Derby Dead Pool 2016

[Youth in Asia 1,087]

Very intrigued about the rule change.

 

I hope it is that a person needs an actual obituary in one of the newspapers, rather than just being mentioned somewhere. This would mean that you can read about the person's life and what they achieved (covering childhood, adulthood and death). Not a couple of paras on Guardian Australia about the bloke's mum doing a campaign.

[Bibliogryphon 9,586]

I am hoping that when the theme team league is updated my two unique hits will get me into the top 20 hopefully knocking on the door of the top 10. The Obit for Nicholas Fisk came just too late for the last update.

[CaptainChorizo 1,983]

Not sure what the rules are in regards to BBC Radio mention but when you search Isao Tomita on BBC page this is one of the images that appear

http://i.imgur.com/X4GONdd.png

 

And this radio program mentions his passing at 12:23

http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b07blpfj

[maryportfuncity 10,647]

Not sure what the rules are in regards to BBC Radio mention but when you search Isao Tomita on BBC page this is one of the images that appear

http://i.imgur.com/X4GONdd.png

 

And this radio program mentions his passing at 12:23

http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b07blpfj

 

 

Tomita got full counting obits in the print press, right?

[Dr. Zorders 1,271]

This topic has been needlessly dying on its arse since it was moved to this board. Move it baaack

[Sir Creep 7,070]

This topic has been needlessly dying on its arse since it was moved to this board. Move it baaack

It's been dying cuz the names listed therein HAVEN'T been, although Sir Creep's teams have had two hits this week but nobody cares about him :*-(

SC

[Spade_Cooley 9,530]

Most of us are still angry that Howard Marks and Jenny Diski are still alive.

[msc 18,477]

We're in a bit of a lull at the moment, which is to be expected given the frenetic pace of the first five and a bit months, but the lingering health of some (Christie, Granger, Kincaid, Langhorne to pick a few) suggest it's more the calm before another storm.

[Spade_Cooley 9,530]

If Granger makes it to the end of Euro 2016 I'd be stunned, the photos of her on Twitter from recent days are probably the illest I have ever seen a DDP pick.

[msc 18,477]

If Granger makes it to the end of Euro 2016 I'd be stunned, the photos of her on Twitter from recent days are probably the illest I have ever seen a DDP pick.

 

The combination of ailments mentioned this week on Twitter suggests she wont.

[Sir Creep 7,070]

Yo I was just looking and not a peep about my Bryan Wieidmeier (NFL executive) buying the farm a few days ago. He's on my theme team The afterLife Of Brian, and probably List of the Lost.

 

Now look here I took time to locate TWO lost souls this year for other teams, it's time someone helped me out. Bloody karma!

SirC

[Death Impends 7,977]

We're in a bit of a lull at the moment, which is to be expected given the frenetic pace of the first five and a bit months, but the lingering health of some (Christie, Granger, Kincaid, Langhorne to pick a few) suggest it's more the calm before another storm.

 

Have to admit I'm baffled Langhorne is still hanging on. It's a marathon and not a sprint and he's still a goner, but I didn't think late-December language like "in hospice care awaiting the inevitable, knowing his days are numbered" would've been indicative of someone getting anywhere near June. Instead, he's outlasted 12 others in my squad!

[DevonDeathTrip 2,358]

 

We're in a bit of a lull at the moment, which is to be expected given the frenetic pace of the first five and a bit months, but the lingering health of some (Christie, Granger, Kincaid, Langhorne to pick a few) suggest it's more the calm before another storm.

 

Have to admit I'm baffled Langhorne is still hanging on. It's a marathon and not a sprint and he's still a goner, but I didn't think late-December language like "in hospice care awaiting the inevitable, knowing his days are numbered" would've been indicative of someone getting anywhere near June. Instead, he's outlasted 12 others in my squad!

 

 

I'm so jealous of that pick. I posted on DL that he was ill in about 2007 and kept an eye on his health for years afterwards, before forgetting all about him. I even bought a bottle of his chili sauce.

