Thoughts On The 2016 List

[Weebl 216]

Sinead O'Connor and Peter Maxwell Davies are dead certs were they picked?

 

What exactly is wrong with Sinead O'Connor? Everyone seems to be mentioning her name around here at the moment

[RadGuy 1,614]

 

Sinead O'Connor and Peter Maxwell Davies are dead certs were they picked?

 

What exactly is wrong with Sinead O'Connor? Everyone seems to be mentioning her name around here at the moment

 

Crazy and suicidal.

[The Mad Hatter 1,092]

 

Sinead O'Connor and Peter Maxwell Davies are dead certs were they picked?

 

What exactly is wrong with Sinead O'Connor? Everyone seems to be mentioning her name around here at the moment

more publicity equals more help. This is why most of drug and alcohol related pics fail.

[Weebl 216]

 

 

Sinead O'Connor and Peter Maxwell Davies are dead certs were they picked?

 

What exactly is wrong with Sinead O'Connor? Everyone seems to be mentioning her name around here at the moment

 

Crazy and suicidal.

 

 

Any woman who thinks having a shaved head is a good look has to be slightly nuts, I suppose, but any particular reason for her being suicidal? I haven't heard any gossip about it anywhere else other than this site.

[RadGuy 1,614]

 

 

 

Sinead O'Connor and Peter Maxwell Davies are dead certs were they picked?

 

What exactly is wrong with Sinead O'Connor? Everyone seems to be mentioning her name around here at the moment

 

Crazy and suicidal.

 

 

Any woman who thinks having a shaved head is a good look has to be slightly nuts, I suppose, but any particular reason for her being suicidal? I haven't heard any gossip about it anywhere else other than this site.

 

Some shit about her kids being ungrateful brats and her whole family turning against her. I don't even know.

[JiroemonKimura 95]

My predictions:

January 4: Zsa Zsa Gabor

January 11: Glen Campbell

February 5: Nancy Reagan

February 8: Joao Havelange

February 22: Martin Crowe

March 1: Bhumibol Adulyadej

March 8: Billy Graham

April 5: Stan Lee

April 15: Mary Tyler Moore

May 5: George Bush Senior

June 17: Gordon Banks

June 19: Clive James

June 28: Muhammad Ali

July 8: Stephen Hawking

August 2: Joost van der Westhuizen

August 18: Fidel Castro

September 23: Jimmy Greaves

October 5: Jimmy Carter

November 16: Tommy Chong

December 5: Herman Wouk

December 11: Kirk Douglas

December 28: Olivia De Havilland

22/50

[Eesti 151]

I actually aren't very optimistic about this years list. Max number of hits around 12-13.

[Ra Ra Rasputin 99]

 

 

 

 

Sinead O'Connor and Peter Maxwell Davies are dead certs were they picked?

 

What exactly is wrong with Sinead O'Connor? Everyone seems to be mentioning her name around here at the moment

 

Crazy and suicidal.

 

 

Any woman who thinks having a shaved head is a good look has to be slightly nuts, I suppose, but any particular reason for her being suicidal? I haven't heard any gossip about it anywhere else other than this site.

 

Some shit about her kids being ungrateful brats and her whole family turning against her. I don't even know.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sinead O'Connor and Peter Maxwell Davies are dead certs were they picked?

 

What exactly is wrong with Sinead O'Connor? Everyone seems to be mentioning her name around here at the moment

 

Crazy and suicidal.

 

 

Any woman who thinks having a shaved head is a good look has to be slightly nuts, I suppose, but any particular reason for her being suicidal? I haven't heard any gossip about it anywhere else other than this site.

 

Some shit about her kids being ungrateful brats and her whole family turning against her. I don't even know.

 

Drug addiction (mostly, it seems from something - an anti-depressant? - she was prescribed and hasn't agreed with her), abuse from the past, various other "issues". Her FB page is the best place to keep updated. That said, I really can't see her doing herself in at all.

[Weebl 216]

I actually aren't very optimistic about this years list. Max number of hits around 12-13.

 

Me neither.

 

I think last year the whole thing with not being able to get past 14 hits despite waiting nearly 2 months for a death was partly karma for not including Sir Nicholas Winton on the list. I would have had him at #1 on the 2015 list with Zsa Zsa second.

 

Lee Yuan Kew should also definitely have been on last year's list.

 

This year? There are some good picks on this year's list, but also some major omissions and some iffy picks as well. Some of these "iffy picks" are new blood, further down the list, and some of them I don't actually know that much about. So I agree with you. I don't see this year's list as being as good as last year's, but who knows, time will tell!

[gcreptile 10,976]

 

I actually aren't very optimistic about this years list. Max number of hits around 12-13.

 

Me neither.

 

I think last year the whole thing with not being able to get past 14 hits despite waiting nearly 2 months for a death was partly karma for not including Sir Nicholas Winton on the list. I would have had him at #1 on the 2015 list with Zsa Zsa second.

