msc 17,762 Posted May 26, 2023 Just now, Evil Grimace said: I'd say the Committee have excellent judgement and/or extremely lucky - they've done this for three picks this year so far. Musharraf - 2004, 2020, 2023 Lawson - 2012, 2023 (impressive!) Turner - 2019, 2023 If that pattern holds then, Nolan - 2018, 2021, 2023(?) Marcos - 2020, 2021, 2023(?) Khamenei - 2011, 2021, 2023(?) They've managed it before too, Jerry Lee Lewis 2022, last picked 1993 (!!!!) John Edrich 2020, last picked 2011, 2010 Charles Aznavour 2018, last 2014, 1990 And if you are thinking ahead to 2024... Jake 'The Snake' Roberts, last picked in 2015. Myself, Joey and DI were discussing this one during lockdown and the consensus on best "boomerang" DL success was, iirc, George Cole. Picked on one of the first 3 lists, then never again until 2015, when he randomly died in his sleep aged 90! 7 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Lafaucheuse 3,655 Posted May 26, 2023 17 minutes ago, Evil Grimace said: I'd say the Committee have excellent judgement and/or extremely lucky - they've done this for three picks this year so far. Musharraf - 2004, 2020, 2023 Lawson - 2012, 2023 (impressive!) Turner - 2019, 2023 If that pattern holds then, Nolan - 2018, 2021, 2023(?) Marcos - 2020, 2021, 2023(?) Khamenei - 2011, 2021, 2023(?) They've managed it before too, Jerry Lee Lewis 2022, last picked 1993 (!!!!) John Edrich 2020, last picked 2011, 2010 Charles Aznavour 2018, last 2014, 1990 And if you are thinking ahead to 2024... Jake 'The Snake' Roberts, last picked in 2015. I tend to be a little less impressed by Lawson than the other two tbh : the guy was into his 90´s anyway so that’s a fortunate coincidence but not a stroke of genius for me. Turner was though. Also, JLL wasn’t that impressive when you put in perspective how frail he looked prior to making the list and his ailments. I wouldn’t say hits that appeared in few list are more impressive than others. What is impressive with Tina is she could have died a few years ago or in a few years and on their 2 prediction one of them was right which represents 50% success. Carter on the other hand… 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Toast 14,845 Posted May 26, 2023 1 hour ago, msc said: Myself, Joey and DI were discussing this Sorry, but I have to! The misuse of "myself" is a modern curse. The test is to drop the other people and see if it makes sense if it's just you. Would you say " Myself was discussing this"? No, you would not. You would say "I was discussing this". Now put the other people back in, and the convention is that you put yourself last as a courtesy: "Joey, DI and I were discussing this" 2 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 19,092 Posted June 10, 2023 On 25/05/2023 at 11:36, YoungWillz said: Interesting. While I've had many crossover hits on my Deathlist Prediction Team and am currently tied with the Committee on hits, all my hits there are in the top half of my counter-list. So while I've scored badly in the Prediction competition, my team is a better predictor. I'll probably live to regret this post by year's end, mind. Kaczynski was also in the top half of my prediction counter-list. Not on the Committee's at all. Yay. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Grimgrass 475 Posted June 12, 2023 On 01/01/2023 at 02:05, Grimgrass said: The drops: David Attenborough Emperor Akihito Ted Kaczynski James Whale Denis Law Noam Chomsky David Crosby Michael Gambon Douglas Hurd Silvio Berlusconi Linda Ronstadt Well, that's three drops dead now. Though I don't blame them for missing Crosby and Berlusconi, both felt like poor picks last year. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Lafaucheuse 3,655 Posted June 12, 2023 6 minutes ago, Grimgrass said: Well, that's three drops dead now. Though I don't blame them for missing Crosby and Berlusconi, both felt like poor picks last year. Yep, I do agree. Kaczynski is the only « miss » here but still, it’s disappointing… the fact that Carter has outlived Berlusconi is quite wild though 4 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
gcreptile 10,234 Posted June 12, 2023 Well, I remember saying that dropping James Whale was a terrible mistake. But for now, they got that right. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Daredevil 1,096 Posted June 12, 2023 13 minutes ago, Grimgrass said: Well, that's three drops dead now. Though I don't blame them for missing Crosby and Berlusconi, both felt like poor picks last year. And yet Kaczynski was the only one of those three who died an unnatural death! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Clorox Bleachman 2,016 Posted June 12, 2023 On 01/01/2023 at 06:04, Clorox Bleachman said: Here are all the names people think should have been on the list. Feel free to recommend more. At the end of the week they get locked in the vault. Emperor Akihito George Alagiah Buzz Aldrin David Attenborough Thelma Barlow Silvio Berlusconi Rob Burrow Michael Caine Bernadette Chirac Sandra Day O'Connor Clint Eastwood Frank Field Roberta Flack Jane Fonda Janey Godley Gene Hackman Jonnie Irwin Randy Jackson Glynis Johns Ted Kaczynski Val Kilmer Don King June Lockhart Vladimir Putin William Roache Marion Ross William Russell Eva Marie Saint Frankie Valli Gianluca Vialli James Whale And if you have the audacity to give it "why were they not on the list?" when a B-lister dies suddenly in August, then I'll hold you accountable. This post will prove whether bragging rights are yours, or you're a scheming little opportunist. You have been warned. I'm hearing "not a miss" allegations about Berlusconi. @Genfærd was the only person to mention him by name: On 01/01/2023 at 00:43, Genfærd said: Silvio Berlusconi & David Attenborough could be huge misses. Have a gut feeling that one of them will be gone this year. Other than that a good list. Plenty others agreed with the cmme's decision to drop him. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Lafaucheuse 3,655 Posted June 12, 2023 14 minutes ago, Clorox Bleachman said: I'm hearing "not a miss" allegations about Berlusconi. @Genfærd was the only person to mention him by name: Plenty others agreed with the cmme's decision to drop him. I checked the teams on twisted DL, no one picked him. It’s not as revealing as the stats of DDP but still, even with the recent hits, some teams could have picked him: no one did because right up to the end no one thought it was that serious. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bibliogryphon 8,662 Posted June 12, 2023 5 minutes ago, Lafaucheuse said: I checked the teams on twisted DL, no one picked him. It’s not as revealing as the stats of DDP but still, even with the recent hits, some teams could have picked him: no one did because right up to the end no one thought it was that serious. The Boy Who Cried Wolf 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bibliogryphon 8,662 Posted July 12, 2023 Fallen back with regards to what was possible after Tina Turner's death but there is still some talent on the team. Still ahead of 2017 which was the second most successful year Updated for Milan Kundera 7 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Daredevil 1,096 Posted July 14, 2023 It’s interesting that the two Dicks are potentially the healthiest candidates on this year’s list. Who do others think is the healthiest candidate on the 2023 DL? You could argue Alan Alda but Parkinson’s is no sign of good health. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wannamaker 1,067 Posted July 14, 2023 17 minutes ago, The Daredevil said: It’s interesting that the two Dicks are potentially the healthiest candidates on this year’s list. Who do others think is the healthiest candidate on the 2023 DL? You could argue Alan Alda but Parkinson’s is no sign of good health. Desmond Morris seems to be in good health Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deathrace 1,099 Posted July 14, 2023 5 hours ago, wannamaker said: Desmond Morris seems to be in good health Robert Duvall and Angie Dickinson maybe as well Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Daredevil 1,096 Posted July 14, 2023 5 hours ago, Deathrace said: Robert Duvall and Angie Dickinson maybe as well And Hal Linden Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bibliogryphon 8,662 Posted July 21, 2023 Updated for Tony Bennett We are now between 2008 & 2015 both of which ended on 14 hits However the other year that ended on 14 was 2022 and at the same stage last year we still only had 4 hits 7 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Comped 364 Posted July 21, 2023 I think we're going to get to at least 15, maybe even see closer to 20. Feels like that kind of year. 5 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sideik 236 Posted July 21, 2023 I think picking Jimmy Carter was a mistake 1 1 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wannamaker 1,067 Posted July 21, 2023 Even with the unlucky drops this has been a good year so far, thinking 16 hits total. 4 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deadpool 163 Posted July 22, 2023 This year, the death list will score between 16 and 18 in my opinion. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Daredevil 1,096 Posted July 22, 2023 It will have to be at least 15, my guess 17. Even if you discount the maybes (Baxter, Gall, Laine, Skinner), there are still at least five more certs IMO (J Carter, Woodward, Starmer-Smith, Nolan, Ackland). R Carter, Kennedy, Le Pen, Charlton and Delors also seem very likely hits this year. One of the centenarians is also a safe bet, not Kissinger though. 4 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Steve 421 Posted July 22, 2023 16 minutes ago, The Daredevil said: It will have to be at least 15, my guess 17. Even if you discount the maybes (Baxter, Gall, Laine, Skinner), there are still at least five more certs IMO (J Carter, Woodward, Starmer-Smith, Nolan, Ackland). R Carter, Kennedy, Le Pen, Charlton and Delors also seem very likely hits this year. One of the centenarians is also a safe bet, not Kissinger though. Norman Tebbit also has to be included as a strong maybe imo 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hartnell 1999 82 Posted July 22, 2023 The 2017 DL broke the all time record with 17 hits 2020 broke it again with 20 hits Lets see if 2023 can do the same with 23 hits Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The Daredevil 1,096 Posted July 29, 2023 Of the 9 hits so far, Bacharach, Lawson and Turner were the only ones which surprised me. Even so, Musharraf, Sakamoto, Harris and Kundera have been the only really obvious picks to have gone in 2023. Many of our preferred certs (J Carter, Woodward, Starmer-Smith, Nolan, Rollins, Ackland etc.), are still around. I’m also really starting to appreciate Jacques Delors and Bobby Charlton being carried over. Both must be in a dire state of health by now; how are they still alive? Rollins (or any other famous 92-year-old ex heroin addict) is a great pick too, he’ll probably see 93 though (not as many celebrities seem to go at 92; it’s a rarer age for celebrities to die). As for Gall, Baxter and Laine, we still know as little about their conditions as we did in January, they could go in a month or in a few years. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
