Deathlist correctlist 2019

[En Passant 3,741]

1 hour ago, Phantom of the Midway said:

25% Bob, 75% non-Bob

[Banana 859]

1. Kirk Douglas
2. Herman Wouk
3. Olivia de Havilland
4. Leah Bracknell
5. Robert Mugabe
6. Jerry Stiller
7. Javier Perez de Cuellar
8. Bob Barker
9. Bob Hawke
10. Jacques Chirac
11. Nobby Stiles
12. John McCririck
13. Clive James
14. Johnny Clegg

14 deaths

[Master Tech 11]

Kirk Douglas

Herman Wouk

Olivia de Havilland 

Leah Bracknell (Joker)

Vera Lynn

Bob Dole 

Murray Walker 

Stirling Moss 

John McCririck 

Nobby Stiles 

June brown 

Johnny clegg 

 

A total of 12 hits for me

[paddyfool 379]

About to start compiling responses so far; two days left for new entries.

As game host, is it fair for me to join, and in particular, would anyone object if I entered a "Wisdom of crowds" team (basically comprised of the mean team length of all publicly posted teams and all the most popular names from publicly posted teams so far with the most popular joker as joker)?  I'm quite fond of arbitrary team selections...

[Great Uncle Bulgaria 1,282]

1. Kirk

2. Wouk

3. Leah B

4. Vera Lynn

5. Kissinger

6. Murray Walker

7. Gordon B`nks

8. Stirling Moss

9. Bob Hawke (joker)

10. Nobby Stiles

11. Tony Britton

12. Clive James

13. Litte Richard

14. Johnny Clegg

15. Jimmy Greaves

16. Bob Barker\

17. Robert Mugabe

18. Javier Perez de C

 

[Gooseberry Crumble 5,337]

I am going to be brave and say we will surpass the record an set a new record of twenty deaths

 

Vera Lynn

Leah Bracknell

Pierre Cardin {JOKER}

Prince Philip

Herman Wouk

Bob Dole

Bob Barker

Betty White

Stirling Moss

Bob Hawke

Nobby Stiles

Desmond Tutu

Jimmy Greaves

Loretta Lynn

Ginger Baker

Little Richard

Barbara Walters

Jacques Chirac

Javier Perez De Guellar

Valerie Harper

[BlackLivio 3]

Barbara Walters

Bob Dole

Bob Hawke (joker)

Harry Belafonte

Javier Perez de Cuellar

Jerry Stiller

John McCririck

Johnny Clegg

June Brown

Kirk Douglas

Leah Bracknell

Little Richard

Nobby Stiles

 

13 deaths in total

 

My first post here - hello everyone! 

 

[paddyfool 379]

Welcome to the forum, and thank you for sorting your pics alphabetically by first name - it makes my life much easier when adding to the spreadsheet (I should have offered a bonus point for this at the start...)

 

Incidentally, I've decided against adding my own team.

[drol 11,936]

I'll concede 11 deaths:

 

Bob Barker

Leah Bracknell

Tony Britton

Johnny Clegg

Bob Dole

Bob Hawke (joker)

Clive James

Stirling Moss

Javier Perez de Cuellar

Nobby Stiles

Herman Wouk

[Torva Messor 279]

1. Bob Dole
2. Bob Hawke
3. Emperor Akihito
4. Herman Wouk
5. John McCririck (*JOKER*)
6. Johnny Clegg
7. Kirk Douglas
8. Leah Bracknell
9. Mikhail Gorbachev
10. Nobby Stiles
11. Pierre Cardin
12. Robert Mugabe
13. Shane MacGowan
14. Stirling Moss
15. Vera Lynn

[SuperSowder 0]

I predict 14 deaths this year:

 

-Leah Bracknell (Joker)
-Robert Mugabe
-Bob Dole
-Kirk Douglas
-Mikhail Gorbachev
-Javier Perez de Cuellar
-Doris Day
-Herman Wouk
-Bob Barker
-Johnny Clegg
-Prince Phillip
-Ed Asner

-Vera Lynn
-Little Richard

[paddyfool 379]

How would people prefer that I score this as we go on? Would you rather:

A That I calculate survivor penalties at the start and reverse them as teams get hits, meaning that everyone starts with minus [many] and slowly move up to positives?

OR:

B That teams start from 0 and I only calculate survivor penalties at the end?

[En Passant 3,741]

6 hours ago, paddyfool said:

How would people prefer that I score this as we go on? Would you rather:

A That I calculate survivor penalties at the start and reverse them as teams get hits, meaning that everyone starts with minus [many] and slowly move up to positives?

OR:

B That teams start from 0 and I only calculate survivor penalties at the end?

Whichever is the most work for you. 

Actually A: I think. I personally don't play that many pools and would like regular updates on those I do to pacify my raging OCD.

[TQR 14,386]

17 hours ago, paddyfool said:

How would people prefer that I score this as we go on? Would you rather:

A That I calculate survivor penalties at the start and reverse them as teams get hits, meaning that everyone starts with minus [many] and slowly move up to positives?

OR:

B That teams start from 0 and I only calculate survivor penalties at the end?

 

I reckon A, so we might witness some games of catch-up from teams that get heavier penalties.

[Dr_T 254]

My list comes to 15.

 

Kirk Douglas

Herman Wouk

Olivia de Havilland

Leah Bracknell (J)

Robert Mugabe

Bob Dole

Javier Perez de Cuellar

Bob Barker

Murray Walker

June Brown

Bob Hawke

Nobby Stiles

Cleo Laine

Clive James

Johnny Clegg

 

If this list goes close then there will be a great rejuvenation of the list for 2020 - a good few old favourite coffin-dodgers here.

