By-Election Bingo 2017-22

[Bibliogryphon 9,565]

On 19/12/2018 at 16:48, Deathray said:

 

I mean she doesn't have to resign the seat unless she gets a year in prison to be fair.

 

Well Fiona has dodged that bullet so unless she faces a recall petition or decides to fall on her sword voluntarily thoughts turn to Newport West for the first hit on this game. However nine out of the 12 players have picked Paul so it is more of a big deal for those who didn't.

 

[Bibliogryphon 9,565]

Interestingly any By-election in this constituency could be a tough test for Jeremy Corbyn.

 

The losing Conservative candidate in 2017 got a higher share of the vote than the candidate the last time the Conservatives held the seat (1983) on the surface it looks like a straight Red/Blue race. Paul Flynn obviously had incumbancy on his side and was close to Corbyn but the question is whether pro-European voters will look to  the Lib-Dems, PC or Greens as an alternative to Brexit enabling Labour and will they do it in sufficient quantities to get the Conservatives over the winning line.

 

Though even if the By-election was needed now it is unlikely it would be held before 29th March

[Torva Messor 277]

Longest dry spell I've had in a pool but I have a hit. Paul Flynn (checked thrice to confirm) MP for Newport West

 

[Sir Creep 7,070]

2 hours ago, Torva Messor said:

Longest dry spell I've had in a pool but I have a hit. Paul Flynn (checked thrice to confirm) MP for Newport West

 

Looks like.  First hit by a Yank.  30 points no less.

SC

[Bibliogryphon 9,565]

Paul Flynn is the first hit for this Parliament giving 9 players 30 points.

 

Points for Bibliogryphon @Sean @msc @GraveDanger @Torva Messor @Sir Creep @Switch @manuel & @RoverAndOut

 

No points for @Joey Russ @YoungWillz & @Deathray

 

Longest gap between the deaths of MPs. 

[Deathray 2,940]

Resigners aren't standing for re-election so that's 7 potential lost.

[Torva Messor 277]

5 hours ago, Bibliogryphon said:

Longest gap between the deaths of MPs. 

With about 650 MPs it's tricky to follow their fortunes from half-the-planet away. I imagined this pool is my real-life manifestation of my recurring dream of registering for a history class and forgetting to attend it until seven weeks later: my first hit while the Brits enjoy 870 points already.

[Bibliogryphon 9,565]

4 minutes ago, Torva Messor said:

With about 650 MPs it's tricky to follow their fortunes from half-the-planet away. I imagined this pool is my real-life manifestation of my recurring dream of registering for a history class and forgetting to attend it until seven weeks later: my first hit while the Brits enjoy 870 points already.

No we are all in the same boat. One one by-election since the General election nearly two years ago. If this parliament goes the distance we might have some more.

You don't need to worry. You are a joint leader.

[msc 18,421]

1 minute ago, Bibliogryphon said:

No we are all in the same boat. One one by-election since the General election nearly two years ago. If this parliament goes the distance we might have some more.

You don't need to worry. You are a joint leader.

 

I, for one, am bitterly disappointed Chaka Khan and the Gang of 7 haven't called byelections today.

 

I have 2 of them on my team!

[YoungWillz 21,007]

This all assumes a by-election happens. If Tezza calls a general election to exploit Labour's perceived weakness, does that nullify the points?

[Torva Messor 277]

None of the seven MPs resigning is on my list. I don't have any expectations beyond chance; the first hit always has frisson, and nicer to know that frisson is shared with eight other players.

[Bibliogryphon 9,565]

4 hours ago, YoungWillz said:

This all assumes a by-election happens. If Tezza calls a general election to exploit Labour's perceived weakness, does that nullify the points?

No this happened last time with Gerald Kaufman. The By-Election was called but cancelled when the GE was called. It would end the game though.

[Spade_Cooley 9,513]

Brecon and Radnorshire could be heading for a by-election

[Bibliogryphon 9,565]

6 minutes ago, Spade_Cooley said:

Brecon and Radnorshire could be heading for a by-election

 

By the time that goes to trial we could have had a General Election :-D

 

[Bibliogryphon 9,565]

Recall petition in Peterborough.  Will 10% of the electorate bother to sign. The one for Ian Paisley Jr fell short by less than 1%.

 

Newport by-election 4th April. 

[Spade_Cooley 9,513]

Difference is Paisley was still a member of his party, Onasanya's now an independent so Labour will be petitioning for the recall. 

I'd say Labour hold, but Peterborough's an odd fucking town. 

[Ulitzer95 12,563]

42 minutes ago, Spade_Cooley said:

Difference is Paisley was still a member of his party, Onasanya's now an independent so Labour will be petitioning for the recall. 

I'd say Labour hold, but Peterborough's an odd fucking town. 

 

Would rather the Tories take it personally but I think you’re right, Lab hold. It is a swing constituency but is becoming more metro-liberal as a city and therefore falling further from the clutches of the Tories.

[Jeremy Corbyn 89]

Fiona should resign immediately

[Bibliogryphon 9,565]

Unfortunately for this game the latest MP convicted of expenses fraud (Tory - Christopher Davies) is not a pick in this pool

[Sean 6,309]

It wouldn`t make any difference the government will collapse within the next 3 weeks anyhow.

[Bibliogryphon 9,565]

So there will be a by-election in Peterborough after Fiona Onasanya is the first MP to be ousted from a recall petition. However she is not a hit here so this just becomes am academic exercise.

 

Her 607 majority would be something that would look tempting for the Conservatives if they were in any position to take advantage of it but it could be a massive free for all.

 

Brexit party victory on low turn-out?

[Sir Creep 7,070]

On 22/03/2019 at 12:00, Sean said:

It wouldn`t make any difference the government will collapse within the next 3 weeks anyhow.

He said 5 weeks ago...

[Bibliogryphon 9,565]

Just running an eye over Peterborough as a constituency it is unlikely the defeated Conservative candidate from 2017 will return because his use of social media has shoqn him to be a less than pleasant gentleman. At the moment the result could be anything.

[Spade_Cooley 9,513]

Looks like the Tory candidate will be this lad: https://twitter.com/paulbristow79

 

Whereas the Labour candidate will be: https://twitter.com/LisaForbes_

 

This might be Farage's chance if he stands as the Brexit UK candidate. But then we've said that 100 times before. Galloway standing throws another wrench into the works as well.

[Bibliogryphon 9,565]

The Conservatives have just lost control of the local council in Peterborough to NOC but they still have the most seats on the council.