msc 18,534 Posted October 31, 2019 Just now, Kinnock said: If she wasn't such a dreadful interviewee then maybe. Have a watch of this..... First section is her interview (the dreadful bit circulating all over the internet is https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m0009v71/the-andrew-neil-show-series-1-30102019 5:50 onwards to 10:00 where she claims she could become Prime Minister (as her dreadful leaflets) are and then goes on to show her economic ignorance. Thankfully for her nobody watches the Andrew Neil show but if she's included in TV debates she's fucked (which she's pleading for)...... Oh I saw it at the time! Mrs msc called it "parliament's weekly sacrifice to Neil"... 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Toast 16,231 Posted October 31, 2019 2 hours ago, msc said: Really? I think shes going to split the Remain vote and let the Tories in a fair few places. What would you call the Remain vote? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,534 Posted October 31, 2019 24 minutes ago, Toast said: What would you call the Remain vote? I mean the Lib Dems (campaigning on a Revoke Brexit position) and Labour (campaigning on a 2nd Referendum with Remain as an option and most of the Shadow Cabinet supporting staying) specifically in the marginals I was referring to. But the Greens and other smaller parties are running on anti-Brexit platforms too. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deathray 2,942 Posted October 31, 2019 Boris Johnson gets up in parliament on Wednesday and says the NHS is not for sale and the US is not going to be getting it's grubby hands on it. Trump rings Nigel Farage on LBC the day after to advocate privatising healthcare in the UK and criticise Boris trade deal while telling people Corbyn is a danger to the country and they should vote Johnson.... 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,178 Posted October 31, 2019 Antoinette Sandbach - signs her electoral death warrant? https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2019-50257912 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,178 Posted November 3, 2019 Anyone think Keith Vaz will actually run for re-election? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deathray 2,942 Posted November 3, 2019 35 minutes ago, YoungWillz said: Anyone think Keith Vaz will actually run for re-election? He's currently reselected as a Labour Party candidate by default with trigger ballots suspended so yes. Although he could be deselected at NEC this week, we'll see. If he's left in place that could be a BXP / Tory gain. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cat O'Falk 3,290 Posted November 4, 2019 9 hours ago, Kinnock said: If he's left in place that could be a BXP / Tory gain. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deathray 2,942 Posted November 4, 2019 6 hours ago, Cat O'Falk said: Look, I appreciate it's a Labour safe seat but I really don't think people understand how volatile this election is actually going to be, or are going to appreciate that until the results come through. We're looking at Lib Dems, BXP and Tories winning lots of seats on 25-30% of the vote. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deathray 2,942 Posted November 4, 2019 @Cat O'Falk Emphasis on my point. https://www.yorkshirepost.co.uk/news/politics/exclusive-ex-tory-chair-in-key-yorkshire-marginal-endorses-labour-in-tactical-election-vote-to-halt-brexit-1-10082967 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,534 Posted November 4, 2019 1 hour ago, Kinnock said: Look, I appreciate it's a Labour safe seat but I really don't think people understand how volatile this election is actually going to be, or are going to appreciate that until the results come through. We're looking at Lib Dems, BXP and Tories winning lots of seats on 25-30% of the vote. There's also the possibility of some right odd gains for Tories, Labour and Lib Dems in parts of the country due to them coming through the middle when the other 2 eat each others votes. I also can't recall an election with so many direct 3 way constituency fights (Finchley, Kensington, Lanark, Ynys Mon to pick but 4...). Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deathray 2,942 Posted November 4, 2019 46 minutes ago, msc said: There's also the possibility of some right odd gains for Tories, Labour and Lib Dems in parts of the country due to them coming through the middle when the other 2 eat each others votes. I also can't recall an election with so many direct 3 way constituency fights (Finchley, Kensington, Lanark, Ynys Mon to pick but 4...). Yup the whole things going to be an absolute mess. And will hopefully be the end of FPTP. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cat O'Falk 3,290 Posted November 4, 2019 4 hours ago, Kinnock said: Look, I appreciate it's a Labour safe seat but I really don't think people understand how volatile this election is actually going to be, or are going to appreciate that until the results come through. We're looking at Lib Dems, BXP and Tories winning lots of seats on 25-30% of the vote. Labour could put a member of the KKK up for the election and still take the seat. The council is made up of 54 councillors (53 Labour and one Liberal Democrat) across 21 wards. The poshest part of Leicester is Stoneygate (Gary Lineker lived there whilst he played for Leicester) and they returned three Labour Councillors at the last election whilst kicking out the incumbent ceremonial mayor who was the only Tory on the council. I remember when Vaz's story broke, BBC East Midlands Today went looking for vox pops amongst the public and were hard pushed to find anyone willing to criticise him. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deathray 2,942 Posted November 4, 2019 5 minutes ago, Cat O'Falk said: Labour could put a member of the KKK up for the election and still take the seat. The council is made up of 54 councillors (53 Labour and one Liberal Democrat) across 21 wards. The poshest part of Leicester is Stoneygate (Gary Lineker lived there whilst he played for Leicester) and they returned three Labour Councillors at the last election whilst kicking out the incumbent ceremonial mayor who was the only Tory on the council. I remember when Vaz's story broke, BBC East Midlands Today went looking for vox pops amongst the public and were hard pushed to find anyone willing to criticise him. In a normal election yes. This is not a normal election. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Spade_Cooley 9,624 Posted November 4, 2019 Tom Watson's an obvious one, but from the other end of the Labour party my money's on Corbynite darling Laura Pidcock. Had a majority of 8,792 in 2017, but North West Durham was 55.5% leave at the Brexit referendum. There was also a 3% swing from LAB to CON at the last election, and she's not exactly the person to stop centrists from switching Labour to Lib Dem... 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean 6,360 Posted November 4, 2019 Issue with predicting the Portillo moment is that it requires both household name value and a significant swing.The biggest names in danger of a swing on Tory sides are Iain Duncan Smith and BoJo himself.Particularly the latter would make the Portillo Moment look like a ripple in the political earthquake. Labour I think could lose big names if a Brexit backlash is reflected in the polls.That leaves northern seats in danger meaning we could see people like Yvette Cooper Ed Miliband Tom Watson Rebecca Long Bailey Laura Pidcock and even the best of Bolsover himself in danger. SNP seem fairly safe but most seats were held by different parties prior to 2015. Welsh Labour I think could suffer due to Brexit. If the SNP get Jo Swindon's seat then that would be a massive defeat. Some MPs are likely to lose their seats such as Frank Field all Change UK MPs and the independent former Tories and lib dem defectors from the Tories and Labour. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Toast 16,231 Posted November 4, 2019 38 minutes ago, Sean said: Some MPs are likely to lose their seats such as Frank Field all Change UK MPs and the independent former Tories and lib dem defectors from the Tories and Labour. My MP has avoided any such embarrassment by not seeking re-election. He was straight back up Boris's arse after his little protest, mind. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sean 6,360 Posted November 4, 2019 53 minutes ago, Toast said: My MP has avoided any such embarrassment by not seeking re-election. He was straight back up Boris's arse after his little protest, mind. Who is your MP? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Toast 16,231 Posted November 4, 2019 6 minutes ago, Sean said: Who is your MP? As I have made a somewhat libellous comment, I'd better not say openly. You may PM me your guesses if you wish Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
TQR 14,451 Posted November 4, 2019 My MP is S*****n M*****fe. Tory Brexiteer with a horrendous voting record. Pretty quiet normally, most probably because he's invariably got one of Boris Johnson's testicles in his gob. Absolute anal fissure of a man. Go on M*****fe, sue me for libel you cunt! EDIT: My legal advisor calmed me down and edited this for me. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,534 Posted November 4, 2019 54 minutes ago, Toast said: As I have made a somewhat libellous comment, I'd better not say openly. You may PM me your guesses if you wish I'm pretty sure I know who it is, but wont name them on request. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Toast 16,231 Posted November 4, 2019 1 hour ago, msc said: I'm pretty sure I know who it is, but wont name them on request. Probably not difficult to work it out 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cat O'Falk 3,290 Posted November 4, 2019 He'll carry on behind. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bibliogryphon 9,639 Posted November 6, 2019 Looks like Boris will side step a Portillo moment and parachute into Alan Duncan's Melton Mowbray constituency. Which provides a delicious cockney rhyming slang irony as Melton is the home of pork pies. 3 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Joey Russ 7,263 Posted November 10, 2019 On 03/11/2019 at 07:55, YoungWillz said: Anyone think Keith Vaz will actually run for re-election? Good question. Nope Share this post Link to post Share on other sites