ebless 202 Posted September 1, 2017 My predictions October: King Michael Of Romania November : Leah Bracknell, Billy Graham, Nobby Stiles December: Gord Downie, Denis Norden Giving us a record breaking total of 16 deaths. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deadpool 163 Posted September 1, 2017 I think September will be another good month for deaths. I think about, at least, another two hits for the deathlist (maybe 3). Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Drewsky1211 4,076 Posted September 1, 2017 My Top 10 thoughts on who's most likely to die next: 1. King Michael 2. Leah Bracknell 3. Billy Graham 4. Tony Booth 5. George H. W. Bush 6. Kirk Douglas 7. Herman Wouk 8. Olivia de Havilland 9. Hugh Hefner 10. Stan Lee Honorable Mentions: Prince Philip, Vera Lynn, Gord Downie, Nobby Stiles 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deadpool 163 Posted September 5, 2017 On 01/09/2017 at 02:54, Joey Russ said: So, unless someone gets announced dead tomorrow, they''ll be at ten deaths 2/3 of the year in. Any guesses on who will be the remaining hits. I'm thinking: 1. King Michael of Romania 2. Leah Bracknell 3. Gord Downie 4. Herman Wouk 5. Tony Booth 6. George Bush Sr Honestly, even that feels a bit conservative, but I'm giving a conservative guess because it's more likely to be that than not. Though, if that is the actual list, then that shows that we don't necessarily need a lot of nonogerian deaths to beat the record. @Phantom of the Midway I think at least half of them will pass away before the end of the year. The survivors need to be riconfermed for the next year deathlist Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deadpool 163 Posted September 11, 2017 My updated verdict for the 2017 list Death almost certain before 31 Dec 2017 (90-99%) : King Michael of Romania, Leah Bracknell, Tony Booth, Liz Dawn, Bob Barker In real danger but may make to 2018 (50-90%): Gord Downie, Kirk Douglas, George H.W Bush, Billy Graham, Herman Wouk, Leslie Phillips, Duke of Edinburgh, Jake Lamotta Some chance (20-50%): Desmond Tutu, Carrington, Denis Norden, Pierre Cardin, Javier Perez De Cuellar, Doug Ellis, Hugh Hefner, Stan Lee, Pope Benedict XVI, Vera Lynn, Olivia De Havilland, Hosni Mubarak, Valerie Harper Little chance (0-20%): Emperor Akihito, Betty White, Honor Blackman, Queen Elizabeth II, Bob Dole, Gay Byrne, Fats Domino, Ian St John, Sandy Gall, Robert Mugabe, Jimmy Carter, David Prowse, Jill Gascoine Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Joey Russ 7,119 Posted September 17, 2017 Anyone think that it has been awfully quiet on so many of the picks front? Like, we know Liz Dawn, Lord Carrington, Olivia de Haviland, Stan Lee, and presumably Gord Downie are doing alright at the moment, but there are many others we haven't received news on for a long while yet. Though, it could be my tiredness for all I know... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
drol 10,057 Posted September 17, 2017 Leah may really be near the end. No tweets and posts in a long period. But I have to say DL is having bad luck, not getting even one bedlocker/centenarian with many people near death. Likely hits: Billy Graham: Parkinson's. He's living beyond human possibilities. Denis Norden: macular degeneration and retired many years ago. Herman Wouk: Respiratory issues and very old. Tony Booth: Alzheimer's, COPD, heart failure, stroke. Why still alive, why? Leah Bracknell: Terminal lung cancer, treatment stopped in May. The only real dead cert on the list now. Jake LaMotta: living in a dislexycal nursing home can not be good for your health. Michael: Leukaemia and skin cancer. Whyyyyyyy still aliveeeee? Nobby Styles: Prostate cancer and dementia. Again, why? Jill Gascoine: Advanced Alzheimer's, but not so likely to go, though there's a good chance. 9. DL needs at least five to beat the record. It should be very unlucky to fail this year. But again, it's simply unexplicable how many good or excellent picks are still alive. Not DL fault indeed. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deathtreat23 182 Posted September 17, 2017 Then again last year we had 1 hit in the middle of October, 1 at the end of November and then 3 over Christmas fortnight so the record is still achievable in my eyes. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Joey Russ 7,119 Posted September 20, 2017 Well, they're at 11 now with LaMotta's death. 3 and a half month remains to beat the record... 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ebless 202 Posted September 20, 2017 I think we'll comfortably break the record now. Several dead certs imo. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deadpool 163 Posted September 20, 2017 On 15/08/2017 at 12:19, Sean said: So we need 7 to die to get the record so here is my assessment of the 14 most likely to die 1)Jerry Lewis (Heart problems dating back to 1960 as well as many gealth problems.Now has difficulty swallowing following an infection:Been very quiet these past few weeks) 2)Tony Booth (Advanced Alzheimers COPD and congestive heart failure and still smoking) 3)Gord Downie (Now 20months into a glioblastoma diagnosis which is above average.Been quiet again recently. 4)Nobby Stiles (End stage alzheimers dating back well over a decade.In a nursing home and seems close to death according to son.Also has prostate cancer and several strokes. 5)Leah Bracknell (11 months into stage 4 lung cancer and reliant on quack medicine for several months.Nearly died from a build up of fluid on heart last year.) 6)Jake LaMotta (Extremely elderly frail and in a nusing home now.Has had heart problems too) 7)King Michael (Two types of cancer frail but stable but at nearly 96 and a lot of time in hospital things can only get worse) 8)HermanWouk(Exceptionally old wheelchair bound and reliant on oxygen tank.) 9)Jill Gascoigne (Had Alzheimers and has been a nursing home for about 3.All reports seem bleak) 10)Liz Dawn (Had emphysema nearly 15 years is wheelchair bound has heart problems and is prone to pneumonia.Very quiet since heart surgery in June) 11)Valerie Harper (Has metastatic lung cancer in the meninges.Been dying for 4 and a half years but no recent update.) 