DeathList CorrectList 2023

[Evil Grimace 359]

I'd like to thank @paddyfool and @YoungWillz for the chance to run this game.  I look forward to having the entries of the creator and past champs for 2023.

 

I am your host, @Evil Grimace.  As per protocol, I will not enter a team.

 

I am using @paddyfool's rules verbatim as I've used them in a pool before, they work well and I know the system.

 

Please submit a list of names from this year's deathlist to predict who on the list is actually going to die this year. 

 

Points will be allocated as follows:

 

+1 per death correctly predicted

-1 per death incorrectly predicted

+4 if the number of deaths you predict matches the actual number of deaths, i.e. the number of names in your list matches the actual number of deaths

+2 if you only miss the correct total number of deaths by 1

-2 if you miss the total number of deaths by more than 5

+1 bonus for a "unique" correct prediction (predicted by no other punter here)

+1 bonus if you pick the bookie's favourite (single most popular guess in this contest) and they are a hit.

-1 penalty if you pick the bookie's favourite and they are a miss.

A further +1 bonus for every 3rd correctly predicted death (+1 on 3rd, 6th, 9th etc)

 

You may if you wish select one entry as a joker. We are changing the rules for the Joker this year: you get an additional +2 if correct, and an additional -2 if incorrect; no more multiplication.

 

In the event of a tie on points, the dead-lock (see what I did there) will be broken by the following:

1) Whichever team had the most hits

2) If unbroken by 1, whichever team was closest in their guess of predicted deaths for the year

3) If unbroken by 1 and 2, whichever team was submitted first.

 

Entries in by January 10th on/before 23:59, please, either by pm or by posting here. Any deaths before then will still score for any lists entered at least 24 hours before the death and will still count towards the total deaths for the year.

 

Good luck.

[Evil Grimace 359]

This space for updates and colour commentary!

 

31/12/22 Thought I'd get an early start on this, as the past three days have seen the hits add up!  Get your lists in asap is my recommendation!

 

14/01/23 Table populated and first round of stats up.  Player ranking in progress. Thoughts on strategy to follow.

[Evil Grimace 359]

This space for statistics.

 

14 January - First round of game stats and player picks

 

Number of entries: 30

 

Average number of picks: ~17

 

Range of picks: 12 to 22

 

Number of players with joker: 30

 

Joker Distribution:

Henry Kissinger	1
Bob Barker	1
Nigel Starmer-Smith	2
Tony Bennett	1
Norman Tebbit	1
Joanne Woodward	2
Joss Ackland	1
Rolf Harris	11
Ryuichi Sakamoto	9
Shane MacGowan	1
	30

 

Top 5 picks: Nigel Starmer-Smith (28), Rolf Harris (28), Jimmy Carter (27), Ryuichi Sakamoto (26), Sonny Rollins (25)

 

Bookies favourite: Rolf Harris with 28 picks, jokered 11 times (Host decision based on number of jokers; Nigel Starmer-Smith with 28 picks, jokered twice)

 

Unique picks: Alan Alda (Chilean way), Ali Khamenei (Chilean way), Bob Newhart (Bibliogryphon), Hal Linden (WinterCake), Tina Turner (The Old Crem)

 

Not Selected: Desmond Morris, Angie Dickinson, Robert Duvall, Michael Parkinson

 

Designated survivor(s): TBD

 

Update: 20 February

 

Full list of picks and joker distributions.   A shorter Joker only picks table can be found above. 

Pink = unique picks, Green = (potential) designated survivor(s)

	# picks	# jokers
Dick van Dyke	5	0
Henry Kissinger	25	1
Bob Barker	21	1
Alan Greenspan	6	0
Nigel Starmer-Smith	28	2
Jimmy Carter	27	0
Tony Bennett	11	1
Dick Cheney	2	0
Harry Belafonte	13	0
Mel Brooks	5	0
Jacques Delors	18	0
Sir Bobby Charlton	13	0
Robert Wagner	7	0
Norman Tebbit	15	1
Rosalynn Carter	11	0
Sandy Gall	4	0
Joanne Woodward	24	2
Ethel Kennedy	4	0
Desmond Morris	0	0
Stanley Baxter	10	0
Joss Ackland	10	1
Jean-Marie Le Pen	13	0
Milan Kundera	16	0
Cleo Laine	4	0
Alan Alda	1	0
Prunella Scales	2	0
Yoko Ono	12	0
Norman Lear	13	0
Burt Bacharach	7	0
Marianne Faithfull	3	0
Angie Dickinson	0	0
Robert Duvall	0	0
Imelda Marcos	5	0
Pervez Musharraf	16	0
Ali Khamenei	1	0
Pete Murray	9	0
Bob Newhart	1	0
Rolf Harris	28	11
Ryuichi Sakamoto	26	9
Willy Nelson	2	0
Dennis Skinner	11	0
Nigel Lawson	10	0
Michael Parkinson	0	0
Sonny Rollins	25	0
Mohamed Al-Fayed	7	0
Hal Linden	1	0
Linda Nolan	13	0
Tina Turner	1	0
Andy Taylor	24	0
Shane MacGowan	9	1
Totals	519	30

 

I swore I added this list format of ranking by number of picks with jokers listed, but the above is the ranking as they appear on the DL.  Will also be updated for hits too.

