The Dead Cow 620 Posted January 1, 2017 Looks like me and RadGuy both have one bad DDP choice. He had Hankins, but she's not going to obit I don't think. Daily Mail and Independent did stories on her. Whether or not they'll follow up is my worry, but I reckon they will. Remember The Independent no longer counts. You might have a chance with the Daily Mail but I wouldn't bet on it. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,446 Posted January 1, 2017 Ah but you've got around 12-13 likely hits - compare that to the 40-50 teams who scored 0/20 last year. You talking to me or RadGuy? You, though technically it covers RadGuy too. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RadGuy 1,614 Posted January 1, 2017 Looks like me and RadGuy both have one bad DDP choice. He had Hankins, but she's not going to obit I don't think.Daily Mail and Independent did stories on her.Whether or not they'll follow up is my worry, but I reckon they will. Remember The Independent no longer counts. You might have a chance with the Daily Mail but I wouldn't bet on it. Oh right dammit. OTOH the Daily Mail would report on the death of the pet goldfish of the daughter of the friend of whoever is 29th in line to the Danish throne. I give Sara a 90% chance to obit. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YoungWillz 21,044 Posted January 1, 2017 My teams are in my sig, but no harm reproducing them here: 12 Lords A-Leaving, 8 Ladies Dying 01. Peter Skellern - Singer/Songwriter (M) (JOKER) 02. Sister Wendy Beckett - Nun/TV Personality (F) 03. Pope Emeritus Benedict XVI - Former Pope (M) 04. Glen Campbell - Country Singer (M) 05. Dabney Coleman - American Actor e.g. Towering Inferno; On Golden Pond (M) 06. Shannen Doherty - American Actress e.g. Beverly Hills, 90210; Charmed (F) 07. Mary Ellis - WWII Spitfire Pilot (F) 08. Roberta Flack - American Singer e.g. Killing Me Softly With His Song (F) 09. Jann Haworth - US Artist, co-creator of Sgt Pepper album cover (F) 10. Hugh Hefner - American Playboy (M) 11. Clive James - Australian Scribe and Wit (M) 12. Angela Lansbury - UK Actress e.g. Murder, She Wrote (F) 13. Jean-Marie Le Pen - French Founder of the Front National (M) 14. Michael Lindsay-Hogg - UK Baronet: Directed The Beatles' Let It Be (M) 15. King Michael Of Romania - Former Romanian Royal (M) 16. Sidney Poitier - American Actor e.g. To Sir, With Love (M) 17. Burt Reynolds - American Actor e.g. Cannonball Run (M) 18. Ray "Eye Patch" Sawyer - American Musician with Dr Hook (M) 19. Prunella Scales - UK Actress e.g. Fawlty Towers (F) 20. Mary Tyler Moore - American Actress e.g The Mary Tyler Moore Show (F) Comedy Cremations 01. Paul Mayhew-Archer (Joker) 02. Stanley Baxter 03. Tony Booth 04. Jim Bowen 05. Eric Chappell 06. Billy Connolly 07. Windsor Davies 08. Sir Ken Dodd 09. Sir Bruce Forsyth 10. Ray Galton 11. Valerie Harper 12. Tim Healy 13. Terry Jones 14. Jerry Lewis 15. Denis Norden 16. Prunella Scales 17. Tony Selby 18. Alan Simpson 19. June Whitfield 20. Richard Wilson Hits of 36 Years Ago And Hits Today 01. Abdul "Duke" Fakir - #3 When She Was My Girl (Four Tops) Joker 02. Ritchie Blackmore - #3 I Surrender (Rainbow) 03. Michael "Mickey" Bradley - #18 It's Going To Happen (The Undertones) 04. Joe Dolce - #1 Shaddup You Face 05. Nigel Glockler - #4 Thunder In The Mountains (Toyah) 06. Julio Iglesias - #1 Begin The Beguine 07. John Illsley - #8 Romeo And Juliet (Dire Straits) 08. Brian May - #1 Under Pressure (Queen) 09. Ennio Morricone - #2 Chi Mai 10. Ian Paice - #17 Don't Break My Heart Again (Whitesnake) 11. Ruth Pointer - #10 Slow Hand (Pointer Sisters) 12. Smokey Robinson - #1 Being With You 13. Saxa (Lionel Augustus Martin) - #7 Too Nice To Talk To (The Beat) 14. Phil Spalding - #4 Thunder In The Mountains (Toyah) 15. Neville Staple - #1 Ghost Town (The Specials) 16. Shakin' Stevens (Michael Barratt) - #1 This Ole House 17. David Van Day - #19 Hand Held In Black And White (Dollar) 18. Vangelis - #12 Chariots Of Fire 19. Charlie Wilson - #22 Burn Rubber On Me (The Gap Band) 20. Bill Wyman - #7 