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The odds of falling off your perch once you reach 100 is about 50% a year (this little nugget of info given to me by an actuary)

 

Approx 13,350 (Source http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-26681306) are aged 100 therefore 6,675 will make it to 101 and 3,338 to 102 etc etc

 

To prove this very crude formula there are approx 170 people aged 107 plus Source: http://oldestinbritain.nfshost.com/living.php

 

Ergo carrying on with what I wrote above

 

1669 at 103

834 at 105

417 at 106

208 at 107 (wroughly agrees with my point above)

 

not a bad crude rule of thumb

 

carrying on it all seems reasonable

 

104 at 108

52 at 109

26 at 110

13 at 111

6 at 112

3 at 113 (as we know our dear friend Gladys Hooper celebrated her 113 birthday on 18/1/2016) so the result was 3 instead of 1)

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The odds of falling off your perch once you reach 100 is about 50% a year (this little nugget of info given to me by an actuary)

 

Approx 13,350 (Source http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-26681306) are aged 100 therefore 6,675 will make it to 101 and 3,338 to 102 etc etc

 

To prove this very crude formula there are approx 170 people aged 107 plus Source: http://oldestinbritain.nfshost.com/living.php

 

Ergo carrying on with what I wrote above

 

1669 at 103

834 at 105

417 at 106

208 at 107 (wroughly agrees with my point above)

 

not a bad crude rule of thumb

 

carrying on it all seems reasonable

 

104 at 108

52 at 109

26 at 110

13 at 111

6 at 112

3 at 113 (as we know our dear friend Gladys Hooper celebrated her 113 birthday on 18/1/2016) so the result was 3 instead of 1)

In that case, fill the 2017 Deathlist with a bunch of centenarians and we'll finally beat the record!

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BTW, I just read an article saying that Zhou Youguang (110, father of Pinyin) very well may be the oldest man alive!

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BTW, I just read an article saying that Zhou Youguang (110, father of Pinyin) very well may be the oldest man alive!

 

According to this article Masamitsu Yoshida, keeping wicket at 111. http://bigstory.ap.org/article/f3dd1509df064eb6b66d32173db13299/worlds-oldest-man-japanese-dies-age-112

 

Wiki agrees but what do they know? Anyone else verified over 111?

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This year might be a significant year since we're about to lose the last living links to the 19th century, Now, it's a constant debate if the year 1900 is counted to the 19th century or the 20th. I think belongs to the 19th.

 

There are now two people (verified) that were born in 1899 and two born in 1900.

 

Susanna Mushatt Jones : July 6, 1899

Emma Morano: November 29.1899

Violet Brown: March 10,1900

Nabi Tajima: August 4, 1900

 

All female.

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This year might be a significant year since we're about to lose the last living links to the 19th century, Now, it's a constant debate if the year 1900 is counted to the 19th century or the 20th. I think belongs to the 19th.

 

There are now two people (verified) that were born in 1899 and two born in 1900.

 

Susanna Mushatt Jones : July 6, 1899

Emma Morano: November 29.1899

Violet Brown: March 10,1900

Nabi Tajima: August 4, 1900

 

All female.

Agreed. There was no year 0, so the first century was years 1 to 100, ergo, the C19th is years 1801 to 1900. Yes, we all celebrated the millennium a year early.

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BTW, I just read an article saying that Zhou Youguang (110, father of Pinyin) very well may be the oldest man alive!

 

According to this article Masamitsu Yoshida, keeping wicket at 111. http://bigstory.ap.org/article/f3dd1509df064eb6b66d32173db13299/worlds-oldest-man-japanese-dies-age-112

 

Wiki agrees but what do they know? Anyone else verified over 111?

 

 

This link has an non confirmed Japanese man, Shingo Kitamura, born March 18, 1904. Could be the one.

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This year might be a significant year since we're about to lose the last living links to the 19th century, Now, it's a constant debate if the year 1900 is counted to the 19th century or the 20th. I think belongs to the 19th.

 

There are now two people (verified) that were born in 1899 and two born in 1900.

 

Susanna Mushatt Jones : July 6, 1899

Emma Morano: November 29.1899

Violet Brown: March 10,1900

Nabi Tajima: August 4, 1900

 

All female.

Agreed. There was no year 0, so the first century was years 1 to 100, ergo, the C19th is years 1801 to 1900. Yes, we all celebrated the millennium a year early.

I think what really excites people is not that it's a new mathematical millennium or century. What they really care about is how 18 switched to 19, 19 to 20.

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Wales not only beat the Poms in the Rugby World Cup but now has its very own supercentenarian! Welcome to the list, Gwenllian Davies: http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/local-news/wales-oldest-woman-known-auntie-10182448

Dead: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-south-west-wales-35398924

 

 

EDIT: Beaten to it by Time.

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There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive.

 

Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899)

Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899)

 

Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die?

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There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive.

 

Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899)

Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899)

 

Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die?

soon.

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There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive.

 

Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899)

Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899)

 

Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die?

Jones on March 14, 2016.

Morano on September 1, 2017.

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Guest I D I O T

There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive.

 

Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899)

Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899)

 

Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die?

In the 2000s.

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There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive.

 

Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899)

Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899)

 

Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die?

My guesses:

 

Susannah Jones :31st March 2016

Emma Morano:3rd December 2016

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There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive.

 

Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899)

Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899)

 

Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die?

Susannah Jones: 14 April 2016

Emma Morano: 18 September 2016

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There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive.

 

Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899)

Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899)

 

Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die?

Susannah Jones: 14 April 2016

Emma Morano: 18 September 2016

 

 

13 Feb 2016 - along with the rest of the human race when the aliens wipe out the planet

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There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive.

 

Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899)

Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899)

 

Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die?

Susannah Jones: 14 April 2016

Emma Morano: 18 September 2016

 

 

13 Feb 2016 - along with the rest of the human race when the aliens wipe out the planet

 

After the day I have had I get a strange satisfaction from that possibility ha!

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There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive.

 

Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899)

Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899)

 

Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die?

My guesses:

Jones: Before Peter Falk

Morano: Before Zsa Zsa

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There are still two remaining women from 1800s still alive.

 

Susannah Mushatt Jones (b. 6 July 1899)

Emma Morano (b. 29 November 1899)

 

Any estimation or prediction on when these two lady will die?

My guesses:

Jones: Before Peter Falk

Morano: Before Zsa Zsa

 

Who the hell is Peter Falk.My memory is hazy.

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Does anyone think either Jones or Morano will beat Jeanne Calment's longevity? Susannah Jones has just under 6 years to beat her record - might be a bit of a stretch!

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Does anyone think either Jones or Morano will beat Jeanne Calment's longevity? Susannah Jones has just under 6 years to beat her record - might be a bit of a stretch!

She doesn't take her meds apparently. It's a miracle she's still alive. She definitely won't make it to her birthday, imo.

 

Morano? Maybe. I give it a 5% chance.

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I defer to our "non-evil twins" over at that longevity forum, but I personally don't think Calment's record will be beaten within the next 50 years, she was just an insane outlier.

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When I was a kid in the 1980s there was a 120 year old Japanese man in the Guinness Book of Records, but he seems to have been airbrushed from history??

 

I would look him up but I can't remember his name. Imuzi or something like that?

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