[Death Impends 7,977]

Aye, the Brother Bru Bru's zest might just be what's kept him going.

[Uschi 53]

So sorry to hear about Ann Morgan Guilbert...

 

http://www.mirror.co.uk/tv/tv-news/ann-morgan-guilbert-dead-87-8204040

[themaninblack 2,112]

Update.

 

I've also updated the Stats & Facts!

[Sir Creep 7,070]

List of the Lost entrant Jerome Bruner does this obit count? Was published day after he died so....

SC

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/obituary-jerome-s-bruner-cognitive-psychologist-a7075086.html

[YoungWillz 21,051]

Yes it does...nobody reported it otherwise.

 

Round Up #19

 

Jerome Bruner: (from List of the Lost)

 

Independent Obit: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/obituary-jerome-s-bruner-cognitive-psychologist-a7075086.html

 

Paul Cox: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/7091-hooroo-mate/?p=269459 (Guardian Obit In Link)

 

Michael Herr: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/857-authors-last-a-long-time-but/?p=269962

 

Guardian Obit: https://www.theguardian.com/books/2016/jun/24/michael-herr-author-of-dispatches-dies-aged-76

 

Bud Spencer: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/7873-foreign-personalities-from-stage-screen-politics-and-life/?p=270345

 

Daily Mail Obit: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/wires/reuters/article-3663061/Italian-Actor-Bud-Spencer-dies-age-86.html

 

Pat Summitt: https://forums.deathlist.net/topic/265-magic-johnson-and-other-basketball-players/?p=270410 (Mail Obit In Link)

[themaninblack 2,112]

List of the Lost entrant Jerome Bruner does this obit count? Was published day after he died so....

SC

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/obituary-jerome-s-bruner-cognitive-psychologist-a7075086.html

 

Ah the Independent: runt of the obit litter!

[Spade_Cooley 9,530]

Maybe Bill Cosby's bio should be changed on the site....

[maryportfuncity 10,647]

 

List of the Lost entrant Jerome Bruner does this obit count? Was published day after he died so....

SC

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/obituary-jerome-s-bruner-cognitive-psychologist-a7075086.html

 

Ah the Independent: runt of the obit litter!

 

 

 

Harsh, but fair

[Eesti 151]

 

 

 

 

 

I have already 4/20. (Pat Harrington Jr, Rene Angelil, Eric Lubbock, Martin Crowe)

 

I believe that Feek, Marks will be also hits.

Others ... I don't know. History shows that I get 3/20 or 7/20 hits per year. I have already over 3... so I will have 7 hits probably.

So last time I did this - Feek died on the same day.

 

So today it seems, that ...

 

90% chance to die in 2016 - Ford

75% chance to die in 2016 - Marks, Granger, Kohl

50% chance to die in 2016 - Adamowicz, Travis, James, Carter, Gabor

25% chance to die in 2016 - Farnham, Westhuizen, Ali

5% chance to die in 2016 - Cruyff, Romero, Fawkes

 

My math says that I will get more hits this year.

 

Four days later. Ford is dead. Soon I shall do another update. Gonna be harder this time.

 

Now I did some heavy research. This is how it's going to be according to the information available.

 

 

1. Kate Granger 85% (according to her blog 16.03.16 - losing her battle to cancer)

2. Keith Farnham 75% (pulmonary fibrosis, bladder cancer and hepatitis C - should be dead already)

3. Howard Marks 70% (inoperable bowel cancer which has spread to his liver and lungs since 2014/15 winter)

4. Tony Adamowicz 65% (stage 4 brain cancer - should be dead in less than two years)

5. Muhammad Ali 60% (32 years with Parkinson's disease - getting worse every year)

6. Clive James 55% (leukemia - embarraced to be alive since he should be dead already)

7. Kris Travis 50% (had stomach cancer, got into remission, cancer returned, life or death TBA)

8. Helen Fawkes 45% (won three times against ovarian cancer, according to her blog 22.03.16 - the cancer has returned)

9. Randy Romero 40% (hepatitis C, liver and kidneys are failing - according to doctors he might not see next year if he doesn't some new organ transplant)

