Deathlist correctlist 2019

[paddyfool 379]

Looking at this year's deathlist, please try to predict exactly which out of its fifty entries will prove a hit this year by submitting a list of names from the deathlist 50 whom you actually predict to die.

 

Points will be allocated as follows:

 

+1 per death correctly predicted

-1 per death incorrectly predicted

+3 if the number of deaths you predict matches the actual number of deaths EDIT for clarity: by which I mean the number of names in your list matches the actual number of deaths

+1 if you only miss the correct total number of deaths by 1

-2 if you miss the total number of deaths by more than 5

+1 bonus for a "unique" correct prediction (predicted by no other punter here)

+1 bonus if you pick the bookie's favourite (single most popular guess in this contest) and they are a hit.

-1 penalty if you pick the bookie's favourite and they are a miss.

EDIT: A further +1 bonus for every 3rd correctly predicted death (+1 on 3rd, 6th, 9th etc)

 

You may if you wish select one entry as a joker, for whom all rewards, bonuses, and/or penalties will be doubled.

 

Entries in by Jan 7th, please, either by pm or by posting here. Any deaths before then will still score for any lists entered at least 24 hours before the death and will still count towards the total deaths for the year.

 

EDIT: Additional bonus added to give a better chance of punters netting actual positive scores.

[Sean 6,329]

12 deaths

 

Leah Bracknell (Joker)

Johnny Clegg

Herman Wouk

Shane MacGowan

Nobby Stiles

Stirling Moss

Vera Lynn

Kirk Douglas 

Javier Perez De Cuellar

Clive James 

Barbara Walters 

Bob Hawke

 

 

[gcreptile 10,976]

Bob Hawke (joker)

Johnny Clegg

Stirling Moss

Sidney Poitier

Nobby Stiles

John McCririck

Little RIchard

Barbara Walters

Jacques Chirac

June Brown

Bob Dole

Robert Mugabe

Herman Wouk

Kirk Douglas

 

Edit: 14 deaths

[Genfærd 452]

13 deaths

 

Mikhail Gorbachev (Joker)

Doris Day

John McCririck

Herman Wouk

Bob Barker

Vera Lynn

Kirk Douglas

Stirling Moss

Olivia De Havilland

Jerry Stiller

Tony Britton

Betty White

Jimmy Carter

[msc 18,477]

Kirk Douglas -

Herman Wouk -

Leah Bracknell -

Vera Lynn -

Robert Mugabe -

Bob Dole -

Javier Perez de Cuellar
June Brown -

Stirling Moss -
Bob Hawke -

Nobby Stiles -

Barbara Walters -

Jimmy Greaves -

Loretta Lynn
Gorbachev -
Tony Britton -

John McCririck -
Little Richard -

Johnny Clegg (joker)

 

19/50, apparently. Oh well, get to stick to what the evidence suggests.

[Grim Up North 3,726]

12 Hits

 

Kirk Douglas

Herman Wouk (joker)

Robert Mugabe

Bob Dole

Murray Walker

Stirling Moss

Nobby Stiles 

Desmond Tutu

Vanessa Redgrave

John McCririck

Clive James

Johnny Clegg

 

I think there is probably an advantage here based on the scoring system of either picking a low number or a high number but I CNBA to work it out.

[TQR 14,398]

Unlucky For Some:

 

1. Herman Wouk
2. Leah Bracknell
3. Robert Mugabe
4. Vera Lynn
5. Javier Perez de Cuellar
6. Stirling Moss
7. Bob Hawke (Joker)
8. Nobby Stiles
9. Loretta Lynn
10. Mikhail Gorbachev
11. John McCririck
12. Little Richard
13. Johnny Clegg

[nantonian2013 50]

15 deaths

 

1) Herman Wouk

2) Vera Lynn

3) Bob Dole

4) Bob Barker

5) June Brown

6) Stirling Moss

7) Bob Hawke

8) Nobby Stiles - JOKER

9) Barbara Walters

10) Jimmy Greaves

11) Sidney Poitier

12) Clive James

13) Tina Turner

14) Shane MacGowan

15) Johnny Clegg

 

[Joey Russ 7,228]

1. Herman Wouk

2. Robert Mugabe

3. Bob Dole

4. Henry Kissinger 

5. Betty White

6. June Brown

7. Bob Hawke (joker)

8. Alan Greenspan 

9. Jacques Chirac

10. Sidney Poitier 

11. Mikhail Gorbachev 

12. Clive James

13. Shane MacGowan 

14. Ginger Baker

15. Johnny Clegg

 

Well, that’s my guess anyhow, 15 total...

[En Passant 3,741]

Sets, or Venn Diagrams, or something.

1. Bob Hawke
2. Bob Dole
3. Bob Barker - Bad year for being a Bob, that's a full set
4. Robert Mugabe - No, not being caught out by that one
5. Nobby Stiles - One letter off but gets caught circling too close to the drain (and Venn's into two other categories below anyway)
6. Jimmy Greaves
7. Gordon Banks - Making a sweep of the footballers and giving me the chance to quip "They think it's all over...It is now"
8. Stirling Moss
9. John McCririck
10. Murray Walker
11. Phil the Greek - Complete's anyone sport's related - nearly missed him, but he was in that daft horse and carriage Olympic 'event' that they say is a sport and I don't have the space to argue.
12. Johnny Clegg - together with McCririck completing the John's.
13. Vera Lynn
14. Kirk Douglas
15. Herman Wouk
16. Olivia De Havilland - Cha-ching. Centenarian slot blocker clearout complete
17. Leah Bracknell - One off, so doesn't fit and thus becomes the default Joker  (Which I'm certain TQR thinks she has now become professionally)

17 Down.

[John Key 747]

Kirk Douglas

Herman Wouk

Olivia de Havilland

Leah Bracknell (JOKER)

Robert Mugabe

 

I predict 11 deaths. 

