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Oh fuck - I mean, lots of what we do here is tasteless

Poor Princess Margaret!

Harvey Weinstein has the 'rona.

For context - the grimmest league table in history (stats start from 1887) 1918 - 715,246 1891 - 696,490 1900 - 695,867 1899 - 685,510 1976 - 680,799 1895 - 676,110 1979 - 675,576 1972 - 673,938 1893 - 673,722 1940 - 673,253 Also in 2018 there was 1687 deaths a day. And in 2017 there was 1663 deaths a day Puts the Covid-19 numbers in context.

I heard that people infected lose their sense of smell / taste before any other symptoms start

Canada takes the initiative and says they will not send a team to Tokyo for the Olympic Games this year. Best move Trudeau has made since taking office, finally starting to lead. I would expect other countries to follow suit quickly and the Games will be officially postponed before the week is up.

The other symptoms to watch for are tiredness and fever. Potentially difficulty breathing, but I guess that comes a bit later. If you just have the cough, maybe sit tight with a nice tea. The last place you want to be if you don't actually have it is a hospital or clinic, because you just might after you have been there. If you have the fever and tiredness, though, best get tested.

Coronavirus and #MeToo? He's at the forefront of all the hottest trends.

I keep obsessively checking the stats coming in from each country. Currently waiting for today's score from Italy. It's like the frigging Eurovision song contest.

Kane Tanaka becomes now 8th oldest verified person ever.

Eric Weissberg who formed one half of the duo who recorded Duelling Banjos, reportedly dead: https://bestclassicbands.com/eric-weissberg-obituary-3-23-20/ UK #17 Hit in April 1973:

The issue is we don't know if Covid just finishes off many people who were going to die anyway or hits gen pop more. It's prevalence in hospitals with lots of people who are dying anyway suggests the death numbers may not be all that more than normal.

It was QueenElizabethIsAlmostDead

The problem is the obvious is different to different people, there are those who take the headlines and those that read behind them, I take it that you are the latter which is a good thing. Listening to the commentaries there are too many who are not this wise.

It seems that the fatality rate of 3-3.4% may be drastically underestimated. It could be as high as 13%. The following excerpt from Worldometer illustrates this: (math warning- you might want to warm up your brain first do you don't sprain something!). And remember, the typical "flu" has a death rate of around 0.1%. The case fatality rate (CFR) represents the proportion of cases who eventually die from a disease. Once an epidemic has ended, it is calculated with the formula: deaths / cases. But while an epidemic is still ongoing, as it is the case with the current novel coronavirus outbreak, this formula is, at the very least, "naïve" and can be "misleading if, at the time of analysis, the outcome is unknown for a non negligible proportion of patients." [8] (Methods for Estimating the Case Fatality Ratio for a Novel, Emerging Infectious Disease - Ghani et al, American Journal of Epidemiology). In other words, current deaths belong to a total case figure of the past, not to the current case figure in which the outcome (recovery or death) of a proportion (the most recent cases) hasn't yet been determined. The correct formula, therefore, would appear to be: CFR = deaths at day.x / cases at day.x-{T} (where T = average time period from case confirmation to death) This would constitute a fair attempt to use values for cases and deaths belonging to the same group of patients. One issue can be that of determining whether there is enough data to estimate T with any precision, but it is certainly not T = 0 (what is implicitly used when applying the formula current deaths / current cases to determine CFR during an ongoing outbreak). Let's take, for example, the data at the end of February 8, 2020: 813 deaths (cumulative total) and 37,552 cases (cumulative total) worldwide. If we use the formula (deaths / cases) we get: 813 / 37,552 = 2.2% CFR (flawed formula). With a conservative estimate of T = 7 days as the average period from case confirmation to death, we would correct the above formula by using February 1 cumulative cases, which were 14,381, in the denominator: Feb. 8 deaths / Feb. 1 cases = 813 / 14,381 = 5.7% CFR (correct formula, and estimating T=7). T could be estimated by simply looking at the value of (current total deaths + current total recovered) and pair it with a case total in the past that has the same value. For the above formula, the matching dates would be January 26/27, providing an estimate for T of 12 to 13 days. This method of estimating T uses the same logic of the following method, and therefore will yield the same result. An alternative method, which has the advantage of not having to estimate a variable, and that is mentioned in the American Journal of Epidemiology study cited previously as a simple method that nevertheless could work reasonably well if the hazards of death and recovery at any time t measured from admission to the hospital, conditional on an event occurring at time t, are proportional, would be to use the formula: CFR = deaths / (deaths + recovered) which, with the latest data available, would be equal to: 14,611 / (14,611 + 97,636) = 13% CFR (worldwide) If we now exclude cases in mainland China, using current data on deaths and recovered cases, we get: 11,350 / (11,350 + 25,196) = 31.1% CFR (outside of mainland China) The sample size above is limited, and the data could be inaccurate (for example, the number of recoveries in countries outside of China could be lagging in our collection of data from numerous sources, whereas the number of cases and deaths is more readily available and therefore generally more up to par). There was a discrepancy in mortality rates (with a much higher mortality rate in China) which however is not being confirmed as the sample of cases outside of China is growing in size. On the contrary, it is now higher outside of China than within. That initial discrepancy was generally explained with a higher case detection rate outside of China especially with respect to Wuhan, where priority had to be initially placed on severe and critical cases, given the ongoing emergency. Unreported cases would have the effect of decreasing the denominator and inflating the CFR above its real value. For example, assuming 10,000 total unreported cases in Wuhan and adding them back to the formula, we would get a CFR of 12.0% (quite different from the CFR of 13% based strictly on confirmed cases). Neil Ferguson, a public health expert at Imperial College in the UK, said his “best guess” was that there were 100,000 affected by the virus even though there were only 2,000 confirmed cases at the time. [11] Without going that far, the possibility of a non negligible number of unreported cases in the initial stages of the crisis should be taken into account when trying to calculate the case fatally rate. As the days go by and the city organized its efforts and built the infrastructure, the ability to detect and confirm cases improved. As of February 3, for example, the novel coronavirus nucleic acid testing capability of Wuhan had increased to 4,196 samples per day from an initial 200 samples.[10] A significant discrepancy in case mortality rate can also be observed when comparing mortality rates as calculated and reported by China NHC: a CFR of 3.1% in the Hubei province (where Wuhan, with the vast majority of deaths is situated), and a CFR of 0.16% in other provinces (19 times less). Finally, we shall remember that while the 2003 SARS epidemic was still ongoing, the World Health Organization (WHO) reported a fatality rate of 4% (or as low as 3%), whereas the final case fatality rate ended up being 9.6%.