10. Joost van der Westhuizen 35% (has MND - in 2011 was giver 2-5 years to live, only 10% with the illness can live up to 10 years)

11. Zsa Zsa Gabor 30% (according to statistics - people who are aged 99 have 70% chance to see their next birthday, otherways she has NO health issues at all)

12. Helmut Kohl 25% (health has been failing during the last 10 years, but now seems stable)

13. Jimmy Carter 20% (had cancer that had spread to brain and liver but declares himself cancer free, however he is old)

14. Johan Cruyff 15% (fighting with lung cancer and has a feeling that he is 2-0 up in the first half of a match that has not finished yet)

 

According to my math I should get six more hits which should give me a score of 46 points. If I add that to my current 58 points in DDP, I get 104 points. That should hive me a chance of 33% to win this years DDP. What do you guys think?

 

Alright, so ... 12 people left.

 

Well...

 

1. Granger 90%

2. Adamowicz 75%

3. Marks 70%

4. Farnham 65%

5. Ali 60%

6. Fawkes 55%

7. James 50%

8. Gabor 45%

9. Carter 40%

10. Kohl 35%

11. Romero 30%

12. van der Westhuizen 25%

 

Seems like that if you have cancer in 2016, you just have to go...

 

I am very positive that Granger won't see 2017 but she might not be the next one to go.

 

Another hit. This time not too suprising. Granger up next.

 

 

Another update:

 

1. Kate Granger 95% (as of today her health is failing and death seems inevitable)

2. Tony Adamowicz 75% (as of 6th of June he was still fighting with brain cancer, unable to accept visitors)

3. Randy Romero 60% (as of February 2016 nobody know how much longer his organs will function. It is sure that if he doesn't get new liver soon, he will die. Probably this or next year)

4. Clive James 55% (as of 14th of June his medicine still works, but it could fail him tomorrow. He has been lucky for a long time now, end should be near)

5. Zsa Zsa Gabor 50% (zzzZZZzzz...)

6. Helen Fawkes 45% (as of 18th of June she received her chemo no 73, seems that she is doing well, but you will never know when her chemo might start to fail)

7. Helmut Kohl 35% (as of 4th of April he is recovering slowly, however his health might get worse any day)

8. Joost van der Westhuizen 25% (dying slowly but should make it to 2017)

9. Keith Farnham 20% (no reliable information from 2016, seems to be dying some time between 2016 and 2023)

10. Jimmy Carter 15% (seems well enough to survive the year)

 

Got 10 hits with the first six months. Will I get another 10 hits with the last six months?

[gcreptile 10,977]

Across my three teams, Paul Cox is now my 20th hit this year (that is, the 20th person to die and receive a qualifying obit). I have some small regrets that I spread the talent too thin, and across too many competitions (with my handicap not to use a name twice). So my teams turned out a bit too clever by half. If I had these 20 hits in one team, I'd be at 211pts now. But that's not really a valid calculation, as I would have not chosen a couple of people who actually died and obited (like Nikolaus Harnoncourt). Also, that team would have had two jokers. Ah well, there's still Kate Granger to support my quest to at least win one competition this year. Will she be the last hit for Shameless? The obitability chances of the others have already declined by a lot, maybe Mark Nurthen and Connie Johnson will be an exception. Kris Hallenga is doing very well.

[Sir Creep 7,070]

 

 

 

 

 

 

I have already 4/20. (Pat Harrington Jr, Rene Angelil, Eric Lubbock, Martin Crowe)

I believe that Feek, Marks will be also hits.

Others ... I don't know. History shows that I get 3/20 or 7/20 hits per year. I have already over 3... so I will have 7 hits probably.

 

So last time I did this - Feek died on the same day.

So today it seems, that ...

 

90% chance to die in 2016 - Ford

75% chance to die in 2016 - Marks, Granger, Kohl

50% chance to die in 2016 - Adamowicz, Travis, James, Carter, Gabor

25% chance to die in 2016 - Farnham, Westhuizen, Ali

5% chance to die in 2016 - Cruyff, Romero, Fawkes

My math says that I will get more hits this year.

Four days later. Ford is dead. Soon I shall do another update. Gonna be harder this time.

Now I did some heavy research. This is how it's going to be according to the information available.

1. Kate Granger 85% (according to her blog 16.03.16 - losing her battle to cancer)2. Keith Farnham 75% (pulmonary fibrosis, bladder cancer and hepatitis C - should be dead already)3. Howard Marks 70% (inoperable bowel cancer which has spread to his liver and lungs since 2014/15 winter)4. Tony Adamowicz 65% (stage 4 brain cancer - should be dead in less than two years)5. Muhammad Ali 60% (32 years with Parkinson's disease - getting worse every year)6. Clive James 55% (leukemia - embarraced to be alive since he should be dead already)7. Kris Travis 50% (had stomach cancer, got into remission, cancer returned, life or death TBA)8. Helen Fawkes 45% (won three times against ovarian cancer, according to her blog 22.03.16 - the cancer has returned)9. Randy Romero 40% (hepatitis C, liver and kidneys are failing - according to doctors he might not see next year if he doesn't some new organ transplant)10. Joost van der Westhuizen 35% (has MND - in 2011 was giver 2-5 years to live, only 10% with the illness can live up to 10 years)11. Zsa Zsa Gabor 30% (according to statistics - people who are aged 99 have 70% chance to see their next birthday, otherways she has NO health issues at all)12. Helmut Kohl 25% (health has been failing during the last 10 years, but now seems stable)13. Jimmy Carter 20% (had cancer that had spread to brain and liver but declares himself cancer free, however he is old)14. Johan Cruyff 15% (fighting with lung cancer and has a feeling that he is 2-0 up in the first half of a match that has not finished yet)

According to my math I should get six more hits which should give me a score of 46 points. If I add that to my current 58 points in DDP, I get 104 points. That should hive me a chance of 33% to win this years DDP. What do you guys think?

Alright, so ... 12 people left.

Well...1. Granger 90%

2. Adamowicz 75% 3. Marks 70% 4. Farnham 65%5. Ali 60%6. Fawkes 55%7. James 50%

8. Gabor 45%

9. Carter 40%10. Kohl 35%

11. Romero 30%

12. van der Westhuizen 25%

Seems like that if you have cancer in 2016, you just have to go...

I am very positive that Granger won't see 2017 but she might not be the next one to go.

Another hit. This time not too suprising. Granger up next.

Another update:1. Kate Granger 95% (as of today her health is failing and death seems inevitable)2. Tony Adamowicz 75%(as of 6th of June he was still fighting with brain cancer, unable to accept visitors)

3. Randy Romero 60% (as of February 2016 nobody know how much longer his organs will function. It is sure that if he doesn't get new liver soon, he will die. Probably this or next year)

4. Clive James 55% (as of 14th of June his medicine still works, but it could fail him tomorrow. He has been lucky for a long time now, end should be near)

5. Zsa Zsa Gabor 50% (zzzZZZzzz...)

6. Helen Fawkes 45% (as of 18th of June she received her chemo no 73, seems that she is doing well, but you will never know when her chemo might start to fail)

7. Helmut Kohl 35% (as of 4th of April he is recovering slowly, however his health might get worse any day)

8. Joost van der Westhuizen 25% (dying slowly but should make it to 2017)9. Keith Farnham 20% (no reliable information from 2016, seems to be dying some time between 2016 and 2023)10. Jimmy Carter 15%(seems well enough to survive the year)

 

Got 10 hits with the first six months. Will I get another 10 hits with the last six months?

This is my favorite post + follow ups on DL!

SC

[themaninblack 2,112]

Latest update...