[YoungWillz 21,050]

You realise of course if I enter this that I'm putting my application to join The Tomorrow People on the line?

 

I'll get back shortly.

[paddyfool 379]

2 minutes ago, John Key said:

Kirk Douglas

Herman Wouk

Olivia de Havilland

Leah Bracknell (JOKER)

Robert Mugabe

 

I predict 11 deaths. 

 

Apologies, I can only count names predicted (5 in this case), or else risk creating perverse incentives for list length.

[Book 3,557]

I say... 16:

 

Betty White

Bob Barker

Bob Hawke (Joker)

Clive James

Herman Wouk

Javier Perez de Cuellar

Jerry Stiller

John McCririck

Johnny Clegg

Kirk Douglas

Leah Bracknell

Loretta Lynn

Nobby Stiles

Prince Philip

Robert Mugabe

Stirling Moss

[YoungWillz 21,050]

The YoungWillz Committee's Crystal Ball Team

 

Herman Wouk

Leah Bracknell

Bob Hawke

Ed Asner (JOKER)

Sidney Poitier

Valerie Harper

John McCririck

Clive James

Johnny Clegg

[John Key 747]

8 minutes ago, paddyfool said:

 

Apologies, I can only count names predicted (5 in this case), or else risk creating perverse incentives for list length.

The rules weren't very specific on how to do the list  If it's an issue I can of course add more in good faith, I just saw that the names and number of deaths predicted were marked separately and the rules didn't specify! 

[alt obits guy 3,371]

1) Kirk Douglas

2) Herman Wouk

3) Leah Bracknell (joker)

4) Robert Mugabe

5) Bob Dole

6) Stirling Moss

7) Bob Hawke

8) Barbara Walters

9) Loretta Lynn

10) Clive James

11) Little Richard

12) Johnny Clegg

 

[Squonk 24]

Barbara Walters

Bob Hawke

Clive James

Johnny Clegg

Loretta Lynn

Hosni Mubarak

Stirling Moss

Bob Dole

Kirk Douglas

Little Richard

Harry Belafonte

Herman Wouk

Olivia de Havilland

Sidney Poitier

Ginger Baker

Tina Turner

 

16 in total.....

[theoldlady 2,304]

I Predict 12: 2 out of 12 so far.

1. Robert Mugabe (Joker) 

2. Nobby Stiles

3. Clive James 

4. Prunella Scales

5. Ed Asner

6. Loretta Lynn

7. Harry Belefante

8. Barbara Walters

9. Stirling Moss

10. Jerry Stiller

11. Kirk Douglas

12. Prince Philip

Edited November 27, 2019 by theoldlady
Death of Mugabe and C. James

[Bibliogryphon 9,586]

I am going for 13

1. Kirk Douglas

2. Herman Wouk

3. Vera Lynn 

4. Robert Mugabe 

5. Bob Dole

6. Bob Barker

7. Murray Walker

8. Bob Hawke

9. Jacques Chirac 

10. Nobby Stiles

11. Loretta Lynn 

12. Desmond Tutu 

13. Clive James

[paddyfool 379]

1 hour ago, John Key said:

The rules weren't very specific on how to do the list  If it's an issue I can of course add more in good faith, I just saw that the names and number of deaths predicted were marked separately and the rules didn't specify! 

 

Apologies for a lack of clarity! Feel free to modify your entry, but one way or another the number of names in the list you give should match the estimate for number of hits (but if you want to enter a shorter list of the people you feel can more reliably be predicted at the cost of a lower estimate than you feel is accurate, feel free). 

[ebless 203]

I predict a record breaking 18

 

Kirk Douglas

Herman Wouk

Leah Bracknell

Vera Lynn

Bob Dole

Javier Perez De Cueller

Emperor Akihito

Stirling Moss

Bob Hawke

Jacques Chirac

Nobby Stiles

Jimmy Greaves

Sidney Poitier

Valerie Harper

John McCririck

Clive James

Prunella Scales (Joker)

Johnny Clegg

 

[Sir Creep 7,070]

Kirk Douglas
Herman Wouk
Leah Bracknell
Robert Mugabe

Bob Barker

June Brown

Bob Hawke

Valery Giscard d'Estaing  (**JOKER**)

Valerie Harper

Vera Lynn

John McCririck

Prenulla Scales

Ginger Baker

That's 13.

 

[The Cosgroves 0]

Here's the Gruesome Guess from Erin Consgrove:

• Barbara Walters
• Bob Barker    
• Bob Dole (Joker)
• Doris Day    
• Harry Belafonte    
• Johnny Clegg
• June Brown    
• Leah Bracknell    
• Loretta Lynn    
• Olivia De Havilland
• Tina Turner    
• Valerie Harper        
• Vanessa Redgrave 

 

Edited January 2, 2019 by Death Impends
It seems that this post, originally in the DDP thread, was meant for this one

[RadGuy 1,614]

Kirk Douglas
Herman Wouk
Leah Bracknell
Robert Mugabe
Bob Dole
Bob Barker
Stirling Moss
Bob Hawke
Nobby Stiles
Tony Britton
Clive James
Johnny Clegg

 

12 deaths.

25% Bob, 75% non-Bob.

(Edit: Ha! Technically 33% Bob if you count Robert Mugabe)

 

No joker for me btw.