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Showing content with the highest reputation on 04/12/19 in all areas
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6 pointsOne of the best bits of advertising I’ve ever seen:
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5 pointsActual photo from Midsomer Norton in Somerset, constituency of Jacob Rees-Cunt. We can but hope.
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2 pointsGreetings. After a short retirement (due to a change in e mail address....whatever happened to "freeserve" eh ? ) , I hope I can enter next year ? Glad to see most of the "old-timers" appear to still be active pickers....
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2 pointsMost likely explanation - most people have SC blocked, therefore didn't see it until you quoted it.
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2 pointsSee you around Dr T! Great recent performances, but some things are just more important than this. Get well, do what makes you happy.
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1 pointRandom picture of Derby. Entries for the 2020 Derby Dead Pool are now open! Emails appear to be very slow sending out, if you haven't received one by, idk, tomorrow, let the Cmme know. I'll let our other members introduce themselves below, especially as they are doing the Data Entry bit, so you can shower them with bribes and likes... Rules are as before, but The Herald newspaper returns as a Qualifying Obit. As do the ITV local pages, which weren't already one on the 2019 list.
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1 pointIt was started by Brits, so having British-known people on the official DL is a side effect of that. But hey, look at the picks on forum pools; very international indeed! I’ve never heard of Soulages, but there’s every likelihood I’m just ignorant This is the thing, fame is subjective.
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1 pointYou have my list. A revised version of my Shadow List to remove those names that are my own personal picks and not likely to get committee support
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1 pointCan we have a sweep? I''ll go with 44, extremely intelligent, but bored and either drunk or getting a personal laugh from pretending to be.
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1 pointLucette Destouches doesn't appear to have had a QO yet. Until now, when The Times splatters one for her: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/lucette-destouches-obituary-bmgtjdq9t Edit: Actually, there was this from the BBC: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-50475648 Just passed over I guess, as at point of writing she's not on the list of dead or indeed no points awarded.
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1 pointAlthough since Deathray has brought out the psephology geekdom, I'd just like to add that I think the Lib Dem vote share is becoming heavily regionalised ie that they'll hold up far better in target seats than in no hope seats. They've gone down 4-5 points this month in London, but they are still polling well above 2017 levels so if thats fixed on their targets they could gain Zac Goldsmith's Richmond Park or nearby Wimbledon, but lose their deposit in somewhere like Chingford or Walthamstow. Universal Swing is increasingly becoming less of a thing as tactical voting and local issues become as vital.
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1 pointPeople were getting annoyed at AO Guy for posting about deaths at a horse track, but nobody bats an eye at this?
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1 pointI was referring to the national vote share. However I do keep track of political constituency polls in the run up to an election through poll aggregators. Primarily these two @BritainElects and @ElectionMapsUK (twitter) Britain elects had a website which has bow been consumed by the New Statesmen. There's also Electoral Calculus website. And the Guardian poll tracker as well as the wiki collation which includes constituency polls.... Naturally these polling companies but more focus on the marginal constituencies (I haven't seen a non MRP constituency poll for my 42.9% labour majority constuituency for instance). This stuff is all fairly easy to keep track of.... I'll also update spreadsheets with national westminster voting election polling information ran through electoral calculus seat predictor. (If anyone is interested it primaily predicts a Conservative majority (albeit a lower one now than at start of campaign), but if you start putting in polled Scottish intentions you get much more frequent hung parliaments... I should probably think about downloading some online dating apps, but as you can probably tell from the above I'm not an easy sell on that front .... Whilst YW might not be around to provide pithy updates throughout election night itself I definitely will... You just need to look at the rolling averages from Britain Elects for national vote share. 4 November they were on 16.4% 2 December they are on 13.3% That's -3.1% which would obviously keep Redwood in his seat if repeated locally. Given Redwood was still ahead in the first place Tories would need to fall for the Lib Dems to have a shot in that seat and they've gone from 37.5 to to 42.6 (+5.1) on rolling averages. Meanwhile Lab have gone from 25.7 to 32.3 (+6.6) Whilst of course some more of that Lab vote might fall behind the Lib Dems in that constituency it would require a bloody large tactical vote on national swings from the above figures. Con 42 LD 38 LAB 12 Would be Con 47.1% LD 34.9% LAB 18.6% Obviously that adds up to above 100%, but it shows the trend from your initial poll. Accounting for the fact that takes you over 100% YouGov's MRP (which got 2017s election closest however there's a tonne of caveats on that); (taken last week much more recent than 4 November posted above) has this at: Con 46 Lib Dem 36 Lab 12 https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2019/ I.e unless there's an extremely localised tactical voting shift amoung that remaining 12% of Labour voters (and the 3% of Greens), John Redwood should comfortably hold his seat... Anyhoo I've got a new parka to go and buy...
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1 pointThis, too, is happening in Wokingham. Wokingham, of course, being the constituency of John Redwood, off of cunts.
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1 pointRaab’s looking dodgy. Lib Dems are within a couple of points of him in his constituency of Esher and Walton. I’d honestly cry with unbridled joy if we never had to see or hear that cunt again.
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1 pointTake care @Dr_T. Sorry to hear of your losses. Worry not about the DDP, it'll be here as and if you ever feel the wish to return. Focus on whats important in life.
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1 pointThanks to Spade for his exceptional running of the game in the last couple of years and thanks to everyone else who has contributed in the 5 years or so that I have been participating. I have decided not to field a team in next year's DDP and to stop (or at least dramatically reduce) my interest in deathlisting for the forseeable future. I have had a couple of great sadnesses in my life in the last couple of weeks. Firstly my dog died after an operation. The short story was that he had an operation for a liver problem which went well initially but after about a day he developed serious complications from which he could not recover. I am absolutely heartbroken. He was only 17 months old and he was my best friend. A few days later my uncle committed suicide. He had some very very serious health problems in 2017 and was in hospital for some months. At a few points he wasn't expected to live but he pulled through and then lived with my wife and I for about 6 months afterwards. He had become low dealing with the after-effects of his illness and trying to cope with financial and residential insecurity at the age of 64. After these events I have no interest in taking even the smallest amount of joy, pride, or satisfaction out of anyone's death. I don't feel like spending the last few hours of 2019 trawling the internet to see who might not see out 2020. I want to spend that time watching cricket, playing bridge and training my new puppy. I still understand the interest in deathlisting and I certainly do not want to diminish anyone else's enjoyment of the game, I just know that it is not for me at the moment. Good luck to everyone in the various deadpools. I will probably check back in time to time-I'll certainly be interested to see who makes the 2020 list and I'll pop back in to congratulate 2019's very worthy DDP champion. Thanks to everyone who has helped me enjoy the site and especially to those who spend their spare time to make it all possible. Kindest Regards Dr T
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1 pointYou'll have noticed I design dead pools that don't last too long UTTER admiration for Grim and GCR
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1 pointFound mine in my regular mail folder. I guess it has been desensitized by my odd assortment of other interests and lets anything through now.
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1 pointThe dead centre of Derby no less. Hi - I'm the idiot who thought the easy bit would be taking all the entries and entering them into the spreadsheet etc - once that's done in about July though (although perhaps I shouldn't joke till I've successfully loaded a few) I get to put my feet up and leave it to the other two. As I'm going to be seeing everyone's teams and entering them into the spreadsheet I've already sent my team to YW. Wish us luck (and accuracy and attention to detail and humorous obit writing and a solid IT platform...…)
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1 pointAs long as I don't need to pay, I am quite happy to beat Sir Creep in as many deadpools as possible. (Although someone ought to take over the Cup given I cant run it next year...)
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