 

Cheers Dr_T

[paddyfool 379]

Welcome aboard Dr_T. From this point on, we are now closed to new entries. Scorelist and statistical summary to follow this evening.

[paddyfool 379]

30 participants in the race.  I expect it to be a close one, if only because with short teams from a small pool, a lot of teams are fairly similar.  Only time will tell, however.

Our scores so far, one week out of 52 into the year, assuming I've written my spreadsheet correctly:

John Key	-7
YoungWillz	-13
theoldlady	-15
Phantom of the Midway	-15
drol	-15
Sean	-16
alt obits guy	-16
Bibliogryphon	-16
The Cosgroves	-16
Master Tech	-16
BlackLivio	-16
Zefph	-17
Grim Up North	-17
The Quim Reaper	-17
Sir Creep	-17
Banana	-17
gcreptile	-18
SuperSowder	-18
nantonian2013	-19
Joey Russ	-19
Squonk	-19
Torva Messor	-19
Dr_T	-19
Book	-20
En Passant	-21
ebless	-22
Great Uncle Bulgaria	-22
msc	-23
The Old Crem	-23
Gooseberry Crumble	-24

 

(EDIT: Totals tweaked after a formula error failed to penalise for Bookie's Favourite)

 

Please feel free to check your total.  Currently, with 0 deaths, you should get -1 for each name on your team (doubled to -2 for the joker), -1 again if you picked the "Bookie's favourite", Herman Wouk (doubled to -2 for Grim up North who was the only punter to pick Herman as his joker), and -2 for being more than 5 away from the correct number of deaths unless you are John Key and predicted just 5 deaths (John Key will likely stay in the lead until we have at least 6 deaths and quite possibly more).  Let me know if the maths doesn't add up.  And don't worry if your score is low now; the lowest scores also have the greatest growth potential.

Overall, the following picks featured on at least 20 teams out of the 30 teams:
Herman Wouk (27 teams)
Johnny Clegg (24 teams)

Bob Hawke (23 teams)

Kirk Douglas  (23 teams)
Leah Bracknell (21 teams)

Nobby Stiles (21 teams)

Bob Dole (20 teams)

Stirling Moss (20 teams)

 

The most popular jokers were Bob Hawke and Leah Bracknell (7 teams apiece)
 

The following were unique picks for the team they were chosen on:

EDIT: Alan Greenspan

Cleo Laine

Honor Blackman

Hosni Mubarak

Jimmy Carter

Valery Giscard d'Estaing

 

And the following two individuals featured on no teams, and may thus be dubbed our designated survivors:
Dick van Dyke

Larry King

(If either of them don't see the year out, I'm blaming all of you punters collectively for jinxing them ;-) )

 

And now we wait for the hits.

[Joey Russ 7,220]

Could be wrong, but I believe Alan Greenspan is a unique pick for me? Can’t find him on another list...

[paddyfool 379]

3 minutes ago, Joey Russ said:

Could be wrong, but I believe Alan Greenspan is a unique pick for me? Can’t find him on another list...

 

He was on The Old Crem's list (the only punter to send his list by pm).  Apologies.

[The Old Crem 3,583]

3 minutes ago, paddyfool said:

 

He was on The Old Crem's list (the only punter to send his list by pm).  Apologies.

Is he? I can't find him on the PM I sent to you which has.

Kirk Douglas

Herman Wouk

Olivia De Havilland

Prince Philip

Vera Lynn

Robert Mugabe

Bob Dole

Betty White

Sterling Moss

Bob Hawke

Nobby Stiles

Honor Blackman

Barbara Walters

Vanessa Redgrave – Joker

Loretta Lynn

John McCririck

Clive James

Shane McGowan

Johnny Clegg

[paddyfool 379]

4 minutes ago, The Old Crem said:

Is he? I can't find him on the PM I sent to you which has.

Kirk Douglas

Herman Wouk

Olivia De Havilland

Prince Philip

Vera Lynn

Robert Mugabe

Bob Dole

Betty White

Sterling Moss

Bob Hawke

Nobby Stiles

Honor Blackman

Barbara Walters

Vanessa Redgrave – Joker

Loretta Lynn

John McCririck

Clive James

Shane McGowan

Johnny Clegg

 

Drat, I added an x to his row by accident rather than Barbara Walters' row below.  Corrected.  Thank you for catching the mistake - I was a tad worried that such mistakes might happen during single data entry of 14 * 30 individual data points.

[dean1991 116]

I'll tie this in with the guess the number of hits game & say 8.

 

Olivia De Havilland

Vera Lynn 

Sidney Poitier

Robert Mugabe 

Shane McGowan 

Emperor Akihito 

Jimmy Greaves 

Barbara Walters

 

 

[paddyfool 379]

1 hour ago, dean1991 said:

I'll tie this in with the guess the number of hits game & say 8.

 

Olivia De Havilland

Vera Lynn 

Sidney Poitier

Robert Mugabe 

Shane McGowan 

Emperor Akihito 

Jimmy Greaves 

Barbara Walters

 

 

 

I'm sorry to say you missed the arbitrary starting pistol by two days, and I'm done with entering teams into this game's spreadsheet. Better luck in other guessing games. 

[Wormfarmer 427]

Sorry I missed it, it looks like a cool idea.  Give me a shout out next year if you run it again.  

[paddyfool 379]

7 hours ago, Wormfarmer said:

Sorry I missed it, it looks like a cool idea.  Give me a shout out next year if you run it again.  

 

Sure thing. Next year I think a longer entry period might be among the sensible rule changes that could be made.