12)Leslie Philips (Had a serious stroke 2 years ago.Wheelchair bound and nearly died from a seizure a while back.) 13)George H W Bush (Has a form of parkinsons and keeps getting a recurrent lung infection.) 14)Bruce Forsyth (Not been seen orphotographed since 2015 when he had anerysm surgery.At 89 such a slow recovery can't be a good sign) Seems plausible half will go by December 31st.Even if not still a lot of over 90s on this list.Still achievable. 3/14... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bibliogryphon 8,662 Posted September 20, 2017 We are ahead of 2015 but behind 2003 and 2008. These three are the previous 14 scoring years but in 2003 there were no deaths after the end of September. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 17,762 Posted September 20, 2017 Remember my (only) rule of Deathlist. Never 11 without the 12. There'll be one more hit this year at the very least. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Book 3,352 Posted September 20, 2017 Look, there is a kind of pattern in this years DL-deaths: 15.05. Ian Brady 18.08. Bruce Forsyth 19.09. Lake LaMotta (plus former DL-pick Helmut Kohl on 16.06.) So I predict 10.10. King Michael of Romania 11.11. Billy Graham 12.12. Leah Bracknell 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
gcreptile 10,234 Posted September 20, 2017 Seriously, the list has Bracknell, Downie and King Michael... All three of them were regarded as must-haves. That these three are still alive by September was very, very unlikely. Disclaimer: King Michael was first sub for my main team, just like King Bhumibol last year. I like to put absolute locks (of advanced age) in these positions. We'd be talking about the "when", not the "whether" the record will be broken. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoffinLodger 1,247 Posted September 20, 2017 We can't complain .This is the best year since 2008 when there were also 11 hits by now.Only 2003 beats it with 13 hits by sep 20.The good news is that both those years ended on 14 hits so we should at least match that.Still holding out hope we can finally beat it though ! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Life Is Beautiful 695 Posted September 21, 2017 14 hours ago, CoffinLodger said: We can't complain .This is the best year since 2008 when there were also 11 hits by now.Only 2003 beats it with 13 hits by sep 20.The good news is that both those years ended on 14 hits so we should at least match that.Still holding out hope we can finally beat it though ! There is no "we" Sorry... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Zsa Zsa's leg 751 Posted September 22, 2017 I am going to say that it is almost CERTAIN that the list will have 1-2 more surprise deaths at the very least. I don't think anybody at the beginning of the year considered any of the deaths so far as certs besides Christie and maybe Noakes. I can definitely see Gall or Cuellar as those hits. I think they will also have Booth and King Mihai as hits, they are clearly on their last limbs. I think there will be 15 hits. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
drol 10,057 Posted September 22, 2017 Gall was in excellent health last time we got news about him. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 17,762 Posted September 22, 2017 If you believe in modern stats coincidences, Honor blackman/Liz Dawn/Leah Bracknell/Betty White/Jill Gascoine will all be dead by January 1st 2019. Cmme very good at sniffing out "soon to be dead" actresses. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Joey Russ 7,119 Posted September 22, 2017 Hmm, let me give what I originally thought with the hits so far: Mary Tyler Moore: I thought she was a bad pick, goes to show that people you think are bad picks may not be bad picks after all Joost van der Westhuizen: He was reaching the point that ALS usually gets sports people, so he could kind of be viewed as a cert, but not necessarily since we had people like Stephen Hawking still alive after 50 years of diagnosis David Rockefeller: Very old, his death wasn't surprising at all Ian Brady: A case of whether he was lying about his illness or telling the truth about it. Turns out he was telling the truth in the end John Noakes: Had Alzheimer's for a while, wasn't surprising Peter Sallis: Was in a retirement home for the last couple of years, surprised he wasn't dead earlier Errol Christie: A dead cert from the beginning, though the other dead certs are somehow still alive Glen Campbell: More of a cert than John Noakes imo, but still wasn't guaranteed Bruce Forsyth: Kind of a cert, had a nasty aneurysm 2 years ago, and may be one of the deciding hits for the DDP Jerry Lewis: I thought he would become another bedblocker Jake LaMotta: How did he last so long? He should've been dead years ago. I'll give my thoughts on the surviving candidates later... 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 17,762 Posted September 26, 2017 With Liz Dawn going, and Bracknell and Downie still on the clock, the list would be highly unfortunate not to equal the record now. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
philheybrookbay 439 Posted September 26, 2017 6 minutes ago, msc said: With Liz Dawn going, and Bracknell and Downie still on the clock, the list would be highly unfortunate not to equal the record now. Agree, could be on for a soap double with Bracknell to take us to 13. plus we're not into the last 3 months yet! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
philheybrookbay 439 Posted September 26, 2017 ITS A SOAP DOUBLE!!!! Tony Booth...well he was married Pat Phoenix from Corrie. Can we make it 3.... Leah over to you! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dodrade 87 Posted September 26, 2017 4 minutes ago, philheybrookbay said: ITS A DOUBLE!!!! Tony Booth... Can we make it 3? Has this ever happened before? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