Hit Number		# picks	# jokers
	Nigel Starmer-Smith	28	2
6	Rolf Harris	28	11
	Jimmy Carter	27	0
3	Ryuichi Sakamoto	26	9
16	Henry Kissinger	25	1
	Sonny Rollins	25	0
	Joanne Woodward	24	2
	Andy Taylor	24	0
11	Bob Barker	21	1
19	Jacques Delors	18	0
8	Milan Kundera	16	0
1	Pervez Musharraf	16	0
	Norman Tebbit	15	1
5	Harry Belafonte	13	0
13	Sir Bobby Charlton	13	0
	Jean-Marie Le Pen	13	0
18	Norman Lear	13	0
	Linda Nolan	13	0
	Yoko Ono	12	0
9	Tony Bennett	11	1
14	Rosalynn Carter	11	0
	Dennis Skinner	11	0
	Stanley Baxter	10	0
15	Joss Ackland	10	1
4	Nigel Lawson	10	0
	Pete Murray	9	0
17	Shane MacGowan	9	1
	Robert Wagner	7	0
2	Burt Bacharach	7	0
12	Mohamed Al-Fayed	7	0
	Alan Greenspan	6	0
	Dick van Dyke	5	0
	Mel Brooks	5	0
	Imelda Marcos	5	0
	Sandy Gall	4	0
	Ethel Kennedy	4	0
	Cleo Laine	4	0
	Marianne Faithfull	3	0
	Dick Cheney	2	0
	Prunella Scales	2	0
	Willy Nelson	2	0
	Alan Alda	1	0
	Ali Khamenei	1	0
	Bob Newhart	1	0
	Hal Linden	1	0
7	Tina Turner	1	0
	Desmond Morris	0	0
	Angie Dickinson	0	0
	Robert Duvall	0	0
10	Michael Parkinson	0	0
	Totals	519	30

[Joltin Joe 149]

My Correctlist predictions with DL 2023 positions:  

 

2. Henry Kissinger

3. Bob Barker

5. Nigel Starmer-Smith

6. Jimmy Carter

7. Tony Bennett

11. Jacques Delors

17. Joanne Woodward

21. Joss Ackland 

22. Jean-Marie Le Pen

23. Milan Kundera

34. General Pervez Musharraf

38. Rolf Harris 

39. Ryuichi Sakamoto (joker) 

44. Sonny Rollins 

49. Andy Taylor

[theoldlady 2,294]

I have sent my list via PM. Thanks for taking over this game.

___________________________________________________________

Here are my entries below. 16 hits in 2023.

4/16
1. Nigel Starmer-Smith - JOKER

2. Jimmy Carter

3. Sandy Gall

4. Joanne Woodward

5. Ethel Kennedy

6. Jean-Marie Le Pen

7. General Pervez Musharraf 

8. Rolf Harris 

9. Linda Nolan

10. Ryuichi Sakamoto 

11. Sonny Rollins

12. Cleo Laine

13. Robert Wagner

14. Harry Belafonte 

15. Yoko Ono

16. Andy Taylor

Edited November 20, 2023 by theoldlady
Deaths of Harris, Belafonte, Sakamoto & Musharraf

[gcreptile 10,963]

Okay...

 

1. Rolf Harris

2. Ryuichi Sakamoto (joker)

3. Burt Bacharach

4. Nigel Lawson

5. Sonny Rollins

6. Jacques Delors

7. Henry Kissinger

8. Alan Greenspan

9. Nigel Starmer-Smith

10. Tony Bennett

11. Milan Kundera

12. Dennis Skinner

13. Andy Taylor

14. Stanley Baxter

15. Joanne Woodward

16. Rosalynn Carter

 

Thank you for hosting and good luck!