 

Lee Yuan Kew should also definitely have been on last year's list.

 

This year? There are some good picks on this year's list, but also some major omissions and some iffy picks as well. Some of these "iffy picks" are new blood, further down the list, and some of them I don't actually know that much about. So I agree with you. I don't see this year's list as being as good as last year's, but who knows, time will tell!

 

Yes, they missed huge chances last year. Though I mostly have King Abdullah on my mind. Lee Kuan Yew right at second place of missed chances. They were both already going down in December 2014. And the list got a fluke with John Nash, so the necessary luck was there.

 

I think this year's list still has good potential. Still too many very old people waiting for death. Joao Havelange is a lock this year, in my opinion. Zsa Zsa however might have another year, simply because I think it's now obvious that she inherited her mother's longevity genes. And her mother lived to 101 (or 102?).

[Toast 16,141]

 

 

Sinead O'Connor and Peter Maxwell Davies are dead certs were they picked?

 

What exactly is wrong with Sinead O'Connor? Everyone seems to be mentioning her name around here at the moment

 

Crazy and suicidal.

 

 

I see her as too much of an attention-seeker to actually kill herself. People who are serious about suicide tend to do it without any fanfare.

(I've probably seen her off by saying that now.)

[Sir Creep 7,070]

 

 

 

Sinead O'Connor and Peter Maxwell Davies are dead certs were they picked?

 

What exactly is wrong with Sinead O'Connor? Everyone seems to be mentioning her name around here at the moment

Crazy and suicidal.

I see her as too much of an attention-seeker to actually kill herself. People who are serious about suicide tend to do it without any fanfare.

(I've probably seen her off by saying that now.)

 

The Sinead discussion is absurd.

Sir Peter will prove a huge miss; he was in my top 20, and but for Joey Feek the top pick in the 'music' category.

SC

[gcreptile 10,976]

 

 

 

Sinead O'Connor and Peter Maxwell Davies are dead certs were they picked?

 

What exactly is wrong with Sinead O'Connor? Everyone seems to be mentioning her name around here at the moment

 

Crazy and suicidal.

 

 

I see her as too much of an attention-seeker to actually kill herself. People who are serious about suicide tend to do it without any fanfare.

(I've probably seen her off by saying that now.)

 

Yes 100%. She posted it on facebook, she wanted to be found.

[Eesti 151]

 

 

I actually aren't very optimistic about this years list. Max number of hits around 12-13.

 

Me neither.

 

I think last year the whole thing with not being able to get past 14 hits despite waiting nearly 2 months for a death was partly karma for not including Sir Nicholas Winton on the list. I would have had him at #1 on the 2015 list with Zsa Zsa second.

 

Lee Yuan Kew should also definitely have been on last year's list.

 

This year? There are some good picks on this year's list, but also some major omissions and some iffy picks as well. Some of these "iffy picks" are new blood, further down the list, and some of them I don't actually know that much about. So I agree with you. I don't see this year's list as being as good as last year's, but who knows, time will tell!

 

Yes, they missed huge chances last year. Though I mostly have King Abdullah on my mind. Lee Kuan Yew right at second place of missed chances. They were both already going down in December 2014. And the list got a fluke with John Nash, so the necessary luck was there.

 

I think this year's list still has good potential. Still too many very old people waiting for death. Joao Havelange is a lock this year, in my opinion. Zsa Zsa however might have another year, simply because I think it's now obvious that she inherited her mother's longevity genes. And her mother lived to 101 (or 102?).

 

 

Zsa Zsa, Havelange, De Havilland, Graham, Wouk, Douglas, Reagan, Lynn, Castro and LaMotta have been " a lock" also for 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005... They don't live forever, but to believe that (all/most) of them will die in 2016 is very optimistic. Maybe one or two of them will die. Only dog knows who.

[The Mad Hatter 1,092]

 

 

 

I actually aren't very optimistic about this years list. Max number of hits around 12-13.

 

Me neither.

 

I think last year the whole thing with not being able to get past 14 hits despite waiting nearly 2 months for a death was partly karma for not including Sir Nicholas Winton on the list. I would have had him at #1 on the 2015 list with Zsa Zsa second.

 

Lee Yuan Kew should also definitely have been on last year's list.

 

This year? There are some good picks on this year's list, but also some major omissions and some iffy picks as well. Some of these "iffy picks" are new blood, further down the list, and some of them I don't actually know that much about. So I agree with you. I don't see this year's list as being as good as last year's, but who knows, time will tell!

Yes, they missed huge chances last year. Though I mostly have King Abdullah on my mind. Lee Kuan Yew right at second place of missed chances. They were both already going down in December 2014. And the list got a fluke with John Nash, so the necessary luck was there.

