc To prove this very crude formula there are approx 170 people aged 107 plus Source: http://oldestinbritain.nfshost.com/living.php Ergo carrying on with what I wrote above 1669 at 103 834 at 105 417 at 106 208 at 107 (wroughly agrees with my point above) not a bad crude rule of thumb carrying on it all seems reasonable 104 at 108 52 at 109 26 at 110 13 at 111 6 at 112 3 at 113 (as we know our dear friend Gladys Hooper celebrated her 113 birthday on 18/1/2016) so the result was 3 instead of 1) 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RadGuy 1,614 Posted January 19, 2016 The odds of falling off your perch once you reach 100 is about 50% a year (this little nugget of info given to me by an actuary) Approx 13,350 (Source http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-26681306) are aged 100 therefore 6,675 will make it to 101 and 3,338 to 102 etc etc To prove this very crude formula there are approx 170 people aged 107 plus Source: http://oldestinbritain.nfshost.com/living.php Ergo carrying on with what I wrote above 1669 at 103 834 at 105 417 at 106 208 at 107 (wroughly agrees with my point above) not a bad crude rule of thumb carrying on it all seems reasonable 104 at 108 52 at 109 26 at 110 13 at 111 6 at 112 3 at 113 (as we know our dear friend Gladys Hooper celebrated her 113 birthday on 18/1/2016) so the result was 3 instead of 1) In that case, fill the 2017 Deathlist with a bunch of centenarians and we'll finally beat the record! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RadGuy 1,614 Posted January 19, 2016 BTW, I just read an article saying that Zhou Youguang (110, father of Pinyin) very well may be the oldest man alive! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 20,918 Posted January 19, 2016 BTW, I just read an article saying that Zhou Youguang (110, father of Pinyin) very well may be the oldest man alive! According to this article Masamitsu Yoshida, keeping wicket at 111. http://bigstory.ap.org/article/f3dd1509df064eb6b66d32173db13299/worlds-oldest-man-japanese-dies-age-112 Wiki agrees but what do they know? Anyone else verified over 111? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Whitehouse 871 Posted January 19, 2016 This year might be a significant year since we're about to lose the last living links to the 19th century, Now, it's a constant debate if the year 1900 is counted to the 19th century or the 20th. I think belongs to the 19th. There are now two people (verified) that were born in 1899 and two born in 1900. Susanna Mushatt Jones : July 6, 1899 Emma Morano: November 29.1899 Violet Brown: March 10,1900 Nabi Tajima: August 4, 1900 All female. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
time 8,575 Posted January 19, 2016 This year might be a significant year since we're about to lose the last living links to the 19th century, Now, it's a constant debate if the year 1900 is counted to the 19th century or the 20th. I think belongs to the 19th. There are now two people (verified) that were born in 1899 and two born in 1900. Susanna Mushatt Jones : July 6, 1899 Emma Morano: November 29.1899 Violet Brown: March 10,1900 Nabi Tajima: August 4, 1900 All female. Agreed. There was no year 0, so the first century was years 1 to 100, ergo, the C19th is years 1801 to 1900. Yes, we all celebrated the millennium a year early. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Whitehouse 871 Posted January 19, 2016 BTW, I just read an article saying that Zhou Youguang (110, father of Pinyin) very well may be the oldest man alive! According to this article Masamitsu Yoshida, keeping wicket at 111. http://bigstory.ap.org/article/f3dd1509df064eb6b66d32173db13299/worlds-oldest-man-japanese-dies-age-112 Wiki agrees but what do they know? Anyone else verified over 111? This link has an non confirmed Japanese man, Shingo Kitamura, born March 18, 1904. Could be the one. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RadGuy 1,614 Posted January 19, 2016 This year might be a significant year since we're about to lose the last living links to the 19th century, Now, it's a constant debate if the year 1900 is counted to the 19th century or the 20th. I think belongs to the 19th. There are now two people (verified) that were born in 1899 and two born in 1900. Susanna Mushatt Jones : July 6, 1899 Emma Morano: November 29.1899 Violet Brown: March 10,1900 Nabi Tajima: August 4, 1900 All female. Agreed. There was no year 0, so the first century was years 1 to 100, ergo, the C19th is years 1801 to 1900. Yes, we all celebrated the millennium a year early. I think what really excites people is not that it's a new mathematical millennium or century. What they really care about is how 18 switched to 19, 19 to 20. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sir Creep 7,069 Posted January 22, 2016 Next man up! http://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/.premium-1.698614 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