Start Me Up (The Rolling Stones) 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Heef 166 Posted January 1, 2017 I submitted 3 teams in the belief that if I went with greater numbers, at least one of them might bag some points. BBC Heaven 1. Bruce Forsyth2. John Craven3. Michael Checkland4. Andrew Marr5. John Noakes6. Bill Oddie7. Kate Adie8. Peter Sallis9. Professor Heinz Wolff10. Noel Edmonds11. Harold Snoad12. Kenneth Cope13. Dame Jenni Murray14. Tom Baker15. Nicholas Parsons16. David Attenborough17. Michael Parkinson18. David Jason19. Tom Baker20. Barry Cryer The Heeflich Manoeuvre 1. Steve Sumner (former NZ footballer)2. Colin Meads3. Marieke Vervoot4. Stefan karl Stefanson5. Leah Bracknell6. Kenneth Cope7. Ian Martin (writer)8. Ken Watanabe9. Sir Ngatata Love10. Joost van der Westhuizen11. Steve Gleason (former American footballer)12. Clive James13. Arun Lal (Indian cricketer born 1955)14. Mike Moore ONZ (former NZ prime minister)15. John Berger (author)16. Holly Johnson17. Mark Nicholas18. Meat Loaf19. Richard Wilson (actor)20. Shirley Williams Heef's Politics XX 1. Morgan Tsvangirai 2. Vojislav Šešelj 3. Benjamin Netanyahu 4. Nikolai Ryzhkov 5. Nuon Chea 6. Egon Krenz 7. Borislav Jovic 8. Lech Walesa 9. Francisco Morales Bermudez Cerruti 10. Michael Somare 11. Graham Richardson (Australian politician) 12. John Stossel 13. Jacques Chirac 14. Helmut Kohl 15. Atal Bihari Vajpayee 16. Ali Akbar Rafsanjani 17. Reynaldo Bignone 18. Manuel Noriega 19. Hosni Mubarak 20. Kenneth Kaunda Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Deathray 2,940 Posted January 1, 2017 Congrats to Spade. A respectable 55th place and personal best for me, unless there's any more stiffs to be added. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CaptainChorizo 1,982 Posted January 1, 2017 Stefan Karl was purely a defensive pick as I think he might survive the year. Didn't think Mark Sims would get the QO but regretting that now seeing how confident many were to pick him. Team -Heading Nowhere 1.John Wetton 2.Gord Downie 3.Errol Christie 4.Sara Coward 5.Jay Clark 6.King Michael 7.Georgina Beyer 8.Leah Bracknell 9.Mario Soares 10.Colin Meads 11.Tracy Mcgiffin 12.Peter Skellern 13.Pete Frates 14.Craig MacGregor 15.Steve Hewlett 16.Emma Houlston 17.Simon Ricketts 18.Steve Sumner 19.Stefan karl stefansson 20.Smith Hart Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
drunkasaskunk 194 Posted January 1, 2017 My team is - - - Jay Clark **Joker** Paul Briggs Paul Lamb Leah Bracknell Rayya Elias Colin Meads Gord Downie Peter Skellern Mel Stottlemyre Tracey McGiffin Bruce Langhorne Andrew Busby King Michael of Romania Jimmy 'Superfly' Snuka Connie Johnson Clive James Fernando Ricksen Billy Graham Herman Wouk Denis Norden Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gooseberry Crumble 5,342 Posted January 1, 2017 Predictor's Predictions DDP 2017 1. Wilford Brimley (Sep 1934) (6 p) Health: Old age + diabetes + overweight. Notability: American character actor and diabetes spokesman. 2. Algimantas Dailide (Mar 1921) (5 p) Health: Old age. Notability: Lithuanian Nazi. 3. Ewa Fröling (Aug 1952) (8 p) Health: Has cancer since Summer. Dec 2016 Notability: Lead actress in 4-time Academy Award-winning film Fanny & Alexander. 4. Kurt Hamrin (Nov 1934) (6 p) Health: "Hamrin drabbad av stroke." Oct 2016 Notability: Swedish football legend. 5. Thor Hansen (Jun 1947) (7/8 p) Health: Has terminal cancer. Notability: Norwegian poker player. Been picked by DDP teams before, so probably obitable. 6. Stephen Hawking (Jan 1942) (7 p) Health: ALS Notability: No explanation needed. 7. Pat Hitchcock (Jul 1928) (6 p) Health: Her health is extremely poor and no longer makes public appearances and is living a very quiet retirement. Oct 2013 Notability: Alfred Hitchcock's actress daughter. 8. Israel Kristal (Sep 1903) (3 p) Health: Really old age. Notability: World's oldest living man. 9. Sue Lyon (Jul 1946) (7 p) Health: Has been bipolar for years and is rarely seen in public these days. Notability: Played Lolita in the Kubrick movie Lolita. An Out-of-the-blue death prediction. 