 

I think this year's list still has good potential. Still too many very old people waiting for death. Joao Havelange is a lock this year, in my opinion. Zsa Zsa however might have another year, simply because I think it's now obvious that she inherited her mother's longevity genes. And her mother lived to 101 (or 102?).

Zsa Zsa, Havelange, De Havilland, Graham, Wouk, Douglas, Reagan, Lynn, Castro and LaMotta have been " a lock" also for 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005... They don't live forever, but to believe that (all/most) of them will die in 2016 is very optimistic. Maybe one or two of them will die. Only dog knows who.

I say Nancy is the most likely to die as she is in the cursed 14th spot.

[Weebl 216]

 

 

I actually aren't very optimistic about this years list. Max number of hits around 12-13.

 

Me neither.

 

I think last year the whole thing with not being able to get past 14 hits despite waiting nearly 2 months for a death was partly karma for not including Sir Nicholas Winton on the list. I would have had him at #1 on the 2015 list with Zsa Zsa second.

 

Lee Yuan Kew should also definitely have been on last year's list.

 

This year? There are some good picks on this year's list, but also some major omissions and some iffy picks as well. Some of these "iffy picks" are new blood, further down the list, and some of them I don't actually know that much about. So I agree with you. I don't see this year's list as being as good as last year's, but who knows, time will tell!

 

Yes, they missed huge chances last year. Though I mostly have King Abdullah on my mind. Lee Kuan Yew right at second place of missed chances. They were both already going down in December 2014. And the list got a fluke with John Nash, so the necessary luck was there.

 

I think this year's list still has good potential. Still too many very old people waiting for death. Joao Havelange is a lock this year, in my opinion. Zsa Zsa however might have another year, simply because I think it's now obvious that she inherited her mother's longevity genes. And her mother lived to 101 (or 102?).

 

 

It has good potential, but also some major omissions and some iffy picks. Time will tell...

[gcreptile 10,976]

I believe Havelange is a lock because the frequency of his lung problems is increasing. But I still couldn't pick him according to my "20 dead nonagenarians is a winning strategy" theorem because he turns 100 this year. Graham is a near-lock, if I had to guess the truth behind his son's statements. Wouk is certainly a lazy pick. Zsa Zsa not a lock either. Douglas, I'd say is a 2/3rds possibility, based on the fact that they are selling their assets. Reminds me of Maureen O'hara. But Douglas looks better than O'Hara at the Oscars. Reagan, I think, is also a lock. I am disappointed she wasn't a hit for me in 2015. She used to be so active on TV and in the conservative movement, but that has all gone now, except for that one photo OP at Ronald's grave, where they didn't even show her face. I had expected Vera Lynn to die as well, after a photo showed her very frail. But then, they announced some fundraiser for the Vera Lynn foundation or something like that, with her involvement in March or April this year. So she recovered and is now on another up-and-down cycle. I didn't pick Castro for any team at all. At the moment, he's literally just an old guy. I mean, he looks like Christopher Lee in his late 80s, so may well have 2-3 more years. And the cuban health sector is very good. LaMotta shouldn't be alive according to his bio, yet he's still seen in public, at movie promotions, photos with fans. Could die tomorrow, but more likely won't. I have no idea about DeHavilland, I only have a feeling that she's in decline and won't see 2017. I think Perez De Cuellar will die. Kissinger won't, Bush Sr. probably won't. Prince Philip won't. Peter Sallis will.... I don't know... I'm seeing 12-13 hits.

[msc 18,477]

Person by person then

 

 

Martin Crowe - terminally ill, has outlasted his prognosis. Chances of dying in 2016: 99%

 

Zsa Zsa - As I've said before, she'll go one day when we least expect it.

 

Joao Havelange - Old, health issues, remaining relevant due to age old corruption. I can't believe he's still with us. I'd be more shocked if he was here in a years time.

 

Olivia de Havilland - Seemed in fairly good fettle last year, but 12 months is a long time in your 100th year.

 

Bhumibol Adulyadej - Hopefully, so we can stop trying to spell his name.

 

Billy Graham - I trust him as much as the wrestler. Wouldn't surprise me to see him clinging on in two years.

 

Herman Wouk - Statistically likely to go this year, I'd assume.

 

Javier Perez de Cuellar - Haven't a clue.

Richard Adams - Well enough to be interviewed by Mumsnet in December. His frequent media appearances have become rather limited though.

 

Kirk Douglas - Who knows?

 

Abe Vigoda - Has he done anything in years?

 

Liz Smith - Another aging actress. Law of averages suggests at least 5 of the old folk will go, just through the art of being old.

 

Mary Tyler Moore - A forum favourite, I didn't think she was that ill, but I could be wrong.

 

Nancy Reagan - Usually too determined to think of dying, but reports in September were she was too frail to attend the GOP debates. Now, she might have said that because she preferred watching Breaking Bad on Netflix...

 

Peter Sallis - Probably.

Prince Philip - Someone who will only leave the list one way. 2016 doesn't seem any likelier than 2015, at this point.

