Derby Dead Pool 2016

[gcreptile 10,966]

I don't see the point in that. Can you honestly ever see someone score 20/20 in the DDP and not win? I can't.

Challenge accepted!

[msc 18,439]

 

I don't see the point in that. Can you honestly ever see someone score 20/20 in the DDP and not win? I can't.

Challenge accepted!

 

 

 

Just to say, if he comes up with Shameless 2: Shamelesser due to this, I am so not taking responsibility.

[gcreptile 10,966]

 

 

 

 

I don't see the point in that. Can you honestly ever see someone score 20/20 in the DDP and not win? I can't.

Challenge accepted!

 

Just to say, if he comes up with Shameless 2: Shamelesser due to this, I am so not taking responsibility.

It's going to be a fairly conventional team of low-scoring likely-dying people. I'm probably calling it "Hits galore - still no score".

[themaninblack 2,112]

Funnily enough, one of my ideas for the alternative scoring system for the Theme Team League would be an accrual bonus: The more hits you get, the greater the points added (+1 for 2 hits, +2 for 3 hits etc)...

[msc 18,439]

Imagine that being in place on the main DDP this year - we'd think its all over, than the news on Christmas Day will be: "Al-Baghdadi droned, confirmed by both sides." Suddenly there's 40 point bonus heading Devons way (or 150 odd if its compound interest, of course)!

[CaptainChorizo 1,977]

Here is one to add to List Of The Lost

 

Lord Tanamo

The Jamaican singer died at age 81 back in April

[Eesti 151]

 

 

 

 

 

 

I have already 4/20. (Pat Harrington Jr, Rene Angelil, Eric Lubbock, Martin Crowe)

 

I believe that Feek, Marks will be also hits.

Others ... I don't know. History shows that I get 3/20 or 7/20 hits per year. I have already over 3... so I will have 7 hits probably.

So last time I did this - Feek died on the same day.

 

So today it seems, that ...

 

90% chance to die in 2016 - Ford

75% chance to die in 2016 - Marks, Granger, Kohl

50% chance to die in 2016 - Adamowicz, Travis, James, Carter, Gabor

25% chance to die in 2016 - Farnham, Westhuizen, Ali

5% chance to die in 2016 - Cruyff, Romero, Fawkes

 

My math says that I will get more hits this year.

 

Four days later. Ford is dead. Soon I shall do another update. Gonna be harder this time.

 

Now I did some heavy research. This is how it's going to be according to the information available.

 

 

1. Kate Granger 85% (according to her blog 16.03.16 - losing her battle to cancer)

2. Keith Farnham 75% (pulmonary fibrosis, bladder cancer and hepatitis C - should be dead already)

3. Howard Marks 70% (inoperable bowel cancer which has spread to his liver and lungs since 2014/15 winter)

4. Tony Adamowicz 65% (stage 4 brain cancer - should be dead in less than two years)

5. Muhammad Ali 60% (32 years with Parkinson's disease - getting worse every year)

6. Clive James 55% (leukemia - embarraced to be alive since he should be dead already)

7. Kris Travis 50% (had stomach cancer, got into remission, cancer returned, life or death TBA)

8. Helen Fawkes 45% (won three times against ovarian cancer, according to her blog 22.03.16 - the cancer has returned)

9. Randy Romero 40% (hepatitis C, liver and kidneys are failing - according to doctors he might not see next year if he doesn't some new organ transplant)

10. Joost van der Westhuizen 35% (has MND - in 2011 was giver 2-5 years to live, only 10% with the illness can live up to 10 years)

11. Zsa Zsa Gabor 30% (according to statistics - people who are aged 99 have 70% chance to see their next birthday, otherways she has NO health issues at all)

12. Helmut Kohl 25% (health has been failing during the last 10 years, but now seems stable)

13. Jimmy Carter 20% (had cancer that had spread to brain and liver but declares himself cancer free, however he is old)

14. Johan Cruyff 15% (fighting with lung cancer and has a feeling that he is 2-0 up in the first half of a match that has not finished yet)

 

According to my math I should get six more hits which should give me a score of 46 points. If I add that to my current 58 points in DDP, I get 104 points. That should hive me a chance of 33% to win this years DDP. What do you guys think?

 

Alright, so ... 12 people left.

 

Well...

 

1. Granger 90%

2. Adamowicz 75%

3. Marks 70%

4. Farnham 65%

5. Ali 60%

6. Fawkes 55%

7. James 50%

8. Gabor 45%

9. Carter 40%

10. Kohl 35%

11. Romero 30%

12. van der Westhuizen 25%

 

Seems like that if you have cancer in 2016, you just have to go...

 

I am very positive that Granger won't see 2017 but she might not be the next one to go.

 

Another hit. This time not too suprising. Granger up next.