[The Daredevil 1,189]

My Correctlist positions with DL positions:

 

5. Nigel Starmer-Smith

6. Jimmy Carter

7. Tony Bennett

9. Harry Belafonte 

12. Bobby Charlton 

13. Robert Wagner

16. Sandy Gall

17. Joanne Woodward (joker)

18. Ethel Kennedy 

21. Joss Ackland 

22. Jean-Marie Le Pen

23. Milan Kundera 

24. Cleo Laine

27. Yoko Ono

34. General Pervez Musharraf 

38. Rolf Harris

39. Ryuichi Sakamoto

41. Dennis Skinner

44. Sonny Rollins 

47. Linda Nolan

49. Andy Taylor 

[Dying Probably 578]

2. Henry Kissinger

3. Bob Barker

5. Nigel Starmer-Smith

6. Jimmy Carter

9. Harry Belafonte

12. Sir Bobby Charlton

14. Norman Tebbit

15. Rosalynn Carter

17. Joanne Woodward

22. Jean-Marie Le Pen

24. Cleo Laine

27. Yoko Ono

33. Imelda Marcos

34. General Pervez Musharraf

38. Rolf Harris (joker)

39. Ryuichi Sakamoto

42. Nigel Lawson

44. Sonny Rollins

47. Linda Nolan

49. Andy Taylor

50. Shane MacGowan

 

21 hits

 

[chilean way 1,892]

I'm in, thanks for running!!!

 

1. Dick van Dyke

2. Henry Kissinger         JOKER

3. Bob Barker

5. Nigel Starmer-Smith

6. Jimmy Carter

9. Harry Belafonte

10. Mel Brooks

12. Sir Bobby Charlton

16. Sandy Gall

18. Ethel Kennedy

20. Stanley Baxter

21. Joss Ackland

23. Milan Kundera

25. Alan Alda

28. Norman Lear

35. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei

36. Pete Murray

44. Sonny Rollins

45. Mohamed Al-Fayed

49. Andy Taylor

 

20 hits

[ThereWillBeDeaths7 720]

Correctlist 2023 entry

 

22 hits

Henry Kissinger
Bob Barker
Alan Greenspan
Nigel Starmer-Smith
Jimmy Carter
Jacques Delors
Bobby Charlton
Robert Wagner
Joanne Woodward
Joss Ackland
Jean-Marie Le Pen
Milan Kundera
Norman Lear
Rolf Harris
Ryuichi Sakamoto (joker)
Willie Nelson
Dennis Skinner
Nigel Lawson
Sonny Rollins
Mohamed Al-Fayed
Linda Nolan
Andy Taylor

 

I can 't really see this list scoring that high. But then, I also can't see most of these names surviving for another year.

[wannamaker 1,405]

2 Henry Kissinger
3 Bob Barker
5 Nigel Starmer-Smith
9 Harry Belafonte
11 Jacques Delors
17 Joanne Woodward
21 Joss Ackland
23 Milan Kundera
28 Norman Lear
34 Pervez Musharraf
38 Rolf Harris (JOKER)
39 Ryuichi Sakamoto 
41 Dennis Skinner
44 Sonny Rollins

47 Linda Nolan
49 Andy Taylor

 

16 Hits

[LizLemon 65]

1. Henry Kissinger
2. Nigel Starmer-Smith
3. Jimmy Carter
4. Tony Bennett
5. Harry Belafonte
6. Norman Tebbit
7. Rosalynn Carter
8. Joanne Woodward (Joker)
9. Milan Kundera
10. Burt Bacharach
11. Pervez Musharraf
12. Rolf Harris
13. Ryuichi Sakamoto
14. Sonny Rollins
15. Linda Nolan
16. Andy Taylor

[Funeralopolis 240]

2. Henry Kissinger

3. Bob Barker

5. Nigel Starmer-Smith

6. Jimmy Carter

11. Jacques Delors

13. Robert Wagner

14. Norman Tebbit

15. Rosalynn Carter

17. Joanne Woodward

23. Milan Kundera

28. Norman Lear

33. Imelda Marcos

34. Pervez Musharraf

38. Rolf Harris 

39. Ryuichi Sakamoto (joker)

41. Dennis Skinner

44. Sonny Rollins

47. Linda Nolan

49. Andy Taylor

[Etushispushingupdaisies 136]

1. Dick Van Dyke

2. Henry Kissinger.

3. Bob Barker

5. Nigel Starmer-Smith

6. Jimmy Carter

7. Tony Bennett (joker)

11. Jacques Delors.

12. Sir Bobby CHarlton

17. Joanne Woodward

21. Joss Ackland

23. Milan Kundera

28. Norman Lear.

38. Rolf Harris

39. Riyuichi Sakamoto

44. Sonny Rollins

47. Linda Nolan

49. Andy Taylor

 

 

[Joey Russ 7,220]