 

James Randi - He might well become a grumpy ghost. He did retire from his own Foundation last year.

 

Lord Carrington - Seemed in fine fettle in recent interviews. I suppose age could see him off.

 

Clive James - Nah, he'll see 2017.

 

Bob Dole - As will he.

Joost van der Westhuizen- Joost is in Year 5 of ALS now. As seen before (Borgonovo), this is usually an event horizon with the illness.

 

Prunella Scales - Good pick. Well publicised health issues, and have heard, off the record, its more dire than papers report.

 

Jimmy Carter - I know many took him off their DDP lists, but this could be a good sleeper hit, especially if the cancer returns towards the end of the year.

 

Henry Kissinger - Doubt it.

 

Tommy Chong - I thought his cancer was less serious than most, so it seems a wasted pick right now.

 

Doug Ellis - Looked hideous at the FA Cup final, but Spade and others said he was looking better in October interviews.

 

George Bush Sr- Well, he is getting to the upper limit US Presidents tend to reach.

 

Vera Lynn - Allegedly quite frail.

Leslie Philips - This was a guy who was everywhere. Had that massive stroke last year,and we've heard barely a peep since. Age, health, and health issues before the big one, plus lengthy atypical quietness suggests a decent chance of a hit here.

 

Fidel Castro - Haven't a clue.

 

Sandy Gall - I like this pick. More Scots on the list, please.

 

Fats Domino - "Is he still alive?" asks my wife. How he outlived so many of his contemporaries I'll never know. There seems to be a clear out in the older music generation the now, so a good chance of Domino saying sayonara in 2016 - he's had health issues for ages iirc.

Robert Pirsig - Never heard of him. As a number of people have mentioned to me since that he's apparently in frail health, I'll concede this might be a good pick.

 

Desmond Tutu - Cancer, and in and out of hospital. Doesn't seem in immediate danger.

 

Lester Piggott - A very Deathlist pick, but seems a bit early from my limited knowledge.

Glen Campbell - Well, I dropped him in the DDP because I thought 2016 was too early, so given my form...

 

Stan Lee - Wasn't he meant to be seriously ill in 2012? That's all I know.

 

Boutros-Boutros Ghali - Apparently in frail health.

 

Jake Lamotta - Still going, somehow.

 

Cliff Michelmore - Given his retirement, no one knows how his health is.

 

Denis Norden - Going blind but seems quite cheery.

 

Murray Walker - Seems in good spirits to me.

 

Jimmy Greaves - Frail after massive stroke. Good pick.

 

Gordon Banks - Has kidney cancer in his one remaining kidney. Could be a clever pick indeed if he goes downhill quickly. (He had cancer before, this is its comeback.)

 

Muhammad Ali - Well, he's not going to see 80...

 

Jacques Chirac - Allegedly frail, and highly Deathlist-able.

 

Stephen Hawking - Haven't a clue, given his life expectancy beating so far...

 

Paul Gascoigne - Wasted pick. Feels like an early 90s plump too.

 

John Noakes - Alzheimer's and frail, I'd say good choice here.

 

Bruce Forsyth - Well, he did just survive a massive aneurysm, so you can see why he might be a good pick.

 

So, 5 odd age deaths, plus Joost and Crowe, plus Scales/Sallis/Philips gives 10.

 

Gutting feeling (look at the names and asking myself if I see them alive in 2017) gives us around 14 hits though.

 

 

Anyhow, time will tell.

[Weebl 216]

Person by person then

 

 

Martin Crowe - terminally ill, has outlasted his prognosis. Chances of dying in 2016: 99%

 

Zsa Zsa - As I've said before, she'll go one day when we least expect it.

 

Joao Havelange - Old, health issues, remaining relevant due to age old corruption. I can't believe he's still with us. I'd be more shocked if he was here in a years time.

 

Olivia de Havilland - Seemed in fairly good fettle last year, but 12 months is a long time in your 100th year.

 

Bhumibol Adulyadej - Hopefully, so we can stop trying to spell his name.

 

Billy Graham - I trust him as much as the wrestler. Wouldn't surprise me to see him clinging on in two years.

 

Herman Wouk - Statistically likely to go this year, I'd assume.

 

Javier Perez de Cuellar - Haven't a clue.

Richard Adams - Well enough to be interviewed by Mumsnet in December. His frequent media appearances have become rather limited though.

 

Kirk Douglas - Who knows?

 

Abe Vigoda - Has he done anything in years?

 

Liz Smith - Another aging actress. Law of averages suggests at least 5 of the old folk will go, just through the art of being old.

 

Mary Tyler Moore - A forum favourite, I didn't think she was that ill, but I could be wrong.

 

Nancy Reagan - Usually too determined to think of dying, but reports in September were she was too frail to attend the GOP debates. Now, she might have said that because she preferred watching Breaking Bad on Netflix...