10. Princess Christina Magnuson (Aug 1943) (7 p) (Joker) Health: "Princess Christina, the King of Sweden's sister, has been diagnosed with chronic leukemia." Oct 2016 Notability: Carl XVl Gustaf's older sister. 11. Dorothy Malone (Jan 1925) (5 p) Health: "Her family have stated that her health isn't that great anymore." Jul 2013 Notability: Academy Award-winning actress. 12. Catherine Nevin (Oct 1950) (8 p) Health: Catherine Nevin has just months to live after being diagnosed with brain tumour. Nov 2016 Notability: Irish murderer. Been reported in British media before. 13. Baby Peggy (Oct 1918) (5 p) Health: "Cary has been in hospital twice since Christmas, with pneumonia. I havent really got much time left. May 2015"There have been recent health issues (including two minor strokes) as well as continuing financial difficulties." Mar 2016 Notability: Last surviving silent film star. 14. Regis Philbin (Aug 1931) (6 p) Health: "Pals fear the 117-pound TV star has only months to live! In 1993, he underwent emergency angioplasty to unblock a heart vessel; and in 2007, Philbin went under the knife for triple-bypass heart surgery. Then in 2009, he had a hip replaced, and the following year, he had a potentially fatal calf blood clot removed. Philbin is also continuously fighting battles against high cholesterol, high blood pressure and skin cancer. Five years ago, he had a procedure to determine the cause of his severe acid reflux, which is a risk factor for esophageal cancer, says Dr. Fischer. Usually, people are just given a medicine for acid reflux." Dec 2016 Notability: American television personality. 15. Larry Pickering (1942) (7 p) Health: "Larry Pickering has only months to live." Aug 2016 Notability: Australian cartoonist. Obitability unclear but I'll gamble. 16. Robert D. Raiford (Dec 1927) (6 p) Health: "A stroke in August has cost the veteran broadcaster his mobility, all sensation on his right side and the source of his livelihood: his voice." June 2016 Notability: Covered JFK's funeral on CBS radio. 17. Candy Samples (Apr 1928) (6 p) Health: "At this point I should say that Candy has been diagnosed with Alzheimer's." Oct 2015 Notability: Pioneer porn actress. Obitability unclear. 18. Leo Sharp (May 1924) (5 p) Health: "91-year-old Leo Sharp has been released early from federal prison because he is said to be terminally ill." Aug 2015 Notability: Drug dealer. Been reported in British media before. 19. Dean Stockwell (Mar 1936) (6 p) Health: "Dean suffered a fall and minor stroke in May, which has caused him to suffer memory loss. The doctors who examined him over the summer have given him only a few years of life left in his current condition." Nov 2015 Notability: Veteran American actor. 20. Baron Waqa (Dec 1959) (9 p) Health: Obese, could have a heart attack at any moment. Notability: The president of Nauru. That's a great list! Lots of unique picks and detailed research Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Predictor 1,018 Posted January 2, 2017 Predictor's Predictions DDP 2017 1. Wilford Brimley (Sep 1934) (6 p) Health: Old age + diabetes + overweight. Notability: American character actor and diabetes spokesman. 2. Algimantas Dailide (Mar 1921) (5 p) Health: Old age. Notability: Lithuanian Nazi. 3. Ewa Fröling (Aug 1952) (8 p) Health: Has cancer since Summer. Dec 2016 Notability: Lead actress in 4-time Academy Award-winning film Fanny & Alexander. 4. Kurt Hamrin (Nov 1934) (6 p) Health: "Hamrin drabbad av stroke." Oct 2016 Notability: Swedish football legend. 5. Thor Hansen (Jun 1947) (7/8 p) Health: Has terminal cancer. Notability: Norwegian poker player. Been picked by DDP teams before, so probably obitable. 6. Stephen Hawking (Jan 1942) (7 p) Health: ALS Notability: No explanation needed. 7. Pat Hitchcock (Jul 1928) (6 p) Health: Her health is extremely poor and no longer makes public appearances and is living a very quiet retirement. Oct 2013 Notability: Alfred Hitchcock's actress daughter. 