2. Henry Kissinger

5. Nigel Starmer Smith

6. Jimmy Carter

14. Norman Tebbit

17. Joanne Woodward 

22. Jean Marie Le Pen

27. Yoko Ono

28. Norman Lear 

36. Pete Murray

38. Rolf Harris

39. Ryuichi Sakamoto (joker)

41. Dennis Skinner

44. Sonny Rollins

50. Shane MacGowan

[tracy 2,390]

2. Henry Kissinger
3. Bob Barker
5. Nigel Starmer-Smith

6. Jimmy Carter
7. Tony Bennett
9. Harry Belafonte
11. Jacques Delors

14. Norman Tebbit

15. Rosalynn Carter
17. Joanne Woodward

21. Joss Ackland
23. Milan Kundera
33. Imelda Marcos

34. Pervez Musharraf
38. Rolf Harris
44. Sonny Rollins
50. Shane MacGowan (joker)

[YoungWillz 21,014]

My entry - Y-Dub's Incorrect List

 

Dick Van Dyke

Bob Barker

Jimmy Carter

Mel Brooks

Norman Tebbit (JOKER)

Rosalynn Carter

Stanley Baxter

Cleo Laine

Yoko Ono

Rolf Harris

Ryuichi Sakamoto

Nigel Lawson

Linda Nolan

Andy Taylor

Shane MacGowan

 

15 Hits Total.

[TQR 14,384]

Cheers for bringing this back @Evil Grimace!

 

My now eternally healthy team (18 hits):
 

Henry Kissinger 

Bob Barker 

Nigel Starmer-Smith

Jimmy Carter 

Tony Bennett 

Mel Brooks 

Robert Wagner 

Norman Tebbit 

Rosalynn Carter 

Joanne Woodward 

Jean-Marie Le Pen 

Norman Lear 

Pete Murray 

Rolf Harris (JOKER)

Ryuichi Sakamoto 

Dennis Skinner 

Nigel Lawson

Andy Taylor 

[Summer in Transylvania 2,157]

Here goes nowt. 

 

Henry Kissinger (16th Hit)

Nigel Starmer-Smith

Jimmy Carter

Tony Bennett  (9th Hit) 

Jacques Delors (19th Hit)

Norman Tebbit

Rosalynn Carter (14th Hit)

Joanne Woodward

Jean-Marie Le Pen

Milan Kundera (8th Hit) 

Burt Bacharach (2nd Hit)

Imelda Marcos

Pervez Musharraf  (1st Hit)

Rolf Harris (6th Hit)

Ryuichi Sakamoto (JOKER) (3rd Hit)

Dennis Skinner

Nigel Lawson (4th Hit)

Sonny Rollins

Andy Taylor

Shane MacGowan (17th Hit)

[Great Uncle Bulgaria 1,282]

Dick van Dyke

Kissinger

Barker

Starmer-Smith

Jimmy Carter

Charlton

Baxter

Murray

Sakamoto

Rollins

Al-Fayed

Tebbit

Taylor

[DoorSlammer 560]

Kissinger

Barker

Greenspan

Starmer-Smith

Jimmy Carter

Bennett

Belafonte

Delors

Charlton

Tebbit

Kundera

Bacharach

Musharraf

Harris (joker)

Sakamoto

Lawson

Rollins

Al-Fayed

Taylor

 

19 hits

[Book 3,545]

18:

Henry Kissinger

Bob Barker

Alan Greenspan

Nigel Starmer-Smith

Jimmy Carter

Harry Belafonte

Jacques Delors

Bobby Charlton

Norman Tebbit

Joanne Woodward

Joss Ackland

Milan Kundera

Burt Bacharach

Pervez Musharraf

Rolf Harris

Ryuichi Sakamoto (Joker)

Sonny Rollins

Andy Taylor

 

[The Duke of Deadinburgh 1]

On 01/01/2023 at 11:31, gcreptile said:

Okay...

 

1. Rolf Harris

2. Ryuichi Sakamoto (joker)

3. Burt Bacharach

4. Nigel Lawson

5. Sonny Rollins

6. Jacques Delors

7. Henry Kissinger

8. Alan Greenspan

9. Nigel Starmer-Smith

10. Tony Bennett

11. Milan Kundera

12. Dennis Skinner

13. Andy Taylor

14. Stanley Baxter

15. Henry Kissinger

16. Joanne Woodward

17. Rosalynn Carter

 

Thank you for hosting and good luck!

They are two Kissingers in you list.

[gcreptile 10,963]

55 minutes ago, The Duke of Deadinburgh said:

They are two Kissingers in you list.

Damn, you're right. Guess I really want him dead?

 

Well, then it's 16 hits. I'll edit my team.

[Evil Grimace 359]

I started entering teams yesterday, but hadn't reached your team yet @gcreptile.  I'll make the correction entry for 16 hits.  Sure you don't want Kissinger as your joker?