If he dies, he's played his "Get Out of Jail Free" card even quicker than Epstein did Sorry - I'll take this to the appropriate foil hat conspiracy forum next time rather than clutter this thread up.

Karma works in wonderful ways.

Saw the response to that tweet "Harvey Weinstein and Rand Paul on the same day? I thought God rested on Sundays."

4 hits, okay, that's an update... also, there's nothing else to do. New hits: Kenny Rogers, Anton Coppola, Suzy Delair and Martino Sclavi, who puts me back into pole position. Rank Team Points 1 gcreptile 472 2 Death Impends 431 3 Banana 427 4 RadGuy 392 5 Cpt. Chorizo 377 6 Clorox Bleachman 369 6 Joey Russ 369 8 Grave Danger 366 9 The Quim Reaper 344 10 Deadsox 337 11 John Key 333 12 Skinny Kiltrunner 323 13 msc 319 14 drol 306 15 The Unknown Man 304 16 The Mad Hatter 291 17 Torva Messor 289 18 JiroemonKimura 287 19 Book 286 20 Sir Creep 248 21 theoldlady 245 22 Etushispushingupdaisies 239 22 Toast 239 24 Sean 216 25 YoungWillz 208 25 DevonDeathTrip 208 27 The Old Crem 194 28 Kenny 149 29 Chilean Way 138 30 markb4 101 30 Great Uncle Bulgaria 101 32 Bibliogryphon 92 33 Gooseberry Crumble 88 34 ThePrematureBurial 75 35 Pedro67 57

A farmer stopped by the local mechanics shop to have his truck fixed. They couldn't do it while he waited, so he said he didn't live far and would just walk home. On the way home he stopped at the hardware store and bought a bucket and a gallon of paint. He then stopped at the feed store and picked up a couple of chickens and a goose. However, struggling outside the store he now had a problem - how to carry his purchases home. While he was scratching his head he was approached by a little old lady who told him she was lost. She asked, 'Can you tell me how to get to 1603 Mockingbird Lane ?' The farmer said, 'Well, as a matter of fact, my farm is very close to that house. I would walk you there but I can't carry this lot.' The old lady suggested, 'Why don't you put the can of paint in the bucket. Carry the bucket in one hand, put a chicken under each arm and carry the goose in your other hand?' 'Why thank you very much,' he said and proceeded to walk the old girl home. On the way he says, 'Let's take my short cut and go down this alley. We'll be there in no time". The little old lady looked him over cautiously then said, 'I am a lonely widow without a husband to defend me. How do I know that when we get in the alley you won't hold me up against the wall, pull up my skirt, and have your way with me?' The farmer said, 'Holy smokes lady! I'm carrying a bucket, a gallon of paint, two chickens, and a goose. How in the world could I possibly hold you up against the wall and do that?' The old lady replied, 'Set the goose down, cover him with the bucket, put the paint on top of the bucket, and I'll hold the chickens'.

Ok I'll post the Obit: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-51986611 He becomes my first and probably only hit for my TOTP Theme Team, just under a year after Ranking Roger carked it in 2019. RIP. The 1983 release of Islands In The Stream actually hit its highest position in 1984, charting at #7 in January. So as per usual, got to post it:

Oh thank goodness for that!

Jeanne Calment may not even have been a centenarian as every few weeks there seems to be another report or documentary casting doubt that the same person reached 122. Many state that she 'only' reached 99! For many years the oldest man was a Japanese gentleman who lived to 120 or 121. He was pictured in Guiness World Records with Norris McWhirter who had flown to meet him. Eventually he was discredited as a fraud although it may have been his family who perpetuated the fraud.

Pardoned by Trump in 6 months after agreeing to help produce the big screen biog of the Trump family's rise to greatness and universal adoration.