 

Peter Sallis - Probably.

Prince Philip - Someone who will only leave the list one way. 2016 doesn't seem any likelier than 2015, at this point.

 

James Randi - He might well become a grumpy ghost. He did retire from his own Foundation last year.

 

Lord Carrington - Seemed in fine fettle in recent interviews. I suppose age could see him off.

 

Clive James - Nah, he'll see 2017.

 

Bob Dole - As will he.

 

Joost van der Westhuizen- Joost is in Year 5 of ALS now. As seen before (Borgonovo), this is usually an event horizon with the illness.

 

Prunella Scales - Good pick. Well publicised health issues, and have heard, off the record, its more dire than papers report.

 

Jimmy Carter - I know many took him off their DDP lists, but this could be a good sleeper hit, especially if the cancer returns towards the end of the year.

 

Henry Kissinger - Doubt it.

 

Tommy Chong - I thought his cancer was less serious than most, so it seems a wasted pick right now.

 

Doug Ellis - Looked hideous at the FA Cup final, but Spade and others said he was looking better in October interviews.

 

George Bush Sr- Well, he is getting to the upper limit US Presidents tend to reach.

 

Vera Lynn - Allegedly quite frail.

 

Leslie Philips - This was a guy who was everywhere. Had that massive stroke last year,and we've heard barely a peep since. Age, health, and health issues before the big one, plus lengthy atypical quietness suggests a decent chance of a hit here.

 

Fidel Castro - Haven't a clue.

 

Sandy Gall - I like this pick. More Scots on the list, please.

 

Fats Domino - "Is he still alive?" asks my wife. How he outlived so many of his contemporaries I'll never know. There seems to be a clear out in the older music generation the now, so a good chance of Domino saying sayonara in 2016 - he's had health issues for ages iirc.

 

Robert Pirsig - Never heard of him. As a number of people have mentioned to me since that he's apparently in frail health, I'll concede this might be a good pick.

 

Desmond Tutu - Cancer, and in and out of hospital. Doesn't seem in immediate danger.

 

Lester Piggott - A very Deathlist pick, but seems a bit early from my limited knowledge.

 

Glen Campbell - Well, I dropped him in the DDP because I thought 2016 was too early, so given my form...

 

Stan Lee - Wasn't he meant to be seriously ill in 2012? That's all I know.

 

Boutros-Boutros Ghali - Apparently in frail health.

 

Jake Lamotta - Still going, somehow.

 

Cliff Michelmore - Given his retirement, no one knows how his health is.

 

Denis Norden - Going blind but seems quite cheery.

 

Murray Walker - Seems in good spirits to me.

 

Jimmy Greaves - Frail after massive stroke. Good pick.

 

Gordon Banks - Has kidney cancer in his one remaining kidney. Could be a clever pick indeed if he goes downhill quickly. (He had cancer before, this is its comeback.)

 

Muhammad Ali - Well, he's not going to see 80...

 

Jacques Chirac - Allegedly frail, and highly Deathlist-able.

 

Stephen Hawking - Haven't a clue, given his life expectancy beating so far...

 

Paul Gascoigne - Wasted pick. Feels like an early 90s plump too.

 

John Noakes - Alzheimer's and frail, I'd say good choice here.

 

Bruce Forsyth - Well, he did just survive a massive aneurysm, so you can see why he might be a good pick.

 

So, 5 odd age deaths, plus Joost and Crowe, plus Scales/Sallis/Philips gives 10.

 

Gutting feeling (look at the names and asking myself if I see them alive in 2017) gives us around 14 hits though.

 

 

Anyhow, time will tell.

 

Great analysis, you know much more than I do obviously about some of these!

 

Where, other than Wikipedia, is the best place to go to find health info for some of these? Other than the Xmas Day episode of Strictly for Brucie of course...

[gcreptile 10,976]

 

Nancy Reagan - Usually too determined to think of dying, but reports in September were she was too frail to attend the GOP debates. Now, she might have said that because she preferred watching Breaking Bad on Netflix...

 

Lol, now I imagine her yelling at the screen "Just say no! Just say no!"

[msc 18,477]

 

 

 

Anyhow, time will tell.

 

Great analysis, you know much more than I do obviously about some of these!

 

Where, other than Wikipedia, is the best place to go to find health info for some of these? Other than the Xmas Day episode of Strictly for Brucie of course...

 

 

 

This forum, google news, TV, all kinds of places.

 

There isn't a one shop "Celebritys Ailing" website that I know about.

[Sean 6,329]

Person by person then

 

 

Martin Crowe - terminally ill, has outlasted his prognosis. Chances of dying in 2016: 99%

 

Zsa Zsa - As I've said before, she'll go one day when we least expect it.

 

Joao Havelange - Old, health issues, remaining relevant due to age old corruption. I can't believe he's still with us. I'd be more shocked if he was here in a years time.