8. Israel Kristal (Sep 1903) (3 p) Health: Really old age. Notability: World's oldest living man. 9. Sue Lyon (Jul 1946) (7 p) Health: Has been bipolar for years and is rarely seen in public these days. Notability: Played Lolita in the Kubrick movie Lolita. An Out-of-the-blue death prediction. 10. Princess Christina Magnuson (Aug 1943) (7 p) (Joker) Health: "Princess Christina, the King of Sweden's sister, has been diagnosed with chronic leukemia." Oct 2016 Notability: Carl XVl Gustaf's older sister. 11. Dorothy Malone (Jan 1925) (5 p) Health: "Her family have stated that her health isn't that great anymore." Jul 2013 Notability: Academy Award-winning actress. 12. Catherine Nevin (Oct 1950) (8 p) Health: Catherine Nevin has just months to live after being diagnosed with brain tumour. Nov 2016 Notability: Irish murderer. Been reported in British media before. 13. Baby Peggy (Oct 1918) (5 p) Health: "Cary has been in hospital twice since Christmas, with pneumonia. I havent really got much time left. May 2015"There have been recent health issues (including two minor strokes) as well as continuing financial difficulties." Mar 2016 Notability: Last surviving silent film star. 14. Regis Philbin (Aug 1931) (6 p) Health: "Pals fear the 117-pound TV star has only months to live! In 1993, he underwent emergency angioplasty to unblock a heart vessel; and in 2007, Philbin went under the knife for triple-bypass heart surgery. Then in 2009, he had a hip replaced, and the following year, he had a potentially fatal calf blood clot removed. Philbin is also continuously fighting battles against high cholesterol, high blood pressure and skin cancer. Five years ago, he had a procedure to determine the cause of his severe acid reflux, which is a risk factor for esophageal cancer, says Dr. Fischer. Usually, people are just given a medicine for acid reflux." Dec 2016 Notability: American television personality. 15. Larry Pickering (1942) (7 p) Health: "Larry Pickering has only months to live." Aug 2016 Notability: Australian cartoonist. Obitability unclear but I'll gamble. 16. Robert D. Raiford (Dec 1927) (6 p) Health: "A stroke in August has cost the veteran broadcaster his mobility, all sensation on his right side and the source of his livelihood: his voice." June 2016 Notability: Covered JFK's funeral on CBS radio. 17. Candy Samples (Apr 1928) (6 p) Health: "At this point I should say that Candy has been diagnosed with Alzheimer's." Oct 2015 Notability: Pioneer porn actress. Obitability unclear. 18. Leo Sharp (May 1924) (5 p) Health: "91-year-old Leo Sharp has been released early from federal prison because he is said to be terminally ill." Aug 2015 Notability: Drug dealer. Been reported in British media before. 19. Dean Stockwell (Mar 1936) (6 p) Health: "Dean suffered a fall and minor stroke in May, which has caused him to suffer memory loss. The doctors who examined him over the summer have given him only a few years of life left in his current condition." Nov 2015 Notability: Veteran American actor. 20. Baron Waqa (Dec 1959) (9 p) Health: Obese, could have a heart attack at any moment. Notability: The president of Nauru. That's a great list! Lots of unique picks and detailed research Thank you, Gooseberry Crumble, that's very nice of you. To return the favour, I'll have a look at your lists at a later point. Well, unique picks in my case usually correlates with being unlikely to give high scores or simply not give any points at all. Larry Pickering could be a decent chance of a not-too-old unique, but some have cast doubt upon him being terminal. Leo Sharp could also be a unique (although one can never trust the 'never been mentioned in the forum before' logic, I've learned today, lol), but he's over 90 and what if he's already dead but not reported? While I have purposely omitted many younger dead certs (why do I have a self-destructive aversion to choosing mainstream candidates that everyone picks?), I've tried to make sure that I have some basis for my selections besides old age. How reflective each source is of the celeb's actualy health is another thing; I have a few IMDb posts as sources and some go way back in time. Random spot to look for health info, but I happen to like movies. A few more things: I went with Ewa Fröling as a dedication to a certain member. I went with Baron Waqa so that he can beautify the DDP website once his entry is up. Kristal is my traditional "if everything else effs up" pick since supercentenarians are likely to die sooner rather than later. Violet Brown was quite unhelpful in that regard last year, though. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sir Creep 7,070 Posted January 2, 2017 Genuine LOL - my only likely unique pick is your bloody joker, Sir Creep! So are we best friends or enemies? I thought surely I had a solo hit there. Grrrrr lol SC 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sir Creep 7,070 Posted January 2, 2017 Sir Creep - Cancel My Appointments Patrick Bowlen Colin Butts Rico Constantino Errol Christie Rayya Elias (Joker) Scott Hamilton Mo Haque Sasha Lokovic Tracy McGiffin Sir Colin Meads Vincent Mullins Richard Overton Nabeel Qureshi Simon Ricketts Peter Skellern Mario Soares Valeri Spiridinov John Wetton Mike IX Williams Paul Van Zandvliet Sub: PM Patrick John Note: after realizing I totally forgot Glen Campbell I sent an immediate email saying put Campbell in for Wetton, so it sure the ruling. I'll be the only dolt without Glen Campbell otherwise. Good luck everyone! SC Wetton is a dead cert,assuming Campbell goes and Wetton doesn't make drop 40(most likely) it's only a net 1 point loss. Well it's a lost cause. Rules say once submitted that's it. My boner for forgetting Campbell. SC Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,446 Posted January 2, 2017 Genuine LOL - my only likely unique pick is your bloody joker, Sir Creep! So are we best friends or enemies? I thought surely I had a solo hit there. Grrrrr lol SC She's on all the top teams: I do like the idea of everyone on here keeping the same name secret, it has an element of farce to it. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sir Creep 7,070 Posted January 2, 2017 Well mine is in my sig but I guess I'll post here anyway: To Kill A Gabor Sister 2017 DERBY DEAD POOL Leah Bracknell Gay Byrne Errol Christie Sara Coward Gord Downie Greg Gilbert Kris Hallenga Sara Hankins Heidi Loughlin Lisa Magill Tracy McGiffin King Michael I of Romania Simon Ricketts Rena Salmon Mark Sims (J) Peter Skellern Jimmy Snuka Valery Spiridonov Stefan Karl Stefansson Steve Sumner subs: Shannen Doherty Sharon Laws Dilip Kumar Well shit you and I have like 9 of the same names out of 20. We are doomed lol SC 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sir Creep 7,070 Posted January 2, 2017 Genuine LOL - my only likely unique pick is your bloody joker, Sir Creep! So are we best friends or enemies? I thought surely I had a solo hit there. Grrrrr lol SC I even left her off my Made In Detroit theme team (she was born there) as not to ruin my own unique name. Now I wish I put her there as joker! :-( Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,446 Posted January 2, 2017 Once more I gain a loose prediction for the main teams announced so far. Only counting those I consider fairly dead certs, and not counting those which are 50/50 obits. In 2016, I underestimated everyone's tally. Also not pretending to guess uniques, Drop 40s, etc... DQSP 165 (Sims/Bracknell/Briggs/Brockenshire/Clark/Christie/Coward/Downie/Elias/Gilbert/Hewlett/Meads/Nevin/Perham/Singh/Skellern/Wetton) Golden Slumbers 143 (Sims/Sumner/Hewlett/Ricketts/McGiffin/Forsyth/Soares/Michael/Nevin/Bracknell/Christie/PvZ/Downie/Coward/Wetton/Skellern) Thomas Jefferson Survives 136 (Christie/Booth/Bracknell/Briggs/Coward/Downie/Elias/Hewlett/Meads/Michael/Nevin/Ricketts/Sims/Skellern/PvZ) Heading Nowhere 130 (Downie/Christie/Wetton/Coward/Clark/Michael/Bracknell/Soares/Meads/McGiffin/Skellern/MacGregor/Hewlett/Ricketts/Sumner) Poochie 126 (Bracknell/Christie/Coward/Downie/Elias/Gilbert/Hewlett/Meads/McGiffin/Michael/Ricketts/Skellern/St John/Sumner/Wetton) Still Life 121 (Sims/Downie/Bracknell/Christie/PvZ/Soares/Booth/Coward/Michael/Spiridinov/Wetton/Skellern/McGiffin/Sumner/Campbell) The Love Boat 118 (Bracknell/Christie/Campbell/Coward/Downie/McGiffin/Spiridinov/Elias/Sims/Gilbert/Ricketts/Nevin) To Kill a Gabor Sister 118 (Sims/Bracknell/Christie/Coward/Downie/Gilbert/McGiffin/Michael/Ricketts/Skellern/Spiridinov/Sumner) Pan Breed 118 (Downie/Bracknell/Christie/Coward/Elias/Gilbert/McGiffin/Nevin/Ricketts/Sim/Sumner/PvZ) The Living End 112 (Coward/Bracknell/Christie/Elias/Gilbert/Meads/Spiridinov/Sumner/Downie/Hewlett/Skellern/Wetton/Briggs JoeyRuss’s Day in the Death 100 (Booth/Campbell/Christie/Coward/Downie/Gilbert/McGiffin/Meads/Ricketts/sims/Skellern/Wetton) I’m sorry for your trouble 98 (Bracknell/Booth/Campbell/Christie/Coward/Downie/Forsyth/Gilbert/Michael/Benedict/Skellern/Wetton) Cancel My Appointments 92 (Christie/Elias/McGiffin/Meads/Ricketts/Skellern/Soares/Spiridinov/Wetton/PvZ) Drunkasaskunk 88 (Clark/Briggs/Bracknell/Elias/Meads/Downie/Skellern/McGiffin/Michael) Carkers Convention 75 (Coward/Booth/Bracknell/Campbell/Christie/Downie/Skellern/Soares/Wetton) Going Underground 69 (McGiffin/Nevin/Singh/Gilbert/Perham/Ricketts/Downie) The End of the World as we know it 66 (Booth/Bracknell/Campbell/Christie/Downie/Meads/Michael/St John) Dead as a Doornail 57 (Bracknell/Christie/Downie/Skellern/Soares/Spiridinov/Wetton) Sovereign-Reaper 56 (Gilbert/Sumner/Downie/Spiridinov/Campbell/Forsyth/St John) Windsor the Troll 49 (Gilbert/Bracknell/Forsyth/Campbell/Sumner) Shaun of the Dead 47 (Christie/Hewlett/Sumner/Skellern/Michael) Lard Bazaar 39 (Bracknell/Booth/Forsyth/Sumner/Gilbert) 12 Lords A-Leaving, 8 Ladies Diyng – 37 (Skellern/Benedict/Campbell/Michael/Poitier) Pistol Knights 32 (Michael/Bracknell/Skellern/Soares) Deathray’s Kervorkian Clinic 18 (Bracknell) Predictor’s Predictions 13 (Baby Peggy/Nevin)* *Though lots of well researched borderline obits/50-50ers. Although one thing to notice - a lot of us have taken big risks, DDP wise, on 50/50ers and folk likely to die but questionably obitable. So fortune may favour one of the brave... For comparison, last years cert's top 9: David Quantick Heading Nowhere Pan Breed (!) Going Underground Eesti Thomas Jefferson Survives Switch Still Life The Living End TL/DR: Bert's the sleeper Chorizo type this year, imo. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RadGuy 1,614 Posted January 2, 2017 Once more I gain a loose prediction for the main teams announced so far. Only counting those I consider fairly dead certs, and not counting those which are 50/50 obits. In 2016, I underestimated everyone's tally. Also not pretending to guess uniques, Drop 40s, etc... DQSP 165 (Sims/Bracknell/Briggs/Brockenshire/Clark/Christie/Coward/Downie/Elias/Gilbert/Hewlett/Meads/Nevin/Perham/Singh/Skellern/Wetton) Golden Slumbers 143 (Sims/Sumner/Hewlett/Ricketts/McGiffin/Forsyth/Soares/Michael/Nevin/Bracknell/Christie/PvZ/Downie/Coward/Wetton/Skellern) Thomas Jefferson Survives 136 (Christie/Booth/Bracknell/Briggs/Coward/Downie/Elias/Hewlett/Meads/Michael/Nevin/Ricketts/Sims/Skellern/PvZ) Heading Nowhere 130 (Downie/Christie/Wetton/Coward/Clark/Michael/Bracknell/Soares/Meads/McGiffin/Skellern/MacGregor/Hewlett/Ricketts/Sumner) Poochie 126 (Bracknell/Christie/Coward/Downie/Elias/Gilbert/Hewlett/Meads/McGiffin/Michael/Ricketts/Skellern/St John/Sumner/Wetton) Still Life 121 (Sims/Downie/Bracknell/Christie/PvZ/Soares/Booth/Coward/Michael/Spiridinov/Wetton/Skellern/McGiffin/Sumner/Campbell) The Love Boat 118 (Bracknell/Christie/Campbell/Coward/Downie/McGiffin/Spiridinov/Elias/Sims/Gilbert/Ricketts/Nevin) To Kill a Gabor Sister 118 (Sims/Bracknell/Christie/Coward/Downie/Gilbert/McGiffin/Michael/Ricketts/Skellern/Spiridinov/Sumner) Pan Breed 118 (Downie/Bracknell/Christie/Coward/Elias/Gilbert/McGiffin/Nevin/Ricketts/Sim/Sumner/PvZ) The Living End 112 (Coward/Bracknell/Christie/Elias/Gilbert/Meads/Spiridinov/Sumner/Downie/Hewlett/Skellern/Wetton/Briggs JoeyRuss’s Day in the Death 100 (Booth/Campbell/Christie/Coward/Downie/Gilbert/McGiffin/Meads/Ricketts/sims/Skellern/Wetton) I’m