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themaninblack

Derby Dead Pool 2017

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Started calculating the probability of who is most likely to be on the Drop 40.Can easily guess over twenty names I would put good money on making an appearance.I bet Zsa Zsa won`t be 1st next year though.

Nice foreshadowing...

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My Decaying Orbit-uaries theme team ready for liftoff. Submitted it just now.

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115 teams in so far...

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For my theme team's new joker, can I send the email right now or should I wait until you send me the notification that I'll need a new joker?

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I was gonna submit my team tomorrow, but now I'll wait how the Carrie Fisher story progresses.

 

If she dies in the coming hours (or days), I'll just submit.

If she's put in a coma or something of the sort and is still expected to die soon, I'll add her onto there in hopes of her making January 1st.

If she has a magical recovery (unlikely), I'll just submit it without her.

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For my theme team's new joker, can I send the email right now or should I wait until you send me the notification that I'll need a new joker?

 

You can send the email...

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If Fisher makes it to 01/01/17 there'll be rather more than just the two teams that are on tender hooks for her now...

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Seems likely she will be one of the top 5 or so picks if she makes it to Jan 1.

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142 teams registered so far...

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One of my team members for next year has sadly died. I'll back it up with an email (unnecessary, I know, but I like to have a record of these things).

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The Drop 40 needs new blood... The Piers Sellers/Carrie Fisher timing was fitting. I think she'll be on it.

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So, who will be 100% sure picks that everybody knows?

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Even in my longlist I hardly assign a 100% chance of dying. Currently, only non-DDP people have it. Those you want to pick are usually young and relatively robust (pre-illness). They might be doomed but they could still outlast 2017.

The best suggestion might be to pick those who already outlasted most of 2016 against the odds.

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So, who will be 100% sure picks that everybody knows?

The one everyone knew was going to die, Piers Sellers, died back on the 23rd.

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Just emailed my team in.

Good luck, everybody!

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Sir Creep will enter his most awesome of all themed theme teams:

 

Gris Gris

 

(THEME) So good, they named them twice…

 

Hon. Abraham Eliezer Abrahamson (S.Afr.; can't confirm he's alive lol)

Alessandro Alessandroni

Jacques-Roger Booh-Booh (Joker)

Edwin Edwards

Carl-Erik Eriksson

Glen Glenn

Gail "Hal" Halvorsen

Ivan Ivanov

George "Johnny" Johnson

Kris Kristofferson

Li Li-Hua (Japanese actress)

Michael "Mick" Michael

U. E. "Pat" Patrick

Pat Patterson

Peter G. Peterson

Phil Phillips

Robert Roberts

Sirhan Sirhan

Stefan Karl Stefansson (Icelandic actor)

Woody Woodson

 

All the rest are reboots and have descriptions.

 

Subs:

Domingo 'Sam' Samudio (Sam the Sham)

José José

Chi Chi Rodriguez

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Just entered my new theme team - "1982 was the best year for pop". I'm hoping Oliver Bendt gets me a unique pick.

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I've just sent off my first ever theme team. Not much thought went into this assemblage of philosophers and theologians, that will probably show throughout the year.

 

Destination Eschaton

 

Saul Kripke (joker)
Mary Midgley
Huston Smith
Slavoj Zizek
Richard Swinburne
Alvin Plantinga
Gayatri Spivak
Nel Noddings
Derek Parfit
Sandra Harding
Robert M. Pirsig
Jurgen Habermas
Gillo Dorfles
Keith Ward
Agnes Heller
Alain Badiou
Hans Albert
Mary Warnock
Noam Chomsky
Anthony Kenny
 
Subs
 
Daniel Dennett
Simon Blackburn
Kanye West
 
My main team won't be sent off until the 31st, but I've finally settled on a joker and it's quite a risk.
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you could have chosen Neville Neville

I'm writing it down for future reference. Isn't there an MP David Davies? I just fire random combinations of names throughout the year hoping for a hit. No other way to research this one I fear. It's what makes it a fun work in progress.

SC

 

(David Davis - Haltemprice & Howden - as per By-Election Bingo)

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Neville Neville died last year Creep. I remember you kicked off about not knowing who he was.

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Neville Neville died last year Creep. I remember you kicked off about not knowing who he was.

That's right I just looked it up lol. I could use a Neville Neville now and again.

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you could have chosen Neville Neville

I'm writing it down for future reference. Isn't there an MP David Davies? I just fire random combinations of names throughout the year hoping for a hit. No other way to research this one I fear. It's what makes it a fun work in progress.

SC

 

(David Davis - Haltemprice & Howden - as per By-Election Bingo)

 

 

There's David Davis - the more famous one - but there's also David Davies. And it's Welsh, so pronounced "Davis". Both from the same party. Not confusing at all...

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Hey! I saw the new "Drop 40 pick" bonus while reading the DDP rules. To be honest, I'm not sure I understand why it was introduced. Basically, the Drop 40 consists of the celebrities that have been included in the most amount of teams. Almost by default, the most popular selections are those whose fame levels are high, whose ages are advanced, and/or those whose illnesses have been publicized substantially in mainstream media.

 

In other words, the research effort that goes into finding these people is negligable. So why are we rewarding deathpoolers with bonuses for going with people like Kirk Douglas and Vera Lynn? It's like the exact opposite of the "unique pick" bonus, ain't it?

 

Also, it becomes a self-fullfilling prophecy when a large amount of entrants choose celebrity x because they believe that others will choose him/her, which results in x being chosen. While without the bonus, teams would have opted not to pick x because (s)he is just really old and takes up space for better picks.[/rant]

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