 

Olivia de Havilland - Seemed in fairly good fettle last year, but 12 months is a long time in your 100th year.

 

Bhumibol Adulyadej - Hopefully, so we can stop trying to spell his name.

 

Billy Graham - I trust him as much as the wrestler. Wouldn't surprise me to see him clinging on in two years.

 

Herman Wouk - Statistically likely to go this year, I'd assume.

 

Javier Perez de Cuellar - Haven't a clue.

Richard Adams - Well enough to be interviewed by Mumsnet in December. His frequent media appearances have become rather limited though.

 

Kirk Douglas - Who knows?

 

Abe Vigoda - Has he done anything in years?

 

Liz Smith - Another aging actress. Law of averages suggests at least 5 of the old folk will go, just through the art of being old.

 

Mary Tyler Moore - A forum favourite, I didn't think she was that ill, but I could be wrong.

 

Nancy Reagan - Usually too determined to think of dying, but reports in September were she was too frail to attend the GOP debates. Now, she might have said that because she preferred watching Breaking Bad on Netflix...

 

Peter Sallis - Probably.

Prince Philip - Someone who will only leave the list one way. 2016 doesn't seem any likelier than 2015, at this point.

 

James Randi - He might well become a grumpy ghost. He did retire from his own Foundation last year.

 

Lord Carrington - Seemed in fine fettle in recent interviews. I suppose age could see him off.

 

Clive James - Nah, he'll see 2017.

 

Bob Dole - As will he.

 

Joost van der Westhuizen- Joost is in Year 5 of ALS now. As seen before (Borgonovo), this is usually an event horizon with the illness.

 

Prunella Scales - Good pick. Well publicised health issues, and have heard, off the record, its more dire than papers report.

 

Jimmy Carter - I know many took him off their DDP lists, but this could be a good sleeper hit, especially if the cancer returns towards the end of the year.

 

Henry Kissinger - Doubt it.

 

Tommy Chong - I thought his cancer was less serious than most, so it seems a wasted pick right now.

 

Doug Ellis - Looked hideous at the FA Cup final, but Spade and others said he was looking better in October interviews.

 

George Bush Sr- Well, he is getting to the upper limit US Presidents tend to reach.

 

Vera Lynn - Allegedly quite frail.

 

Leslie Philips - This was a guy who was everywhere. Had that massive stroke last year,and we've heard barely a peep since. Age, health, and health issues before the big one, plus lengthy atypical quietness suggests a decent chance of a hit here.

 

Fidel Castro - Haven't a clue.

 

Sandy Gall - I like this pick. More Scots on the list, please.

 

Fats Domino - "Is he still alive?" asks my wife. How he outlived so many of his contemporaries I'll never know. There seems to be a clear out in the older music generation the now, so a good chance of Domino saying sayonara in 2016 - he's had health issues for ages iirc.

 

Robert Pirsig - Never heard of him. As a number of people have mentioned to me since that he's apparently in frail health, I'll concede this might be a good pick.

 

Desmond Tutu - Cancer, and in and out of hospital. Doesn't seem in immediate danger.

 

Lester Piggott - A very Deathlist pick, but seems a bit early from my limited knowledge.

 

Glen Campbell - Well, I dropped him in the DDP because I thought 2016 was too early, so given my form...

 

Stan Lee - Wasn't he meant to be seriously ill in 2012? That's all I know.

 

Boutros-Boutros Ghali - Apparently in frail health.

 

Jake Lamotta - Still going, somehow.

 

Cliff Michelmore - Given his retirement, no one knows how his health is.

 

Denis Norden - Going blind but seems quite cheery.

 

Murray Walker - Seems in good spirits to me.

 

Jimmy Greaves - Frail after massive stroke. Good pick.

 

Gordon Banks - Has kidney cancer in his one remaining kidney. Could be a clever pick indeed if he goes downhill quickly. (He had cancer before, this is its comeback.)

 

Muhammad Ali - Well, he's not going to see 80...

 

Jacques Chirac - Allegedly frail, and highly Deathlist-able.

 

Stephen Hawking - Haven't a clue, given his life expectancy beating so far...

 

Paul Gascoigne - Wasted pick. Feels like an early 90s plump too.

 

John Noakes - Alzheimer's and frail, I'd say good choice here.

 

Bruce Forsyth - Well, he did just survive a massive aneurysm, so you can see why he might be a good pick.

 

So, 5 odd age deaths, plus Joost and Crowe, plus Scales/Sallis/Philips gives 10.

 

Gutting feeling (look at the names and asking myself if I see them alive in 2017) gives us around 14 hits though.

 

 

Anyhow, time will tell.

I agree with most of your assessments except Gazza.This guy has been abusing alcohol for years as well as drugs.He looks dreadful and suffered a cardiac arrest when detoing in rehab.His hospital admissions are now semi regular.I reckon he is a good pick as his liver must be close to failing and he is also a suicide risk.Also can you elaborate about Prunella?I watched Timothy West on Piers Morgan yesterday and they said she was diagnosed 15 years ago which is a hell of a long time.