sorry for your trouble 98 (Bracknell/Booth/Campbell/Christie/Coward/Downie/Forsyth/Gilbert/Michael/Benedict/Skellern/Wetton) Cancel My Appointments 92 (Christie/Elias/McGiffin/Meads/Ricketts/Skellern/Soares/Spiridinov/Wetton/PvZ) Drunkasaskunk 88 (Clark/Briggs/Bracknell/Elias/Meads/Downie/Skellern/McGiffin/Michael) Carkers Convention 75 (Coward/Booth/Bracknell/Campbell/Christie/Downie/Skellern/Soares/Wetton) Going Underground 69 (McGiffin/Nevin/Singh/Gilbert/Perham/Ricketts/Downie) The End of the World as we know it 66 (Booth/Bracknell/Campbell/Christie/Downie/Meads/Michael/St John) Dead as a Doornail 57 (Bracknell/Christie/Downie/Skellern/Soares/Spiridinov/Wetton) Sovereign-Reaper 56 (Gilbert/Sumner/Downie/Spiridinov/Campbell/Forsyth/St John) Windsor the Troll 49 (Gilbert/Bracknell/Forsyth/Campbell/Sumner) Shaun of the Dead 47 (Christie/Hewlett/Sumner/Skellern/Michael) Lard Bazaar 39 (Bracknell/Booth/Forsyth/Sumner/Gilbert) 12 Lords A-Leaving, 8 Ladies Diyng – 37 (Skellern/Benedict/Campbell/Michael/Poitier) Pistol Knights 32 (Michael/Bracknell/Skellern/Soares) Deathray’s Kervorkian Clinic 18 (Bracknell) Predictor’s Predictions 13 (Baby Peggy/Nevin)* *Though lots of well researched borderline obits/50-50ers. Although one thing to notice - a lot of us have taken big risks, DDP wise, on 50/50ers and folk likely to die but questionably obitable. So fortune may favour one of the brave... For comparison, last years cert's top 9: David Quantick Heading Nowhere Pan Breed (!) Going Underground Eesti Thomas Jefferson Survives Switch Still Life The Living End TL/DR: Bert's the sleeper Chorizo type this year, imo. Damn, number 8! Pretty good for my first year of taking the DDP seriously. Although, if you're right, this also means DQSP will win his 5th title, and it won't even be close. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Joey Russ 7,227 Posted January 2, 2017 Once more I gain a loose prediction for the main teams announced so far. Only counting those I consider fairly dead certs, and not counting those which are 50/50 obits. In 2016, I underestimated everyone's tally. Also not pretending to guess uniques, Drop 40s, etc... DQSP 165 (Sims/Bracknell/Briggs/Brockenshire/Clark/Christie/Coward/Downie/Elias/Gilbert/Hewlett/Meads/Nevin/Perham/Singh/Skellern/Wetton) Golden Slumbers 143 (Sims/Sumner/Hewlett/Ricketts/McGiffin/Forsyth/Soares/Michael/Nevin/Bracknell/Christie/PvZ/Downie/Coward/Wetton/Skellern) Thomas Jefferson Survives 136 (Christie/Booth/Bracknell/Briggs/Coward/Downie/Elias/Hewlett/Meads/Michael/Nevin/Ricketts/Sims/Skellern/PvZ) Heading Nowhere 130 (Downie/Christie/Wetton/Coward/Clark/Michael/Bracknell/Soares/Meads/McGiffin/Skellern/MacGregor/Hewlett/Ricketts/Sumner) Poochie 126 (Bracknell/Christie/Coward/Downie/Elias/Gilbert/Hewlett/Meads/McGiffin/Michael/Ricketts/Skellern/St John/Sumner/Wetton) Still Life 121 (Sims/Downie/Bracknell/Christie/PvZ/Soares/Booth/Coward/Michael/Spiridinov/Wetton/Skellern/McGiffin/Sumner/Campbell) The Love Boat 118 (Bracknell/Christie/Campbell/Coward/Downie/McGiffin/Spiridinov/Elias/Sims/Gilbert/Ricketts/Nevin) To Kill a Gabor Sister 118 (Sims/Bracknell/Christie/Coward/Downie/Gilbert/McGiffin/Michael/Ricketts/Skellern/Spiridinov/Sumner) Pan Breed 118 (Downie/Bracknell/Christie/Coward/Elias/Gilbert/McGiffin/Nevin/Ricketts/Sim/Sumner/PvZ) The Living End 112 (Coward/Bracknell/Christie/Elias/Gilbert/Meads/Spiridinov/Sumner/Downie/Hewlett/Skellern/Wetton/Briggs JoeyRuss’s Day in the Death 100 (Booth/Campbell/Christie/Coward/Downie/Gilbert/McGiffin/Meads/Ricketts/sims/Skellern/Wetton) I’m sorry for your trouble 98 (Bracknell/Booth/Campbell/Christie/Coward/Downie/Forsyth/Gilbert/Michael/Benedict/Skellern/Wetton) Cancel My Appointments 92 (Christie/Elias/McGiffin/Meads/Ricketts/Skellern/Soares/Spiridinov/Wetton/PvZ) Drunkasaskunk 88 (Clark/Briggs/Bracknell/Elias/Meads/Downie/Skellern/McGiffin/Michael) Carkers Convention 75 (Coward/Booth/Bracknell/Campbell/Christie/Downie/Skellern/Soares/Wetton) Going Underground 69 (McGiffin/Nevin/Singh/Gilbert/Perham/Ricketts/Downie) The End of the World as we know it 66 (Booth/Bracknell/Campbell/Christie/Downie/Meads/Michael/St John) Dead as a Doornail 57 (Bracknell/Christie/Downie/Skellern/Soares/Spiridinov/Wetton) Sovereign-Reaper 56 (Gilbert/Sumner/Downie/Spiridinov/Campbell/Forsyth/St John) Windsor the Troll 49 (Gilbert/Bracknell/Forsyth/Campbell/Sumner) Shaun of the Dead 47 (Christie/Hewlett/Sumner/Skellern/Michael) Lard Bazaar 39 (Bracknell/Booth/Forsyth/Sumner/Gilbert) 12 Lords A-Leaving, 8 Ladies Diyng – 37 (Skellern/Benedict/Campbell/Michael/Poitier) Pistol Knights 32 (Michael/Bracknell/Skellern/Soares) Deathray’s Kervorkian Clinic 18 (Bracknell) Predictor’s Predictions 13 (Baby Peggy/Nevin)* *Though lots of well researched borderline obits/50-50ers. Although one thing to notice - a lot of us have taken big risks, DDP wise, on 50/50ers and folk likely to die but questionably obitable. So fortune may favour one of the brave... For comparison, last years cert's top 9: David Quantick Heading Nowhere Pan Breed (!) Going Underground Eesti Thomas Jefferson Survives Switch Still Life The Living End TL/DR: Bert's the sleeper Chorizo type this year, imo. 11th overall is pretty good, and that without my joker, who I'm confident I'll get an obit on. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
msc 18,446 Posted January 2, 2017 Oh I hope you get an obit on your joker too! 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Pedro67 232 Posted January 2, 2017 Pedro's catacomb caskets 1, Steve Hewlett (Journalist/Broadcaster) 2, Helen Clare (singer) 3, Nobby stiles 4, John Hamilton Nicholls (Spitfire pilot) 5, Nanci Ryder (Publicist) 6, Ian Brady 7, Alfred Worden (Astronaut) 8, Ian St John 9, Tony Booth 10, Peter Skellern 11, Sara Coward 12, Leah Bracknell **Joker** 13, Fred Sutherland (dam buster veteran) 14, Daisy Berkowitz 15, Liam Cosgrave 16, Clive James 17, Joost van der Westhuizen 18, Rick Davies (Supertramp) 19, Jon Ashbery (poet) 20, Valerie Harper Delighted with =26th last year. Maybe a couple of uniques, you never know. Hoping that if Fred Sutherland doesn't directly obit, that a good news source might do an article on 'Johnny' Johnson being the last survivor. ...and there you go Joeyruss, no unique on someone who ain't gonna go anywhere anyway ! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Joey Russ 7,227 Posted January 2, 2017 Looks like Spade is only going to get one unique this year with Brockinshire. Something like last year. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
gcreptile 10,970 Posted January 2, 2017 In the 2016 thread I pretty accurately predicted the score of my Main Team. This time, I predict myself to be in the 130-140 range. I'll calculate something similar this evening for others. Edit: I have a feeling, this year's teams are riskier. I calculate scores by weighting them with probabilities. The Love Boat 2016 got 119pts out of 160-170 possible. This time 200+ pts are possible but the probability is lower. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Spade_Cooley 9,525 Posted January 2, 2017 Looks like Spade is only going to get one unique this year with Brockinshire. Something like last year. I expected as much. The days when someone like a Marlise Munoz would skip through as a unique are long gone. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
drol 11,945 Posted January 2, 2017 Mine: 1)Leah Bracknell (joker) 2)Nick Boles 3)Sara Coward 4)Errol Christie 5)Colin Meads 6)Mark Sims 7)Peter Sallis (hope in the drop 40) 8)Mario Soares 9)Greg Gilbert 10)Mireille Darc 11)Glen Campbell 12)Jimmy Snuka 13)Gord Downie 14)Smith Hart 15)Peter Skellern 16)Simon Ricketts 17)John Wetton 18)Scott Hamilton 19)Steve Sumner 20)Michael I of Romania (drop 40?) Reserves: Gay Byrne Konstantinos Mitsotakis Billy Graham Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
drol 11,945 Posted January 2, 2017 I left out Sasha Lakovic, Dennis Stamp and a few others because I don't think they'll obit. But I'll regret this. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