time 8,575 Posted January 25, 2016 Wales' oldest person Gwenllian Davies, dies at 110. Edit to add plain text of URL. That's quite some age! http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/wales-oldest-person-dies-age-10783709 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Davey Jones' Locker 1,324 Posted January 28, 2016 Wales not only beat the Poms in the Rugby World Cup but now has its very own supercentenarian! Welcome to the list, Gwenllian Davies: http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/local-news/wales-oldest-woman-known-auntie-10182448 Dead: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-south-west-wales-35398924 EDIT: Beaten to it by Time. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mike 48 Posted January 29, 2016 There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive. Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899) Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899) Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
time 8,575 Posted January 29, 2016 There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive. Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899) Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899) Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die? soon. 5 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RadGuy 1,614 Posted January 29, 2016 There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive. Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899) Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899) Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die? Jones on March 14, 2016.Morano on September 1, 2017. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Guest I D I O T Posted January 29, 2016 There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive. Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899) Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899) Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die? In the 2000s. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean 6,282 Posted January 29, 2016 There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive. Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899) Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899) Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die? My guesses: Susannah Jones :31st March 2016 Emma Morano:3rd December 2016 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Unknown Man 584 Posted January 29, 2016 There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive. Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899) Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899) Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die? Susannah Jones: 14 April 2016 Emma Morano: 18 September 2016 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
maryportfuncity 10,616 Posted January 29, 2016 There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive. Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899) Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899) Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die? Susannah Jones: 14 April 2016 Emma Morano: 18 September 2016 13 Feb 2016 - along with the rest of the human race when the aliens wipe out the planet 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean 6,282 Posted January 29, 2016 There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive. Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899) Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899) Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die? Susannah Jones: 14 April 2016 Emma Morano: 18 September 2016 13 Feb 2016 - along with the rest of the human race when the aliens wipe out the planet After the day I have had I get a strange satisfaction from that possibility ha! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
JiroemonKimura 95 Posted January 29, 2016 There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive. Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899) Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899) Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die? My guesses: Jones: Before Peter Falk Morano: Before Zsa Zsa Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean 6,282 Posted January 30, 2016 There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive. Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899) Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899) Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die? My guesses: Jones: Before Peter Falk Morano: Before Zsa Zsa Who the hell is Peter Falk.My memory is hazy. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RolandDeschain 91 Posted January 30, 2016 Does anyone think either Jones or Morano will beat Jeanne Calment's longevity? Susannah Jones has just under 6 years to beat her record - might be a bit of a stretch! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RadGuy 1,614 Posted January 30, 2016 Does anyone think either Jones or Morano will beat Jeanne Calment's longevity? Susannah Jones has just under 6 years to beat her record - might be a bit of a stretch! She doesn't take her meds apparently. It's a miracle she's still alive. She definitely won't make it to her birthday, imo. Morano? Maybe. I give it a 5% chance. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Spade_Cooley 9,474 Posted January 30, 2016 I defer to our "non-evil twins" over at that longevity forum, but I personally don't think Calment's record will be beaten within the next 50 years, she was just an insane outlier. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Guest Guest Posted January 30, 2016 When I was a kid in the 1980s there was a 120 year old Japanese man in the Guinness Book of Records, but he seems to have been airbrushed from history?? I would look him up but I can't remember his name. Imuzi or something like that? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites