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Who Do You Think Will Win The Democrat And Republican Nominations?

Who Do You Think Will Win The Democrat And Republican Nominations?  

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Huge win for Hillary in South Carolina. Maybe as much as 3-1 in her favour over Bernie. Sets her up for big wins on Super Tuesday (which is in 3 days time). Looking more and more like these terribly complicated primaries might end up in two very straightforward outcomes on both sides.

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So...Super Tuesday is all but done. 11 Democratic Primaries/Caucuses, 11 Republican Primaries/Caucuses. It's all shaping up like this:

 

Democrats

Hillary - 7 states - Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia (plus American Samoa)

Bernie - 4 states - Colorado, Minnesota, Oklahoma and Vermont (his home state)

 

Republicans

Trump - 8 states - Alabama, Alaska (not quite confirmed but fairly certain), Arkansas, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Vermont and Virginia

Cruz - 2 states - Oklahoma and Texas (his home state)

Rubio - 1 state - Minnesota

Kasich - 0 states - Very close 2nd to Trump in Vermont

Carson - 0 states - 5th in every contest

 

Basically, as expected, Trump and Clinton tighten their grips. Cruz made a speech advocating everyone to leave the race and let him duke it out with Trump, Rubio says he has no intention of doing that, still thinks he can win, etc. Kasich is holding out for Ohio in 2 weeks time. Carson has released a statement saying he's staying in too (course he has).

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A farmer spells out 'No Trump' using manure from his farm in Ohio.
Seems appropriate.
SirC

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So...Super Tuesday is all but done. 11 Democratic Primaries/Caucuses, 11 Republican Primaries/Caucuses. It's all shaping up like this:

 

Democrats

Hillary - 7 states - Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia (plus American Samoa)

Bernie - 4 states - Colorado, Minnesota, Oklahoma and Vermont (his home state)

 

Republicans

Trump - 8 states - Alabama, Alaska (not quite confirmed but fairly certain), Arkansas, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Vermont and Virginia

Cruz - 2 states - Oklahoma and Texas (his home state)

Rubio - 1 state - Minnesota

Kasich - 0 states - Very close 2nd to Trump in Vermont

Carson - 0 states - 5th in every contest

 

Basically, as expected, Trump and Clinton tighten their grips. Cruz made a speech advocating everyone to leave the race and let him duke it out with Trump, Rubio says he has no intention of doing that, still thinks he can win, etc. Kasich is holding out for Ohio in 2 weeks time. Carson has released a statement saying he's staying in too (course he has).

Shows what I know. Alaska called for Cruz. 3 states for him, 7 for the Donald and 1 for Rubio.

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so is it pretty much a forgone conclusion to be hilary v trump now?

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Carson is pulling a Gilmore on us.

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so is it pretty much a forgone conclusion to be hilary v trump now?

Well the theory on the Republican side is that if everyone else gets out, one of the non-Trumps might beat him, but I think that's wishful thinking. Cruz is best placed but has screwed up his best chance, which was the evangelical South (most of which went to Trump on Super Tuesday). Rubio is banking on doing well in big states like Illinois but if he loses to Trump in his home state of Florida in 2 weeks (he's currently down 44%-28% in one poll I read) then it will be almost impossible for him to continue. Kasich is banking on big wins in Ohio and Michigan, which vote in the next couple of weeks (he's Governor of Ohio) but if they don't materialise then he's done. The only one who can realistically win outright now is Trump, the others main aim is to just stop him reaching the required number of delegates and take it to a brokered convention. Think that's probably pie in the sky though.

 

Carson is pulling a Gilmore on us.

Nobody knows what's happening with Carson. His top aides say he has no path open to the nomination. The latest hilarious development is that the Republican Establishment are going to offer him the Republican nomination for the vacant Senate seat in Florida in November to encourage him to stop out of the race...

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so is it pretty much a forgone conclusion to be hilary v trump now?

Well the theory on the Republican side is that if everyone else gets out, one of the non-Trumps might beat him, but I think that's wishful thinking. Cruz is best placed but has screwed up his best chance, which was the evangelical South (most of which went to Trump on Super Tuesday). Rubio is banking on doing well in big states like Illinois but if he loses to Trump in his home state of Florida in 2 weeks (he's currently down 44%-28% in one poll I read) then it will be almost impossible for him to continue. Kasich is banking on big wins in Ohio and Michigan, which vote in the next couple of weeks (he's Governor of Ohio) but if they don't materialise then he's done. The only one who can realistically win outright now is Trump, the others main aim is to just stop him reaching the required number of delegates and take it to a brokered convention. Think that's probably pie in the sky though.

 

Carson is pulling a Gilmore on us.

Nobody knows what's happening with Carson. His top aides say he has no path open to the nomination. The latest hilarious development is that the Republican Establishment are going to offer him the Republican nomination for the vacant Senate seat in Florida in November to encourage him to stop out of the race...

 

Carson has withdrawn, according to Sky.

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so is it pretty much a forgone conclusion to be hilary v trump now?

Well the theory on the Republican side is that if everyone else gets out, one of the non-Trumps might beat him, but I think that's wishful thinking. Cruz is best placed but has screwed up his best chance, which was the evangelical South (most of which went to Trump on Super Tuesday). Rubio is banking on doing well in big states like Illinois but if he loses to Trump in his home state of Florida in 2 weeks (he's currently down 44%-28% in one poll I read) then it will be almost impossible for him to continue. Kasich is banking on big wins in Ohio and Michigan, which vote in the next couple of weeks (he's Governor of Ohio) but if they don't materialise then he's done. The only one who can realistically win outright now is Trump, the others main aim is to just stop him reaching the required number of delegates and take it to a brokered convention. Think that's probably pie in the sky though.

 

Carson is pulling a Gilmore on us.

Nobody knows what's happening with Carson. His top aides say he has no path open to the nomination. The latest hilarious development is that the Republican Establishment are going to offer him the Republican nomination for the vacant Senate seat in Florida in November to encourage him to stop out of the race...

 

Carson has withdrawn, according to Sky.

 

NYT concurs http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/03/us/politics/ben-carson.html?action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=span-abc-region&region=span-abc-region&WT.nav=span-abc-region&_r=0

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What are the chances of somebody shooting the Trump?

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He hasn't dropped out. The delusional old weirdo just admitted he has no chances, and won't debate, but he's technically still in the race.

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I recall reading that when President Calvin Coolidge, known for being a man of little words, died, Dorothy Parker remarked "How can they tell?". The same may as well be said for Carson whenever his campaign ends.

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He hasn't dropped out. The delusional old weirdo just admitted he has no chances, and won't debate, but he's technically still in the race.

I amended it to say that he had dropped out of the next debate, but it didn't get saved.

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Who knew that Ted Cruz, the one who let's everyone know 'I'm the most conservative', would be the choice of trannies? strange bedfellows.....to coin a phrase.
SC

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1. Hillary Clinton

2. Bernie Sanders

3. Donald Trump

4. John Kasich

5. Ted Cruz

6. Marco Rubio

 

The candidates from favorite to least favorite.

 

Trump and Kasich just might switch positions.

 

Trump is being even more of an arrogant little cunt than usual during the debate.

 

Kasich has proven himself worthy of respect with his long list of accomplishments.

 

I'll have to research him more.

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1. Hillary Clinton

2. Bernie Sanders

3. Donald Trump

4. John Kasich

5. Ted Cruz

6. Marco Rubio

 

The candidates from favorite to least favorite.

 

Trump and Kasich just might switch positions.

 

Trump is being even more of an arrogant little cunt than usual during the debate.

 

Kasich has proven himself worthy of respect with his long list of accomplishments.

 

I'll have to research him more.

 

Kasich is undoubtedly the most moderate conservative and the only one who could work with Democrats to get something done. As a result, while he could get elected in November, he won't be the nominee because the Republican grassroots don't want someone who'll deal with the other side. Trump's calm 'statesman' persona didn't last long. He soon got flustered in the debate. Megyn Kelly's dissection of Trump University was almost too delicious to watch.

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Cruz might win Kansas.

Did he campaign in ruby slippers and call himself Dorothy?

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Cruz might win Kansas.

Did he campaign in ruby slippers and call himself Dorothy?

 

There's no place like home, Toto.

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