 

I think this picture speaks volumes about poor Gazza.I would love to see him recover and beat his demons but judging on his record so far I don`t see it happening sadly !

[The Mad Hatter 1,092]

Person by person then

 

 

Martin Crowe - terminally ill, has outlasted his prognosis. Chances of dying in 2016: 99%

 

Zsa Zsa - As I've said before, she'll go one day when we least expect it.

 

Joao Havelange - Old, health issues, remaining relevant due to age old corruption. I can't believe he's still with us. I'd be more shocked if he was here in a years time.

 

Olivia de Havilland - Seemed in fairly good fettle last year, but 12 months is a long time in your 100th year.

 

Bhumibol Adulyadej - Hopefully, so we can stop trying to spell his name.

 

Billy Graham - I trust him as much as the wrestler. Wouldn't surprise me to see him clinging on in two years.

 

Herman Wouk - Statistically likely to go this year, I'd assume.

 

Javier Perez de Cuellar - Haven't a clue.

 

Richard Adams - Well enough to be interviewed by Mumsnet in December. His frequent media appearances have become rather limited though.

 

Kirk Douglas - Who knows?

 

Abe Vigoda - Has he done anything in years?

 

Liz Smith - Another aging actress. Law of averages suggests at least 5 of the old folk will go, just through the art of being old.

 

Mary Tyler Moore - A forum favourite, I didn't think she was that ill, but I could be wrong.

 

Nancy Reagan - Usually too determined to think of dying, but reports in September were she was too frail to attend the GOP debates. Now, she might have said that because she preferred watching Breaking Bad on Netflix...

 

Peter Sallis - Probably.

Prince Philip - Someone who will only leave the list one way. 2016 doesn't seem any likelier than 2015, at this point.

 

James Randi - He might well become a grumpy ghost. He did retire from his own Foundation last year.

 

Lord Carrington - Seemed in fine fettle in recent interviews. I suppose age could see him off.

 

Clive James - Nah, he'll see 2017.

 

Bob Dole - As will he.

Joost van der Westhuizen- Joost is in Year 5 of ALS now. As seen before (Borgonovo), this is usually an event horizon with the illness.

 

Prunella Scales - Good pick. Well publicised health issues, and have heard, off the record, its more dire than papers report.

 

Jimmy Carter - I know many took him off their DDP lists, but this could be a good sleeper hit, especially if the cancer returns towards the end of the year.

 

Henry Kissinger - Doubt it.

 

Tommy Chong - I thought his cancer was less serious than most, so it seems a wasted pick right now.

 

Doug Ellis - Looked hideous at the FA Cup final, but Spade and others said he was looking better in October interviews.

 

George Bush Sr- Well, he is getting to the upper limit US Presidents tend to reach.

 

Vera Lynn - Allegedly quite frail.

Leslie Philips - This was a guy who was everywhere. Had that massive stroke last year,and we've heard barely a peep since. Age, health, and health issues before the big one, plus lengthy atypical quietness suggests a decent chance of a hit here.

 

Fidel Castro - Haven't a clue.

 

Sandy Gall - I like this pick. More Scots on the list, please.

 

Fats Domino - "Is he still alive?" asks my wife. How he outlived so many of his contemporaries I'll never know. There seems to be a clear out in the older music generation the now, so a good chance of Domino saying sayonara in 2016 - he's had health issues for ages iirc.

Robert Pirsig - Never heard of him. As a number of people have mentioned to me since that he's apparently in frail health, I'll concede this might be a good pick.

 

Desmond Tutu - Cancer, and in and out of hospital. Doesn't seem in immediate danger.

 

Lester Piggott - A very Deathlist pick, but seems a bit early from my limited knowledge.

Glen Campbell - Well, I dropped him in the DDP because I thought 2016 was too early, so given my form...

 

Stan Lee - Wasn't he meant to be seriously ill in 2012? That's all I know.

 

Boutros-Boutros Ghali - Apparently in frail health.

 

Jake Lamotta - Still going, somehow.

 

Cliff Michelmore - Given his retirement, no one knows how his health is.

 

Denis Norden - Going blind but seems quite cheery.

 

Murray Walker - Seems in good spirits to me.

 

Jimmy Greaves - Frail after massive stroke. Good pick.

 

Gordon Banks - Has kidney cancer in his one remaining kidney. Could be a clever pick indeed if he goes downhill quickly. (He had cancer before, this is its comeback.)

 

Muhammad Ali - Well, he's not going to see 80...

 

Jacques Chirac - Allegedly frail, and highly Deathlist-able.

 

Stephen Hawking - Haven't a clue, given his life expectancy beating so far...

 

Paul Gascoigne - Wasted pick. Feels like an early 90s plump too.