 

 

Another update:

 

1. Kate Granger 95% (as of today her health is failing and death seems inevitable)

2. Tony Adamowicz 75% (as of 6th of June he was still fighting with brain cancer, unable to accept visitors)

3. Randy Romero 60% (as of February 2016 nobody know how much longer his organs will function. It is sure that if he doesn't get new liver soon, he will die. Probably this or next year)

4. Clive James 55% (as of 14th of June his medicine still works, but it could fail him tomorrow. He has been lucky for a long time now, end should be near)

5. Zsa Zsa Gabor 50% (zzzZZZzzz...)

6. Helen Fawkes 45% (as of 18th of June she received her chemo no 73, seems that she is doing well, but you will never know when her chemo might start to fail)

7. Helmut Kohl 35% (as of 4th of April he is recovering slowly, however his health might get worse any day)

8. Joost van der Westhuizen 25% (dying slowly but should make it to 2017)

9. Keith Farnham 20% (no reliable information from 2016, seems to be dying some time between 2016 and 2023)

10. Jimmy Carter 15% (seems well enough to survive the year)

 

Got 10 hits with the first six months. Will I get another 10 hits with the last six months?

 

 

8 potential hits left.

[msc 18,439]

You should probably write again that Joost van der Westhuizen and Keith Farnham will definitely see 2017.

 

From a neutral bystander, naturally.

[Sir Creep 7,070]

 

Did you tell the people about Patricia Laffin. There's even evidence for her death certificate.

 

Her DDP bio now mentions her death.

It's no Laffin matter

[Sir Creep 7,070]

I don't see the point in that. Can you honestly ever see someone score 20/20 in the DDP and not win? I can't.

 

As for obitability, I refer to the Sir Creep rule. Apart from on people like Robert Dorr, that was a bullet dodged. Of course, it was worse for Dorr himself, I guess... It's funny, when I axed Fekete and Esterhazy from my final 25, it was primarily obit worries, and at the time, I did actually think to myself "It's me we're talking about here, its hardly likely to be a title changing decision if they died..."

I axed Fekete for obitability reasons as well--and left List of the Lost entrant Brian Weidmeier. Oh vey

SC

[Eesti 151]

Round Up #27 (exhausting pace!)

 

 

Tony Adamowicz: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/7092-the-chequered-flag/?p=278036

 

Awaiting Obit.

 

How likely is that he'll get that obit?

[Death Impends 7,963]

Wouldn't bet on it. He's been dead for a couple days and still no sign of an obit that isn't on a racing-specialist site, let alone one from a qualifying UK source.

[Dr_T 254]

With the death of King Bhumibol, my team, Pity da Foolz looks like it might break into the Top 20. Interestingly, I have been lucky enough to snag the Joker Bonus (Joey Feek), the Party Pooper Bonus (Merle Haggard), the Unique Bonus (Johnny Gleeson) and with Bhumibol, the Unlucky 13 bonus. Just need an unnatural death to fill my bingo card. I'm guessing that no-one has managed this before?

 

A Christy Dignam drug overdose perhaps? Or will one of Benito Garrozzo's bridge partners stretch across the table and strangle him for not leading a spade?

[viGnoS 18]

Helen Kelly dies at 52, any chances for a valid obit ?

 

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/77650682/unionist-helen-kelly-dies-in-wellington

[Dead Wait 1,129]

So, following the death yesterday of BA the DDP can use the same headline 2 updates in a row......

 

The King is Dead

[Joey Russ 7,220]

So, following the death yesterday of BA the DDP can use the same headline 2 updates in a row......

 

The King is Dead

I'd use the King of Die-Land to make it different

[msc 18,439]

I went for "The King and Die", to continue The Crowdsourced Deathlist's attempts to have the single shitest puns known to mankind.

[YoungWillz 21,035]

We need an update before the latest round up takes up a whole page.

 

TMIB will be working overtime, bless his cotton socks....

[themaninblack 2,112]

Looks like the King has been upstaged by the hair curlers in the next update!

[Sir Creep 7,070]

Helen Kelly dies at 52, any chances for a valid obit ?

 

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/77650682/unionist-helen-kelly-dies-in-wellington

Next to none. Her death was all but guaranteed in Dec and even Sir Creep who lives by the mantra 'only dead people get obits' left her off his list. But SC seriously wishes you well.

SC

[themaninblack 2,112]

Latest update...

[Joey Russ 7,220]

Latest update...

Interesting you chose Jean Alexander instead of the king of Thailand.

[rockhopper penguin 2,265]

 

Latest update...

Interesting you chose Jean Alexander instead of the king of Thailand.

 

Probably because she didn't kill her brother to be the Queen of soaps.

[viGnoS 18]

 

Helen Kelly dies at 52, any chances for a valid obit ?

 

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/77650682/unionist-helen-kelly-dies-in-wellington

Next to none. Her death was all but guaranteed in Dec and even Sir Creep who lives by the mantra 'only dead people get obits' left her off his list. But SC seriously wishes you well.

SC

 

 

that would make her my second missed obit after Michel Delpech, be sure I will learn from my mistakes for 2017

[Spade_Cooley 9,515]

I wouldn't write Kelly off 100%, the fact that the Morning Star is an acceptable QO source means she has a fighting chance of a mention.