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Rotten Ali

Ebola and Other Viruses

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If this hits the civilised world western cesspits of humanity will there be lower death rates?

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We're all going to die! :o We're all going to die! :o

 

 

Well, we are all going to die.

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We're all going to die! :o We're all going to die! :o

 

 

Well, we are all going to die.

 

An inspired post in the great - DON'T PANIC!! - tradition of prime period Clive Dunn.

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Each of us pass the anniversary of our death every year without noticing. As someone famous once said.

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Guest Jr976evil

The chances of it becoming a global pandemic are so slight they are hardly worth fretting about. The fact is that the nations in Africa where it is spreading suffer from lack of infrastructure, poor sanitation, ignorance and lack of education about the risks, as well as mistrust of doctors and hospitals. It is actually quite hard to catch, one has to come into direct contact with the bodily secretions (ie sweat, blood, saliva, cum, piss or shit) of an infected person, or have handled an infected animal.

 

In this country and others it would be quickly contained, we have the measures and awareness to handle it.

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Everyone give JR976evil a clap for finally remembering his password...

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Everyone give JR976evil a clap for finally remembering his password...

 

Well I've hardly been on here lately, it's been drier than Mary Whitehouse's pussy

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Not to be confused with the E-bola virus where you turn on your computer and are hit in the face by a weighted cord.

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According to radio talk show host Rick Wiles "Ebola Could 'Solve' Homosexuality And Other Issues In America"

 

"Now this Ebola epidemic can become a global pandemic and that’s another name for plague. It may be the great attitude adjustment that I believe is coming… Ebola could solve America’s problems with atheism, homosexuality, sexual promiscuity, pornography and abortion."

 

 

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According to radio talk show host Rick Wiles "Ebola Could 'Solve' Homosexuality And Other Issues In America"

 

"Now this Ebola epidemic can become a global pandemic and that’s another name for plague. It may be the great attitude adjustment that I believe is coming… Ebola could solve America’s problems with atheism, homosexuality, sexual promiscuity, pornography and abortion."

 

Or at the very least, eradicate a few right wing, loudmouth cretins

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Not to be confused with the E-bola virus where you turn on your computer and are hit in the face by a weighted cord.

 

Also not to be confused with coventry city legend dele adebola

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Back from holiday (ps Toronto city visit, two very nice weeks in the shadow of the CN Tower) and stuck all the latest figures in my spreadsheet from the last two weeks.

 

Even ignoring the "on the run" possible cases, and projecting only improving clear-up results (not yet really seen) this will not be cleared up within the next 2 years and will cost at least 10,000 lives.

 

So we are now running at an average of 38 new fatal cases per day. And 19% increase on the past 7 day period. Over a 28 day period we now have an 88% increase in the death toll. Over a calendar month that's a 96% increase. Projecting this forward we are still on-target for 41 million deaths by the end of 2015 and 100% worldwide infection by August 2016.

 

Three weeks ago I put together a similar analysis and got that end date to be October 2016.

 

Scream if you want to go faster...

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Back from holiday and stuck all the latest figures in my spreadsheet from the last two weeks.

 

Even ignoring the "on the run" possible cases, and projecting only improving clear-up results (not yet really seen) this will not be cleared up within the next 2 years and will cost at least 10,000 lives.

 

So we are now running at an average of 38 new fatal cases per day. And 19% increase on the past 7 day period. Over a 28 day period we now have an 88% increase in the death toll. Over a calendar month that's a 96% increase. Projecting this forward we are still on-target for 41 million deaths by the end of 2015 and 100% worldwide infection by August 2016.

 

Three weeks ago I put together a similar analysis and got that end date to be October 2016.

 

Scream if you want to go faster...

 

Won't happen. Even in the unlikely event that it does, If the vast majority of those 41 million are Africans then who will really care?

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While I think you are overreacting still, Ali, are you counting the 140 odd million people born per year to your calculation? As they'd replace a bunch of the earlier worldwide victims. So with 41 million deaths by the end of 2015 there'd still be 280 million more people - a bit of a statistical tortoise to the hare.

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For Pete's sake, end of 2015 won't be the end of it. Far from it.

 

It may reach a world wide touch. Not just limited to 41 million.

 

Even if you catch it on a "bell curve" at 40 million the full cost would be more like 400 million over a following few year.

 

No, the worse case scenario is much more likely. Say it throttles back at 50% mortality then the cost in lost lives would be more like 3.5 billion. An extra 280 million more babies? That's irrelevant on this scale and because Ebola kills babies very easily.

 

Solution from here...

Sorry, but only one I can see, is point the mobile temperature equipment at all people in these west African countries and shoot dead those who show classic signs of Ebola.

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Everyone give JR976evil a clap for finally remembering his password...

 

Well I've hardly been on here lately, it's been drier than Mary Whitehouse's pussy

 

They buried her, I'd say the recent deluges will have moistened what's left!

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Back from holiday and stuck all the latest figures in my spreadsheet from the last two weeks.

 

Even ignoring the "on the run" possible cases, and projecting only improving clear-up results (not yet really seen) this will not be cleared up within the next 2 years and will cost at least 10,000 lives.

 

So we are now running at an average of 38 new fatal cases per day. And 19% increase on the past 7 day period. Over a 28 day period we now have an 88% increase in the death toll. Over a calendar month that's a 96% increase. Projecting this forward we are still on-target for 41 million deaths by the end of 2015 and 100% worldwide infection by August 2016.

 

Three weeks ago I put together a similar analysis and got that end date to be October 2016.

 

Scream if you want to go faster...

Fuck, post of the year so far.

You are a true DL legend RA

I love you man, I love you!!!!!

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For Pete's sake, end of 2015 won't be the end of it. Far from it.

 

It may reach a world wide touch. Not just limited to 41 million.

 

Even if you catch it on a "bell curve" at 40 million the full cost would be more like 400 million over a following few year.

 

No, the worse case scenario is much more likely. Say it throttles back at 50% mortality then the cost in lost lives would be more like 3.5 billion. An extra 280 million more babies? That's irrelevant on this scale and because Ebola kills babies very easily.

 

Solution from here...

Sorry, but only one I can see, is point the mobile temperature equipment at all people in these west African countries and shoot dead those who show classic signs of Ebola.

 

I guess that post was just hyperbola

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