 

John Noakes - Alzheimer's and frail, I'd say good choice here.

 

Bruce Forsyth - Well, he did just survive a massive aneurysm, so you can see why he might be a good pick.

 

So, 5 odd age deaths, plus Joost and Crowe, plus Scales/Sallis/Philips gives 10.

 

Gutting feeling (look at the names and asking myself if I see them alive in 2017) gives us around 14 hits though.

 

 

Anyhow, time will tell.

 

nice here's my review

 

Martin crowe is the most Worthy pic on this list.

 

Zsa zsa Gabor could die any minute and has been that way for a few years now.

 

Joao havelange from what I know has lung issues and generally is as frail as a corpse.

 

Olivia is in dangerous territory this year as many people usually die before they reach 1 hundred.

 

The king of Thailand was in and out of hospitals so much in 2015 and I am generally surprised he didn't die.

 

Blly Graham must have God on his side our something he just won't die.

 

Herman wouk is 100 at that age you can't really question him.

 

Javier is an enigma no one knows what condition he is in or hOw fail he is and we won't until he dies

 

Richard Adams seems to be getting less and less active which at his age is usually accompanied by death

 

Kirk Douglas won't die this year but it doesn't matter to the committee as they'll keep picking him until he does.

 

Abe vogoda I like he has the potential to be the next deathlist star by being on the front page.

 

Liz smith will not die this year despite her age.

 

Mary Tyler Moore is a wasted pic that seems to be thrown in here to please the forum users.

 

Nancy Reagan is going to die no ifs and or buts about it.

 

Peter saills condition seems to be worsening and will die this year or next year.

 

Prince phillp will live to a hundred.

 

James Randi has always looked older than he is and at his age being frail is never good.

 

Lord carrinton is a very good pic because he is old and seems the have discolored hands which indicate heart issues that's never good.

 

Clive James in a nutshell. 2013 "i am going to die this year. 2014 " still dying ". 2015 " any day now". 2016 "eventually, maybe,possibly".

 

Bob dole to me seems like he is going to die.

 

Joost van der westhuizen is strong and pretty young so I see him fending off the disease for other couple of years.

 

Prunella scales condition is getting worse usually fast but what I see happening her is a Charlton Heston thing were her condition gets very bad but still hangs on.

 

Jimmy Carter body had already been devastated by cancer and won't make. Even if he doesn't have it anymore the damage is done.

 

Henry Kissinger is the healthest old person ever.

 

Tommy chongs cancer doesn't seem severe enough yet.

 

Doug eills looks awful

 

George Bush will see the end of 2016 after all his son is running.

 

Vera Lynn looks frail and can't have long more to go until he croakes.

 

Leslie Phelps doesn't seem that bad

 

Fidel Castro is a candidate I never understood the appeal of.

 

Sandy Gail looks like his been in out in Gail's too long.

 

Fats domino is old and overweight and look what happened to al morlinaro

 

Robert pirsig is admittedly someone I never heard of.

 

Desmond Tutu looks like a goner to me.

 

Lester piggot is the worst pic on this list all he had was one health issue ten years ago.

 

Glen Campbell is worrying because we haven't heard much which is bad for Alzheimer's causes.

 

Stan Lee will never die only people who are not Stan lee.

 

 

Boutros-Boutros Ghali looks very frail and could Cork it at any minute.

 

Jake LaMotta is going to die only one will claim the record and lord knows he has enough as it is.

 

Cliff Michelmore is a good pic because he is old and generally absent from the limelight.

 

Dennis norden is the same as cliff

 

Murray Walker won't die this year

 

Jimmy greaves I can see the appeal just feels a couple years too early

 

Gordan banks condition is awful and he can't last too long.

 

Muhammad Ali just won't die and could surrive for years in his condition.

 

 

Jacques Chirac seems have been going in and out of hospital

 

Stephen hawking is the same as Muhammad Ali

 

Gazza just seems to be thrown in their to statify forum users but trust me he won't die

 

John noakes still has another year left in him

 

Bruce Forsythe is going to surrive the year

[Predictor 1,018]

Olivia is in dangerous territory this year as many people usually die before they reach 1 hundred.

Going from 99 ---> 100 is only slightly more difficult than going from 98 ---> 99 so I don't see why she'd enter some kind of danger zone this year in particular. Also, her chronological age can be misleading if she's aged biologically at a slow speed. In fact, she might only be in her '70s' right now, meaning that she could probably live another decade.

[The Mad Hatter 1,092]

 

Olivia is in dangerous territory this year as many people usually die before they reach 1 hundred.

 

Going from 99 ---> 100 is only slightly more difficult than going from 98 ---> 99 so I don't see why she'd enter some kind of danger zone this year in particular. Also, her chronological age can be misleading if she's aged biologically at a slow speed. In fact, she might only be in her '70s' right now, meaning that she could probably live another decade.

its a trend for stars like her to die at that age.